STAMPEDE RESUMES ON WALL STREET; BULL MARKET REVIVAL LIFTS DOW, S&P TO NEW HIGHS.Byline: Gretchen Morgenson Gretchen C. Morgenson (born January 2, 1956 in State College, Pennsylvania) is a Pulitzer Prize-winning journalist who writes the Market Watch column for the Sunday "Money & Business" section of the New York Times newspaper. The New York New York, state, United States New York, Middle Atlantic state of the United States. It is bordered by Vermont, Massachusetts, Connecticut, and the Atlantic Ocean (E), New Jersey and Pennsylvania (S), Lakes Erie and Ontario and the Canadian province of Times Glee shoved gloom aside Monday in the nation's stock markets as two of the main gauges surpassed their summer peaks and reached new highs. Investors who stayed with stocks through the downturn in the fall now have outsized out·size n. 1. An unusual size, especially a very large size. 2. A garment of unusual size. adj. also out·sized Unusually large, weighty, or extensive. Adj. 1. gains for the year, even by standards set in this bull market's last few years. The Dow Jones industrial average Dow Jones Industrial Average The best known U.S. index of stocks. A price-weighted average of 30 actively traded blue-chip stocks, primarily industrials including stocks that trade on the New York Stock Exchange. , which set a record Monday, is up 18.54 percent for the year, while the Standard & Poor's 500-stock index, also a record-setter Monday, has risen 22.44 percent. Although the technology-heavy Nasdaq composite index Nasdaq Composite Index An index that indicates price movements of securities in the over-the-counter market. It includes all domestic common stocks in the Nasdaq System (approximately 5,000 stocks) and is weighted according to the market value of each listed did not hit a record Monday, it has beaten the other gauges for the year, up 25.92 percent. Still, the recent rally has not lifted all issues. Small stocks, while back from the depths, are still underperforming their larger brethren. The Russell 2000 index Russell 2000 Index An index measuring the performance of the 2,000 smallest companies in the Russell 3000 Index, which is made up of 3,000 of the biggest U.S. stocks. The Russell 2000 serves as a benchmark for small-cap stocks in the United States. of smaller-company issues closed at 398.15, up 28 percent from its low in October. But it is still 14 percent below its July peak. Monday, the Dow rose 214.72 points, or 2.34 percent, to 9,374.27. The Nasdaq index jumped 2.55 percent, to 1,977.42, up 49.21 points. The S&P 500 rose 2.12 percent, or 24.66 points, to 1,188.21. This performance represents nothing short of a U-turn in investor sentiment. Euphoria is back for stocks, but confidence also has returned to the junk bond junk bond, a bond that involves greater than usual risk as an investment and pays a relatively high rate of interest, typically issued by a company lacking an established earnings history or having a questionable credit history. arena, fueling a recovery in those securities from a moribund state two months ago. ``We've gone through a classic market cycle in a matter of weeks instead of the months or even years that it used to take,'' said John Manley, equity strategist at Salomon Smith Barney. Although concerns remain, such as a continuing deterioration in corporate earnings, an Asia mired mire n. 1. An area of wet, soggy, muddy ground; a bog. 2. Deep slimy soil or mud. 3. A disadvantageous or difficult condition or situation: the mire of poverty. v. in overcapacity, uncertainty about Japan's recovery plan and Latin America on the edge, Manley said investors were focusing on something rosy farther down the road. Optimism also has checked into corporate board rooms, as evidenced by Monday's spate of merger announcements. Nine deals were announced or under negotiation Monday for a total of $40.4 billion, reflecting a belief among many chief executives that a recession is unlikely next year. Merger experts also found it bullish that the companies doing the deals spanned a range of industries. That most of the deals were done using stock as the acquisition currency indicates how crucial the recent rally has been to deal-makers. Because consumer confidence is inextricably in·ex·tri·ca·ble adj. 1. a. So intricate or entangled as to make escape impossible: an inextricable maze; an inextricable web of deceit. b. linked to the stock market's performance, the recent run-up in stocks should bolster consumer confidence figures, which will be released today. These numbers had been falling in recent months along with stocks. The stock market's impressive rally is vindication for Abby Joseph Cohen Abby Joseph Cohen (CFA) (born 1952 in Queens, New York) is an American economist and financial analyst on Wall Street. She is a partner and chief U.S. investment strategist at Goldman Sachs. , the market strategist at Goldman, Sachs & Co., who stayed positive on stocks throughout the downturn. Cohen cohen or kohen (Hebrew: “priest”) Jewish priest descended from Zadok (a descendant of Aaron), priest at the First Temple of Jerusalem. The biblical priesthood was hereditary and male. never bought the doomsayers' view, what she called FUDD FUDD Functional Description Document FUDD Fear Uncertainty Doubt and Disinformation - for fear, uncertainty, doubt and despair. Instead, she held fast to her view that turmoil in world markets was unlikely to cause a recession in the United States. Cohen looked particularly prescient pre·scient adj. 1. Of or relating to prescience. 2. Possessing prescience. [French, from Old French, from Latin praesci Monday: Her prediction on the Dow Jones industrial average for the end of the year was about 9,300. But while investors who own mutual funds that mimic the stock indexes are enjoying big gains, many others are probably feeling left behind. That is because the surge that shows up in the market indexes is, once again, not showing up across the board, with many stocks still well off their peaks. Indeed, the broad market is only beginning to claw its way back. According to Salomon Smith Barney, at the starting point of this market surge, on Oct. 8, the average Nasdaq stock was down 54.1 percent and the average S&P 500 stock had declined 32.1 percent from their 52-week highs. As of Friday, the most recent data available, the average Nasdaq stock was down 40.1 percent and the average S&P 500 stock was down 19.2 percent. Similarly, while the revival of mergers and acquisitions is an indicator of optimism, the activity is still far below the levels reached earlier this year. Monday's $40.4 billion in deals brings the pace this month to $70 billion. That is up from the low of $51 billion in September, according to Securities Data Corp., but nowhere near the spring's levels of $210 billion a month. Initial public offerings are showing life, too. But a couple of spectacular one-day gainers hide the fact that many recent offerings still are hurting. So far in 1998, the average initial offering has inched up only one-tenth of a percent. But separating technology offerings from nontechnology ones exposes a chasm in performance. According to Securities Data, the average technology offering is up 15.2 percent this year, while the average nontechnology offering is down 8 percent. CAPTION(S): chart Chart: New record |
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