Schaeffer's Daily Market Blog Features: Lehman Brothers, Fortunet, Oracle, Jarden, and Broadcom.CINCINNATI -- Among the stocks featured in the September 13 edition of Schaeffer's Market Blog are Lehman Brothers Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. (NYSE: LEH), founded in 1850, is a diversified, global financial services firm. It is a participant in investment banking, equity and fixed income sales, research and trading, investment management, private equity, and private banking. (NYSE NYSE See: New York Stock Exchange :LEH), Fortunet (NASDAQ NASDAQ in full National Association of Securities Dealers Automated Quotations U.S. market for over-the-counter securities. Established in 1971 by the National Association of Securities Dealers (NASD), NASDAQ is an automated quotation system that reports on :FNET FNET Finish No Earlier Than (project management) ), Oracle (NASDAQ:ORCL ORCL Oracle (stock symbol) ), Jarden (NYSE:JAH), and Broadcom (NASDAQ:BRCM BRCM Broadcom Corporation (stock abbreviation, AMEX) BRCM Master Chief Boilermaker (USN rating) ). Schaeffer's Market Blog is just one of the many free market commentaries written every day at www.SchaeffersResearch.com - the home of Bernie Schaeffer and Schaeffer's Investment Research. The Market Blog is written throughout every trading day In Business, the trading day is the time span that a particular stock exchange is open. For example, the New York Stock Exchange is, as of 2006, open from 09:30AM to 4:00PM. Trading days never take place on weekends. by Schaeffer's financial analysts and traders. They are quick insights to the day's most notable market activity from an options perspective. To have this report delivered to you free via email every day click on the following link and you'll also get an opportunity to win an IPod Nano A flash-based digital music player from Apple, introduced in 2005. Like larger iPod models, the nano has a color screen. Although the nano name suggests ultra-small "nanotechnology," the iPod shuffle is actually smaller. See iPod. . http://www.schaeffersresearch.com/redirect.aspx?CODE=PROB PROB Probable/Probably PROB Problem PROB People's Republic of Bangladesh 13M&PAGE=1 8:06 PM Free Financial Podcasts Don't forget that many of our observations are available as audio presentations that you can hear on your computer or download from Apple's iTunes Music Store to play on a portable device such as an iPod. To see the full menu of podcasts, please visit http://www.schaeffersresearch.com/commentary/podcasts/ 9:27 AM Lehman Brothers Third-Quarter Earnings Beat the Consensus Good morning. Before the bell, Lehman Brothers (NYSE:LEH) reported third-quarter earnings of $916 million, or $1.57 per share. Revenue showed an 8.5-percent gain to $4.18 billion. The consensus estimate for earnings was $1.50 per share, and analysts hoped for revenue of $4.01 billion. LEH hit an all-time high in April and it has consolidated since then, but overhead resistance from its 10-month moving average appears to be holding the stock back. 11:14 AM Fortune Favors the Brave Once again, Fortunet (NASDAQ:FNET) is surging ahead. The stock added more than 28 percent on Monday, and another 59 percent yesterday. This morning, it has tacked on 11 percent more. Late Thursday, the firm announced that it has won approval from the Nevada State Gaming Control Board Gaming Control Board or "GCB" is a governmental body or agency charged with regulating casino and other types of gaming in a defined geographical area, usually a state, and of enforcing gaming law in general. to become an operator of mobile gambling Mobile gambling refers to gambling done on a remote wirelessly connected device. These devices can include wireless tablet PC's, mobile phones and other non traditional mid-level networked comuting devices. Some online casinos and online poker cardrooms offer mobile options. devices. The stock was trading at $17.40 at last check. Yesterday in this blog, I suggested that "there's still buying strength here," and there certainly was. But knowing the past is easier than knowing the future, and investors want to know what happens next. According to according to prep. 1. As stated or indicated by; on the authority of: according to historians. 2. In keeping with: according to instructions. 3. Zacks, only two brokerages rate the stock, so there's certainly room for fresh coverage. If brokerages point their clients at FNET, there could be further gains. Short interest figures are released monthly, and the August data shows that 24 percent of the stock's float was sold short. It seems likely that part of the current buying frenzy could have been caused by short sellers covering their positions, but I suspect the short covering could be over; remember that FNET is a small company, and the volume of stock traded during the past few days is certainly enough to cover all of those short-sold stocks several times over. Nevertheless, FNET appears to have caught the public imagination, and it's still a hot stock. Let's watch the 20 level. The stock gapped above it in May, and then briefly tested it for support on the way back down. I think a break above 20 this week would be a further signal of confidence from the buyers. 12:17 PM Oracle Hits Multi-Year High Oracle (NASDAQ:ORCL) has been on a tear lately, gaining almost 34 percent so far in 2006. Today it hit a fresh high, reaching levels the stock has not seen since March 2002. At last check, the stock was up 0.43 percent at $16.37. Until recently, I've been bearish Bearish Words used to describe investor attitude. A bearish investor believes that a particular asset or the market as a whole will decline in value. bearish on ORCL, but the stock now earns 7.0 out of 10 on our Schaeffer's Equity Scorecard, suggesting that the path of least resistance Noun 1. path of least resistance - the easiest way; "In marrying him she simply took the path of least resistance" line of least resistance fashion - characteristic or habitual practice leads higher. However, there are some alarm bells ringing. Short interest is small, so there is little fuel for any meaningful short-covering rally. Sentiment in the options pits is somewhere between neutral and mildly positive, warning that sideline sideline See on the sidelines. money might be scarce. Meanwhile, analysts are very optimistic op·ti·mist n. 1. One who usually expects a favorable outcome. 2. A believer in philosophical optimism. op ; according to Zacks, there are 11 "strong buy" ratings and three "buys" ranged against one "sell" and one "strong sell." The chances of upgrades are small. Still, remember the old Wall Street saying: "The trend is your friend." 12:53 PM Jarden Stock Comes Alive Quite a few stocks that haven't done much for a few months have suddenly come alive. One such stock is Jarden (NYSE:JAH), the maker of a diverse set of branded consumer products including Sunbeam appliances, Coleman outdoor gear, and First Alert home safety products. The stock rose 4.4 percent yesterday and is up another 3.4 percent today. This takes JAH to its highest point since mid-May. While the stock's short interest is down about 13 percent this year, it remains high. The 8.3 million JAH shares shorted amount to more than 17 percent of the stock's float. The recent burst from buyers may be causing some who are short to buy back stock to exit positions. That could be pushing JAH higher. 1:15 PM Broadcom May See More Weakness Broadcom (NASDAQ:BRCM) has been attracting a lot of call option volume despite the fact that the shares are declining off resistance from their 80-day moving average. Yesterday, call volume was nearly five times put volume, and today it's more than three times put volume. Call option open interest more than doubles put open interest. Optimism toward such a weak-performing stock can be a sign of further weakness yet to come. For more information on these stocks or any stock in your portfolio, feel free to visit our Schaeffer's Equity Scorecard feature. Click here to read all of today's Market Blog: http://www.schaeffersresearch.com/redirect.aspx?CODE=PROB13C&PAGE=1 Take advantage of the timely Schaeffer commentaries by signing up for their free e-newsletters -- Opening View, Market Recap and Monday Morning Outlook. Click here to have the Schaeffer's commentaries delivered to you free via email every day and get entered to win an IPod Nano. http://www.schaeffersresearch.com/redirect.aspx?CODE=PROB13M&PAGE=1 About Schaeffer's Investment Research (www.SchaeffersResearch.com) Schaeffer's Investment Research, founded by Bernie Schaeffer in 1981, is a financial information and trading resources company. It publishes Bernie Schaeffer's Option Advisor, the nation's leading options subscription newsletter. The firm's contrarian approach focuses on stocks with technical and fundamental trends that run counter to investor expectations. The firm's website, http://www.SchaeffersResearch.com, is recognized as one of the leading information sources for stock and options traders and was cited as the top options website by both Forbes and Barron's. Click here for more details about Schaeffer's trading methodology: http://www.SchaeffersResearch.com/method. |
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