Sagio Asset Management Announces Investment Opinion on PALM, Inc.; Sagio Asset Management Increases Ownership of PALM, Inc.; Internal Report Indicates PALM Misunderstood and Underestimated.BELLEVUE, Wash. -- Today, Sagio Asset Management announced that it has increased its ownership of PALM, Inc. (NASDAQ NASDAQ in full National Association of Securities Dealers Automated Quotations U.S. market for over-the-counter securities. Established in 1971 by the National Association of Securities Dealers (NASD), NASDAQ is an automated quotation system that reports on :PALM) this week from 5% to 6.3% following the recent weakness in the stock's price. It will issue its internal research report on PALM later today at www.sagioinvest.com. The decision to increase its exposure to PALM was precipitated by the market's trust on poorly informed sell-side research. While the weak markets have certainly not helped over the past few weeks, it was yesterday's downgrade Downgrade A negative change in the rating of a security. Notes: For example, an analyst may downgrade a stock from strong buy to buy, or a bond rating agency may downgrade a bond from AAA to AA. by Bear Stearns The Bear Stearns Companies, Inc. (NYSE: BSC) is the parent company of Bear, Stearns & Co. Inc., one of the largest global investment banks and securities trading and brokerage firms in the world. coupled with the launch of Moto Q from Motorola (NYSE NYSE See: New York Stock Exchange :MOT) that has hit PALM the hardest. The analysts now criticizing PALM are the same ones who warned of soft May quarterly guidance. PALM beat consensus in February and then guided above Street expectations for May. Sagio Asset Management believes the same dynamic is at play here. PALM is once again being misunderstood and underestimated. "With few notable exceptions, PALM has been consistently underestimated by the sell-side over the past few years," said Juan Sartori, Chartered Financial Analyst Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) An experienced financial analyst who has passed examinations in economics, financial accounting, portfolio management, security analysis, and standards of conduct given by the Institute of Chartered Financial Analysts. , Sagio Asset Investment. "Yesterday's report was accounting for option expensing without taking into account the real cash tax rate of PALM. We believe PALM cash flows will significantly outperform Outperform An analyst recommendation meaning a stock is expected to do slightly better than the market return. Notes: Exact definitions vary by brokerage, but in general this rating is better than neutral and worse than buy or strong buy. their EPS (Encapsulated PostScript) A PostScript file format used to transfer a graphic image between applications and platforms. EPS files contain PostScript code as well as an optional preview image in TIFF, WMF, PICT or EPSI, the latter being an ASCII-only format. due to their previous NOL NOL - Never Offline and as such we would encourage management and the sell side community to look at cash flow based valuation metrics." "We would be sorely disappointed if PALM's management did not offer clear FY007 guidance in the upcoming Q4FY06 earnings report. Since management repeatedly ignored its call for a stock buyback Stock buyback A corporation's purchase of its own outstanding stock, usually in order to raise the company's earnings per share. stock buyback See buyback. for strategic reasons and did not answer to Mark Nelson call for a sale of the company, it believes the company should share its own view of the future in more explicit ways," Gualtiero Giori, Investment Manager at Sagio Asset Investment. Sagio Asset Management has an expectation of 34% top-line growth in FY07 and believes that management will have plenty of wiggle room wiggle room n. Flexibility, as of options or interpretation: ambiguous wording that left some wiggle room for further negotiation. Noun 1. if it guided for 20% to 25% top line growth. It believes that PALM is worth $30/share by the end of '06 on conservative shipment scenarios, with very probably outcomes supporting a $50 stock price. PALM'S GROWING PRODUCT LINE Investors have been warned for over two years that PALM will succumb suc·cumb intr.v. suc·cumbed, suc·cumb·ing, suc·cumbs 1. To submit to an overpowering force or yield to an overwhelming desire; give up or give in. See Synonyms at yield. 2. To die. to intensifying from Motorola, Nokia, and other large handset vendors. Reality has been quite different from those warnings. Since the introduction of the revolutionary Treo 600, PALM has unveiled three completely new Treo platforms (i.e. 650, 700w, and 700p) running two different OS platforms, supporting 3G speeds, and spanning all major geographies and air interface standards. Later this year, PALM will unveil the Hollywood to target Europe with a GSM-based 3G smartphone in an attractive, antenna-less, Windows Mobile-powered package. PALM will also start selling the Low Rider to extend the appeal of the Treo's brand, power, and ease-of-use to the mass market. By contrast, NOK NOK In currencies, this is the abbreviation for the Norwegian Krone. Notes: The currency market, also known as the Foreign Exchange market, is the largest financial market in the world, with a daily average volume of over US $1 trillion. took until now to introduce the E61 messaging phone, and the MOTO Q was delayed numerous times in its two-year saga. 254% RISE IN PALM'S SHARE PRICE SINCE '04 Despite continued warnings by pundits that PALM would be unable to compete effectively, the period starting in Jan '04 has been one of unprecedented improvement in PALM's financial performance and extraordinary returns for shareholders. In particular: 1. Sales will have increased to over $405M in May '06 from $271M in November '03. 2. Cash from operations improved to $76.1M in February '06 from a burn of $23.8M in November '03. 3. PALM's share price has grown 254% to $18.11 yesterday from $5.12 in January '04. Relative to yesterday's closing price, PALM trades at a valuation completely disconnected from reality. Adjusting for PALM's $537m in cash and investments and $60m in land for sale, PALM's FY07 P/E P/E See: Price/earnings ratio is just 6.2x (i.e. using cash taxes/8.8x using GAAP GAAP See: Generally Accepted Accounting Principles GAAP See generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP). taxes). PALM is trading at a significant discount to peers. For instance, RIMM (Rambus Inline Memory Module) See RDRAM. See also RIM. is trading at 19.5x the FY07 EPS consensus. Sagio believes there is no logical justification for the wide divergence divergence In mathematics, a differential operator applied to a three-dimensional vector-valued function. The result is a function that describes a rate of change. The divergence of a vector v is given by in valuations. The recent drop in price (down 24.5% since the $24 peak on April 6) has created a unique opportunity for investors. Sagio expects a string of positive catalysts to boost the company's stock price through out the remainder of the year: 1. Q4Y06 earnings call in June - Sagio believes that PALM will offer FY07 top-line guidance ahead of the 16.3% growth consensus expectations. 2. The launch of the Hollywood in CY3Q06 - this antenna-less, 3G, Windows-powered smartphone will allow PALM to significantly grow its unit shipments by finally offering a compelling European phone. 3. The announcement of major European carrier partnerships - the launch of the Hollywood will be an event ala 700w at Verizon Wireless with Microsoft and PALM. Sagio believes that Vodafone will become the Hollywood's first strategic carrier distributor. 4. The launch of the Low Rider in CY3Q06/CY4Q06 - This launch will allow PALM to break into the mass-market with a price point around $200, reaching a broad swath of the consumer market while squashing those critics who argue that price competition will lead PALM's downfall. 5. Strong May, August, and November earnings reports - Sagio believes that PALM will beat consensus estimates and guide above expectations for the August quarter. Moreover, success of the 700p at Sprint and Verizon, the launch of the Hollywood in Europe, and the introduction of a North American Hollywood in late '06 could add significant upside relative to current expectations. PALM's strong '06 start should only get better as new devices help PALM to significantly expand volumes. Sagio believes that the 700p will be as, if not more popular, than the 700w due to the superiority of the LCD resolution and the ease-of-use of the PALM OS. Furthermore, as the Hollywood starts to move through the carrier distribution network and the Low Rider breaks into the consumer mass market, PALM's unit shipments could expand significantly above current levels. Furthermore, Sagio expects ultra-thin Treos to appear in 2007, allowing PALM to capture the fashion-conscious buyer. "We believe that the expansion of PALM's product line will allow the company to not only show very strong top-line growth but also enjoy expanding margins. We believe that PALM's revenues will grow between 30% and 34% in '07 and a further 22% in '08, after growing 26% in '06. Operating margins Operating Margin A ratio used to measure a company's pricing strategy and operating efficiency. Calculated by: should jump from 8.2% in FY06 to 11.3% in '07 and 13.1% in '08. Needless to say, we believe that a forward P/E forward P/E The price-earnings ratio of a firm's common stock calculated as the current stock price divided by estimated earnings per share for the coming year. Compare trailing P/E. of only 13x or less is unreasonable given our expectations for PALM's growth profile," Gualtiero Giori, Investment Manager at Sagio Asset Investment. At Sagio, fundamental research should be the only variable that counts in the investment process. The internal research report located later today at www.sagioinvest.com is not intended to offer investment advice or to recommend any shares. Sagio already own 6.3% of the company. As investors, Sagio would like to have access to better and more informed research from all its counterparties and as such are willing to make the first step in providing this type of research. ABOUT SAGIO: Headquartered in Geneva Geneva, canton and city, Switzerland Geneva (jənē`və), Fr. Genève, canton (1990 pop. 373,019), 109 sq mi (282 sq km), SW Switzerland, surrounding the southwest tip of the Lake of Geneva. (Switzerland), Sagio is an investment adviser specialized in alternative investments. Sagio manages three funds (Sniper, Longview and Titanium) and managed accounts for an international clientele. They seek above average gains (both capital appreciation and current income) by employing a value-oriented, "bottom up" approach to investing in event-driven financial instruments perceived to be inefficiently priced as a result of business, financial or legal uncertainties. Sagio's trading approach also applies principles of cognitive and evolutionary psychology evolutionary psychology n. The study of the psychological adaptations of humans to the changing physical and social environment, especially of changes in brain structure, cognitive mechanisms, and behavioral differences among individuals. to financial market behavior. It can be found at www.sagioinvest.com DISCLAIMER This material is solely for your information and use. It is not a solicitation solicitation In criminal law, the act of asking, inducing, or directing someone to commit a crime. The person soliciting another becomes an accomplice to the crime. The term also refers to the act of obtaining bribes, as well as to the crime of a prostitute who offers sexual or an offer to buy or sell any security. The information is obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but Sagio does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness. The information, opinions or quotations may change without notice and may be condensed con·dense v. con·densed, con·dens·ing, con·dens·es v.tr. 1. To reduce the volume or compass of. 2. To make more concise; abridge or shorten. 3. Physics a. or summarized and Sagio is under no obligation to ensure that updates are brought to the attention of any recipient of this material. Sagio, its affiliates and/ or their employees may have a position or holding, or other material interest or effect transaction in any securities mentioned or options thereon, or other investments related thereto. Sagio may be providing, or have provided within the previous 12 months, significant advice or investment services in relation to the investment concerned or a related investment to any company or issuer mentioned. Some investments referred to in this information will be offered by a single entity and, in the case of some investments, solely by Sagio, or an associate of Sagio may be the only market maker in such investments. The price and value of investments mentioned and any income which might accrue may fluctuate and may fall or rise. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance. This information and any related recommendations or strategies may not be suitable for you; it is recommended that you consult an independent investment advisor Investment Advisor 1. A person making investment recommendations in return for a flat fee or percentage of assets managed, known as a commission. 2. For mutual fund companies, it is the individual who has the day-to-day responsibility of investing and monitoring the cash and if you are in any doubt about any investments or investment services. While regard may have been had to information available to Sagio as to your investment portfolio in the preparation of this material, nothing in this material constitutes investment, legal, accounting or tax advice, or a representation that any investment or strategy is suitable or appropriate to your individual circumstances, or otherwise constitutes a personal recommendation to you. Sagio does not advise on the tax consequences and you are advised to contact an independent tax advisor A tax advisor is a financial expert especially trained in tax law. Some countries require tax advisors to verify the balance sheets of companies above a certain size. Individuals usually require tax advisors to minimize taxation, to avoid learning the details of tax law in . 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