Looking toward expansion: Barbara Bowles of The Kenwood Group is positioning her portfolio for growth.There are indications that the current administration's economic policies have finally began to lift the economy, at least for the short-term. One of the most severe bear markets ever is starting to fade into a memory. Chicago money manager Barbara L. Bowles has taken notice and, after surveying a host of factors, she expects the economy to be on the upswing Upswing An upward turn in a security's price after a period of falling prices. . A 25-year veteran of the financial industry, Bowles says the economy's pulse, as measured by gross domestic product or GDP GDP (guanosine diphosphate): see guanine. , could grow as much as 3.8% in 2004. Therefore, Bowles expects companies to become more active this year. Corporations will likely boost production and hire more workers. And as a result, Bowles is looking for Looking for In the context of general equities, this describing a buy interest in which a dealer is asked to offer stock, often involving a capital commitment. Antithesis of in touch with. stocks in industries critical to expansion, such as technology and materials, to have a good 2004. Bowles is the founder and CEO (1) (Chief Executive Officer) The highest individual in command of an organization. Typically the president of the company, the CEO reports to the Chairman of the Board. of institutional money management firm The Kenwood Group, which currently supervises some $260 million in institutional and pension finds for clients such as Abbott Laboratories Abbott Laboratories (NYSE: ABT) is a diversified pharmaceuticals and health care company. It has over 65,000 employees and operates in 130 countries. The corporate headquarters are in Abbott Park, Illinois, a neighborhood of North Chicago, Illinois. and Mitsubishi Motors Mitsubishi Motors Corporation (三菱自動車工業株式会社 . Until recently, her company managed the Kenwood Growth and Income Fund (KNWDX), which has posted very solid numbers. As of mid-November, the mutual fund posted a 26.8% total return--almost six percentage points above the Standard & Poor's 500 Index. At the end of the third quarter of 2003, the Kenwood fund had logged an aver age 6% annual total return over the previous five years, compared to 1% for the S&P 500. This year, Bowles merged the assets of the Kenwood fund with another black-owned fund, the Profit Value Fund (PVALX), which is run by Eugene Profit. Bowles invests in companies with a market cap of $400 million to $8 billion that may have had a recent setback but still have strong prospects going forward. She likes holdings that are earmarked to grow profits or earnings at about 8% a year, on par with the overall market Bowles usually opts for companies that are selling at a price to earnings (P/E P/E See: Price/earnings ratio ) multiple that is in line with, or a bit less than, their industry peers. Finally, she checks to make sure candidates are not overly strapped with debt. For her private screening portfolio, Bowles selected five stocks in a variety of industries. She says the accounting and background screening firm, Kroll Inc. (Nasdaq: KROL), is an amalgam of businesses that are worth more separately than the company's recent stock price. She says Kroll generates as much as $1.5 million in free cash flow and is on course for solid profit growth in years ahead. Technology manufacturer Western Digital (NYSE NYSE See: New York Stock Exchange : WDC WDC Washington DC, USA WDC Western Digital Corporation WDC World Data Center WDC Warwick District Council (UK) WDC World Diamond Council WDC Workforce Development Center WDC Wisconsin Democracy Campaign ) makes disc drives and a host of other electronic devices, including set-top boxes The cable TV box that sits on "top" of the TV "set," although it is often located several feet away in an equipment rack. The set-top box descrambles the premium channels and provides a tuner for the higher cable numbers that very old TVs did not support. . Bowles sees the recent economic pickup as a short-term catalyst that will help propel Western's revenues higher. Bowles likes two medical device makers: Renal Care Group Inc. (NYSE: RCI RCI Royal Caribbean International RCI Radio Canada International RCI Rehabilitation Council of India RCI Residential Communities Initiative RCI Roof Consultants Institute RCI Remote Control Interface RCI Residential, Commercial, Industrial ), which runs dialysis centers for patients with kidney conditions, and Becton, Dickinson & Co. (NYSE: BDX BDX Bordeaux (France) BDX Becton-Dickinson and Company (stock symbol) BDX Business Document Exchange BDX Burst Detector X BDX Beacon Data Extractor ), a manufacturer of blood glucose monitoring blood glucose monitoring Sugar monitoring Lab medicine The periodic testing of serum glucose in Pts known to have DM. See Bedside glucose monitoring, Beta cell implants, Diabetes, Glucometer, Glycosylated hemoglobin, Non-Invasive glucose monitoring. products. Recent versions of Congress' proposed Medicare spending bill include boosts in dialysis spending, a boon to the Renal Care Group's prospects. Becton, Dickinson should also see its earning power Earning power Earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) divided by total assets. earning power 1. The earnings that an asset could produce under optimal conditions. For example, AT&T may currently be earning $2. increase internationally with the development of new diabetes products and potential safety product legislation. Bowles' final selection is the money management and mutual fired firm Janus Capital Group Janus Capital Group Inc. is a public company headquarted in Denver, CO, US. It was founded in 1969. It provides risk-managed investment strategies. As of June 30, 2007, Janus managed $190. (NYSE: JNS JNS Journal of Neurosurgery JNS Jump If No Sign JNS Narssaq, Greenland (Airport Code) JNS Journal of Neoplatonic Studies JNS Justification for New Start ). Controversy over the trading practices of the fund industry's big players, which includes Janus, have sent the stock's price lower. Bowles thinks the market has overreacted, leaving Janus shares a tempting target to overseas banks that may desire a U.S. presence.
Company 12-to 18-Month P/E on Projected
Exchange: Symbol Price * Price Target Z004 Earnings
Kroll Inc. $ 23.48 $34.00 23.5%
Nasdaq: KROL
Western Digital Corp. $ 13.15 $17.00 13.5%
NYSE: WDC
Renal Care Group $ 39.53 $46.00 19.5%
NYSE: RCI
Becton, Dickinson & Co. $ 37.71 $42.00 17.7%
NYSE: BDX
Janus Capital Group $ 13.90 $18.00 19.0%
NYSE: JNS
Est. 5-Yr.
Company Annual EPS
Exchange: Symbol Growth Rate Why Stock Will 0utperform
Kroll Inc. 16.8% Demand is high for the
Nasdaq: KROL company's accounting and
screening skills, and the
individual companies
that comprise Kroll are
worth more than the
company's stock price.
Western Digital Corp. 10.0% Earnings are expected to
NYSE: WDC grow as a result of the
rational pricing
environment, and costs
may go down as a result
of Western's vertical
integration initiatives.
Renal Care Group 13.6% Renal's profits could
NYSE: RCI climb on news that
Medicare legislation may
boost dialysis spending.
Becton, Dickinson & Co. 12.7% Becton, Dickinson may
NYSE: BDX benefit internationally
from increasing momentum
for new blood glucose
monitoring diabetes
products and approved
safety legislation.
Janus Capital Group 9.9% Questions regarding
NYSE: JNS mutual fund trading have
hit Janus' shares, an
overreaction that has the
stock trading at an
attractive price.
* STOCK PRICES AS OF 11/13/03. SOURCES: MORNINGSTAR;
THE KENWOOD GROUP; YAHOO! FINANCE; ZACKS.
|
|
||||||||||||||||

Printer friendly
Cite/link
Email
Feedback
Reader Opinion