Latin America and the Caribbean.
Latin America and the Caribbean
GDP
% change on year ago
LT Consensus Forecast *
latest 2005E 2006F 2007F
Argentina 9.1 Q4 '05 9.2 6.7 3.7
Brazil 1.4 Q4 '05 2.3 3.6 4.2
Chile 5.8 Q4 '05 6.3 5.6 5.1
Colombia 3.7 Q4 '05 5.1 4.3 3.9
Ecuador 4.9 Q4 '05 3.9 2.7 2.8
Mexico 2.7 Q4 '05 3.0 3.7 3.5
Peru 7.7 Q4 '05 6.7 5.2 4.4
Venezuela 10.2 Q4 '05 9.3 6.3 4.4
Industrial Unemployment
production
% change % rate
on year ago
latest latest
Argentina 4.7 Jan '06 10.1 Q4 '05
Brazil 3.2 Jan '06 9.2 Jan '06+
Chile 7.7 Jan '06 7.0 Jan '06
Colombia 4.6 Jan '06 13.4 Jan '06
Ecuador 4.7 Jan '06 10.2 Jan '06
Mexico 6.0 Jan '06 3.5 Jan '06+
Peru 4.4 Jan '06 10.4 Jan '06
Venezuela 12.9 Jan '06
Producer prices Consumer prices
% change
on year ago LT Consensus Forecast *
latest 2005E 2006F 2007F
Argentina 13.1 Jan'06 12.3 13.7 14.6
Brazil -0.2 Jan'06 5.8 4.7 4.2
Chile 5.4 Jan'06 3.7 3.3 3.0
Colombia 2.3 Jan'06 4.9 4.7 4.4
Ecuador 23.1 Jan'06 4.4 5.9 3.2
Mexico 3.2 Jan'06 3.3 3.4 3.3
Peru 3.7 Jan'06 1.5 2.5 2.3
Venezuela 14.2 Jan'06 14.4 14.3 14.3
Exchange rates
end of period per US$
LT Consensus Forecast *
2005E 2006F 2007F
Argentina 3.05 3.11 3.19
Brazil 2.34 2.28 2.33
Chile 514 546 572
Colombia 2,284 2,336 2,438
Ecuador 1.00 1.00 1.00
Mexico 10.63 11.13 11.49
Peru 3.42 3.36 3.39
Venezuela 2,150 2,239 2,474
Current account
as % of GDP
LT Consensus Forecast *
2005E 2006F 2007F
Argentina 3.0 1.5 0.8
Brazil 1.8 0.7 0.4
Chile -0.4 -0.6 -1.3
Colombia -1.1 -1.5 -1.8
Ecuador 0.7 -0.3 -0.5
Mexico -0.7 -1.2 -1.6
Peru 1.3 0.3 -1
Venezuela 18.8 13.6 10.5
International reserves
US$ billions
LT Consensus Forecast *
2005E 2006F 2007F
Argentina 27.8 26.6 28.9
Brazil 53.8 58.0 63.4
Chile 17.0 16.8 17.3
Colombia 15.0 15.8 16.3
Ecuador 2.1 2.0 2.1
Mexico 68.7 73.1 73.8
Peru 14.1 15.6 16.8
Venezuela 30.0 28.6 26.3
* LATIN TRADE Consensus Forecast includes ABN-Amro, Banamex, BBVA,
Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Santander Central Hispano Investment,
Smith Barney, UBS Warburg, LATIN TRADE
(+) open unemployment (economically active, seeking work)
Consumer prices
% change on year ago
latest year ago
Argentina 12.1 Jan '06 7.2
Bolivia 3.9 Jan '06 5.4
Brazil 5.8 Jan '06 7.4
Chile 4.1 Jan '06 2.3
Colombia 4.6 Jan '06 5.4
Costa Rica 13.2 Jan '06 13.4
Dominican Rep. 8.3 Jan '06 18.8
Ecuador 4.8 Jan '06 1.7
El Salvador 3.3 Jan '06 5.7
Guatemala 7.7 Jan '06 8.5
Honduras 7.3 Jan '06 9.0
Jamaica 12.9 Jan '06 12.4
Mexico 3.9 Jan '06 4.5
Panama 3.0 Jan '06 1.6
Paraguay 10.6 Jan '06 3.2
Peru 1.9 Jan '06 3.0
Trinidad & Tobago 7.0 Jan '06 5.9
Uruguay 5.9 Jan '06 5.7
Venezuela 13.1 Jan '06 18.5
Interest rates
% per year
deposit lending
Argentina 5.54 7.53 Jan '06
Bolivia 4.40 13.24 Jan '06
Brazil 16.43 54.00 Jan '06
Chile 5.03 7.83 Jan '06
Colombia 6.14 13.36 Jan '06
Costa Rica 10.60 24.67 Jan '06
Dominican Rep. 11.81 21.09 Jan '06
Ecuador 3.74 9.84 Jan '06
El Salvador 4.08 7.79 Jan '06
Guatemala 4.38 12.72 Jan '06
Honduras 10.72 18.39 Jan '06
Jamaica 7.32 17.50 Jan '06
Mexico 3.36 8.09 Jan '06
Panama 2.80 8.39 Jan '06
Paraguay 0.90 28.78 Jan '06
Peru 3.90 14.00 Jan '06
Trinidad & Tobago 1.71 10.00 Jan '06
Uruguay 1.81 9.93 Jan '06
Venezuela 10.86 15.82 Jan '06
Exchange rates
May 2, 2006
currency per US$ per euro
Argentina Peso 3.04 3.83
Bolivia Boliviano 7.63 9.63
Brazil Real 2.09 2.63
Chile Peso 490.41 619.06
Colombia Peso 2,263 2,857
Costa Rica Colon 484.82 612.00
Dominican Rep. Peso 30.79 38.87
Ecuador Sucre 1.00 31,558
El Salvador Colon 8.30 10.47
Guatemala Quetzal 7.21 9.10
Honduras Lempira 17.98 22.69
Jamaica Dollar 62.00 78.26
Mexico Peso 11.05 13.95
Panama Balboa 1.00 1.23
Paraguay Guarani 5,534 6,986
Peru Sol 3.16 3.98
Trinidad & Tobago Dollar 6.20 7.83
Uruguay Peso 22.71 28.67
Venezuela Bolivar 2,146 2,709
Exports of goods
US$ millions
trailing
latest 12 months
Argentina 3,160 Jan '06 40,389
Bolivia 273 Jan '06 2,887
Brazil 9,271 Jan '06 120,134
Chile 3,650 Jan '06 41,216
Colombia 1,667 Jan '06 21,523
Costa Rica 555 Jan '06 7,089
Dominican Rep. 1,696 Q4 '05 6,133
Ecuador 954 Jan '06 10,137
El Salvador 288 Jan '06 3,409
Guatemala 461 Jan '06 5,418
Honduras 151 Jan '06 1,712
Jamaica 383 Q4 '05 1,451
Mexico 19,205 Jan '06 218,781
Panama 1,914 Q4 '05 7,188
Paraguay 106 Jan '06 1,702
Peru 1,419 Jan '06 17,377
Trinidad & Tobago 2,240 Q4 '05 8,834
Uruguay 278 Jan '06 3,443
Venezuela 14,929 Q4 '05 55,487
Imports of goods
US$ millions
trailing
latest 12 months
Argentina 2,323 Jan '06 29,112
Bolivia 224 Jan '06 2,396
Brazil 6,767 Jan '06 78,104
Chile 3,110 Jan '06 33,358
Colombia 1,797 Jan '06 21,538
Costa Rica 922 Jan '06 10,007
Dominican Rep. 2,515 Q4 '05 9,614
Ecuador 877 Jan '06 10,169
El Salvador 560 Jan '06 6,773
Guatemala 925 Jan '06 10,636
Honduras 406 Jan '06 4,554
Jamaica 1,195 Q4 '05 4,316
Mexico 18,672 Jan '06 224,670
Panama 2,206 Q4 '05 8,546
Paraguay 377 Jan '06 3,407
Peru 1,082 Jan '06 12,254
Trinidad & Tobago 1,760 Q4 '05 6,186
Uruguay 369 Jan '06 3,958
Venezuela 6,803 Q4 '05 23,955
International reserves ([dagger])
US$ millions
latest year ago
Argentina 18,675 Jan '06 19,405
Bolivia 1,322 Jan '06 769
Brazil 56,674 Jan '06 53,836
Chile 15,881 Jan '06 15,584
Colombia 14,557 Jan '06 13,604
Costa Rica 2,350 Jan '06 1,906
Dominican Rep. 1,813 Jan '06 955
Ecuador 1,460 Jan '06 1,150
El Salvador 1,646 Jan '06 1,814
Guatemala 3,956 Jan '06 3,410
Honduras 2,385 Jan '06 1,970
Jamaica 2,163 Jan '06 1,873
Mexico 76,743 Jan '06 65,023
Panama 1,259 Jan '06 1,110
Paraguay 1,265 Jan '06 1,139
Peru 13,586 Jan '06 12,676
Trinidad & Tobago 4,856 Dec '05 3,168
Uruguay 3,215 Jan '06 2,470
Venezuela 21,845 Jan '06 18,767
([dagger]) Excluding gold, IMF definition
SOURCE: IMF, individual countries, Oanda, LATIN TRADE
Latin Trade Index
January '06 % CHANGE
JANUARY '06/'05
Total trade US$ 76.9 billion 26.4%
Exports US$ 40.6 billion 30.3%
Imports US$ 36.3 billion 22.3%
Monthly combined exports and imports of Latin
America's eight largest economies: Argentina,
Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Mexico, Peru
and Venezuela
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