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Rely on the analysis: Tedd Alexander or Credo Capital Management thoroughly scrutinizes financial fundamentals.


For Tedd M. Alexander, III, president of the Baltimore-based Credo Capital Management LLC (Logical Link Control) See "LANs" under data link protocol.

LLC - Logical Link Control
., analyzing a company's fundamental financial position is crucial to successful investing. Alexander has built his company on an investment philosophy that empahsizes analytical research. Before investing, his firm tracks the revenues and earnings growth of each company and the growth characteristics of the industry in which each company operates. Examining the financial opportunities available to a company's management also plays a role in stock selection.

"Our investment philosophy incorporates the unemotional, systematic interrogation interrogation

In criminal law, process of formally and systematically questioning a suspect in order to elicit incriminating responses. The process is largely outside the governance of law, though in the U.S.
 of fundamental expectations in an effort to mitigate risk," Alexander says.

Alexander opened Credo Capital Management in April 2004, soon after leaving his job as a portfolio manager at Brown Capital Management Inc. (No. 4 on the BE ASSET MANAGERS list with $5.28 billion in assets under management Assets Under Management (AUM) is a term used by financial services companies in the mutual fund and money management or investment management business to gauge how much money they are managing. ). Credo provides money management services to public and corporate pension funds, foundations, and endowments.

Its financial analysis is driven by a proprietary software application called ABACUS. Each week the software is programmed to peruse pe·ruse  
tr.v. pe·rused, pe·rus·ing, pe·rus·es
To read or examine, typically with great care.



[Middle English perusen, to use up : Latin per-, per-
 1,350 mid-cap stocks, identifying some 150, according to a predetermined pre·de·ter·mine  
v. pre·de·ter·mined, pre·de·ter·min·ing, pre·de·ter·mines

v.tr.
1. To determine, decide, or establish in advance:
 scoring range, that are likely to outperform.

Alexander says 2006 has better potential than last year. He projects that mid-cap investors could see a 9% total return if real GDP Real GDP

This inflation-adjusted measure that reflects the value of all goods and services produced in a given year, expressed in base-year prices. Often referred to as "constant-price", "inflation-corrected" GDP or "constant dollar GDP".
 growth hits the 3% to 3.5% range and inflation hovers around 2.0%, barring any unforeseen shocks to the economy.

One stock Alexander says shows promise for this year is Synopsys Inc. (NASDAQ NASDAQ
 in full National Association of Securities Dealers Automated Quotations

U.S. market for over-the-counter securities. Established in 1971 by the National Association of Securities Dealers (NASD), NASDAQ is an automated quotation system that reports on
: SNPS SNPS Space Nuclear Power System ). Synopsys provides electronic design automation software (EDA (1) (Electronic Design Automation) Using the computer to design, lay out, verify and simulate the performance of electronic circuits on a chip or printed circuit board. ) to the global electronics market. "Synopsys' new product introductions should improve its competitive position and address customer preferences for end-to-end design solutions."

A financial industry stock Alexander likes is the asset management firm Legg Mason Inc. (NYSE NYSE

See: New York Stock Exchange
: LM). He believes the company is set to yield significant returns. "Legg Mason's management has demonstrated a keen ability to buy or build valuable assets in the money management industry, and preserve performance by allowing its investment professionals to remain fairly autonomous," he says. "We expect the company to continue this growth path."

Celgene Corp. (NASDAQ: CELG), a company that develops and markets cancer treatments and drugs for inflammatory diseases, will benefit from the success of its cancer drug Revlimid.

"Revlimid is the main catalyst for Celgene's potential to grow revenues above $1 billion by 2008, from nearly $550 million in 2005," Alexander says.

Although oil prices eased at the end of 2005, Alexander likes Smith International Inc. (NYSE: SII SII Servicio de Impuestos Internos (Chile)
SII Seiko Instruments, Inc.
SII Strong Interest Inventory
SII Standards Institution of Israel
SII Securities and Investment Institute (UK) 
),which manufactures and distributes products and services to the oil and gas industry. "The company's largest division, M-ISWACO, is highly leveraged to deepwater drilling in the Gulf of Mexico Noun 1. Gulf of Mexico - an arm of the Atlantic to the south of the United States and to the east of Mexico
Golfo de Mexico

Atlantic, Atlantic Ocean - the 2nd largest ocean; separates North and South America on the west from Europe and Africa on the east
 and should benefit as activity levels resume in the region from depressed levels caused by last year's coastal storms."

Finally, Alexander is putting money in Tractor Supply Co. (NASDAQ: TSCO TSCO top secret control officer (US DoD)
TSCO target selection confusion of the operator (US DoD)
TSCO Trade Security Controls Office (Defense Logistics Agency)
TSCO Time Since Complete Overhaul
), a firm that operates specialty retail farm and ranch supply stores. Alexander expects the company's revenues to grow due to planned expansion.

"We expect square footage growth, primarily in the western half of the United States but also among its main cluster of stores in the North East and Midwest, to drive 20%-plus long-term earnings growth," says Alexander.
                                      12- to 18-        P/E on
Company                                  Month        Projected
(Exchange: Symbol)         Price *   Price Target   2006 Earnings

Synopsys Inc.               $20.53       $31.00          40.8
(NASDAQ: SNPS)

Legg Mason Inc.            $119.74      $144.00          28.0
(NYSE: LM)

Celgene Corp.               $58.74       $92.00          95.3
(NASDAQ: CELG)

Smith International Inc.    $37.47       $48.00          24.5
(NYSE: SII)

Tractor Supply Corp.        $54.70       $71.00          30.2
(NASDAQ: TSCO)

                           Est. 3-Yr.
Company                    Annual EPS
(Exchange: Symbol)         Growth Rate   Why Stock Will Outperform

Synopsys Inc.                  31%       Product demand is increasing
(NASDAQ: SNPS)                           due to advancements in
                                         technology.

Legg Mason Inc.                22%       Company will continue to buy
(NYSE: LM)                               or build valuable assets in
                                         the money management industry.

Celgene Corp.                  50%       Cancer drug Revlimid is the
(NASDAQ: CELG)                           main catalyst for company's
                                         potential revenue growth.

Smith International Inc.       18%       Deepwater oil drilling
(NYSE: SII)                              activities will resume
                                         post-hurricane season.

Tractor Supply Corp.           22%       The company's store expansion
(NASDAQ: TSCO)                           will drive earnings and sales.

* As of Dec. 21, 2005
COPYRIGHT 2006 Earl G. Graves Publishing Co., Inc.
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Article Details
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Author:Lewis, Nicole
Publication:Black Enterprise
Geographic Code:1USA
Date:Mar 1, 2006
Words:694
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