S&P LOOKS AT 2000 CMBS MARKET.
ACCORDING TO ITS LATEST CMBS QUARTERLY Insights report, Standard
& Poor's, New York, expects the commercial mortgage-backed
securities (CMBS) market in 2000 to be something of a repeat performance
of the stronger-than-anticipated 1999 market. S&P says the following
can be expected from the market this year: Domestic issuance to be in
the mid-$50 billion range; international issuance approaching $20
billion; rating upgrades exceeding downgrades; a relatively stable
economic real estate environment, but with some noted regional stress;
delinquencies expected to remain in check and limited to specific
events, by property type or borrower rather than broad trends; and no
relief in sight for U.S. real estate investment trusts (REITs) to raise
equity or unsecured capital, prompting greater use of secured financings
and joint ventures.
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