Latin America and the Caribbean.
Latin America and the Caribbean
GDP
% change production on year ago
LT Consensus Forecast *
latest 2004 2005F 2006F
Argentina 10.1 Q2 '05 9.0 6.9 4.0
Brazil 3.9 Q2 '05 4.9 3.2 3.6
Chile 6.5 Q2 '05 6.1 5.8 5.0
Colombia 5.3 Q2 '05 4.1 3.7 3.6
Ecuador 2.9 Q2 '05 6.9 3.0 3.1
Mexico 3.1 Q2 '05 4.4 3.2 3.4
Peru 5.7 Q2 '05 4.8 5.0 4.1
Venezuela 11.2 Q2 '05 17.9 7.3 5.3
Industrial production Unemployment
% change on year ago % rate
latest latest
Argentina 6.5 Jul '05 12.1 Q2 '05
Brazil 0.5 Jul '05 9.4 Jul '05+
Chile 4.4 Jul '05 8.6 Jul '05
Colombia -0.5 Jul '05 11.8 Jul '05
Ecuador 6.6 Jul '05 11.1 Jul '05
Mexico 0.2 Jul '05 3.5 Jul '05+
Peru 4.9 Jul '05 8.5 Jul '05
Venezuela -- -- 12.6 Jul '05
Producer prices Consumer prices
% change on year ago
LT Consensus Forecast *
latest 2004 2005F 2006F
Argentina 8.1 Jul '05 6.1 10.9 9.8
Brazil 3.8 Jul '05 7.6 5.6 4.8
Chile 5.1 Jul '05 2.4 3.2 3.2
Colombia 3.0 Jul '05 5.5 5.1 4.7
Ecuador 19.0 Jul '05 2.0 2.0 1.5
Mexico 2.8 Jul '05 5.2 3.7 3.7
Peru 0.9 Jul '05 3.5 2.1 2.3
Venezuela 16.9 Jul '05 19.2 16.4 17.5
Exchange rates Current account
end of period per US$ as % of GDP
LT Consensus Forecast * LT Consensus Forecast *
2004 2005E 2006E 2004 2005E 2006E
Argentina 2.98 2.93 2.97 2.0 1.6 0.3
Brazil 2.65 2.49 2.70 1.9 1.5 0.7
Chile 560 577 596 1.5 0.8 -0.4
Colombia 2,390 2,388 2,540 -1.3 -1.3 -2.0
Ecuador 1.00 1.00 1.00 -0.5 0.8 -0.6
Mexico 11.20 11.02 11.72 -1.1 -1.0 -1.5
Peru 3.28 3.29 3.36 0.0 -0.1 0.4
Venezuela 1,920 2,149 2,465 13.5 12.9 7.8
International reserves
US$ billions
LT Consensus Forecast *
2004 2005E 2006E
Argentina 18.9 24.5 26.5
Brazil 52.7 60.1 55.2
Chile 16.0 16.5 16.7
Colombia 13.4 14.1 14.5
Ecuador 1.1 1.7 1.7
Mexico 61.5 64.1 66.4
Peru 12.0 14.3 14.6
Venezuela 24.3 25.0 25.3
* LATIN TRADE Consensus Forecast includes Banamex, BBVA, Goldman Sachs,
J.P. Morgan Chase, Merrill Lynch, Morgan Stanley, Santander Central
Hispano Investment, Smith Barney, UBS Warburg, LATIN TRADE
+ open unemployment (economically active, seeking work)
Consumer prices
% change on year ago
latest year ago
Argentina 9.6 Jul '05 4.9
Bolivia 5.4 Jul '05 4.8
Brazil 6.6 Jul '05 6.8
Chile 3.1 Jul '05 1.4
Colombia 4.9 Jul '05 6.2
Costa Rica 13.7 Jul '05 12.4
Dominican Rep. -1.0 Jul '05 55.6
Ecuador 2.8 Jul '05 2.2
El Salvador 4.1 Jul '05 5.3
Guatemala 8.6 Jul '05 7.6
Honduras 8.6 Jul '05 9.3
Jamaica 18.2 Jul '05 11.6
Mexico 4.5 Jul '05 4.5
Panama 2.7 Jul '05 0.6
Paraguay 6.4 Jul '05 6.4
Peru 1.4 Jul '05 4.6
Trinidad & Tobago 7.3 Jul '05 3.3
Uruguay 4.4 Jul '05 10.1
Venezuela 15.3 Jul '05 21.8
Interest rates
% per year
deposit lending
Argentina 4.21 6.55 Jul '05
Bolivia 5.47 18.78 Jul '05
Brazil 18.13 57.70 Jul '05
Chile 3.91 6.93 Jul '05
Colombia 7.10 15.06 Jul '05
Costa Rica 10.29 25.17 Jul '05
Dominican Rep. 8.79 22.08 Jul '05
Ecuador 3.61 8.42 Jul '05
El Salvador 3.40 6.90 Jul '05
Guatemala 4.33 12.90 Jul '05
Honduras 10.90 18.80 Jul '05
Jamaica 7.47 17.56 Jul '05
Mexico 3.57 9.88 Jul '05
Panama 2.65 8.96 Jun '05
Paraguay 4.59 29.78 Jul '05
Peru 3.40 15.60 Jul '05
Trinidad & Tobago 1.13 8.75 Mar '05
Uruguay 2.00 16.70 May '05
Venezuela 11.34 17.18 Jul '05
Exchange rates
October 3, 2005
currency per US$ per euro
Argentina Peso 2.90 3.49
Bolivia Boliviano 8.01 9.63
Brazil Real 2.23 2.68
Chile Peso 529.50 636.72
Colombia Peso 2,287 2,750
Costa Rica Colon 486.95 585.56
Dominican Rep. Peso 30.55 36.74
Ecuador Sucre 1.00 30,063
El Salvador Colon 8.75 10.52
Guatemala Quetzal 7.69 9.25
Honduras Lempira 18.07 21.73
Jamaica Dollar 62.70 75.40
Mexico Peso 10.75 12.93
Panama Balboa 1.00 1.20
Paraguay Guarani 6,110 7,347
Peru Sol 3.34 4.02
Trinidad & Tobago Dollar 6.27 7.54
Uruguay Peso 24.08 28.95
Venezuela Bolivar 2,146 2,581
Exports of goods
US$ millions
trailing
latest 12 months
Argentina 3,571 Jul '05 37,378
Bolivia 238 Jul '05 2,475
Brazil 11,061 Jul '05 108,913
Chile 3,196 Jul '05 36,197
Colombia 1,650 Jul '05 19,448
Costa Rica 557 Jul '05 6,578
Dominican Rep. 1,592 Q2 '05 5,964
Ecuador 770 Jul '05 8,746
El Salvador 301 Jul '05 3,333
Guatemala 496 Jul '05 5,354
Honduras 130 Jul '05 1,657
Jamaica 422 Q2 '05 1,545
Mexico 16,479 Jul '05 199,626
Panama 1,579 Q2 '05 6,206
Paraguay 128 Jul '05 1,608
Peru 1,530 Jul '05 15,135
Trinidad & Tobago 2,020 Q1 '05 7,519
Uruguay 293 Jul '05 3,216
Venezuela 13,154 Q2 '05 45,828
Imports of goods
US$ millions
trailing
latest 12 months
Argentina 2,349 Jul '05 26,219
Bolivia 193 Jul '05 2,100
Brazil 6,050 Jul '05 69,045
Chile 2,839 Jul '05 29,570
Colombia 1,675 Jul '05 19,290
Costa Rica 840 Jul '05 8,824
Dominican Rep. 2,404 Q2 '05 8,689
Ecuador 783 Jul '05 9,068
El Salvador 590 Jul '05 5,992
Guatemala 876 Jul '05 10,064
Honduras 401 Jul '05 4,349
Jamaica 1,120 Q2 '05 4,408
Mexico 17,098 Jul '05 209,249
Panama 2,154 Q2 '05 8,087
Paraguay 252 Jul '05 2,754
Peru 1,040 Jul '05 11,193
Trinidad & Tobago 1,142 Q1 '05 4,808
Uruguay 280 Jul '05 3,525
Venezuela 5,848 Q2 '05 21,156
International reserves ([dagger])
US$ millions
latest year ago
Argentina 24,350 Jul '05 17,415
Bolivia 974 Jul '05 612
Brazil 54,499 Jul '05 49,492
Chile 16,193 Jul '05 15,835
Colombia 13,728 Jul '05 11,638
Costa Rica 2,245 Jul '05 1,626
Dominican Rep. 1,540 Jul '05 483
Ecuador 1,426 Jul '05 989
El Salvador 1,778 May '05 1,837
Guatemala 3,692 Jul '05 2,848
Honduras 2,177 Jul '05 1,640
Jamaica 2,424 Jul '05 1,856
Mexico 66,438 Jul '05 60,278
Panama 1,036 Jul '05 715
Paraguay 1,267 Jul '05 1,097
Peru 14,774 Jul '05 10,641
Trinidad & Tobago 4,052 Jul '05 2,780
Uruguay 2,613 Jul '05 2,112
Venezuela 24,712 Jul '05 18,715
([dagger]) Excluding gold, IMF definition
SOURCE: IMF, individual countries, Oanda, LATIN TRADE
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