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My two cents.


Finding growth in a mature business--such as broadcast television--is like Finding Nemo. At the end of the Walt Disney Noun 1. Walt Disney - United States film maker who pioneered animated cartoons and created such characters as Mickey Mouse and Donald Duck; founded Disneyland (1901-1966)
Disney, Walter Elias Disney
 movie the lead character finds its little fish, but not without a dangerous struggle. Similarly, in the television broadcast sector the leaders will ultimately find some growth. The difference in this case, however, is that, even once growth has been found, it comes at a great cost, since:

* It will accelerate the demise of the current business model by creating more fragmentation.

* It will sacrifice profitability.

* It will reduce effectiveness through downsizing (1) Converting mainframe and mini-based systems to client/server LANs.

(2) To reduce equipment and associated costs by switching to a less-expensive system.

(jargon) downsizing
.

For this reason, the current mindset mind·set or mind-set
n.
1. A fixed mental attitude or disposition that predetermines a person's responses to and interpretations of situations.

2. An inclination or a habit.
 is that growth is impossible in a mature market.

According to according to
prep.
1. As stated or indicated by; on the authority of: according to historians.

2. In keeping with: according to instructions.

3.
 Veronis Suhler Stevenson's "2005-2009 Industry Forecast & Report," of all the TV outlets (broadcast, cable, satellite, DSL DSL
 in full Digital Subscriber Line

Broadband digital communications connection that operates over standard copper telephone wires. It requires a DSL modem, which splits transmissions into two frequency bands: the lower frequencies for voice (ordinary
, home video, mobile), the least amount of growth is expected from broadcast television--with a compounded annual growth of only 4.3 percent.

Such a gloomy prediction is hard to digest, especially for broadcasting executives who are constantly arguing with financial analysts on this subject. The former predict growth at every corner, and the latter focus on how much the industry must lose in order to gain a little.

Up until recently, growth was achieved by acquiring or cutting: two things that are no longer possible, despite the fact that on the open market there are trillions and trillions of dollars--funds coming from private equity, hedge funds and venture capital-waiting to be invested with nowhere to go. Recently, because of this shortage of opportunities, some venture capitalists started to give back some of the money in their funds to investors. Some conglomerates are trying to spur growth by splitting and spinning divisions, but final results are still up in the air.

Naturally, some experts have described growth as a false god. The Oakland, CA-based non-profit organization A non-profit organization (abbreviated "NPO", also "non-profit" or "not-for-profit") is a legally constituted organization whose primary objective is to support or to actively engage in activities of public or private interest without any commercial or monetary profit purposes.  Redefining Progress has even proposed tossing out growth as the first economic yardstick and substituting a "Genuine Progress Indicator The Genuine Progress Indicator (GPI) is a concept in green economics and welfare economics that has been suggested as a replacement metric for gross domestic product (GDP) as a metric of economic growth. ."

Thomas Naylor, a professor of Economics at Duke University, has written: "If economic growth were no-longer the goal, there would be less anxiety."

Logically, this kind of talk brings us to the political side of such a mundane thing as "financial growth." Indeed, for some pundits, liberalization lib·er·al·ize  
v. lib·er·al·ized, lib·er·al·iz·ing, lib·er·al·iz·es

v.tr.
To make liberal or more liberal: "Our standards of private conduct have been greatly liberalized . . .
 in a nation works better where there is growth, while growth works where there is liberalization.

Benjamin Friedman Benjamin Friedman could refer to:
  • Benny Friedman, a former American Football quarterback
  • Benjamin M. Friedman, a U.S. political economist
, a professor of Economics at Harvard University Harvard University, mainly at Cambridge, Mass., including Harvard College, the oldest American college. Harvard College


Harvard College, originally for men, was founded in 1636 with a grant from the General Court of the Massachusetts Bay Colony.
, writing in "The Moral Consequences of Economic Growth" (570 pp. Alfred A. Knopf), took this concept up an extra notch by arguing that economic growth is essential to ... Democracy. And, for good measure, he added a psychological twist by noting that growth causes people to be optimistic about the future, which, in turn, improves human happiness.

In conclusion, I'd only point out that, reasonably, a company needs growth and profitability: profitability allows investments, which create growth. But, my argument would be about the "rate" of growth.

Who says profitability, happiness and libertarian values couldn't be achieved in a harmonious way? Why would a 4.3 percent annual growth with a decent level of profitability, little debt and more stability be less desirable than an 18 percent growth with an enormous debt load and daring financial moves?

Is it better for a company to play the stock growth game in order to borrow more money to spur growth, or to reward investors with dividends?

Isn't it time for economists to rethink the whole corporate philosophy of growth from the point of view of market equilibrium rather than from the current market's unbalances and uncertainties?
COPYRIGHT 2006 TV Trade Media, Inc.
No portion of this article can be reproduced without the express written permission from the copyright holder.
Copyright 2006, Gale Group. All rights reserved. Gale Group is a Thomson Corporation Company.

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Author:Serafini, Dom
Publication:Video Age International
Date:Jan 1, 2006
Words:583
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