Resisting Urge to Panic Kept Many From Sept. 11 Fallout.EVERY once in a while patience is rewarded without the customary long, tedious wait. Look how fast a payoff came for investors in stock mutual funds who resisted the impulse to panic and sell when the terrorists struck on Sept. 11. Only three weeks after trading resumed with a fearsome wave of selling, the market had staged an impressive recovery -- and. was offering investors higher prices on average for their holdings than they would have received if they sold right away. The patience premium has persisted through all the ups and downs ups and downs pl.n. Alternating periods of good and bad fortune or spirits. ups and downs Noun, pl alternating periods of good and bad luck or high and low spirits ever since. As events unfolded after the attacks, fund investors who redeemed their shares right away got out at the closing price Sept. 17, the first day trading Day trading Establishing and liquidating the same position or positions within one day's trading. resumed. The market indexes plunged to new bear-market lows that day, and kept falling for the rest of the week. Yet by Oct. 10, the Standard & Poor's 500 Index, the Nasdaq Composite Index Nasdaq Composite Index An index that indicates price movements of securities in the over-the-counter market. It includes all domestic common stocks in the Nasdaq System (approximately 5,000 stocks) and is weighted according to the market value of each listed and the Dow Jones Industrial Average Dow Jones Industrial Average The best known U.S. index of stocks. A price-weighted average of 30 actively traded blue-chip stocks, primarily industrials including stocks that trade on the New York Stock Exchange. all closed above where they finished the day on Sept. 17. They stayed that way through Oct. 31, when the S&P 500 showed a 2.2 percent total return since the close Sept. 17; the Nasdaq Composite The Nasdaq Composite is a stock market index of all of the common stocks and similar securities (e.g. ADRs, tracking stocks, limited partnership interests) listed on the NASDAQ stock market, meaning that it has over 3,000 components. It is highly followed in the U.S. 7. percent, and the Dow Jones Dow Jones the best known of several U.S. indexes of movements in price on Wall Street. [Am. Hist.: Payton, 202] See : Finance Industrials 1.9 percent. By the evidence, quite a few real-life investors got zapped by their panic buttons. The Investment Company Institute reports a record outflow of $29.5 billion from stock funds in September -- less than .1 percent of total. assets in stock funds, but still a good-sized" chunk of money. New resolve So now the hair-trigger sellers may be feeling remorseful re·morse·ful adj. Marked by or filled with remorse. re·morse ful·ly adv. . Next
time, they vow, we'll remember: Don't just do something, sit
there! Trouble is, avoiding panic isn't quite as easy when the heat
is on as all the primers make it sound.
If you've put yourself in a risky position going into such a moment, says fund. manager Marty Whitman, "panic may be appropriate, rational behavior." Think of panic as nature's way of telling you your investment tactics are out of synch. with your circumstances. "If you went into panic mode' says Todd Cleary, manager of financial planning Financial planning Evaluating the investing and financing options available to a firm. Planning includes attempting to make optimal decisions, projecting the consequences of these decisions for the firm in the form of a financial plan, and then comparing future performance against services at the fund firm of T. Rowe Price T. Rowe Price (NASDAQ: TROW) is an independent global investment management firm and mutual fund manager based in Baltimore, Maryland. It was founded in 1937 by Thomas Rowe Price, Jr.. T. Associates, "you probably had too much invested in stock funds -- or the wrong kinds of stock funds -- and you weren't diversified in line with your risk tolerance Risk Tolerance The degree of uncertainty that an investor can handle in regards to a negative change in the value of their portfolio. Notes: An investor's risk tolerance varies according to age, income requirements, financial goals, etc. ." What to do about that now? Though past trades can't be undone, investors can set up their holdings to minimize the danger of panicking again the next time the markets suffer a jolt. "You can't control the markets," Cleary says in a commentary on Price's Web site, "Focus on what you can control -- making sure your stock- bond mix is in line with your risk tolerance." One reason people struggle with this simple-sounding idea is the in herent difficulty of assessing risk in all its varied and ever-changing forms. Who had anything like "anthrax anthrax (ăn`thrăks), acute infectious disease of animals that can be secondarily transmitted to humans. It is caused by a bacterium (Bacillus anthracis risk" figured into their asset-allocation plans before Sept. 11? But diversification and a long-term approach to investing can go a long way toward managing risks of both the known and unknown variety. There, are, after all, only three things stock prices, interest rates and other investment variables can do -- rise, fall or stay the same. It takes no special wizardry wiz·ard·ry n. pl. wiz·ard·ries 1. The art, skill, or practice of a wizard; sorcery. 2. a. A power or effect that appears magical by its capacity to transform: , to set up a diversified plan that recognizes all those possibilities. Keep some money in stocks in case they rally; keep some money out of stocks in case they don't. Adopt a "laddered" approach to fixed-income, investing, owning securities of different maturities to protect yourself from interest-rate fluctuations. The beauty of investing, as opposed to many forms of gambling, is that it leaves you room to limit risk and still give yourself a good shot at a decent return. The odds of success are likely to be enhanced when the risk of panic is removed. Chet Currier is a columnist with Bloomberg News. Little Stock Fund Brings in Big Notices Chet Currier No matter how long you've been investing, you never know when you might run across a beguiling new mutual fund. Through most of the nine years since it opened for business, the Jensen Portfolio, a little stock fund out of Portland, Ore., was sold only in a few states in the Pacific Northwest. Now it's registered all over the U.S., listed on discount brokers fund marketplaces, and getting some national ink. A star, perhaps, is horn? Though the fund is still small at $62 million, Bob million, one of its five managers, said assets have grown 60 percent since the start of this year. The chief impetus behind this growth spurt growth spurt Pediatrics A period of rapid growth in middle adolescence; ♀ ↑ ±8 cm/yr ±age 12; ♂ ↑ ±10 cm/yr ± age 14; GS is orderly, affecting acral parts–ie, hands and feet grow before proximal regions, has been some eye-catching performance numbers. In late October, according to Bloomberg data, the fund boasted an average annual return for the past three years of 12.1 percent. Over the same span, the Standard & Poor's 500 Index 'struggled to 1.7 percent average annual gain. The three-year results were good enough to rank Jensen in the top 9 percent of all funds and the top 12 percent of growth funds tracked by Bloomberg. This fund has a narrow focus, with just 25 stock in the protfolio. Millen said it will stay concentrated even if it gets 10 times as much money to manage as it has now. That's fine as long as the investments are well chosen. But a focused-fund format can be unforgiving when things didn't go as hoped. To be considered for a place in the Jensen Portfolio, companies have to show strong long-term cords -- at least 10 straight years posting returns on equity of 15 percent or better. The largest holdings at last report included the financial services company State Street Corp., Clorox Co., which has been making bleach since. 1913; computer services provider Automatic Data Processing Same as data processing. , and, the mortgage finance specialists Freddie Mac Freddie Mac: see Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation. and Fannie Mae Fannie Mae: see Federal National Mortgage Association. . Besides good performance, Jensen's attractions include low turnover of its an experienced management, and the maneuverability that comes with a small asset base. It had a strong record for "tax efficiency," too, until the sale of a few of its holdings last year led to a capital-gains distribution of more than $3 a share. An object lesson, right there, in the folly of relying on past records as a guide to which funds will be tax-friendly in the future. Better, I'd say, to play down tax imponderables and focus on more substantive matters - such as whether you think a fund like the Jensen Portfolio' can keep [performing as well tinder the spotlight as it has in obscurity. |
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