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Market Data Shows Mixed Signs.


Rental RENTAL. A roll or list of the rents of an estate containing the description of the lands let, the names of the tenants, and other particulars connected with such estate. This is the same as rent roll, from which it is said to be corrupted.  housing market data released recently shows mixed signs. Rent increases were stronger in July July: see month. , but new apartment construction dropped and apartment vacancy VACANCY. A place which is empty. The term is principally applied to cases where an office is not filled.
     2. By the constitution of the United States, the president has the power to fill up vacancies that may happen during the recess of the senate.
 rates rose. Most of the new economic and labor market labor market A place where labor is exchanged for wages; an LM is defined by geography, education and technical expertise, occupation, licensure or certification requirements, and job experience  data suggest a slowing in the rate of growth in the economy.

Rental Housing Market

* The trend in rent increases is now back to about the same level recorded for last year. They rose at a 5.1 percent annual rate in July. This is the second straight month of a strong increase, and it comes after a sluggish performance earlier this year. Rents in July were up 3.1 percent from the year earlier level.

* New apartment construction moderated for the third straight month in July. Apartment starts occurred at a 279,000 unit annual rate in July--the lowest level since October October: see month.  of last year. This may be more of an adjustment to the relatively high level of good winter weather new starts early this year. Starts of apartments during the first seven months of this year are up 7 percent from the same period last year despite recent declines.

* Rental apartment vacancy rates rose to 9.2 percent in the second quarter from 8.9 percent in the first quarter. Slowing of household growth and the continuing increase in homeownership rates helped produce the higher vacancy rate.

* Total households in June June: see month.  were only 242,000 higher than the level estimated for a year earlier. Household growth had been running at annual rates above 1.5 million for most of last year. Household growth rates Growth Rates

The compounded annualized rate of growth of a company's revenues, earnings, dividends, or other figures.

Notes:
Remember, historically high growth rates don't always mean a high rate of growth looking into the future.
 began to trend downward late last year. It is not clear why this is occurring given the strength in the economy. The two most likely causes are sampling error in the survey used to make the estimates and/or and/or  
conj.
Used to indicate that either or both of the items connected by it are involved.

Usage Note: And/or is widely used in legal and business writing.
 adjustment from the unsustainable rates of growth prior to the easing. The latter is most likely.

The Economy

* Economic growth in the second quarter did not moderate, it increased to a 5.2 percent annual rate vs. the 4.8 percent for the first quarter. Private investment and inventory building were major factors in the higher rate of increase. Business machinery and equipment remains the principal driver of investment spending. Federal government rebounded in the second quarter after dropping in Dropping in is a skateboarding trick with which a skateboarder can start skating a half-pipe by dropping into it from the coping instead of starting from the bottom and pumping gradually for more speed.  the first quarter. The 17 percent rate of increase in federal in the second quarter will not be sustained. Growth in consumption spending did moderate and spending on consumer durables Consumer durables

Consumer products that are expected to last three years or more, such as an automobile or a home appliance.


consumer durables

See durable goods.
 (autos, appliances, etc.) fell. Lower durable spending is usually a strong sign of a moderating economy.

* Consumers became more positive in July with their confidence index rising to 141.7 from 139.2 a month earlier.

* The Index of Leading Economic Indicators index of leading economic indicators

An index that is compiled by the Conference Board, a private-sector consulting firm. The index is designed to indicate the future direction of economic activity.
 did not change in June reflecting the easing in the economy that appears to be underway.

Labor Markets

* The unemployment rate remained at 4 percent in July despite the termination The point where a line, channel or circuit ends. See SCSI termination and hybrid.  of a large number of temporary workers carrying out the 2000 Census census, periodic official count of the number of persons and their condition and of the resources of a country. In ancient times, among the Jews and Romans, such enumeration was mainly for taxation and conscription purposes. . Non-farm employers and private industry employers added 138,000 new jobs, but the U.S. Census Bureau Noun 1. Census Bureau - the bureau of the Commerce Department responsible for taking the census; provides demographic information and analyses about the population of the United States
Bureau of the Census
 eliminated 290,000 workers.

Inflation and Interest Rates

* The Federal Reserve Board Open Market Committee did not raise interest rates further at its Aug. 22, 2000, meeting. The economy is showing more signs of future slowing. Business productivity growth rose to a 4.8 percent annual rate in the second quarter and offset the 4.4 percent annual rate of increase in employer's costs. Consumer price inflation rose at only a 2.1 percent at an annual rate in July, and producer prices dropped at a 0.9 percent annual rate.

* Materials and components for construction costs in July were up only 0.1 percent from a year ago. Gypsum gypsum (jĭp`səm), mineral composed of calcium sulfate (calcium, sulfur, and oxygen) with two molecules of water, CaSO4·2H2O. It is the most common sulfate mineral, occurring in many places in a variety of forms. , lumber lumber, term for timber that has been cut into boards for use as a building material. The major steps in producing lumber involve logging (the felling and preparation of timber for shipment to sawmills), sawing the logs into boards, grading the boards according to  and plywood plywood, manufactured board composed of an odd number of thin sheets of wood glued together under pressure with grains of the successive layers at right angles. Laminated wood differs from plywood in that the grains of its sheets are parallel.  prices dropped sharply last month as new housing construction slows.
CURRENT RENTAL HOUSING MARKET--ECONOMIC & DEMOGRAPHIC INDICATORS

                                     UNIT OF      YEAR    PREVIOUS
                                     MEASURE       AGO     PERIOD

RENTAL VACANCY RATES
  APARTMENTS                         PERCENT       9.0         8.9
  ALL RENTAL UNITS                   PERCENT       8.1         7.9

NEW UNFURNISHED RENTAL
 APARTMENTS
UNITS COMPLETED                    THOUSANDS      48.8        66.0
  ABSORPTION RATES
     3 MONTHS                        PERCENT        70          75
     6 MONTHS                        PERCENT        87          88
     9 MONTHS                        PERCENT        94          95
    12 MONTHS                        PERCENT        99          97
MEDIAN RENTS-NEW UNITS                   $'s       724         770
MEDIAN ASKING RENTS-ALL
 FOR RENT UNITS                          $'s       475         478

NEW CONDOMINIUM/COOPERATIVE
 APARTMENTS
UNITS COMPLETED                    THOUSANDS      10.4         8.9
  ABSORPTION RATES
     3 MONTHS                        PERCENT        81          81
     6 MONTHS                        PERCENT        80          88
     9 MONTHS                        PERCENT        94          97
    12 MONTHS                        PERCENT        96          98
MEDIAN ASKING PRICE                      $'s   124,600     139,100
TOTAL HOUSEHOLDS                   THOUSANDS    105070      105353
  RENTAL HOUSEHOLDS                THOUSANDS     35026       34592
    % RENTAL HOUSEHOLDS              PERCENT      33.4        32.9

MULTIFAMILY NEW CONSTRUCTION
  NUMBER OF UNITS STARTED      THOUSANDS (2)       356         341
    APARTMENT UNITS STARTED    THOUSANDS (2)       316         303
  VALUE OF WORK PUT-IN-PLACE     BILLIONS OF
                                     $'s (2)      27.1        29.0
RENTAL & VACANT PROPERTY
MAINTENANCE, REPAIRS, &
IMPROVEMENTS (3)                 MILLIONS OF
                                         $'s      7948       14369

PRICE INDEXES (4)
  CONSUMER PRICES                1982-84=100     166.7       172.3
    RENTS                        1982-84=100     195.7       200.8
  PRODUCER PRICES FINISHED          1982=100     132.9       138.4
   GOODS
    MATERIALS & COMPONENTS
     FOR CONSTRUCTION               1982=100     150.3       150.8
    GYPSUM PRODUCTS                 1982=100     207.1       210.4
    CEMENT                          1982=100     151.2       150.0
    SOFTWOOD LUMBER                 1982=100     217.2       178.8
    PLYWOOD                         1982=100     200.1       138.6

ECONOMIC ACTIVITY
  GDP                            BILLIONS OF
                                 CURRENT (2)    9191.5      9752.7
                                 BILLIONS OF
                                    1996 $'s    8783.2      9192.8

  PER CAPITA DISPOSABLE          CURRENT $'s     24326       25319
   INCOME                       1996 DOLLARS     23255       23643

  INDEX OF LEADING ECONOMIC
   INDICATORS                       1996=100     105.3       106.0
  CONSUMER CONFIDENCE INDEX         1995=100     139.9       139.2
  BUSINESS PRODUCTIVITY         ANNUALIZED %
                                      GROWTH       0.7         2.4
   MANUFACTURING                ANNUALIZED %
   PRODUCTIVITY                       GROWTH       6.1         8.2

EMPLOYMENT
  HOUSEHOLD BASIS                  THOUSANDS    133399      135179
  ESTABLISHMENT BASIS              THOUSANDS    128889      131620
  UNEMPLOYMENT RATE                  PERCENT       4.3         4.0
    CONSTRUCTION WORKERS             PERCENT       6.9         5.9
  EMPLOYMENT COST INDEX         ANNUALIZED %
                                      CHANGE       3.4         4.3
  COMPENSATION COSTS            ANNUALIZED %
   CONSTRUCTION                       CHANGE       3.2         3.8

INTEREST RATES
   3 MONTH BILLS                     PERCENT      4.60        5.69
   1 YEAR TREASURIES                 PERCENT      5.10        6.17
  10 YEAR TREASURIES                 PERCENT      5.90        6.10
  30 YEAR TREASURIES                 PERCENT      6.04        5.93
    YIELD CURVE (5)                  PERCENT        80          -7

                                                     CURRENT

                                                          REPORTING
                                                  NO.      PERIOD

  APARTMENTS                         PERCENT       9.2        Q2 00
  ALL RENTAL UNITS                   PERCENT       8.0        Q2 00

NEW UNFURNISHED RENTAL
 APARTMENTS
UNITS COMPLETED                    THOUSANDS      57.2        Q4 99
  ABSORPTION RATES
     3 MONTHS                        PERCENT        71        Q1 00
     6 MONTHS                        PERCENT        90        Q1 00
     9 MONTHS                        PERCENT        93        Q1 00
    12 MONTHS                        PERCENT        97        Q1 00
MEDIAN RENTS-NEW UNITS                   $'s       785        Q1 00
MEDIAN ASKING RENTS-ALL
 FOR RENT UNITS                          $'s       464        Q2 00

NEW CONDOMINIUM/COOPERATIVE
 APARTMENTS
UNITS COMPLETED                    THOUSANDS       9.5        Q4 99
  ABSORPTION RATES
     3 MONTHS                        PERCENT        80        Q1 00
     6 MONTHS                        PERCENT        91        Q1 00
     9 MONTHS                        PERCENT        92        Q1 00
    12 MONTHS                        PERCENT        98        Q1 00
MEDIAN ASKING PRICE                      $'s   112,100        Q1 00
TOTAL HOUSEHOLDS                   THOUSANDS    105312        JUNE
  RENTAL HOUSEHOLDS                THOUSANDS     34538        Q2 00
    % RENTAL HOUSEHOLDS              PERCENT      32.8        Q2 00

MULTIFAMILY NEW CONSTRUCTION
  NUMBER OF UNITS STARTED      THOUSANDS (2)       316        JULY
    APARTMENT UNITS STARTED    THOUSANDS (2)       279        JULY
  VALUE OF WORK PUT-IN-PLACE     BILLIONS OF
                                     $'s (2)      29.3        JUNE
RENTAL & VACANT PROPERTY
MAINTENANCE, REPAIRS, &
IMPROVEMENTS (3)                 MILLIONS OF
                                         $'s     14286        Q4 99

PRICE INDEXES (4)
  CONSUMER PRICES                1982-84=100     172.6        JULY
    RENTS                        1982-84=100     201.7        JULY
  PRODUCER PRICES                   1982=100     138.3        JULY
   FINISHED GOODS
    MATERIALS & COMPONENTS
     FOR CONSTRUCTION               1982=100     150.4        JULY
    GYPSUM PRODUCTS                 1982=100     204.9        JULY
    CEMENT                          1982=100     150.5        JULY
    SOFTWOOD LUMBER                 1982=100     172.9        JULY
    PLYWOOD                         1982=100     135.9        JULY

ECONOMIC ACTIVITY
  GDP                            BILLIONS OF
                                 CURRENT (2)    9937.3        Q2 00
                                 BILLIONS OF
                                    1996 $'s    9308.8        Q2 00
  PER CAPITA DISPOSABLE          CURRENT $'s     25375        JUNE
   INCOME                       1996 DOLLARS     23632        JUNE

  INDEX OF LEADING ECONOMIC
   INDICATORS                       1996=100     106.0        JUNE
  CONSUMER CONFIDENCE INDEX         1995=100     141.7        JULY
  BUSINESS PRODUCTIVITY         ANNUALIZED %
                                      GROWTH       4.8        Q2 00
    MANUFACTURING               ANNUALIZED %
    PRODUCTIVITY                      GROWTH       5.3        Q2 00

EMPLOYMENT
  HOUSEHOLD BASIS                  THOUSANDS    134749        JULY
  ESTABLISHMENT BASIS              THOUSANDS    131512        JULY
  UNEMPLOYMENT RATE                  PERCENT       4.0        JULY
   CONSTRUCTION WORKERS              PERCENT       5.9        JULY
  EMPLOYMENT COST INDEX         ANNUALIZED %
                                      CHANGE       4.4        Q2 00
  COMPENSATION COSTS            ANNUALIZED %
   CONSTRUCTION                       CHANGE       4.6        Q2 00

INTEREST RATES
   3 MONTH BILLS                     PERCENT      6.14        JULY
   1 YEAR TREASURIES                 PERCENT      6.08        JULY
  10 YEAR TREASURIES                 PERCENT      6.05        JULY
  30 YEAR TREASURIES                 PERCENT      5.85        JULY
    YIELD CURVE (5)                  PERCENT        -3        JULY

                                                      CURRENT

                                                     CHANGE FROM

                                                  YEAR     PREVIOUS
                                                  AGO       PERIOD

  APARTMENTS                         PERCENT       0.2         0.3
  ALL RENTAL UNITS                   PERCENT      -0.1         0.1

NEW UNFURNISHED RENTAL
 APARTMENTS
UNITS COMPLETED                    THOUSANDS       8.4        -8.8
  ABSORPTION RATES
     3 MONTHS                        PERCENT         1          -4
     6 MONTHS                        PERCENT         3           2
     9 MONTHS                        PERCENT        -1          -2
    12 MONTHS                        PERCENT        -2           0
MEDIAN RENTS-NEW UNITS                   $'s      8.4%        1.9%
MEDIAN ASKING RENTS-ALL
 FOR RENT UNITS                          $'s     -2.3%       -2.9%

NEW CONDOMINIUM/COOPERATIVE
 APARTMENTS
UNITS COMPLETED                    THOUSANDS      -0.9         0.6
  ABSORPTION RATES
     3 MONTHS                        PERCENT        -1          -1
     6 MONTHS                        PERCENT        11           3
     9 MONTHS                        PERCENT        -2          -5
    12 MONTHS                        PERCENT         2           0
MEDIAN ASKING PRICE                      $'s    -10.0%      -19.4%
TOTAL HOUSEHOLDS                   THOUSANDS       242         -41
  RENTAL HOUSEHOLDS                THOUSANDS      -488         -54
    % RENTAL HOUSEHOLDS              PERCENT      -0.6        -0.1

MULTIFAMILY NEW CONSTRUCTION
  NUMBER OF UNITS STARTED      THOUSANDS (2)       -40         -25
    APARTMENT UNITS STARTED    THOUSANDS (2)       -37         -24
  VALUE OF WORK PUT-IN-PLACE     BILLIONS OF
                                     $'s (2)      8.1%        1.0%
RENTAL & VACANT PROPERTY
MAINTENANCE, REPAIRS, &
IMPROVEMENTS (3)                 MILLIONS OF
                                         $'s     79.7%       -0.6%

PRICE INDEXES (4)
  CONSUMER PRICES                1982-84=100      3.5%     2.1%(1)
    RENTS                        1982-84=100      3.1%     5.5%(1)
  PRODUCER PRICES FINISHED          1982=100      4.1%    -0.9%(1)
   GOODS
    MATERIALS & COMPONENTS
     FOR CONSTRUCTION               1982=100      0.1%    -3.1%(1)
    GYPSUM PRODUCTS                 1982=100     -1.1%   -27.2%(1)
    CEMENT                          1982=100     -0.5%     4.1%(1)
    SOFTWOOD LUMBER                 1982=100    -20.5%    33.1%(1)
    PLYWOOD                         1982=100    -32.1%   -21.0%(1)

ECONOMIC ACTIVITY
  GDP                            BILLIONS OF
                                 CURRENT (2)      8.1%     7.8%(1)
                                 BILLIONS OF
                                    1996 $'s      6.0%     5.1%(1)
  PER CAPITA DISPOSABLE          CURRENT $'s      4.3%     2.7%(1)
   INCOME                       1996 DOLLARS      1.6%    -0.6%(1)
  INDEX OF LEADING ECONOMIC
   INDICATORS                       1996=100       0.7         0.0
  CONSUMER CONFIDENCE INDEX         1995=100       1.8         2.5
  BUSINESS PRODUCTIVITY         ANNUALIZED %
                                      GROWTH       4.1         2.4
    MANUFACTURING               ANNUALIZED %
    PRODUCTIVITY                      GROWTH      -0.8        -2.9

EMPLOYMENT
  HOUSEHOLD BASIS                  THOUSANDS      1350        -430
  ESTABLISHMENT BASIS              THOUSANDS      2623        -108
  UNEMPLOYMENT RATE                  PERCENT      -0.3         0.0
    CONSTRUCTION WORKERS             PERCENT       1.0         0.0
  EMPLOYMENT COST INDEX         ANNUALIZED %
                                      CHANGE       1.0         0.1
  COMPENSATION COSTS            ANNUALIZED %
   CONSTRUCTION                       CHANGE       1.4         0.8

INTEREST RATES
   3 MONTH BILLS                     PERCENT    154 BP       45 BP
   1 YEAR TREASURIES                 PERCENT     98 BP       -9 BP
  10 YEAR TREASURIES                 PERCENT     15 BP       -5 BP
  30 YEAR TREASURIES                 PERCENT    -19 BP       -8 BP
    YIELD CURVE (5)                  PERCENT



(1) AT ANNUAL RATES;

(2) SEASONALLY ADJUSTED Seasonally adjusted

Mathematically adjusted by moderating a macroeconomic indicator (e.g., oil prices/imports) so that relative comparisons can be drawn from month to month all year.
 ANNUAL RATES;

(3) ALSO INCLUDES ALL VACANT AND SEASONAL PROPERTIES;

(4) NOT SEASONALLY ADJUSTED;

(5) DIFFERENCE IN YIELDS BETWEEN 10 YEAR AND 1 YEAR TREASURIES

SOURCE: U.S. DEPARTMENTS OF COMMERCE & LABOR, CONFERENCE BOARD, FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, REGIS J SHEEHAN People whose surname is or was Sheehan include:
  • Billy Sheehan, an American rock bassist
  • Bobby Sheehan, an American rock bassist
  • Casey Sheehan, an American soldier
  • Cindy Sheehan, an anti-war activist
  • Fran Sheehan, an American rock bassist
 & ASSOCIATES

Information compiled by NAA NAA

Nomina Anatomica Avium.
 Consulting Economist This article is about the profession. For the news publication, see The Economist.

An economist is an expert in the social science of economics.[1]
, Robert Robert, Henry Martyn 1837-1923.

American army engineer and parliamentary authority. He designed the defenses for Washington, D.C., during the Civil War and later wrote Robert's Rules of Order (1876).

Noun 1.
 J. Sheehan. Mr. Sheehan is president of Regis J. Sheehan Data and Forecasting Services in McLean McLean, city (1990 pop. 38,168), Fairfax co., N Va., a suburb of Washington, D.C. Manufacturing includes foods, satellite components, and computer and telecommunications equipment. , Va. He can be reached at 703/893-9185 or by e-mail at gdad@erols.com.
COPYRIGHT 2000 National Apartment Association
No portion of this article can be reproduced without the express written permission from the copyright holder.
Copyright 2000, Gale Group. All rights reserved. Gale Group is a Thomson Corporation Company.

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Publication:Units
Date:Oct 1, 2000
Words:1900
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