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Schaeffer's Market Observation Features Barr Pharmaceuticals, International Game Technology, and Maytag.


CINCINNATI -- Today's Market Observation features Barr Pharmaceuticals Barr Pharmaceuticals, Inc., (NYSE: [http://www.nyse.com/about/listed/lcddata.html?ticker=BRL BRL]) is global specialty pharmaceutical company that operates in more than 30 countries worldwide and is engaged in the development, manufacture and marketing of generic and  (NYSE NYSE

See: New York Stock Exchange
:BRL BRL

In currencies, this is the abbreviation for the Brazilian Real.

Notes:
The currency market, also known as the Foreign Exchange market, is the largest financial market in the world, with a daily average volume of over US $1 trillion.
), International Game Technology (NYSE:IGT IGT impaired glucose tolerance. ), and Maytag (NYSE:MYG). Schaeffer's Market Observations are market-based reports that provide insight and analysis from a unique and unbiased perspective. Market Observations are published on www.SchaeffersResearch.com - the home of Bernie Schaeffer and Schaeffer's Investment Research. To receive a free email notification each time a new commentary is written about one of the featured stocks or any of your favorite stocks, click on the following link: http://www.schaeffersresearch.com/addinfo .

Barr Pharmaceuticals

According to according to
prep.
1. As stated or indicated by; on the authority of: according to historians.

2. In keeping with: according to instructions.

3.
 Hoover's, Barr Pharmaceuticals (NYSE:BRL) makes about 100 generic drugs in such areas as anti-infectives, oncology, cardiology, psychotherapeutics psy·cho·ther·a·peu·tics
n.
See psychotherapy.
, and women's health Women's Health Definition

Women's health is the effect of gender on disease and health that encompasses a broad range of biological and psychosocial issues.
. The company has placed an emphasis on providing generic oral contraceptives Oral Contraceptives Definition

Oral contraceptives are medicines taken by mouth to help prevent pregnancy. They are also known as the Pill, OCs, or birth control pills.
 and currently has about 20 such drugs on the market. The security witnessed some heavy trading of bearish Bearish

Words used to describe investor attitude. A bearish investor believes that a particular asset or the market as a whole will decline in value.


bearish 
 bets on Thursday, as traders snapped up the stock's January 45 put. Open interest at this strike popped from 300 to 2,057 contracts. This surge in put activity helped to lift the equity's Schaeffer's put/call open interest ratio (SOIR SOIR Schaeffer's Put/Call Open Interest Ratio
SOIR Simultaneous Operations on Intersecting Runways
) from 0.69 to 0.87 in the 47th percentile percentile,
n the number in a frequency distribution below which a certain percentage of fees will fall. E.g., the ninetieth percentile is the number that divides the distribution of fees into the lower 90% and the upper 10%, or that fee level
. Overall, sentiment toward the security still has a bullish slant. Over the most recent reporting period, short interest dipped by nine percent to 2.3 million shares. With a short-interest ratio short-interest ratio

A ratio that is used for market analysis and is calculated by dividing short interest by average daily volume. Technicians use the short-interest ratio as a tool to determine market direction.
 of only 2.25 days to cover, it is unlikely the stock will benefit from any short-covering support. Furthermore, Wall Street remains quite smitten smit·ten  
v.
A past participle of smite.


smitten
Verb

a past participle of smite

Adjective

deeply affected by love (for)

Adj. 1.
 with the firm, as nine of the 16 analysts following BRL rate it a "buy" or better.

After rallying along the support of its 10-day moving average since the beginning of November, the shares have dropped below this short-term trendline and are headed for a test of potential support at their rising 20-day moving average at the 44.50 level. If this support level should fail, the equity's 10-week trendline waits in the wings in the 41 area. From a longer-term perspective, BRL is poised to close the month above both its 10-month and 20-month moving averages for the first time since February.

Click the following link to see a Daily Chart of BRL since November 2004 With 10-Day and 20-Day Moving Averages: http://www.schaeffersresearch.com/wire?ID=12154 .

International Game Technology

International Game Technology (NYSE:IGT) is the number-one designer and manufacturer of slot machines. The firm also produces video gaming video gaming
n.
1. Gambling by means of interactive games of chance played on a video screen.

2. The playing of video games.
, player tracking, and accounting systems. The security attracted some bullish options speculators yesterday, as open interest at the stock's February 35 call jumped from 405 to 3,692 contracts. This spike in call activity comes in contrast to the relatively bearish sentiment that continues to follow IGT. The equity's SOIR of 0.67 is currently higher than two-thirds of the readings taken over the past 52 weeks. Furthermore, short interest increased by six percent in December to 9.6 million shares, giving the stock a solid short-interest ratio of 4.82 days to cover. On the other hand, brokerage firms are quite enamored en·am·or  
tr.v. en·am·ored, en·am·or·ing, en·am·ors
To inspire with love; captivate: was enamored of the beautiful dancer; were enamored with the charming island.
 of the firm. According to Zacks, 14 of the 16 analysts following IGT rate it a "buy" or better.

From a technical perspective, it appears that the shares are attempting to break out of their recent funk. The security has broken above its 10-day and 20-day moving averages, which had troubled IGT for the past month. What's more, the stock has rebounded off support at its 20-week moving average, breaking above its 10-week trendline. Moving out even further, the equity is currently being squeezed between support at its rising 20-month moving average and resistance at its 10-month trendline. Traders will want to keep a close watch on these two support levels. A breach of overhead resistance at the stock's 10-month could result in a sharp rally higher as bears are forced to cover their positions in order to limit their losses.

Looking ahead, the firm is slated to step into the earnings confessional again on January 20, according to Zacks. The Street is forecasting a profit of 33 cents per share Cents per share

The amount of a mutual fund's dividend or capital gains distributions that a shareholder will receive for each share owned.
, matching its year-ago gain. Historically, the firm has met or surpassed the consensus estimate for the past five quarters.

Click the following link to see a Monthly Chart of IGT since April 2002 With 10-Month and 20-Month Moving Averages: http://www.schaeffersresearch.com/wire?ID=12154&obspage=2 .

Maytag

Maytag (NYSE:MYG) is determined to bounce back. The security has rallied higher along its 10-day and 20-day moving averages since mid-October, dashing ahead more than 38 percent. What's more, the stock's recent rally has pulled its 10-week and 20-week trendlines into a bullish cross. This technical formation often signals further gains for a stock. However, the equity must still conquer overhead resistance at its declining 10-month moving average at the 23 level.

Despite the security's trek higher over the past couple of months, investors remain pessimistic toward the shares. The equity's SOIR checks in at 1.39, as puts easily outnumber calls in the front three months of options. This reading is also higher than all but 10 percent of those taken over the past 52 weeks. What's more, traders piled into the stock's February 20 put on Thursday, adding almost 2,500 contracts. Furthermore, short interest continues to creep higher. The 10.1 million shares sold short now account for more than 13 percent of the security's float and is almost 10 times its average daily trading volume Trading volume

The number of shares transacted every day. As there is a seller for every buyer, one can think of the trading volume as half of the number of shares transacted. That is, if A sells 100 shares to B, the volume is 100 shares.
. An unwinding of these bearish bets could add some serious lift to the stock's rally. Not to be left out, Wall Street is also against the company. Zacks reports that six of the seven analysts following MYG rate it a "hold" or worse, leaving ample room for potential upgrades. This combination of strengthening technicals and overwhelming pessimistic sentiment has bullish implications from a contrarian perspective.

Click the following link to see a Daily Chart of MYG since June 2004 with 10-Day and 20-Day Moving Averages: http://www.schaeffersresearch.com/wire?ID=12154&obspage=2 .

The best way to take advantage of the timely Schaeffer commentaries is to sign up to receive their free e-newsletters -- Opening View, Market Recap and Monday Morning Outlook. Click here to have the Schaeffer's commentaries delivered to you free via email every day. http://www.schaeffersresearch.com/addinfo .

About Schaeffer's Investment Research (www.SchaeffersResearch.com)

Schaeffer's Investment Research, founded by Bernie Schaeffer in 1981, is a financial information and trading resources company. It publishes Bernie Schaeffer's Option Advisor, the nation's leading options subscription newsletter. The firm's contrarian approach focuses on stocks with technical and fundamental trends that run counter to investor expectations. The firm's website, http://www.SchaeffersResearch.com , is recognized as one of the leading information sources for stock and options traders and was cited as the top options website by both Forbes and Barron's. Click here for more details about Schaeffer's trading methodology: http://www.SchaeffersResearch.com/method .
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Publication:Business Wire
Date:Dec 31, 2004
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