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Now Isn't The Time to Shun All International Stocks.


AMERICA is experiencing a wave of patriotic fervor in response to terrorist attacks. But if your portfolio is too All-American, I would advise making some changes.

In normal times, I try to devote at least 10 percent of my own portfolio, and clients' portfolios, to non-U.S. stocks. In fact, I usually prefer 15 percent or more.

These are not normal times. But I don't see any reason to discard the guideline. The U.S. faces a threat of recession and a threat from terrorism, with the latter exacerbating the former. So I think it's prudent to diversify internationally.

For the coming 12 months, I will offer six recommendations. All six trade in the U.S., either as direct listings or as American depositary receipts American Depositary Receipt (ADR)

Certificates issued by a US depository bank, representing foreign shares held by the bank, usually by a branch or correspondent in the country of issue.
 (ADRs).

Let us start with a pair of Canadian energy stocks, Talisman Energy Talisman Energy TSX: TLM is one of Canada's largest petroleum companies. It was originally part of British Petroleum, known as BP Canada, but in 1992 it became an independent company named Talisman Energy.  Inc. and PanCanadian Petroleum Ltd. I own both for clients. Both produce natural gas as well as oil.

Talisman talisman: see amulet.

talisman

amulet with which Saladin cures Richard the Lion-Hearted. [Br. Lit.: The Talisman]

See : Charms
 gets about 40 percent of its revenue from drilling in the North Sea, another 40 percent from drilling in Canada, and the rest from drilling in Indonesia and Sudan. The company used to be affiliated with British Petroleum, and was known as BP Canada Inc. until 1993.

Last year, Talisman earned a return of greater than 27 percent on stockholders' equity Stockholders' Equity

The portion of the balance sheet that includes capital received from investors in exchange for stock (paid-in capital), donated capital, and retained earnings. This is equal to total assets minus liabilities, preferred stock and intangible assets.
. Yet the stock sells for less than 8 times earnings, a genuine bargain in my book.

PanCanadian Petroleum, by contrast, drills in Canada and the U.S. in roughly equal amounts. At 6 times the past four quarters' earnings, it is even cheaper than Talisman. Yet it earned a 30 percent return on stockholders' equity last year.

Of course, natural gas prices have come down a long way from their peak this year, causing investor euphoria over energy stocks to deflate (file format, compression) deflate - A compression standard derived from LZ77; it is reportedly used in zip, gzip, PKZIP, and png, among others.

Unlike LZW, deflate compression does not use patented compression algorithms.
 like a punctured balloon. Yet the current prices aren't bad.

Analysts expect PanCanadian to show a 34 percent increase in earnings this year, on top of a 196 percent increase last year and a 133 percent increase the year before. If that constitutes "slowing earnings," I will take that kind of slowing earnings any time.

Hardware large and small

Denison International Plc, a maker of such down-to-earth gear as hydraulic pumps, motors, manifold and valves. Denison has its headquarters in London. It gets a little more than half its sales in Europe, about a third in North America North America, third largest continent (1990 est. pop. 365,000,000), c.9,400,000 sq mi (24,346,000 sq km), the northern of the two continents of the Western Hemisphere.  and the remainder in Asia and the Pacific region.

Denison's balance sheet is quite clean, with debt only about 8 percent of stockholders' equity. It earned a 16 percent return on equity. last year, and the stock sells for about 11 times earnings and just under 1.0 times revenue.

On the other side of the world, in Hong Kong Hong Kong (hŏng kŏng), Mandarin Xianggang, special administrative region of China, formerly a British crown colony (2005 est. pop. 6,899,000), land area 422 sq mi (1,092 sq km), adjacent to Guangdong prov. , I recommend Nam Tai Electronics Inc. The company makes a variety of communications and electronics products, such as palm-sized personal computers, personal digital assistants, calculators, card readers, display modules for cellular phones and battery packs.

Nam Tai has no debt whatsoever, as of June. It has earned a profit in each of the past nine years.

The ADRs for Narn Tai hit a high of $27 in 1997 but by mid-1998 had fallen to $12.50 and, trade around the same level today. At that price, the shares are priced well under book value (corporate net worth per share, which is $15.46). They sell for 13 times earnings and provide a dividend yield of more than 3 percent, which is good in this market.

From Stockholm, Sweden, comes Autoliv Inc., the world's largest maker of air bags, seat belts and other car-safety equipment. It acquired the air bag unit of Morton International Inc. in the U.S. in 1997, and acquired OEA OEA Organizacion de Estados Americanos (OAS in English)
OEA Organização dos Estados Americanos (Portuguese: Organization of American States)
OEA Office of The Employment Advocate
 Inc. (then one of my favorite My Favorite is an independent synthpop band from Long Island, New York. They released two CDs: Love at Absolute Zero and Happiest Days of Our Lives. My Favorite broke up on September 14, 2005, when singer Andrea Vaughn left the band.  stocks) in 2000.

Autoliv earned $1.95 a share in 1999, but last year declined to $1.67. This year it is expected to show a further decline to $1.10.

Cheap stock

That's why the stock is as cheap as it is, having tumbled from $42.50 some four years ago to $15.59 now. I believe the current price is a bargain. It is 15 times earnings, 0.9 times book value and 0.4 times revenue.

Sixth and finally, I recommend my old favorite Banco Latinoamericano de Exportaciones SA, more familiarly known as Bladex. This stock is a major holding for me personally and for virtually all of my clients.

The bank was originally set up by the central banks This is a list of central banks.

Contents A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P Q R S T U V W Y Z
 of Latin America Latin America, the Spanish-speaking, Portuguese-speaking, and French-speaking countries (except Canada) of North America, South America, Central America, and the West Indies.  to facilitate trade. Its specialty is financing imports and exports throughout that region and is headquartered in Panama City Panama City, city (1990 pop. 34,378), seat of Bay co., NW Fla., on St. Andrews Bay; inc. 1909. A Gulf Coast resort with amusement parks and excellent fishing, it is also a port of entry. The city's industries produce paper, clothing, and chemicals. , Panama, but the stock trades directly on the New York Stock Exchange New York Stock Exchange (NYSE)

World's largest marketplace for securities. The exchange began as an informal meeting of 24 men in 1792 on what is now Wall Street in New York City.
.

Last year Banco Latinoamericano earned $4.80 a share, 12 cents shy of the previous year's record earnings. This year analysts expect a record $5.33.

John Dorfman is a columnist with Bloomberg News.

Stocks at New Lows Offer Opportunity

If you are trying to buy low and sell high, one sensible place to look for buy candidates is the new-lows list. Here are six stocks I consider buys that have recently hit 52-week lows:

* Corning Inc., the largest maker of fiber optic cable Noun 1. fiber optic cable - a cable made of optical fibers that can transmit large amounts of information at the speed of light
fibre optic cable

transmission line, cable, line - a conductor for transmitting electrical or optical signals or electric power
, which hit a high of $113.33 a share 13 months ago and hit its 52-week low of $6.92 in the last couple of weeks. I haven't bought it yet though I think the time is getting very ripe, and, that this stock should be plucked either this month or next.

* Timberland Co. The boot maker hit a 52-week low of $25.65 on Sept. 27 and is now trading around $29.00 - a far cry from the high of $74.25 that it hit in January.

Analysts think Timberland can achieve 16 percent earnings growth over the coming five years. But the stock is priced at only. 10 times earnings and the company has almost no debt.

* Talbots Inc. sells stylish but conservative clothes for women and children. Analysts expect it to show better than 16. percent annual growth for the next five years, and it has achieved 13 percent growth for the past. five. The stock hit a 52-week low the same day Timberland did. It has bounced from $22.02 to $25.59 but that is still less than half of the Feb. 8 high, which was $54.99.

* Stillwater Mining is the largest U.S. producer of platinum and palladium. It hit a 52-week low of $19.51 on Oct. 2 and has recovered to $21.36, which is roughly half of the January high.

* Adolph Coors Adolph Herman Joseph Coors, Sr. (February 4, 1847 – June 5, 1929) was a brewer who started the Adolph Coors Company in Golden, Colorado in 1873. Early years  Co. The brewery has made a profit each year since 1993 but this year profits are expected to fall about 6 percent after rising 18 percent to 45 percent in, the four previous years. Its stock fell from more than $82 a share last December to a low of $42.65 on Sept. 24. companies.

* Seacor Smit Inc., which provides offshore marine services for oil and gas rigs, and also has a quick response team for cleaning up oil spils. Things are slow now in the Gulf of Mexico Noun 1. Gulf of Mexico - an arm of the Atlantic to the south of the United States and to the east of Mexico
Golfo de Mexico

Atlantic, Atlantic Ocean - the 2nd largest ocean; separates North and South America on the west from Europe and Africa on the east
, so these are bad times for oil service companies.
COPYRIGHT 2001 CBJ, L.P.
No portion of this article can be reproduced without the express written permission from the copyright holder.
Copyright 2001, Gale Group. All rights reserved. Gale Group is a Thomson Corporation Company.

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Title Annotation:investment advice
Author:DORFMAN, JOHN
Publication:Los Angeles Business Journal
Article Type:Column
Geographic Code:1USA
Date:Oct 22, 2001
Words:1197
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