Schaeffer's Midday Options Update Features General Electric, McDonald's, Hewlett-Packard, Rambus, and Xerox.CINCINNATI -- Today's Schaeffer's Midday Options Update features General Electric (NYSE NYSE See: New York Stock Exchange :GE), McDonald's (NYSE:MCD MCD Minor Civil Division MCD McDonalds (restaurant) Mcd Macedonian (linguistics) MCD Municipal Corporation of Delhi MCD Magnetic Circular Dichroism MCD Mad Cow Disease ), Hewlett-Packard (NYSE:HPQ HPQ Hewlett-Packard Corporation (NYSE) HPQ High Priority Queue ), Rambus (NASDAQ NASDAQ in full National Association of Securities Dealers Automated Quotations U.S. market for over-the-counter securities. Established in 1971 by the National Association of Securities Dealers (NASD), NASDAQ is an automated quotation system that reports on :RMBS RMBS Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities RMBS Rambus, Inc. (NASDAQ stock symbol) RMBS Russian Mortgage-Backed Securities ), and Xerox (NYSE:XRX XRX Xerox Corporation (stock symbol) ). The Midday Options Update contains a brief commentary on the day's most notable activity and a table listing the most-active calls and puts for the day. The Midday Options Update is published every day at www.SchaeffersResearch.com - the home of Bernie Schaeffer and Schaeffer's Investment Research. For additional information about this report or to have it delivered to you free via email every day click on the following link. http://www.schaeffersresearch.com/redirect.aspx?CODE=PRMOU1M&PAGE=1 . Options Update: Call Copies Flood Xerox The activity on the Street has turned from lethargic complacency to a mild selling mood, as all three of the major market indices continue to slip further beneath breakeven breakeven 1. The level of output or sales necessary to cover fixed expenses. Companies in industries that have high fixed costs and, consequently, high breakevens, such as automobile and steel manufacturing, are likely to exhibit large fluctuations on the day. It seems that traders are a bit tired after this week's dead run higher, and are taking it easy today. Even a series of positive economic reports couldn't spur the market into a rally. Generally Unimpressed General Electric (NYSE:GE) added to the session's lethargy lethargy /leth·ar·gy/ (leth´ar-je) 1. a lowered level of consciousness, with drowsiness, listlessness, and apathy. 2. a condition of indifference. leth·ar·gy n. 1. when it reported second-quarter earnings of 44 cents per share Cents per share The amount of a mutual fund's dividend or capital gains distributions that a shareholder will receive for each share owned. on revenue of $41.6 billion, matching the consensus estimate. While the Dow component did elevate the low end of its 2005 earnings forecast to a range of $1.80 to $1.83 per share for the year (surrounding the Street's view for $1.82 per share), investors were unimpressed. At last check, GE had slipped more than one percent to 35.21. Send Them Hewlett Packing Fellow Dow component Hewlett-Packard (NYSE:HPQ) attempted to erase GE's weakness when reports surfaced that the firm is set to announce a major restructuring plan as early as next week. According to according to prep. 1. As stated or indicated by; on the authority of: according to historians. 2. In keeping with: according to instructions. 3. News.com, HPQ could lay off as many as 15,000 employees, but the article also quoted research firm Moors & Cabot, suggesting that job losses could exceed 20,000 positions. Elsewhere, The Wall Street Journal reported that the layoffs would be announced next Tuesday, while News.com has the announcement slated for Monday. Both reports cited a person familiar with the situation as their source. Super Size Me! Apparently it was all Dow, all day on the Street, as McDonald's (NYSE:MCD) jumped more than four percent after the company set second-quarter earnings expectations at 42 cents per share. However, the consensus estimate for the firm still stands at a profit of 48 cents per share. MCD noted that global system-wide sales for its eponymous e·pon·y·mous adj. Of, relating to, or constituting an eponym. [From Greek ep numos; see eponym. restaurants rose 6.2 percent during June, 6.3 percent in the second quarter, and 7.1 percent year-to-date. Ramming Speed Rounding out our news coverage, our focus turns from the blue-chip sector to semiconductor concern Rambus (NASDAQ:RMBS). The equity has plunged nearly seven percent today after the company reported second-quarter earnings of $5.4 million, or five cents per share. The results fell 36 percent from last year's $8.3 million, or eight cents per share. Revenue rose to $40 million, up from $35 million a year ago. RMBS stated that forecasting the second half of the year will be a challenge due to the number of patent-license agreements and renewals that it's currently negotiating. Most-Active Options Update At 1:43 p.m. eastern time, the Dow Jones Industrial Average Dow Jones Industrial Average The best known U.S. index of stocks. A price-weighted average of 30 actively traded blue-chip stocks, primarily industrials including stocks that trade on the New York Stock Exchange. (DJIA DJIA See Dow Jones Industrial Averager (DJIA). - 10,613.8) has slipped 0.14 percent. The S&P 500 Index (SPX (Sequenced Packet EXchange) The transport layer protocol in the NetWare operating system. Similar to the TCP layer in TCP/IP, it ensures that the entire message arrives intact. SPX uses NetWare's IPX as its delivery mechanism. - 1,225.09) is lower by 0.11 percent, and the Nasdaq Composite The Nasdaq Composite is a stock market index of all of the common stocks and similar securities (e.g. ADRs, tracking stocks, limited partnership interests) listed on the NASDAQ stock market, meaning that it has over 3,000 components. It is highly followed in the U.S. (COMP - 2,149.4) has given back 0.16 percent. At 1:42 p.m. Eastern time, 2,255,562 calls have changed hands compared to 1,671,916 puts, equaling a single-day put/call volume ratio of 0.74. The CBOE's equity put/call volume ratio weighed in at 0.75. Xerox The duke of the ditto dit·to n. pl. dit·tos 1. The same as stated above or before. 2. A duplicate; a copy. 3. A pair of small marks ( " ) used to indicated that the word, phrase, or figure given above is to be repeated. machine, Xerox (NYSE:XRX), is beginning to attract some attention from the investing public heading into its earnings announcement on July 25. Option activity is hot and heavy today, with a whopping 11,047 calls crossing the tape at the stock's August 14 (XRX HP) strike on open interest of a mere 2,233 contracts. Much of the activity occurred between 10:30 a.m. Eastern time and 12:01 a.m., with several large blocks ranging from 1,125 contracts to 3,000 contracts crossing the tape at the ask, suggesting that a hefty degree of call buying is invading the XRX options picture. Since this is already the site of peak call open interest for the front-three months of options, today's activity could make this level even more key for XRX, as much of today's volume should translate into new open positions. Returning to the earnings scene briefly, we find that XRX is scheduled to release its second-quarter earnings figures on Monday, July 25, before the market open. Currently, the consensus is expecting a profit of 23 cents per share from the copy company, and they very well might get it. During the past five periods, XRX has bested the Street's view by an average of 9.5 percent, never failing to best an estimate. Now, with a fundamental backdrop like this, you would expect XRX to have a similar technical outlook. Well, as you can see from the weekly chart below, this just isn't the case. In fact, the stock has been in decline mode since topping out in the final week of 2004. Since that fateful week, XRX has been driven lower by overhead resistance at its 10-week and 20-week moving averages to the tune of 19.75 percent. Furthermore, after a solid run higher along its 10-month and 20-month trendlines, XRX has closed the past three months below these former support levels. This does not bode well for the security, as support often turns into resistance once breached, and the stock's 20-month trendline is resting just above the 14 level, and appears to be making a break for a bearish Bearish Words used to describe investor attitude. A bearish investor believes that a particular asset or the market as a whole will decline in value. bearish cross of its 10-month counterpart. Keep that 14 level in the back of your mind as well, as this area has troubled XRX since December 2003. With call open interest building at this level, XRX has its work cut out for it if it wants to resume its rally higher. As noted above, the XRX's options picture could become a real sticking point sticking point n. A point, issue, or situation that causes or is likely to cause an impasse. Noun 1. sticking point - a point at which an impasse arises in progress toward an agreement or a goal for the equity. Checking in on the stock's Schaeffer's put/call open interest ratio (SOIR SOIR Schaeffer's Put/Call Open Interest Ratio SOIR Simultaneous Operations on Intersecting Runways ), we find that while it has risen nicely from its June 16 annual low 0.35 to its current perch at 0.45, today's reading falls in the far-from-bearish 15 percentile percentile, n the number in a frequency distribution below which a certain percentage of fees will fall. E.g., the ninetieth percentile is the number that divides the distribution of fees into the lower 90% and the upper 10%, or that fee level . Given the stock's technical performance, this is not encouraging from a contrarian standpoint. Checking in on the short sellers, we find that the group has abandoned XRX in droves recently. Since November 2004, the number of XRX shorted shares has plummeted from 55.9 million to 17 million - a 59-percent decline in less than a year. Furthermore, 18 percent of this exodus arrived during June, resulting in a short-interest ratio short-interest ratio A ratio that is used for market analysis and is calculated by dividing short interest by average daily volume. Technicians use the short-interest ratio as a tool to determine market direction. of 4.37 days to cover. While this reading still offers the promise of potential short-covering, all you need to do is look at the shares technical performance from November to current to see the effect of the last round of buy-backs from the short-selling community - again, not very promising for XRX. The song remains the same on Wall Street, as Zacks reports that XRX receives three "buys," four "holds," and no "sell" ratings. The absence of "sells" raises a warning flag for me, especially given that there is plenty of room for downgrades from the "holds" and the "sells." The culmination of this bullish sentiment backdrop and weak technical performance is a Schaeffer's Equity Scorecard rating of 2.0 out of 10.0, indicating that XRX could have further to fall before it can reproduce its former status as an outperformer. Click on the following link to see an Equity Scorecard, Weekly and Monthly Charts for XRX: http://www.schaeffersresearch.com/wire?ID=13637 . The best way to take advantage of the timely Schaeffer commentaries is to sign up to receive their free e-newsletters -- Opening View, Market Recap and Monday Morning Outlook. Click here to have the Schaeffer's commentaries delivered to you free via email every day. http://www.schaeffersresearch.com/redirect.aspx?CODE=PRMOU1M&PAGE=1 . About Schaeffer's Investment Research (www.SchaeffersResearch.com) Schaeffer's Investment Research, founded by Bernie Schaeffer in 1981, is a financial information and trading resources company. It publishes Bernie Schaeffer's Option Advisor, the nation's leading options subscription newsletter. The firm's contrarian approach focuses on stocks with technical and fundamental trends that run counter to investor expectations. The firm's website, http://www.SchaeffersResearch.com , is recognized as one of the leading information sources for stock and options traders and was cited as the top options website by both Forbes and Barron's. Click here for more details about Schaeffer's trading methodology: http://www.SchaeffersResearch.com/method . |
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numos; see eponym.
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