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Replace the GDP.


Adam Smith said that the final measure of an economy is the well-being of the people. Yet this is the one question that the policy establishment never asks. The government studies the supposed means to that end in exacting detail. It can tell us how many televisions we buy, how much money the drug or record industry invests, practically down to the last penny.

But nobody bothers to ask whether such means actually bring about the. desired end. Economists simply assume it, and this assumption is the implicit baseline of just about every policy debate in Washington. More consumption or investment will bring about more well-being, regardless of what that consumption and investment consist and the actual impact on people's lives.

The result has been a growing chasm between the way the policy establishment measures the economy and the way Americans actually experience it. The experts keep saying the economy is up; Americans experience it as down. Economist Robert Lucas
This article is about the Ohio governor. For the economist, see Robert Lucas, Jr.

For the English cricketer, see .

Robert Lucas (April 1, 1781–February 7, 1853) was the 12th governor of the U.S. state of Ohio, serving from 1832 to 1836.
, the Nobel laureate Noun 1. Nobel Laureate - winner of a Nobel prize
Nobelist

laureate - someone honored for great achievements; figuratively someone crowned with a laurel wreath
, says the economy is in "excellent shape." Ask your neighbors about that.

Like the former Soviet rulers, America's policy establishment dismisses such skepticism of official economics as a sign of psychological disorder Noun 1. psychological disorder - (psychiatry) a psychological disorder of thought or emotion; a more neutral term than mental illness
folie, mental disorder, mental disturbance, disturbance
. You are spending more money, folks, they say; what possibly could be troubling you? Alan Greenspan Alan Greenspan

Dr. Greenspan is Chairman of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. Dr. Greenspan also serves as Chairman of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), the Fed's principal monetary policymaking body.
, the Federal Reserve Board chairman, has scratched his head publicly over the "extraordinarily deep-rooted foreboding fore·bod·ing  
n.
1. A sense of impending evil or misfortune.

2. An evil omen; a portent.

adj.
Marked by or indicative of foreboding; ominous.
 about the [economic] outlook." Yet just maybe the people are on to something. Until our politicians cast off their archaic assumptions about well-being and what helps bring it about, their efforts to make things better will continue to make them worse.

A good place to start would be the official gauge of economic progress, the Gross Domestic Product. The GDP GDP (guanosine diphosphate): see guanine.  is accepted as the main measure of economic policy and performance. Yet it is built upon several stunning fallacies.

The first is the assumption that everything produced and sold is a "good" by definition; more production and buying automatically equal more economic well-being. The result is a Mad Hatter's accounting system that adds but can't subtract. Car wrecks, divorces, disease, crime--social and environmental breakdown of all kinds--get tallied in Washington as economic growth, simply because they cost money.

What Americans experience as bad, in other words Adv. 1. in other words - otherwise stated; "in other words, we are broke"
put differently
, the experts count as good. Environmental breakdown gets counted as a double of triple gain. The factory pollutes the water: The GDP goes up. People buy bottled water to replace the questionable stuff from the tap: The GDP goes up some more. People contract cancers or other diseases from the toxic chemicals that are emitted: Medical bills make the GDP go up again. And on and on. It is on this crazy basis that economists say environmental protection must come at the expense of "the economy."

A second assumption is more subtle and insidious. The GDP includes only the part of the economy that is transacted through money. (The conventional economic mind can grasp only that which has a price.) This leaves out entirely the vital economic functions of households, communities, and the natural habitat. So the more these fall apart, and monetized products and services take their places, the better the experts say the economy is doing.

Child care takes the place of parents. McDonald's displaces the kitchen table. Air purifying devices take the place of the natural purifying functions of trees. More money changes hands, so the economists cheer--even though the economy Americans actually experience is going to hell.

This kind of thinking governs the policy establishment in Washington. It is built into the cost-benefit analyses that increasingly determine the fate of proposals of all kinds, (except certain ones that Republicans favor, such as curbs on abortion and the B-2 bomber.) Yet it is a relic of another era, when pedal-to-the-floor production was the overriding national goal. Today the economic problem is much more complex, and it goes much deeper than the two-tier economy and declining wages in the middle. Increasingly, Americans must contend with the new burdens that the economy (not just government) places on people in the name of economic growth.

The nation desperately needs new ways to measure economic progress, ones that reflect the actual experience of Americans rather than the brain-dead assumptions of conventional economics. It needs to distinguish costs from benefits, progress from regress REGRESS. Returning; going back opposed to ingress. (q.v.) ; and it must start to value the functions of households, communities, and the natural habitat that are inherently beyond price. America has to gauge the actual impact of the economy on human well-being, instead of just the amount of stuff produced and consumed.

Such measures would be a truth serum truth serum

drug inducing one to speak uninhibitedly. [Science: Brewer Dictionary, 1105]

See : Honesty
 to the economic debate. No longer could Bob Dole blast gangsta rap gang·sta rap   also gangster rap
n.
A style of rap music associated with urban street gangs and characterized by violent, tough-talking, often misogynistic lyrics.
 one day and call for increased GDP the next, when sales of gangsta rap are part of the GDP.

Put another way, politicians and pundits would have to stop hiding behind abstractions like "investment" and "growth." They would have to name what they are actually talking about. Investment in what? Growth of what? Casinos or apple orchards? This in turn would diminish the role of the purveyors of these abstractions--namely, economists--in the national debate. To ask questions of quality instead of just quantity, values instead of just price, would open the door to a much larger range of disciplines and concerns.

One particular issue that would change radically is work. Work occupies an exceedingly odd place in the nation's policy debates. Politicians extol ex·tol also ex·toll  
tr.v. ex·tolled also ex·tolled, ex·tol·ling also ex·toll·ing, ex·tols also ex·tolls
To praise highly; exalt. See Synonyms at praise.
 it continually. Yet they listen to an economic establishment which regards work as a "disutility dis·u·til·i·ty  
n. pl. dis·u·til·i·ties
1. The state or fact of being useless or counterproductive.

2. Something that is inefficient or counterproductive:
," a loathsome thing which people do only to gain the wherewithal where·with·al  
n.
The necessary means, especially financial means: didn't have the wherewithal to survive an economic downturn.

conj.
Wherewith.

pron.
Wherewith.
 to consume. They view the destruction of work--called "productivity"--as an unquestionable good. They rig the tax system to reward "investment," which can eliminate work, instead of rewarding work itself and the creation of it. (Today the Republicans want to shift the entire tax burden onto work, through a misnamed mis·name  
tr.v. mis·named, mis·nam·ing, mis·names
To call by a wrong name.


misnamed
Adjective

having an inappropriate or misleading name:
 "flat tax" that includes a gaping exemption for unearned income Unearned Income

Any income that comes from investments and other sources unrelated to employment services.

Notes:
Examples of unearned income include interest from a savings account, bond interest, tips, alimony, and dividends from stock.
.

This view is obsolete. Work is much more than just a way to acquire money for consumption. It has value in itself. It provides a daily setting for social interaction, a sense of competence and achievement, and the opportunity to feel useful and needed. Some 70 percent of big lottery winners choose to keep working, as do most executives long after they have made enough to retire comfortably.

In other words, work today is more a good than many of the things economists call "goods." Increasingly, people need it more than they need the stuff that work enables them to buy. Yet the policy establishment continues to applaud its destruction (in the name of efficiency); and the GDP counts the production of stuff rather than the production of work, which people need more. A new measure of progress would include work as a good and its destruction as a bad. This would alter the nation's policy debate, from taxes on down, in a radical and healthful health·ful
adj.
1. Conducive to good health; salutary.

2. Healthy.



healthful·ness n.
 way.

Jonathan Rowe is policy director of Redefining Progress, an organization based in San Francisco San Francisco (săn frănsĭs`kō), city (1990 pop. 723,959), coextensive with San Francisco co., W Calif., on the tip of a peninsula between the Pacific Ocean and San Francisco Bay, which are connected by the strait known as the Golden .
COPYRIGHT 1996 Washington Monthly Company
No portion of this article can be reproduced without the express written permission from the copyright holder.
Copyright 1996, Gale Group. All rights reserved. Gale Group is a Thomson Corporation Company.

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Title Annotation:The Missing Issues; gross domestic product
Author:Rowe, Jonathan
Publication:Washington Monthly
Article Type:Cover Story
Date:Jan 1, 1996
Words:1165
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