Open for business: Gerald Loftin says don't fret about market volatility, just start investing.Forget investing trends, and ignore the market's twists and turns. That might seem like surprising advice coming from a financial planner Financial Planner A qualified investment professional who assists individuals and corporations meet their long-term financial objectives by analyzing the client's status and setting a program to achieve these goals. , but Gerald Loftin stands behind it: "That's where you get into trouble, because what you find is that you're buying when you should he selling, and you're selling when you should be buying." Loftin runs his own financial advisory firm, Renaissance Financial Group in Norwood, Massachusetts Norwood is a town and census-designated place in Norfolk County, Massachusetts, USA. As of the 2000 census, the population was 28,587. The community was named after Norwood, England. , which has $42 million in assets under management Assets Under Management (AUM) is a term used by financial services companies in the mutual fund and money management or investment management business to gauge how much money they are managing. . Loftin, who is also a licensed insurance and securities consultant, shared his investment philosophy. Given the market's recent fluctuations, from the big dip in February to its recent record highs, should investors worry that a correction may be in store? I'm constantly teaching clients about the merits of why they want to take a long-term perspective. If it's a good company, it's going to be a good company whether the market's down or up. So, ignore the trends? I try to ignore a lot of trends because they come and go. Here's an example: Let's look at "a day in the life." Perhaps when you woke up this morning you put on shoes from DSW DSW - penis war . You might have called into work on your Verizon cell phone because you had to stop for gas at Exxon. Then you got to your desk and "Googled" something. If you're buying quality companies--regardless of whether the Dow Jones industrial average Dow Jones Industrial Average The best known U.S. index of stocks. A price-weighted average of 30 actively traded blue-chip stocks, primarily industrials including stocks that trade on the New York Stock Exchange. is up 100 points or it's down 1,000--the things that you're going to do in your day are going to he no different from the other millions of people who are doing the same thing. Clients who blew out of their portfolios when the Dow plunged are now sitting on the sidelines On the sidelines An investor who decides not to invest due to market uncertainty. on the sidelines Of or relating to investors who, having assessed the market, have decided to avoid committing their funds. wondering when is a good time to get back in. By the time they realize it's a good time, they're buying at a higher price. I tend to be very methodical when it comes to buying companies: looking at how long the company's been around, if it's a growing industry, assessing its cash flows and price-to-earnings ratio Noun 1. price-to-earnings ratio - (stock market) the price of a stock divided by its earnings P/E ratio securities market, stock exchange, stock market - an exchange where security trading is conducted by professional stockbrokers , and also determining whether the company has run into money problems or legal problems. With that said, I gather you would recommend DSW? Why wouldn't you like DSW Inc. (DSW)? It's one of those companies that if the economy's not doing well, then instead of going out to DSW and buying three pairs of shoes in one trip, someone may buy one pair. I've never shopped there, but I know a number of people who do, and why do they go there? Selection and price. There you go. DSW is up 60% since going public in 2005, and in its last fiscal year earnings per share rose 48%. Analysts are projecting that DSW will average earnings growth of 20% a year for the next five years. Is that realistic? The stock's done very well. The only concern with DSW, which operates in 36 states, and what may hurt their stock is if for some reason people stop flooding the stores. Their growth is limited to how much saturation they're going to get in the market (and hopefully they don't cannibalize can·ni·bal·ize v. can·ni·bal·ized, can·ni·bal·iz·ing, can·ni·bal·iz·es v.tr. 1. To remove serviceable parts from (damaged airplanes, for example) for use in the repair of other equipment of the same themselves). The stock is up 26% over the last year. It is truly what I consider a small-cap growth stock. When you look at risk-to-reward ratio, there's high reward potential, but on the other hand, there is some high risk. You're going to see stocks like that that have above-average price-to-earnings ratios relative to their industry peer group--specialty footwear retailers--including Bakers Footwear Group, Foot Locker Foot Locker, Inc. (NYSE: FL) is a major American sportswear and footwear retailer, with its headquarters in New York City, and operating in approximately 20 countries worldwide. It is the successor corporation to the F.W. Woolworth Company (“Woolworth’s”). , and Payless Shoesource Payless ShoeSource is a discount footwear retailer that was founded in 1956 in Topeka, Kansas. Shaol Pozez and his cousin Louis Pozez founded and operated Payless Shoes. In 1961, it became a public company as Volume Shoe Corporation. . DSW's P/E ratio P/E ratio Current stock price divided by trailing annual earnings per share or expected annual earnings per share. Assume XYZ Co. sells for $25.50 per share and has earned $2.55 per share this year; $25.50 = 10 times $2.55. XYZ stock sells for ten times earnings. is currently 26, where on the other hand Payless has a P/E ratio of 18. You also like Verizon, which recently hit a 52-week high. It's buying what you know. When I look at Verizon, they have by far one of the few premier takes on the telecommunications industry. Here in eastern Massachusetts, they're now doing Voice over Internet Protocol See Internet and TCP/IP. (networking) Internet Protocol - (IP) The network layer for the TCP/IP protocol suite widely used on Ethernet networks, defined in STD 5, RFC 791. IP is a connectionless, best-effort packet switching protocol. (VoIP) service. More of their business is concentrated in the Northeast and Southeast. It's a very large company. And it is considered more of a value-oriented stock and has fairly low volatility. At 4%, Verizon's dividend yield is pretty high. Is that a factor? I work with a lot of pre-retirees and retirees, and I'm a big believer that if you can't get capital appreciation from the stock price, the other way of getting capital appreciation would be from the dividend income. When you look at large-cap value stocks Value stocks Stocks with low price/book ratios or price/earnings ratios. Historically, value stocks have enjoyed higher average returns than growth stocks (stocks with high price/book or P/E ratios) in a variety of countries. , you're going to buy those companies for a combination of price stability and cash income. Sherwin-Williams is another of your picks. Won't it be impacted by a slowdown in the housing market? Will they be impacted by the fact that builders eventually will need less paint because the housing market's not moving? Keep in mind, builders aren't the only ones buying paint. Yes foreclosure rates are higher than they've been in the past, but my opinion is that foreclosures can be correlated to the fact that a lot of banks got greedy and lent money to borrowers who, given normal market conditions, they would have never given money to. If you look at the reality of it, we're talking about 10% of the housing market. So 90% of the people who are borrowing money are still paying their mortgages on time. Do you have a favorite market pundit An expert or knowledgeable person. From "pandit" in Hindi. See guru. ? I don't necessarily do things based upon what Warren Buffett Warren Buffett Known as "the Oracle of Omaha," Buffett is Chairman of Berkshire Hathaway and arguably the greatest investor of all time. His wealth fluctuates with the performance of the market, but for the last few years he has been reported to be worth over $30 billion, making says, but one of his quotes stayed with me. The question was, 'When is the best time to buy a stock?' and he said, "Whenever the market is open."
52-week price range 2007 2007
Company (Ticker) Price Low High Est. EPS P/E Ratio
DSW Inc. (DSW) $38.37 $27 $45 $1.41 27.2
Sherwin-Williams $65.99 $44 $71 $4.58 14.4
Co. (SHW)
Verizon $41.16 $30 $41 $2.36 17.4
Communications
Inc. (VZ)
Company (Ticker) Comment
DSW Inc. (DSW) With shoe sales of more than $1 billion last year,
profits rose 48%.
Sherwin-Williams Shares of tire paint maker should withstand any
Co. (SHW) subprime lending woes.
Verizon Dominant telecom player with attractive dividend.
Communications
Inc. (VZ)
DATA AS OF 5/9/07 SOURCE: YAHOO! FINANCE
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