Latin America and the Caribbean.
Latin America and the Caribbean
GDP
% change on year ago
LT Consensus Forecast *
latest 2005E 2006F 2007F
Argentina 9.2 Q3 '05 8.8 5.8 4.1
Brazil 1.0 Q3 '05 2.6 3.6 3.9
Chile 5.2 Q3 '05 6.0 5.5 5.0
Colombia 5.7 Q3 '05 4.7 4.1 4.1
Ecuador 2.7 Q3 '05 2.8 2.6 2.5
Mexico 3.3 Q3 '05 3.0 3.4 3.2
Peru 5.8 Q3 '05 5.8 4.6 4.4
Venezuela 9.8 Q3 '05 8.8 5.8 4.0
Industrial production Unemployment
% change on year ago % rate
latest latest
Argentina 9.4 Oct '05 11.1 Q3 '05
Brazil 0.4 Oct '05 9.6 Oct '05 (+)
Chile 4.2 Oct '05 8.1 Oct '05
Colombia 2.0 Oct '05 10.0 Oct '05
Ecuador 10.8 Oct '05 9.8 Oct '05
Mexico 2.4 Oct '05 3.6 Oct '05 (+)
Peru 7.2 Oct '05 7.9 Oct '05
Venezuela -- -- 11.4 Oct '05
Producer prices Consumer prices
% change on year ago
LT Consensus Forecast *
latest 2005E 2006F 2007F
Argentina 9.2 Oct '05 12.3 14.2 11.5
Brazil 0.4 Oct '05 5.6 4.6 4.3
Chile 3.8 Oct '05 3.7 3.1 3.2
Colombia 2.2 Oct '05 5.0 4.7 4.4
Ecuador 16.2 Oct '05 4.2 3.5 3.0
Mexico 2.1 Oct '05 3.3 3.5 3.5
Peru 2.7 Oct '05 1.5 2.5 3.0
Venezuela 16.1 Oct '05 14.5 14.3 11.4
Exchange rates
end of period per US$
LT Consensus Forecast *
2005E 2006F 2007F
Argentina 3.00 3.08 3.18
Brazil 2.34 2.47 2.50
Chile 514 547 561
Colombia 2,287 2,368 2,496
Ecuador 1.00 1.00 1.00
Mexico 10.63 11.46 11.68
Peru 3.42 3.39 3.43
Venezuela 2,150 2,150 2,493
Current account
as % of GDP
LT Consensus Forecast *
2005E 2006F 2007F
Argentina 2.3 1.5 0.4
Brazil 1.9 1.0 0.5
Chile 0.3 -0.6 -1.0
Colombia -1.0 -1.3 -1.8
Ecuador 0.4 -0.4 -0.9
Mexico -1.1 -1.3 -1.8
Peru 0.4 -0.3 -1.8
Venezuela 17.0 13.0 11.8
International reserves
US$ billions
LT Consensus Forecast *
2005E 2006F 2007F
Argentina 24.9 27.7 23.9
Brazil 53.8 61.1 62.0
Chile 17.0 16.8 16.7
Colombia 15.0 15.5 16.2
Ecuador 1.7 1.8 1.8
Mexico 67.9 70.4 71.3
Peru 14.4 14.6 14.6
Venezuela 30.0 26.8 15.0
* LATIN TRADE Consensus Forecast includes ABN-Amro, Banamex,
BBVA, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Santander Central
Hispano Investment, Smith Barney, UBS Warburg, LATIN TRADE
(+) open unemployment (economically active, seeking work)
Consumer prices
% change on year ago
latest year ago
Argentina 10.7 Oct' 05 5.7
Bolivia 5.1 Oct' 05 3.8
Brazil 6.4 Oct' 05 6.9
Chile 4.1 Oct' 05 1.9
Colombia 5.3 Oct' 05 5.9
Costa Rica 13.9 Oct' 05 13.3
Dominican Rep. 4.0 Oct' 05 46.1
Ecuador 3.6 Oct' 05 2.2
El Salvador 5.9 Oct' 05 5.5
Guatemala 9.4 Oct' 05 8.3
Honduras 8.5 Oct' 05 8.8
Jamaica 15.9 Oct' 05 12.3
Mexico 3.1 Oct' 05 5.4
Panama 4.0 Oct' 05 0.7
Paraguay 10.3 Oct' 05 3.6
Peru 1.3 Oct' 05 4.0
Trinidad & Tobago 6.8 Oct' 05 4.5
Uruguay 4.6 Oct' 05 8.7
Venezuela 16.0 Oct' 05 19.7
Interest rates
% per year
deposit lending
Argentina 4.29 6.39 Oct '05
Bolivia 4.44 14.82 Oct '05
Brazil 17.70 56.10 Oct '05
Chile 4.53 7.31 Oct '05
Colombia 6.46 13.67 Oct '05
Costa Rica 10.04 24.67 Oct '05
Dominican Rep. 11.92 19.86 Oct '05
Ecuador 3.54 10.12 Oct '05
El Salvador 3.41 6.87 Oct '05
Guatemala 4.35 12.72 Oct '05
Honduras 10.83 18.39 Oct '05
Jamaica 7.38 17.46 Oct '05
Mexico 3.50 10.38 Oct '05
Panama 2.76 8.39 Oct '05
Paraguay 3.20 28.60 Oct '05
Peru 3.60 14.40 Oct '05
Trinidad & Tobago 2.13 9.00 Jul '05
Uruguay 1.80 12.48 Sep '05
Venezuela 11.11 16.93 Oct '05
Exchange rates
January 18, 2006
currency per US$ per euro
Argentina Peso 3.04 3.68
Bolivia Boliviano 7.95 9.62
Brazil Real 2.29 2.77
Chile Peso 529.13 640.21
Colombia Peso 2,271 2,748
Costa Rica Colon 497.75 602.24
Dominican Rep. Peso 33.79 40.88
Ecuador Sucre 1.00 30,248
El Salvador Colon 8.75 10.58
Guatemala Quetzal 7.59 9.19
Honduras Lempira 18.08 21.87
Jamaica Dollar 64.12 77.58
Mexico Peso 10.54 12.75
Panama Balboa 1.00 1.17
Paraguay Guarani 6,115 7,399
Peru Sol 3.42 4.14
Trinidad & Tobago Dollar 6.21 7.51
Uruguay Peso 24.03 29.07
Venezuela Bolivar 2,145 2,595
Exports of goods
US$ millions
trailing
latest 12 months
Argentina 3,419 Oct '05 39,299
Bolivia 285 Oct '05 2,675
Brazil 9,904 Oct '05 113,976
Chile 3,384 Oct '05 38,076
Colombia 1,788 Oct '05 20,509
Costa Rica 571 Oct '05 6,874
Dominican Rep. 1,462 Q3 '05 5,951
Ecuador 797 Oct '05 9,292
El Salvador 264 Oct '05 3,383
Guatemala 375 Oct '05 5,364
Honduras 118 Oct '05 1,671
Jamaica 422 Q2 '05 1,545
Mexico 19,203 Oct '05 206,570
Panama 1,867 Q3 '05 6,589
Paraguay 141 Oct '05 1,643
Peru 1,465 Oct '05 16,221
Trinidad & Tobago 2,020 Q2 '05 7,519
Uruguay 305 Oct '05 3,325
Venezuela 15,553 Q3 '05 51,203
Imports of goods
US$ millions
trailing
latest 12 months
Argentina 2,503 Oct '05 27,786
Bolivia 213 Oct '05 2,271
Brazil 6,218 Oct '05 72,041
Chile 2,860 Oct '05 29,557
Colombia 1,714 Oct '05 20,611
Costa Rica 861 Oct '05 9,357
Dominican Rep. 2,631 Q3 '05 9,191
Ecuador 873 Oct '05 9,406
El Salvador 567 Oct '05 6,538
Guatemala 810 Oct '05 10,248
Honduras 397 Oct '05 4,562
Jamaica 1,120 Q2 '05 4,408
Mexico 19,840 Oct '05 216,029
Panama 2,334 Q3 '05 8,360
Paraguay 330 Oct '05 2,960
Peru 1,091 Oct '05 11,805
Trinidad & Tobago 1,142 Q2 '05 4,808
Uruguay 379 Oct '05 3,808
Venezuela 6,720 Q3 '05 23,020
International
reserves ([dagger])
US$ millions
latest year ago
Argentina 24,433 Oct '05 17,855
Bolivia 1,182 Oct '05 753
Brazil 60,039 Oct '05 49,227
Chile 15,004 Oct '05 15,686
Colombia 14,078 Oct '05 12,145
Costa Rica 2,373 Oct '05 1,793
Dominican Rep. 1,703 Oct '05 635
Ecuador 1,580 Oct '05 1,255
El Salvador 1,830 Oct '05 1,698
Guatemala 3,663 Oct '05 3,259
Honduras 2,215 Oct '05 1,703
Jamaica 2,262 Aug '05 1,856
Mexico 71,154 Oct '05 60,909
Panama 951 Oct '05 476
Paraguay 1,292 Oct '05 1,191
Peru 13,062 Oct '05 11,730
Trinidad & Tobago 4,052 Jul '05 2,780
Uruguay 2,564 Oct '05 2,354
Venezuela 24,426 Oct '05 17,154
([dagger]) Excluding gold, IMF definition
SOURCE: IMF, individual countries, Oanda, LATIN TRADE
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