Protect yourself.Dale Bryant offers defensive moves for shell-shocked investors Many investors remain shell-shocked after recent market tumbles and losses (realized or unrealized) to their portfolios. Now is the time for investors to add some stability or defensive stocks to their positions. "Consider these stocks like an NBA NBA abbr. 1. National Basketball Association 2. National Boxing Association NBA (US) n abbr (= National Basketball Association) → Basketball-Dachverband (= team. Although offense is entertaining, defense wins the game," explains Dale Bryant, founder and portfolio manager of The Bryant Group, a financial services firm in New York New York, state, United States New York, Middle Atlantic state of the United States. It is bordered by Vermont, Massachusetts, Connecticut, and the Atlantic Ocean (E), New Jersey and Pennsylvania (S), Lakes Erie and Ontario and the Canadian province of .
Dale Bryant's defensive choices
P/E on
Company Projected Est. 5-Yr.
Exchange: 2001 Annual EPS Why Stock Will
Symbol Price(*) Earnings Growth Outperform
Fannie Mae $79.50 16.4% 14.1% * House hunters are
NYSE: FNM still shopping and
prices keep going
up.
Devon Energy 61.00 8.6 12.5 * Proven reserves
AMEX: DVN have shown that
Devon gets gas out
of the ground, more
than their peers.
Astoria 57.53 12.1 12.0 * Less exposure to
Financial volatile markets.
Nasdaq: ASFC Branch consolidation
should help increase
earnings.
Johnson & 99.41 26.8 13.1 * With new drugs for
Johnson aging Americans,
NYSE: JNJ Johnson & Johnson
is poised for
growth.
Solectron 24.28 25.1 30.9 * Solectron should
NYSE: SLR benefit from
rebounding tech
sector and trend
toward global
outsourcing.
(*) As of 5/16/01
Source: Dale Bryant, The Bryant Group, Zacks investment
Research, Etrade 2001.
Bryant adds that investors shouldn't expect the average 20% returns that they have grown accustomed to over the last five years. While they are not sure bets, Bryant's picks are safe bets. Fannie Mae Fannie Mae: see Federal National Mortgage Association. (NYSE NYSE See: New York Stock Exchange : FNM FNM Faith No More (band) FNM Fábrica Nacional de Motores (Brazilian truck/motor company)) FNM Free National Movement (Bahamas) FNM Foot and Mouth ). "Fannie Mae knows how to make money," insists Bryant. Because of its perceived government backing, it can sell bonds at attractive and much lower rates. Fannie Mae earns "the spread" between the sale price of the issued bonds, say, 6.5%, and the rate of the mortgages they have purchased from banks, at around 8.5%. That's usually 2%. With a P/E P/E See: Price/earnings ratio of 16.4, which is lower than the market P/E of 24, and the ability to increase revenues coupled with reliable earnings growth, this is a solid buy, he explains. Devon Energy (AMEX AMEX See: American Stock Exchange : DVN DVN Digital Video Network (Internet2) DVN Digital Value Network DVN Diploma in Veterinary Nursing DVN Device Number ). The energy company generates revenue from oil and gas exploration. The entire industry has had tremendous growth in the last year and this is still one of few sectors that is improving earnings. Within the last four years of operations, Devon's earnings per share increased fivefold. With a P/E of 8.6 and solid growth prospects it's a "buy." Moreover, last March, the Oklahoma City-based company increased its ownership in the oil fields in the Caspian Sea by buying more of a stake in Ramco Energy. Devon executives say the area is expected to become a major oil producer and a significant part of the company's international production base. Astoria Financial Corp. (Nasdaq: ASFC ASFC Agence des Services Frontaliers du Canada (Border agency) ASFC Accrington Stanley Football Club ASFC Area-Scale Fractal Complexity (fractal geometry of engineering surfaces) ASFC Automated Shop Floor Control ). "If the rest of the year continues with snail-like growth, you'll want to look at companies that have less exposure to volatile markets," says Bryant. The Lake Success, New York-based bank is keeping things simple. Astoria Financial has been getting rid of unproductive branches, which Bryant expects will help increase profits. Johnson & Johnson (NYSE: JNJ JNJ Johnson and Johnson (stock symbol) JNJ Journal of Nursing Jocularity ). This New Brunswick, New Jersey-based pharmaceutical company has broken new ground in the market, with its Alzheimer's disease drugs, which should increase sales moderately this year. The pharmaceutical arm markets products to healthcare professionals and the public. That class of drugs should keep the company afloat until new drug sales make an impact. Consumer household staples like Band-Aids and Mylanta should continue to do well. Solectron Corp. (NYSE: SLR (1) (Scalable Linear Recording) A line of magnetic tape drives from Tandberg Data that evolved from the QIC Data Cartridge format. See QIC. (2) (Single Lens Reflex) A camera that uses the same lens for viewing and shooting. ). The Milpitas, California-based firm is an electronic contract manufacturer for original equipment manufacturers. Solectron's top 10 clients represent 70% of sales. Those clients include Cisco (Nasdaq: CSCO CSCO Cisco Systems Incorporated (stock symbol) CSCO Chief Supply Chain Officer ), Ericsson (Nasdaq: ERICY), and Compaq (NYSE: CPQ CPQ Compaq CPQ Conseil du Patronat du Québec (Canada) CPQ Configure-Price-Quote CPQ Conseil de Presse du Québec (Québec Press Council, Canada) CPQ Companion Parrot Quarterly ). A recent acquisition of Centennial Technologies should help to strengthen Solectron's Technology Solutions Business Unit. In the second half of this year, when tech firms are expected to rebound, SLB SLB Solomon Islands (ISO Country code) SLB Schlumberger Ltd. (oil field services firm) SLB Server Load Balancing SLB Sport Lisboa e Benfica (soccer) will reap the benefits with additional orders. SLR reached a 52-week high of $52, but recent price targets are a respectable $35. |
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