Looking for long-term trends: James Francis' `trendy' picks need a little more time to blossom. (Stock Update).Last year, when we spoke to James Francis
James Goodall Francis (9 January 1819 – 25 January 1884), Australian colonial politician, was the 9th Premier of Victoria. , CEO (1) (Chief Executive Officer) The highest individual in command of an organization. Typically the president of the company, the CEO reports to the Chairman of the Board. of New York-based Paradigm Asset Management, he was urging investors to "take advantage of longer-term trends that will impact the market." He favored telecommunications and healthcare companies in his Private Screening and the results were considerably disappointing, with his overall performance registering a 29.77% loss. Over the same 52-week period, the Standard & Poors 500 Index practically stood still, registering a loss of 0.12%. In spite of the bumpy results, Francis, who manages his firms' $1.5 billion in assets with a "conservative and risk-controlled" approach, is still optimistic about prospects for growth in the healthcare and technology sectors. The medical device manufacturer Zoll Medical Corp. (Nasdaq: ZOLL) was Francis' best performer, showing a 9.67% gain, going from $34.94 to $38.32 a share. The popularity of the company's noninvasive cardiac resuscitation resuscitation /re·sus·ci·ta·tion/ (-sus?i-ta´shun) restoration to life of one apparently dead. cardiopulmonary resuscitation devices, external pacemakers-defibrillators, and mobile ECG ECG electrocardiogram. ECG abbr. 1. electrocardiogram 2. electrocardiograph ECG Also called an electrocardiogram, it records the electrical activity of the heart. systems allowed it to maintain a solid performance during the downturn. Another healthcare sector play, Pfizer Inc. (NYSE NYSE See: New York Stock Exchange : PFE 1. (text, editor) PFE - Programmer's File Editor. 2. (language) PFE - Portable Forth Environment. ), also did well, practically breaking even, losing just pennies since last year. The global pharmaceutical giant nudged down a mere 0.30%, from $39.55 to $40.11 a share. Francis says as long as Pfizer's drugs continue to meet the needs of baby boomers, the company will do fine. Attempting to capitalize on interest rate cuts made by the Federal Reserve, Francis selected J.P. Morgan Chase & Co. (NYSE: JPM JPM J. P. Morgan Chase & Co. (stock symbol) JPM Juan Pablo Montoya (formula 1 driver) JPM Jabatan Perdana Menteri (Malaysia) JPM Journal of Property Management ), the global financial services company. While the company lost 17.98% since his recommendation, falling from $41.13 a share to $35.27, Francis maintains it is still one of the top players in the banking sector. Unfortunately, the upward trend Francis forecasted for his telecommunications plays didn't materialize. His choices, American Tower Corp. (NYSE: AMT See vPro. ) and SpectraSite Holdings (Nasdaq: SITE) were intended to capitalize on the growth of wireless technology, but with the economy in recession, growth at the two firms was delayed. American Tower, which operates wireless communications towers, was hit hard, dropping 72.42% from $19.25 a share to $5.31. And SpectraSite, which leases and owns wireless antenna sites on commercial buildings, lost big as well, falling 75.89% from $3.94 to $0.95. Francis still believes the wireless telecommunications industry has many years of growth ahead, and as more wireless technology is made easily accessible, the revenues at these companies will improve. |
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