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Schaeffer's Midday Options Update Features Halliburton, KBR Inc., and Bank of America.


CINCINNATI -- Today's Schaeffer's Midday Options Update features Halliburton (NYSE NYSE

See: New York Stock Exchange
:HAL Hal: see Halle, Belgium.
hal

In Sufism, a state of mind reached from time to time by mystics during their journey toward God. The ahwal (plural of hal) are God-given graces that appear when a soul is purified of its attachments to the material world.
), KBR KBR Kellogg, Brown and Root
KBr Potassium Bromide
KBR Key-Based Routing
KBR Kota Bharu, Malaysia - Sultan Ismail Petra (Airport Code)
KBR Koninklijke Bibliotheek van België / Bibliothèque royale de Belgique
 Inc. (NYSE:KBR), and Bank of America
See also:  and


Bank of America (NYSE: BAC TYO: 8648 ) is the largest commercial bank in the United States in terms of deposits, and the largest company of its kind in the world.
 (NYSE:BAC BAC
abbr.
blood alcohol concentration
). The Midday Options Update contains a brief commentary on the day's most notable activity and a table listing the most-active calls and puts for the day. The Midday Options Update is published every day at www.SchaeffersResearch.com - the home of Bernie Schaeffer and Schaeffer's Investment Research.

Take advantage of the timely Schaeffer commentaries by signing up for their free e-newsletters -- Opening View, Market Recap and Monday Morning Outlook. Click here to have the Schaeffer's commentaries delivered to you free via email every day and get entered to win an iPod Nano A flash-based digital music player from Apple, introduced in 2005. Like larger iPod models, the nano has a color screen. Although the nano name suggests ultra-small "nanotechnology," the iPod shuffle is actually smaller. See iPod. . http://www.schaeffersresearch.com/redirect.aspx?CODE=PRMOU13M&PAGE=1 .

Options Update: Open the Call Bay Doors, HAL

In early-afternoon action, the major market averages are propped slightly higher. The Dow Jones Industrial Average Dow Jones Industrial Average

The best known U.S. index of stocks. A price-weighted average of 30 actively traded blue-chip stocks, primarily industrials including stocks that trade on the New York Stock Exchange.
 crossed through 12,310 earlier today to peg yet another new all-time high but has now pared its gains ever so slightly. Economic news has been sprayed across the Street again today; October's consumer price index came in below expectations, jobless numbers were tame, natural-gas inventories dropped for the first time in three weeks, and manufacturing activity in the Philadelphia region is on the upswing (for now). On the earnings front, a number of retailers are reacting negatively to their quarterly results. Men's Wearhouse Men's Wearhouse (NYSE: MW) is the largest men's dress apparel retailer in the United States. The company is based in Houston, Texas, and is publicly traded on the New York Stock Exchange. The company was founded by George Zimmer in 1973.  (MW) and Williams-Sonoma (WSM WSM Samoa (ISO Country code)
WSM Wave Structure of Matter
WSM Workers Solidarity Movement (Ireland)
WSM Web Services Management
WSM Weston-Super-Mare (Somerset, England) 
) are both down more than five percent.

Most-Active Options Update

At 1:34 p.m. Eastern Time, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA DJIA

See Dow Jones Industrial Averager (DJIA).
 - 12,311.8) has added 0.47 percent, while the S&P 500 Index (SPX (Sequenced Packet EXchange) The transport layer protocol in the NetWare operating system. Similar to the TCP layer in TCP/IP, it ensures that the entire message arrives intact. SPX uses NetWare's IPX as its delivery mechanism.  - 1,401.96) is up 0.39 percent at yet another new multi-year high. The Nasdaq Composite (COMP - 2,449.7) has rallied 0.28 percent. At 1:36 p.m. Eastern Time, 3,503,898 calls have changed hands compared to 2,354,648 puts, equaling a single-day put/call volume ratio of 0.67. The CBOE's equity put/call volume ratio stands at 0.73, while the ISE's ratio weighs in at 0.66.

Option Activity Follow-Up

Wednesday's "Options Update" (http://www.schaeffersresearch.com/commentary/observations.aspx?click= home&ID=17742 ) (Due to its length, this URL URL
 in full Uniform Resource Locator

Address of a resource on the Internet. The resource can be any type of file stored on a server, such as a Web page, a text file, a graphics file, or an application program.
 may need to be copied/pasted into your Internet browser's address field. Remove the extra space if one exists.) reported on massive volume at the Bank of America (NYSE:BAC) December 50 put (BAC XJ). By the end of the session, 18,008 contracts had changed hands at this out-of-the-money strike, which previously held open interest of only a few hundred contracts. The vast majority of this volume took shape as a number of large block trades changed hands at a nickel per contract. This inflow of put positions took the equity's Schaeffer's put/call open interest ratio (SOIR SOIR Schaeffer's Put/Call Open Interest Ratio
SOIR Simultaneous Operations on Intersecting Runways
) up to 1.05 from 0.95, driving it to the 63rd percentile (from the 43rd).

Implied volatility Implied volatility

The expected volatility in a stock's return derived from its option price, maturity date, exercise price, and riskless rate of return, using an option pricing model such as Black-Scholes.
 (IV) on this option dropped to 15.5 percent from 18.3 percent, suggesting that these positions were initiated on the sell side. Despite trading for a nickel per contract, these are fairly richly priced, relatively speaking, as the three-month historical volatility Historical Volatility

The past standard deviation of a security that is used in security analysis. Standard deviation measures the changes in the past price of a security the higher the standard deviation the more volatile the security.
 on December BAC options weighs in at 9.96 percent. In fact, there is a bit of a skew (1) The misalignment of a document or punch card in the feed tray or hopper that prohibits it from being scanned or read properly.

(2) In facsimile, the difference in rectangularity between the received and transmitted page.
 toward put positions on BAC; an at-the-money call currently holds an IV reading of 10 percent; the same at-the-money put has an IV of 15 percent.

Halliburton

Our tables of notably active calls and puts are dominated by exchange-traded funds (ETFs) today, with the iShares Russell 2000 Index Russell 2000 Index

An index measuring the performance of the 2,000 smallest companies in the Russell 3000 Index, which is made up of 3,000 of the biggest U.S. stocks. The Russell 2000 serves as a benchmark for small-cap stocks in the United States.
 Fund (IWM IWM Imperial War Museum (UK)
IWM Integrated Waste Management
IWM Integrated Weed Management
IWM Institute of Wastes Management
IWM Inside Wire Maintenance
IWM I Want More
IWM Interactive Workflow Manager
) taking center stage. Puffing its chest out as well, however, is oil-services heavy-hitter (and former Dick Cheney employer) Halliburton (NYSE:HAL). Its progeny KBR Inc. (NYSE:KBR) entered the big bad world of public trading today, debuting at an initial offering price of $17 (at the top end of its expected range) and quickly zooming about 24 percent higher. MarketWatch tells us that HAL raked in about $441 million by spinning off KBR shares.

For today at least, this apple seems to have fallen quite a bit from the tree, as HAL shares have dropped about 1.6 percent today. The oil-services company has been on the upswing since mid-October but is now encountering potential resistance from its 160-day moving average, a downsloping trendline in residence immediately overhead.

Panning back a bit, the 34-35 region was previously resistance on HAL in September, after which it acted as support during the first half of this year. Now breached again, this area may relish its former role of resistance. Fortifying this level is HAL's 10-month moving average, which has recently dropped into the area.

Today, options players are taking an interest in the stock's January 30 call (HAL AF). More than 25,000 contracts have changed hands on this in-the-money position, which was already among the top three strikes for call open interest in the January series. Heading into today's trading, there were nearly 70,000 open calls on this option. Several blocks of 2,500 contracts, along with one block of 5,000, have been sprinkled across the tape today. The block of 5,000 traded at 11:42 at the bid price of $3.60 per contract, making the transaction worth $1.8 million.

HAL came into Thursday's trading with a Schaeffer's put/call open interest ratio (SOIR) of 0.46, just one percent away from a new annual low. If today's volume ends up translating as new open interest, this indicator could peg a new low, suggesting an extreme in complacency among the options-trading crowd.

Wall Street displays a fair amount of complacency as well, with the vast majority of covering brokerages awarding their highest honor. According to Zacks (www.Zacks.com), HAL has earned 10 "strong buy" ratings and two "buys" along with three "holds" and no outright "sells." From our Expectational Analysis([R]) perspective, HAL garners a Schaeffer's Equity Scorecard rating of 2.0 on a scale from zero to 10, suggesting further downside could be in the stock's future, regardless of the potential gains ahead for KBR.

Click here to see the following charts: December open-interest configuration for BAC, daily chart of HAL since July 2006 with 160-day moving average, monthly chart of HAL since October 2004 with 10-month moving average, HAL Equity Scorecard:

http://www.schaeffersresearch.com/wire?ID=17747 .

The best way to take advantage of the timely Schaeffer commentaries is to sign up to receive their free e-newsletters -- Opening View, Market Recap and Monday Morning Outlook. Click here to have the Schaeffer's commentaries delivered to you free via email every day and get entered to win an iPod Nano. http://www.schaeffersresearch.com/redirect.aspx?CODE=PRMOU13M&PAGE=1 .

About Schaeffer's Investment Research (www.SchaeffersResearch.com)

Schaeffer's Investment Research, founded by Bernie Schaeffer in 1981, is a financial information and trading resources company. It publishes Bernie Schaeffer's Option Advisor, the nation's leading options subscription newsletter. The firm's contrarian approach focuses on stocks with technical and fundamental trends that run counter to investor expectations. The firm's website, http://www.SchaeffersResearch.com , is recognized as one of the leading information sources for stock and options traders and was cited as the top options website by both Forbes and Barron's. Click here for more details about Schaeffer's trading methodology: http://www.SchaeffersResearch.com/method .
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Publication:Business Wire
Date:Nov 16, 2006
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