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Riding out the market in a convertible.


The 1994 stock market taught many investors the meaning of bond-market volatility. These days, "conservative bond investing" doesn't look like such a sure bet anymore. But don't let short-term Short-term

Any investments with a maturity of one year or less.


short-term

1. Of or relating to a gain or loss on the value of an asset that has been held less than a specified period of time.
 developments discourage you from staying fully invested in the market. By using convertible securities, which combine the elements of bonds and stocks and exhibit certain investment characteristics of both, you can blend the advantages of fixed-income and equity instruments.

Convertible securities were first used more than 100 years ago to finance railroad railroad or railway, form of transportation most commonly consisting of steel rails, called tracks, on which freight cars, passenger cars, and other rolling stock are drawn by one locomotive or more.  construction, and the market volatility of the past 25 years has made them popular vehicles again. Many issuers, especially new companies with unseasoned securities Unseasoned Security

A stock that has just recently started trading.

Notes:
This type of security does not have an established pattern under various market conditions. Investors cannot be sure how an unseasoned security will hold up during tough times.
, are adding the convertible option to preferred stocks Stock shares that have preferential rights to dividends or to amounts distributable on liquidation, or to both, ahead of common shareholders.

Preferred stock is given preference over common stock. Holders of preferred stock receive dividends at a fixed annual rate.
 or bonds to make them more attractive to buyers. Plus, seasoned and high-capitalization companies seeking worldwide securities distribution have begun to offer convertible bonds to foreign investors in the European European

emanating from or pertaining to Europe.


European bat lyssavirus
see lyssavirus.

European beech tree
fagussylvaticus.

European blastomycosis
see cryptococcosis.
 bond market, a practice that will almost certainly grow as the securities markets continue to globalize glob·al·ize  
tr.v. glob·al·ized, glob·al·iz·ing, glob·al·iz·es
To make global or worldwide in scope or application.



glob
.

How do convertible securities work? They can be either bonds or preferred stock, but it's easiest to understand them as bonds. A convertible bond is a regular corporate debenture debenture (dəbĕn`chər), document acknowledging indebtedness. In Great Britain a debenture is practically the same as a bond, and debenture stock is similar to preferred stock.  with a fixed coupon and maturity date that can be converted into a fixed number of shares of common stock, at the holder's option.

THE BEST OF BOTH WORLDS

A convertible security has value both as a bond and as stock. Its bond or investment value is calculated by standard fixed-income analysis: maturity date, coupon, credit quality, company fundamentals, yield to maturity and call features. The investment value of a convertible bond remains stable over a wide range of stock prices and drops only as the stock price approaches zero, which means the company is nearing bankruptcy bankruptcy, in law, settlement of the liabilities of a person or organization wholly or partially unable to meet financial obligations. The purposes are to distribute, through a court-appointed receiver, the bankrupt's assets equitably among creditors and, in most . In an uncertain stock market, the investment value of the convertible bond constitutes a floor value for the security. The investor can continue to hold the bond and collect the coupon interest, and he'll still be repaid at maturity.

A convertible bond is also valued in terms of its underlying equity, so it's important to remember that assessing the equity value of a convertible involves performing the same kind of credit analysis required for any stock. This means looking at the future prospects of the company, the risk measures of the common stock and how much equity participation the convertible bond represents.

At issue, the number of shares the bond can be converted into (the conversion ratio) is fixed. Multiplying mul·ti·ply 1  
v. mul·ti·plied, mul·ti·ply·ing, mul·ti·plies

v.tr.
1. To increase the amount, number, or degree of.

2. Mathematics To perform multiplication on.
 the number of shares by the current value of the stock yields the conversion value of the bond. For example, if a bond can be converted into 25 shares of stock and the stock currently sells at $35 per share, the conversion value is $875. It's very unlikely the convertible's value will fall below its conversion value. If it did, investors would buy the bond and immediately convert it into stock at a profit. As the underlying stock increases in value, the convertible appreciates in value as well, and it can increase far beyond its bond value without equity conversion. This feature provides price protection for the bond in markets where interest rates are increasing.

The price track of a convertible bond refers to how it will trade over a variety of market conditions. A convertible usually commands a market price higher than either its investment value or conversion value. This conversion premium is the amount by which the market price of a convertible bond exceeds the conversion value, expressed as a percentage, and represents the value of the option to convert the bond into stock.

The final step in pricing the convertible might be the hardest: pricing the security itself and determining how much it will rise or fall under different market scenarios. The convertible can be overpriced o·ver·price  
tr.v. o·ver·priced, o·ver·pric·ing, o·ver·pric·es
To put too high a price or value on.


overpriced
Adjective

costing more than it is thought to be worth

Adj.
 or underpriced un·der·price  
tr.v. un·der·priced, un·der·pric·ing, un·der·pric·es
1. To price lower than the real, normal, or appropriate value.

2.
 relative to the stock. The risk and reward characteristics of the individual security depend on where it lies on the price curve. This in turn determines the performance of the security and the portfolio to which it belongs.

When the market price of the convertible lies along the horizontal part of the price curve, it trades more like a bond. As the value of the convertible starts to increase with the underlying stock value, it trades more like the underlying equity.

The coupon on a convertible bond will be somewhat lower than that on a nonconvertible bond. However, the convertible will have about 70 percent to 80 percent of the upside potential Upside potential

The amount by which analysts or investors expect the price of a security may increase.


upside potential

The potential price or gain that may be expected in a security or in a security average, generally stated as the dollar
 of the underlying stock and 40 percent of the downside Downside

The dollar amount by which the market or a stock has the potential to fall.

Notes:
You might hear someone say that the downside on stock XYZ is $10. What that means is that the stock could fall by this amount if things got bad.
 potential.

Adding convertibles to a stock and bond portfolio can enhance returns and reduce risks at any level. For example, a portfolio of 50 percent convertibles and 50 percent equities has about 12 percent more risk than one composed of 100 percent bonds, but the first portfolio gets about 30 percent greater return. Put another way, it has about 15 percent more return for 24 percent less risk.

DECEPTIVE de·cep·tive  
adj.
Deceptive or tending to deceive.



de·ceptive·ness n.
 SIMPLICITY

But keep in mind that convertibles might not be good investments for everyone. Their deceptive theoretical simplicity hides a highly complex evaluation process, which is necessary to derive the full benefit of using the securities. Correct evaluation takes into account elements of bond, stock and option pricing, including current interest rates, both long and short; the probability of a bond call; the convertible's yield advantage over common stock; the fixed-income value of the convertible; and the underlying stock's volatility. Only after assessing these variables can you gauge a fair-value price for the security. This shouldn't deter you from investing in convertibles altogether, but if you're not an experienced investor, you might want to seek the guidance of an investment adviser.

Since the convertible market is most often institutional in nature, the minimum market transaction is $100,000 or more. Even if you're in a position to buy individual issues, make sure you have enough diversification Diversification

A risk management technique that mixes a wide variety of investments within a portfolio. It is designed to minimize the impact of any one security on overall portfolio performance.

Notes:
Diversification is possibly the greatest way to reduce the risk.
 in your overall portfolio.

It's also best to approach the convertible market by sector, and in-depth sector analysis is again an institutional activity. The investment-grade investment-grade

Of, relating to, or being a bond suitable for purchase by institutions under the prudent man rule. Investment-grade is restricted to those bonds graded BBB and above by Standard & Poor's and graded Baa3 and above by Moody's.
, high-capitalization market often performs very differently from the low-capitalization sector, which can consist of securities that aren't rated or are rated below investment grade. Since the convertible market reflects what's happening in the stock and bond markets, it's better to look at these market sectors rather than at broad generalizations about the total market. You may want to consider taking advantage of convertibles through a mutual fund or managed account of some kind.

Although the convertible's market price usually reverts to its theoretical fair value over time, you'll always have market anomalies A market anomaly (or inefficiency) is a price and/or return distortion on a financial market.

It is usually related to:
  • either structural factors (unfair competition, lack of market transparency, ...
 like the market conditions of 1994, where none of the market models seemed to work. In many cases, convertibles declined in value, while their underlying stocks increased. Increasing stock values should have pulled convertible values up with them, but they didn't, despite rising interest rates; this was highly unusual.

Therefore, the current undervalued Undervalued

A stock or other security that is trading below its true value.

Notes:
The difficulty is knowing what the "true" value actually is. Analysts will usually recommend an undervalued stock with a strong buy rating.
 convertible market is a result of a temporary liquidity squeeze and poor market sentiment Market Sentiment

The feeling or tone of a market (i.e. crowd psychology). It is shown by the activity and price movement of the securities.

Notes:
For example, rising prices would indicate a bullish market sentiment.
. But despite the difficult year for convertibles in 1994, the interest-rate increases took an even greater toll on straight bonds. The same increases that did so much damage to bond prices last year have brought convertible yields to the 6-percent to 7-percent range, which is as good as or better than that available on money-market investments.

And the convertible security has upside potential, an advantage that no money-market instrument or even most straight bonds can't match. In the current climate of defensive investing, where controlling risk has become vitally important, there's little doubt convertibles can play an important role in your investment portfolio.

Mr. Calamos is president and chief investment officer of Calamos Asset Management, an asset-management and research firm in Naperville, Ill.
COPYRIGHT 1995 Financial Executives International
No portion of this article can be reproduced without the express written permission from the copyright holder.
Copyright 1995, Gale Group. All rights reserved. Gale Group is a Thomson Corporation Company.

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Title Annotation:Personal Financial Planning; convertible securities
Author:Calamos, John P.
Publication:Financial Executive
Date:Jul 1, 1995
Words:1280
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