Merck Remains Confident in Future Growth as it Executes on New Strategy.* Merck's Pipeline Shows Significant Progress with Three New Drug Applications (NDA (Non Disclosure Agreement) An agreement signed between two parties that have to disclose confidential information to each other in order to do business. In general, the NDA states why the information is being divulged and stipulates that it cannot be used for any ) Expected to be Filed with the U. S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA FDA abbr. Food and Drug Administration FDA, n.pr See Food and Drug Administration. FDA, n.pr the abbreviation for the Food and Drug Administration. ) in 2007; Four Additional Products in or on Track for Phase III Noun 1. phase III - a large clinical trial of a treatment or drug that in phase I and phase II has been shown to be efficacious with tolerable side effects; after successful conclusion of these clinical trials it will receive formal approval from the FDA Studies by Mid-2007 * Successful Early Launches of GARDASIL, JANUVIA and Three Other New Medicines and Vaccines Incorporate Aspects of New Commercial Model * Strong Cash Flow Supports Current Dividend and Opportunity for Share Repurchases, Contributing to Total Shareholder Returns * Company Remains on Track to Deliver Long-Term, Double-Digit Compound Annual EPS (Encapsulated PostScript) A PostScript file format used to transfer a graphic image between applications and platforms. EPS files contain PostScript code as well as an optional preview image in TIFF, WMF, PICT or EPSI, the latter being an ASCII-only format. Growth from 2005 to 2010, Excluding One-Time Items and Restructuring Charges WHITEHOUSE STATION, N.J. -- Merck & Co., Inc. continues to execute on its strategy to reclaim its leadership position in the pharmaceutical industry, Merck Chief Executive Officer and President Richard T. Clark will tell investors and analysts today at the Merck Annual Business Briefing. "We've successfully launched five novel medicines and vaccines; advanced promising products through every phase of our pipeline; and driven the continued success of our in-line products. We've accomplished this even as we're executing on a new strategy, reinvesting to support our success and making our cost structure lean and flexible," Mr. Clark said. Mr. Clark and Merck's senior management team have led a Company-wide effort to change every aspect of Merck's business. Under the new operating model Operating Model is a term that is used in many contexts. In essence an operating model describes how an organization operates across both business and technology domains. The Operating Model describes what is important for the organization. , customer focus drives the drug discovery, development, and marketing process. "During 2006, we have gathered the momentum we need to continue towards the performance goals we established last year: delivering double-digit compound annual earnings per share growth, excluding charges and one-time items, by 2010 from our 2005 base," said Mr. Clark. "Of course, even as we change our business model, one thing remains the same. We are still a company whose mission is to discover and develop novel medicines and vaccines that address unmet medical needs and to get those products to the people who need them." After a Strong 2006, Merck's Pipeline Continues to Show Significant Progress Building on the five FDA approvals Merck received in 2006, the Company anticipates three NDA filings in 2007 including MK-0518, a first-in-class HIV HIV (Human Immunodeficiency Virus), either of two closely related retroviruses that invade T-helper lymphocytes and are responsible for AIDS. There are two types of HIV: HIV-1 and HIV-2. HIV-1 is responsible for the vast majority of AIDS in the United States. integrase inhibitor Integrase inhibitors are a class of antiretroviral drug developed for the treatment of HIV infection, although they are not necessarily limited to HIV treatment. They block the action of integrase, an enzyme that integrates genetic material from the virus into its target cell. ; Gaboxadol, a novel compound from Merck's alliance with H. Lundbeck A/S for the treatment of insomnia; and MK-0524A, an extended-release niacin niacin: see coenzyme; vitamin. niacin or nicotinic acid or vitamin B3 Water-soluble vitamin of the vitamin B complex, essential to growth and health in animals, including humans. combined with a novel flushing pathway inhibitor. These filings are in addition to the three products currently under FDA review--JANUMET (previously referred to as MK-0431A) for the treatment of type 2 diabetes type 2 diabetes n. See diabetes mellitus. ; EMEND e·mend tr.v. e·mend·ed, e·mend·ing, e·mends To improve by critical editing: emend a faulty text. IV (MK-0517), an intravenous therapy Intravenous therapy or IV therapy is the giving of liquid substances directly into a vein. It can be intermittent or continuous; continuous administration is called an intravenous drip. for chemotherapy-induced nausea and vomiting Nausea and Vomiting Definition Nausea is the sensation of being about to vomit. Vomiting, or emesis, is the expelling of undigested food through the mouth. ; and ARCOXIA, Merck's selective Cox-2 inhibitor cox-2 inhibitor: see nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drug. for osteoarthritis osteoarthritis or osteoarthrosis or degenerative joint disease Most common joint disorder, afflicting over 80% of those who reach age 70. It does not involve excessive inflammation and may have no symptoms, especially at first. . Regarding ARCOXIA, Merck has been advised that the FDA will hold an Advisory Committee meeting, but no timing has been disclosed. "Our focus on targeted therapeutic areas has helped us advance promising products through every phase of development in our pipeline. In addition to the three anticipated FDA filings in 2007, Merck also has, or expects to have by mid-year 2007, four products in Phase III development," according to according to prep. 1. As stated or indicated by; on the authority of: according to historians. 2. In keeping with: according to instructions. 3. Peter S. Kim, Ph.D., president of Merck Research Laboratories. These four products are: * MK-0524B, which combines the novel approach to raising HDL-C HDL-C high-density-lipoprotein cholesterol. and lowering triglycerides Triglycerides Fatty compounds synthesized from carbohydrates during the process of digestion and stored in the body's adipose (fat) tissues. High levels of triglycerides in the blood are associated with insulin resistance. from MK-524A with the proven benefits of simvastatin simvastatin /sim·va·stat·in/ (sim´vah-stat?in) an antihyperlipidemic agent that acts by inhibiting cholesterol synthesis, used in the treatment of hypercholesterolemia and other forms of dyslipidemia and to lower the risks associated , could potentially reduce coronary heart disease coronary heart disease: see coronary artery disease. coronary heart disease or ischemic heart disease Progressive reduction of blood supply to the heart muscle due to narrowing or blocking of a coronary artery (see atherosclerosis). risk beyond what statins Statins A class of drugs commonly used to lower LDL cholesterol levels. Mentioned in: C-Reactive Protein provide alone. The compound is already in Phase III development and Merck now anticipates filing an NDA with the FDA for MK-0524B in 2008. * MK-0364 is a highly selective cannabinoid-1 (CB-1) receptor inverse agonist In pharmacology, an inverse agonist is an agent which binds to the same receptor binding-site as an agonist for that receptor but exerts the opposite pharmacological effect. Inverse agonists are effective against certain types of receptors (e.g. that has shown to be efficacious in weight loss versus placebo in early clinical studies. The Company previously announced the initiation of a targeted Phase III program in 2006. Merck anticipates filing an NDA with the FDA in 2008. * MK-0974 utilizes a new mechanism for the treatment of migraines that has shown to have efficacy comparable or superior to triptans in early clinical studies. The Company plans to initiate its Phase III program with MK-0974 during the first quarter of 2007 and anticipates filing an NDA with the FDA in 2009. * MK-0822 is an inhibitor of Cathepsin K Cathepsin K, which is defined by its high specificity for kinins, is involved in bone resorption. Cathepsin K's ability to catabolize elastin, collagen, and gelatin allow it to break down bone and cartilage. , which treats osteoporosis through decreased bone resorption Bone resorption is the process by which osteoclasts break down bone and release the minerals, resulting in a transfer of calcium from bone fluid to the blood. The osteoclasts are multi-nucleated cells that contain numerous mitochondria and lysosomes. . The Phase III program is anticipated to begin in mid-2007. Merck anticipates filing an NDA with the FDA in 2011. Dr. Kim is also expected to highlight two additional compounds in Phase II development: * MK-0859, an inhibitor of the Cholesterol Ester Transfer Protein (CETP CETP Cholesteryl Ester Transfer Protein CETP Certified Employee Training Program CETP Common Effluent Treatment Plant CETP China Energy Technology Program CETP Centre de Recherches en Physique de l'Environment Terrestre et Planetaire (French) ) that in early clinical trials has shown promise in lipid management by raising HDL-C and reducing LDL-C LDL-C low-density-lipoprotein cholesterol . * MK-0457, a novel inhibitor of Aurora kinase Aurora kinases are serine/threonine kinases that are essential for cell proliferation. The enzyme helps the dividing cell share its genetic materials with its daughter cells. . Initial studies indicate that inhibiting Aurora kinase may be a potent inducer inducer /in·duc·er/ (in-dldbomacs´er) a molecule that causes a cell or organism to accelerate synthesis of an enzyme or sequence of enzymes in response to a developmental signal. in·duc·er n. of apoptosis apoptosis or programmed cell death Mechanism that allows cells to self-destruct when stimulated by the appropriate trigger. It may be initiated when a cell is no longer needed, when a cell becomes a threat to the organism's health, or for other reasons. , or programmed cell death pro·grammed cell death n. See apoptosis. programmed cell death proposed system of cell death, often including poly(ADP)-ribosylation, ensures that a cell will not survive if it is so badly damaged that its recovery would harm the , in a wide range of tumors. As of Dec. 12, 2006, Merck's pipeline includes 28 distinct therapeutic programs in Phase I and 21 in Phase II. In addition, there are five programs currently in Phase III and three submissions currently under FDA review. In the pipeline review, Merck does not include back-up compounds; additional indications for a compound in the same therapeutic area; or additional claims, line extensions or formulations for existing products. According to Dr. Kim, "Merck has already delivered an almost four-fold increase in research productivity in its early-stage pipeline since 2002. This is resulting in a progression of candidates into our later stages of development and a sustainable increase in our productivity without compromising Merck's high standards." Over the 24-month period from 2005 to 2007, Merck had originally committed to a nine-month reduction in late-stage cycle time with a seven-month reduction by the end of 2006. Dr. Kim will announce during his presentation that Merck exceeded the 2006 goal by three months and now expects to achieve more than a one-year cycle time reduction by the end of 2007. Highlighting Merck's recent progress in incorporating scientific breakthroughs and new technologies into the drug discovery process, Dr. Kim will state that Merck is integrating advances in genomic research and using automated, genome scale, high-throughput RNAi screening for drug target discovery. These advances are improving Merck's ability to identify potential novel drug targets in targeted therapeutic areas. Merck's 2006 acquisitions of GlycoFi, Abmaxis and the potential acquisition of Sirna Therapeutics Sirna Therapeutics Inc. (NYSE: RNAI), Sirna develops therapeutics based on RNA interference (RNAi) technology, a new and extremely potent method of using nucleic acids as drugs. complement the Company's existing internal capabilities in genomics. "We are delivering on our strategy of targeted acquisitions and alliances by signing 35 key agreements, as well as many other collaborations in 2006," said Dr. Kim. "This, coupled with our strong internal research capabilities, will continue to help us build a pipeline that will support Merck's long-term growth." Leading the Way to a New Commercial Model Peter Loescher, president, Global Human Health, will report Merck's progress on the development of the Company's new commercial model. Merck is broadening its engagement with customers and scientific leaders, leveraging alternative channels to complement the effectiveness of its sales force, and driving growth in key markets, according to Mr. Loescher. Merck's new commercial model is expected to lower spending per primary care brand by 15% to 20% in the United States United States, officially United States of America, republic (2005 est. pop. 295,734,000), 3,539,227 sq mi (9,166,598 sq km), North America. The United States is the world's third largest country in population and the fourth largest country in area. by 2010 while still appropriately supporting the anticipated launches of a number of new products. Mr. Loescher will provide an interim target to lower the spending per primary care brand by 9% in the United States by 2007 as compared to the 2005 base. In 2005 and into 2006, Merck reduced the number of sales representatives promoting the same primary care brand by up to 50%, thus decreasing the number of representatives among the major in-line pharmaceutical brands by 1,500. This allowed Merck to redeploy re·de·ploy tr.v. re·de·ployed, re·de·ploy·ing, re·de·ploys 1. To move (military forces) from one combat zone to another. 2. the representatives to support its 2006 launches including GARDASIL, ROTATEQ and JANUVIA, while keeping the total number of representatives flat. "We are continuing to shift resources from traditional sales and marketing approaches to new channels and innovative approaches such as new e-detailing and video detailing programs to increase the productivity of our promotion and engage the physician in ways they find most useful," Mr. Loescher said. Merck Reaffirms Intention to Deliver on Projected Financial Targets by 2010 Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer Judy C. Lewent will say Merck's current and anticipated business performance, together with Merck's ongoing inventory and capital management programs that contribute to ensuring strong cash flow, supports the Company's commitment to maintaining its dividend at current levels and is also expected to provide opportunities for share repurchases. Ms. Lewent will reaffirm the Company's full-year 2006 earnings per share (EPS) guidance of $2.48 to $2.52, excluding the restructuring charges related to site closures and position eliminations. Merck anticipates reported full-year 2006 EPS of $2.18 to $2.25. This 2006 guidance does not reflect the establishment of any reserves for any potential liability relating to relating to relate prep → concernant relating to relate prep → bezüglich +gen, mit Bezug auf +acc the VIOXX litigation An action brought in court to enforce a particular right. The act or process of bringing a lawsuit in and of itself; a judicial contest; any dispute. When a person begins a civil lawsuit, the person enters into a process called litigation. and does not include the impact of any potential acquired research expense relating to the anticipated Sirna Therapeutics acquisition. Details on both the 2006 and 2007 guidance can be found on pages 8-9 and 10-11 of this press release. "Merck's new and in-line pharmaceutical products and vaccines are expected to drive revenue at a compound annual growth rate of 4% to 6% from 2005 to 2010, including 50% of the revenues from the joint ventures from which Merck derives equity income," Ms. Lewent said, reaffirming the Company's longer-term financial prospects. We also expect that we can fully support our expanding pipeline with mid single-digit compound annual growth in research funding Research funding is a term generally covering any funding for scientific research, in the areas of both "hard" science and technology and social science. The term often connotes funding obtained through a competitive process, in which potential research projects are evaluated and over the same period. By sustaining our cost management initiatives, Merck expects to fully capitalize on Cap´i`tal`ize on` v. t. 1. To turn (an opportunity) to one's advantage; to take advantage of (a situation); to profit from; as, to capitalize on an opponent's mistakes s>. the promise of our expanding product portfolio while maintaining marketing and administrative expense flat in 2010 relative to the 2006 base. "We expect bottom-line earnings growth to begin in 2007, excluding restructuring charges and the impact of any potential acquired research expense relating to the anticipated Sirna Therapeutics acquisition," Ms. Lewent continued. "As earnings growth strengthens by the end of the period, on a compound annual basis, earnings-per-share growth is expected to reach double digits Double Digits was a pricing game on the American television game show, The Price Is Right. Played from April 20, 1973 through May 18, 1973's show, it was played for a car and used small prizes. , excluding restructuring costs, net tax charges, any one-time gains associated with the AstraZeneca partnership and the establishment of any reserves for any potential liability relating to the VIOXX litigation." Ms. Lewent will review other elements of the Company's long-term guidance during her presentation. Merck continues to expect the initial phase of the cost reduction program, announced in 2005, to yield cumulative pretax savings of $4.5 billion to $5.0 billion from 2006 through 2010. As previously stated, a significant portion of the total restructuring savings through 2010, or approximately $2 billion, is expected to result from the implementation of the Company's new manufacturing supply strategy that was announced in November 2005. The Company continues to expect that these savings in manufacturing should enable Merck's gross margin after 2008 to return to levels consistent with those seen in the period prior to the loss of U.S. market exclusivity for ZOCOR. As part of the Company's global restructuring program announced in November 2005, Merck remains on track to eliminate 7,000 positions by the end of 2008. Since the inception of the program through September 30, approximately 3,900 positions have been eliminated. The Company expects the pretax costs of the restructuring to be $900 million to $1 billion in 2006 and $300 million to $500 million in 2007. Through the end of 2008, when the initial phase of the restructuring program is substantially complete, the cumulative pretax costs of the restructuring activities announced in November 2005 are expected to range from $1.9 billion to $2.2 billion. Approximately 70% of the cumulative pretax costs are non-cash, relating primarily to accelerated depreciation Accelerated Depreciation Any method of depreciation used for accounting or income tax purposes that allows greater deductions in the earlier years of the life of an asset. Notes: The straight-line depreciation method spreads the cost evenly over the life of an asset. for those facilities scheduled for closure. Merck anticipates capital expenditures of approximately $1.1 billion in 2006, a $200 million reduction from the $1.3 billion previously disclosed. Capital expenditures for 2007 are estimated to be $1.2 billion. As Merck continues its initiatives in managing capital, the total reduction over the 2005 to 2008 period is expected to be $1.4 billion versus the Company's expectations for long-range capital spending capital spending Spending for long-term assets such as factories, equipment, machinery, and buildings that permits the production of more goods and services in future years. at the end of 2004. Merck has already achieved $1 billion in aggregate procurement savings across the Company and remains on track to generate $1.2 billion in procurement savings by 2008. VIOXX Update As previously disclosed, individual and putative class actions have been filed against the Company in state and federal courts alleging personal injury and/or economic loss with respect to the purchase or use of VIOXX. A number of these actions are coordinated in a separate proceeding in a multidistrict litigation A procedure provided by federal statute (28 U.S.C.A. § 1407) that permits civil lawsuits with at least one common (and often intricate) Question of Fact that have been pending in different federal district courts to be transferred and consolidated for pretrial proceedings in the U.S. District Court for the Eastern District of Louisiana The District of Louisiana or Louisiana District was an official United States government designation for the portion of the Louisiana Purchase that had not been organized into Orleans Territory. The area north of present-day Arkansas was also known as Upper Louisiana. (the "MDL MDL - (Originally "Muddle"). C. Reeve, Carl Hewitt and Gerald Sussman, Dynamic Modeling Group, MIT ca. 1971. Intended as a successor to Lisp, and a possible base for Planner-70. Basically LISP 1.5 with data types and arrays. "), and in separate coordinated proceedings in state courts in the states of New Jersey, California and Texas; and in the counties of Philadelphia, Pennsylvania and Clark County, Nevada Clark County is a county located in the U.S. state of Nevada. It is the most populous county in Nevada (2006 population estimate 1,912,654), and contains the city of Las Vegas. . As of November 30, the Company had been served or was aware that it had been named as a defendant in approximately 27,200 lawsuits, which include approximately 45,900 plaintiff groups alleging personal injuries resulting from the use of VIOXX, and in approximately 265 putative class actions alleging personal injuries and/or economic loss (all of the actions discussed in this paragraph are collectively referred to as the "VIOXX Product Liability Lawsuits"). Of these lawsuits, approximately 8,250 lawsuits representing approximately 23,600 plaintiff groups are or are slated to be in the federal MDL and approximately 16,600 lawsuits representing approximately 16,600 plaintiff groups are included in a coordinated proceeding in New Jersey Superior Court. In addition, as of Nov. 30, approximately 14,100 claimants had entered into Tolling Agreements with the Company, which halt the running of applicable statutes of limitations for those claimants who seek to toll claims alleging injuries resulting from a thrombotic cardiovascular event that results in a myocardial infarction myocardial infarction: see under infarction. or ischemic stroke Noun 1. ischemic stroke - the most common kind of stroke; caused by an interruption in the flow of blood to the brain (as from a clot blocking a blood vessel) ischaemic stroke . In addition to the VIOXX Product Liability Lawsuits discussed above, the claims of over 3,000 plaintiff groups have been dismissed as of Sept. 30. Of these, there have been over 1,100 plaintiff groups whose claims were dismissed with prejudice (i.e. they can not be brought again) either by plaintiffs themselves or by the courts. Over 2,000 additional plaintiff groups have had their claims dismissed without prejudice Without any loss or waiver of rights or privileges. When a lawsuit is dismissed, the court may enter a judgment against the plaintiff with or without prejudice. When a lawsuit is dismissed without prejudice (i.e. they can be brought again). About Merck Merck & Co., Inc. is a global research-driven pharmaceutical company dedicated to putting patients first. Established in 1891, Merck discovers, develops, manufactures and markets vaccines and medicines to address unmet medical needs. The Company devotes extensive efforts to increase access to medicines through far-reaching programs that not only donate Merck medicines but help deliver them to the people who need them. Merck also publishes unbiased health information as a not-for-profit service. For more information, visit www.merck.com. Forward-Looking Statement forward-looking statement A projected financial statement based on management expectations. A forward-looking statement involves risks with regard to the accuracy of assumptions underlying the projections. This press release, including the financial information that follows, contains "forward-looking statements" as that term is defined in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act The Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 (PSLRA) implemented several significant substantive changes affecting certain cases brought under the federal securities laws, including changes related to pleading, discovery, liability, class representation and awards fees and of 1995. These statements are based on management's current expectations and involve risks and uncertainties, which may cause results to differ materially from those set forth in the statements. The forward-looking statements may include statements regarding product development, product potential or financial performance. No forward-looking statement can be guaranteed, and actual results may differ materially from those projected. Merck undertakes no obligation to publicly update any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future events, or otherwise. Forward-looking statements in this press release should be evaluated together with the many uncertainties that affect Merck's business, particularly those mentioned in the cautionary statements in Item 1 of Merck's Form 10-K Form 10-K A report required by the SEC from exchange-listed companies that provides for annual disclosure of certain financial information. Form 10-K See 10-K. for the year ended Dec. 31, 2005, and in its periodic reports on Form 10-Q Form 10-Q See 10-Q. and Form 8-K Form 8-K The form required by the SEC when a publicly held company incurs any event that might affect its financial situation or the share value of its stock. Form 8-K See 8-K. , which the Company incorporates by reference. Merck Financial Guidance for 2006 Worldwide sales will be driven by the Company's major products, including the impact of new studies and indications. Sales forecasts for those products for 2006 are as follows:
WORLDWIDE
PRODUCT 2006 SALES
SINGULAIR (Respiratory) $3.4 to $3.7 billion
COZAAR/HYZAAR (Hypertension) $3.0 to $3.3 billion
FOSAMAX (Osteoporosis) $2.8 to $3.1 billion
ZOCOR (Cholesterol modifying) $2.6 to $2.9 billion
Other reported products* $6.6 to $6.9 billion
* Other reported products comprise: AGGRASTAT, ARCOXIA, CANCIDAS, COSOPT, CRIXIVAN, EMEND, INVANZ, MAXALT, PRIMAXIN, PROPECIA, PROSCAR, STOCRIN, TIMOPTIC/TIMOPTIC XE, TRUSOPT, Vaccines and VASOTEC/VASERETIC. * Under an agreement with AstraZeneca (AZN AZN Asian ), Merck receives revenue at predetermined pre·de·ter·mine v. pre·de·ter·mined, pre·de·ter·min·ing, pre·de·ter·mines v.tr. 1. To determine, decide, or establish in advance: percentages of the U.S. sales of certain products by AZN, most notably NEXIUM. In 2006, Merck anticipates these revenues to be approximately $1.5 to $1.7 billion. * Equity income from affiliates includes the results of the Merck and Schering-Plough collaboration and SP-MSD, combined with the results of Merck's other joint venture relationships. Equity income from affiliates is expected to be approximately $2.1 to $2.4 billion for 2006. * Product gross margin (PGM PGM Program PGM Pragmatic General Multicast PGM Phosphoglucomutase PgM Program Manager PGM Platinum Group Metal PGM Pagemaker (software) PGM Portable Gray Map PGM Precision Guided Munition ) percentage is estimated to be approximately 76% to 78% for the full year 2006. This guidance excludes the portion of the restructuring costs that will be included in product costs and will affect reported PGM in 2006. This guidance includes the impact of stock option expense. * Marketing and administrative expense is anticipated to increase at a mid-to-high single-digit percentage growth rate over the full-year 2005 level. The marketing and administrative expense guidance excludes the charges taken in the fourth quarter of 2005 and the third quarter of 2006 related solely to future legal defense costs of VIOXX litigation. The full-year 2005 and 2006 levels exclude the costs associated with position eliminations in 2005, as well as other restructuring costs pursuant to the Company's streamlining of its business processes. The 2006 amount includes the impact of stock option expense. * Research and development expense (which excludes joint ventures) is anticipated to increase at a high single-digit percentage growth rate over the full-year 2005 level. Research and development expense in 2006 includes the impact of stock option expense and the second quarter 2006 acquired research expense relating to GlycoFi. The full-year 2006 level excludes the portion of the restructuring costs that are reported in research and development expense. The full-year 2006 R&D guidance does not include the impact of any potential acquired research expense relating to the anticipated Sirna Therapeutics acquisition. * Stock option expense is expected to be approximately $220 million in 2006. The impact of stock option expense is reflected in the materials and production, marketing and administrative, and research and development guidance respectively. * As part of the Company's restructuring of its operations, additional costs related to site closings, position eliminations and related costs will be incurred in 2006. The aggregate 2006 pretax expense related to these activities is estimated to be $900 million to $1.0 billion. * The consolidated 2006 tax rate is estimated to be approximately 26% to 28% (including the net tax rate impact in the second quarter related primarily to the acquisition of GlycoFi). This guidance does not reflect the tax rate impact of restructuring costs. The effective tax rate to be applied to the Company's restructuring costs is at a higher level than the underlying effective tax rate guidance. * Merck plans to continue its stock buyback Stock buyback A corporation's purchase of its own outstanding stock, usually in order to raise the company's earnings per share. stock buyback See buyback. program in 2006. As of Nov. 30, $6.6 billion remains under the current buyback authorizations approved by Merck's Board of Directors. Given these guidance elements, Merck anticipates full-year 2006 EPS of $2.48 to $2.52, excluding the restructuring charges related to site closures and position eliminations. Merck anticipates reported full-year 2006 EPS of $2.18 to $2.25. This 2006 guidance does not reflect the establishment of any reserves for any potential liability relating to the VIOXX litigation and does not include the impact of any potential acquired research expense relating to the anticipated Sirna Therapeutics acquisition. Merck Financial Guidance for 2007 Worldwide sales will be driven by the Company's major products, including the impact of new studies and indications. Sales forecasts for those products for 2007 are as follows:
WORLDWIDE
PRODUCT 2007 SALES
SINGULAIR (Respiratory) $3.7 to $4.0 billion
COZAAR/HYZAAR (Hypertension) $3.1 to $3.4 billion
Vaccines (as recorded by Merck & Co., Inc.) $2.8 to $3.2 billion
FOSAMAX (Osteoporosis) $2.6 to $2.9 billion
ZOCOR (Cholesterol modifying) $0.6 to $0.9 billion
Other reported products* $5.2 to $5.6 billion
* Other reported products comprise: AGGRASTAT, ARCOXIA, CANCIDAS, COSOPT, CRIXIVAN, EMEND, INVANZ, JANUVIA, MAXALT, PRIMAXIN, PROPECIA, PROSCAR, STOCRIN, TIMOPTIC/TIMOPTIC XE, TRUSOPT, VASOTEC/VASERETIC and ZOLINZA. * Under an agreement with AstraZeneca (AZN), Merck receives revenue at predetermined percentages of the U.S. sales of certain products by AZN, most notably NEXIUM. In 2007, Merck anticipates these revenues to be approximately $1.6 to $1.8 billion. * Equity income from affiliates includes the results of the Merck and Schering-Plough collaboration and SP-MSD, combined with the results of Merck's other joint venture relationships. Equity income from affiliates is expected to be approximately $2.6 to $2.9 billion for 2007. * Product gross margin (PGM) percentage is estimated to be approximately 74% to 76% for the full year 2007. This guidance excludes the portion of the restructuring costs that will be included in product costs and will affect reported PGM in 2007. * Marketing and administrative expense is anticipated to increase between 0 and 2 percentage points over the full-year 2006 level. The marketing and administrative expense guidance excludes the charges taken in the third quarter of 2006 related solely to future legal defense costs of VIOXX litigation. * Research and development expense (which excludes joint ventures) is anticipated to increase at a low-to-mid single-digit percentage growth rate over the full-year 2006 level. The full-year 2006 level includes the second quarter 2006 acquired research expense relating to GlycoFi. The full-year 2006 level excludes the portion of the restructuring costs that are reported in research and development expense. The full-year 2007 research and development guidance does not include the impact of any potential acquired research expense relating to the anticipated Sirna Therapeutics acquisition. * As part of the Company's restructuring of its operations, additional costs related to site closings, position eliminations and related costs will be incurred in 2007. The aggregate 2007 pretax expense related to these activities is estimated to be $300 million to $500 million. * The consolidated 2007 tax rate is estimated to be approximately 24% to 26%. This guidance does not reflect the tax rate impact of restructuring costs. The effective tax rate to be applied to the Company's restructuring costs is at a higher level than the underlying effective tax rate guidance. * Merck plans to continue its stock buyback program in 2007. As of Nov. 30, $6.6 billion remains under the current buyback authorizations approved by Merck's Board of Directors. Given these guidance elements, Merck anticipates full-year 2007 EPS of $2.51 to $2.59, excluding the restructuring charges related to site closures and position eliminations. Merck anticipates reported full-year 2007 EPS of $2.36 to $2.49. This 2007 guidance does not reflect the establishment of any reserves for any potential liability relating to the VIOXX litigation and does not include the impact of any potential acquired research expense relating to the anticipated Sirna Therapeutics acquisition. |
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