Rely on long-term trends: in uncertain times, Larry Folmar of Folmar Financial Group chooses consistency.Larry E. Folmar, president and chief executive officer of Southfield, Michigan-based Folmar Financial Group Inc., is cautioning his clients to expect the financial markets to be unstable for the next two or three years. Folmar, whose firm provides investment and money management services, says instability will be the rule because "America's economy is still making the transition into the technological age. Some companies have transformed their infrastructure with the latest technology, but others have a way to go." Additionally, he says, "The global marketplace is offering companies the chance to manufacture goods cheaper elsewhere, as well as the opportunity to buy goods and services In economics, economic output is divided into physical goods and intangible services. Consumption of goods and services is assumed to produce utility (unless the "good" is a "bad"). It is often used when referring to a Goods and Services Tax. at a reduced cost. So there is an economic readjustment re·ad·just tr.v. re·ad·just·ed, re·ad·just·ing, re·ad·justs To adjust or arrange again. re taking place." To counteract the economic uncertainties, Folmar, a registered representative of Mutual Service Corp., selects stocks that are leaders in their sectors--companies with favorable supply and demand indicators and a superior performance relative to others in their sector. And dividend-paying stocks get special attention. "My strategy is not to look at short-term indicators, but rather long-term trends," he says. "I don't get involved in trying to make a quick profit." One stock that Folmar says fits his criteria is Eaton Vance Eaton Vance is an American financial services company headquartered in Boston, MA. It is traded on the New York Stock Exchange under the symbol EV.[1] At the end of the second quarter of the 2006 fiscal year, the company had assets under management of $118.8 billion. Corp. (NYSE NYSE See: New York Stock Exchange : EV), a Boston-based financial services The examples and perspective in this article or section may not represent a worldwide view of the subject. Please [ improve this article] or discuss the issue on the talk page. company that provides investment management solutions to individuals and institutions. Folmar purchased the stock more than five years ago and says it held its own during the recession. Now he thinks that when the economy improves, the company will benefit from that upward trend. Another appealing aspect of the stock is that the company pays a dividend of almost 3%. Microsoft Corp. (NASDAQ NASDAQ in full National Association of Securities Dealers Automated Quotations U.S. market for over-the-counter securities. Established in 1971 by the National Association of Securities Dealers (NASD), NASDAQ is an automated quotation system that reports on : MSFT MSFT Microsoft (stock symbol) MSFT Movimento Sociale Fiamma Tricolore (Italy) MSFT Multi-Stage Fitness Test MSFT Master of Science in Family Therapy MSFT Macalester Students for Fair Trade ), the leading manufacturer and licensor of software products, is another company with attractive dividend yields. Last year, the company raised its dividend to 32 cents per share Cents per share The amount of a mutual fund's dividend or capital gains distributions that a shareholder will receive for each share owned. , but the move didn't improve the stock price. Folmar expects Microsoft's stock price to increase during the next year because the company is "constantly evolving. Not only as developers of software for computers but as developers of the Xbox video game console A specialized desktop computer used to play video games. The three most popular game consoles are Sony's PlayStation 3 (PS3), Nintendo's GameCube and Microsoft's Xbox. Game software is available on CDs or DVDs, although earlier game machines used cartridges containing read only memory ." Pfizer Inc. (NYSE: PFE 1. (text, editor) PFE - Programmer's File Editor. 2. (language) PFE - Portable Forth Environment. ), a pharmaceutical company that manufactures and retails prescription and over-the-counter medicines for people and pets, is expected to lose as much as $9 billion in revenues in the next four years as patents on some of its most lucrative drugs expire, including blood pressure medicine Norvase, allergy medicine Zyrtec, and antidepressant antidepressant, any of a wide range of drugs used to treat psychic depression. They are given to elevate mood, counter suicidal thoughts, and increase the effectiveness of psychotherapy. Zoloft. And news that potentially links Pfizer's arthritis drug, Celebrex, to heart attacks and strokes has hurt the company further. But Folmar believes in Pfizer because competing pharmaceutical companies are facing similar challenges. "Pfizer has adequate finances and competitive products. Last year, the company bought Esperion Therapeutics Inc., and I don't think we've really seen the positive manifestation of that acquisition yet." Folmar says Ford Motor Co. (NYSE: F) should profit from its introduction of the Ford Escape Hybrid The Ford Escape Hybrid, launched in 2004, is a gas-electric hybrid powered version of the Ford Escape SUV developed by the Ford Motor Company. Built in Kansas City, Missouri, it was the first hybrid SUV to hit the market. , an environmentally friendly Environmentally friendly, also referred to as nature friendly, is a term used to refer to goods and services considered to inflict minimal harm on the environment.[1] SUV that gets great gas mileage. He also points out that many of the automaker's models, which include Aston Martin, Land Rover, Lincoln, Mazda, Mercury, and Volvo, are selling well. And Folmar's final pick is Suncor Energy Inc. (NYSE: SU), a company that explores, produces, and markets crude oil and natural gas. The Alberta, Canada-based company offers a modest dividend, and "The company's stock has outperformed most of the market in the last year or so," says Folmar.
12- to P/E on Est. 5-Yr.
Company 18-Month Projected Annual EPS
(Exchange: Symbol) Price * Price Target 2005 Earnings Growth Rate
Eaton Vance Corp. $23.44 $33.00 22 6%
(NYSE: EV)
Microsoft Corp. $24.17 $43.00 26 6%
(NASDAQ: MSFT)
Pfizer Inc. $26.27 $45.00 17 6%
(NYSE: PFE)
Ford Motor Co. $11.33 $25.00 6.5 6%
(NYSE: F)
Suncor Energy Inc. $40.21 $46.00 21.9 6%
(NYSE: SU)
Company
(Exchange: Symbol) Why Stock Will Outperform
Eaton Vance Corp. The company has a dividend yield of almost 3% and
(NYSE: EV) should experience an increase in revenues as the
economy improves.
Microsoft Corp. The company will continue to benefit from being a
(NASDAQ: MSFT) leader in software development.
Pfizer Inc. Recent bad news has depressed the stock, but the
(NYSE: PFE) company will bounce back in the near future.
Ford Motor Co. The company should benefit from the sale of its
(NYSE: F) new hybrid SUV.
Suncor Energy Inc. As the demand for oil and natural gas increases,
(NYSE: SU) the company's earnings should increase.
* AS OF MARCH 31, 2005
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