Latin America and the Caribbean.
Latin America and the Caribbean
GDP
% change on year ago
LT Consensus Forecast *
latest 2005E 2006F 2007F
Argentina 9.1 Q4 '05 9.2 6.7 3.7
Brazil 1.4 Q4 '05 2.3 3.6 4.2
Chile 5.8 Q4 '05 6.3 5.6 5.1
Colombia 3.7 Q4 '05 5.1 4.3 3.9
Ecuador 4.9 Q4 '05 3.9 2.7 2.8
Mexico 2.7 Q4 '05 3.0 3.7 3.5
Peru 7.7 Q4 '05 6.7 5.2 4.4
Venezuela 10.2 Q4 '05 9.3 6.3 4.4
Industrial production Unemployment
% change on year ago % rate
latest latest
Argentina 7.9 Dec '05 10.1 Q4 '05
Brazil 3.2 Dec '05 8.3 Dec '05 (+)
Chile 6.0 Dec '05 6.9 Dec '05
Colombia 0.3 Dec '05 10.4 Dec '05
Ecuador 8.2 Dec '05 9.3 Dec '05
Mexico 2.7 Dec '05 2.5 Dec '05 (+)
Peru 6.7 Dec '05 7.6 Dec '05
Venezuela -- -- 8.9 Dec '05
Producer prices Consumer prices
% change on year ago
LT Consensus Forecast *
latest 2005E 2006F 2007F
Argentina 10.6 Dec '05 12.3 13.7 14.6
Brazil -1.0 Dec '05 5.8 4.7 4.2
Chile 3.2 Dec '05 3.7 3.3 3.0
Colombia 2.1 Dec '05 4.9 4.7 4.4
Ecuador 21.3 Dec '05 4.4 5.9 3.2
Mexico 2.5 Dec '05 3.3 3.4 3.3
Peru 3.2 Dec '05 1.5 2.5 2.3
Venezuela 14.2 Dec '05 14.4 14.3 14.3
Exchange rates Current account
end of period per US$ as % of GDP
LT Consensus Forecast * LT Consensus Forecast *
2005E 2006F 2007F 2005E 2006F 2007F
Argentina 3.05 3.11 3.19 3.0 1.5 0.8
Brazil 2.34 2.28 2.33 1.8 0.7 0.4
Chile 514 546 572 -0.4 -0.6 -1.3
Colombia 2,284 2,336 2,435 -1.1 -1.5 -1.8
Ecuador 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.7 -0.3 -0.5
Mexico 10.63 11.13 11.49 -0.7 -1.2 -1.6
Peru 3.42 3.36 3.39 1.3 0.3 -1.0
Venezuela 2,150 2,239 2,474 18.8 13.6 10.5
International reserves
US$ billions
LT Consensus Forecast *
2005E 2006F 2007F
Argentina 27.8 26.6 28.9
Brazil 53.8 58.0 63.4
Chile 17.0 16.8 17.3
Colombia 15.0 15.8 16.3
Ecuador 2.1 2.0 2.1
Mexico 68.7 73.1 73.8
Peru 14.1 15.6 16.8
Venezuela 30.0 28.6 26.3
* LATIN TRADE Consensus Forecast includes ABN-Amro, Banamex, BBVA,
Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Santander Central Hispano Investment,
Smith Barney, UBS Warburg, LATIN TRADE
(+) open unemployment (economically active, seeking work)
Consumer prices
% change on year ago
latest Year ago
Argentina 12.3 Dec '05 6.1
Bolivia 4.9 Dec '05 4.6
Brazil 5.8 Dec '05 7.6
Chile 3.7 Dec '05 2.4
Colombia 4.9 Dec '05 5.5
Costa Rica 14.1 Dec '05 13.1
Dominican Rep. 7.4 Dec '05 28.7
Ecuador 4.4 Dec '05 1.9
El Salvador 4.3 Dec '05 5.4
Guatemala 8 Dec '05 8.6
Honduras 7.7 Dec '05 9.2
Jamaica 12.9 Dec '05 13.7
Mexico 3.3 Dec '05 5.2
Panama 3.4 Dec '05 1.2
Paraguay 9.9 Dec '05 2.8
Peru 1.5 Dec '05 3.5
Trinidad & Tobago 7.2 Dec '05 5.6
Uruguay 4.9 Dec '05 7.6
Venezuela 14.4 Dec '05 19.2
Interest rates
% per year
deposit lending
Argentina 5.06 7.15 Dec '05
Bolivia 4.55 11.59 Dec '05
Brazil 16.63 53.30 Dec '05
Chile 5.54 7.83 Dec '05
Colombia 6.30 13.29 Dec '05
Costa Rica 10.60 24.75 Dec '05
Dominican Rep. 11.62 20.17 Dec '05
Ecuador 3.78 10.16 Dec '05
El Salvador 4.02 7.03 Dec '05
Guatemala 4.38 12.67 Dec '05
Honduras 10.77 18.36 Dec '05
Jamaica 7.42 17.32 Dec '05
Mexico 3.41 9.64 Dec '05
Panama 2.78 8.40 Dec '05
Paraguay 1.91 26.62 Dec '05
Peru 3.60 13.90 Dec '05
Trinidad & Tobago 2.91 9.50 Dec '05
Uruguay 1.82 10.50 Dec '05
Venezuela 11.22 15.51 Dec '05
Exchange rates
April 3, 2006
currency per US$ per euro
Argentina Peso 2.94 3.56
Bolivia Boliviano 7.65 9.27
Brazil Real 2.16 2.62
Chile Peso 502.70 608.91
Colombia Peso 2,185 2,647
Costa Rica Colon 484.15 586.44
Dominican Rep. Peso 31.11 37.68
Ecuador Sucre 1.00 30,282
El Salvador Colon 8.32 10.08
Guatemala Quetzal 7.24 8.77
Honduras Lempira 18.03 21.84
Jamaica Dollar 62.00 75.10
Mexico Peso 10.86 13.15
Panama Balboa 1.00 1.17
Paraguay Guarani 5,639 6,831
Peru Sol 3.19 3.87
Trinidad & Tobago Dollar 6.20 7.51
Uruguay Peso 23.09 27.97
Venezuela Bolivar 2,146 2,599
Exports of goods
US$ millions
training
latest 12 months
Argentina 3,527 Dec '05 40,044
Bolivia 244 Dec '05 2,789
Brazil 10,896 Dec '05 118,308
Chile 3,783 Dec '05 40,574
Colombia 1,934 Dec '05 21,146
Costa Rica 573 Dec '05 7,039
Dominican Rep. 1,462 Q3 '05 5,951
Ecuador 929 Dec '05 9,866
El Salvador 243 Dec '05 3,383
Guatemala 419 Dec '05 5,381
Honduras 122 Dec '05 1,695
Jamaica 383 Q4 '05 1,451
Mexico 19,406 Dec '05 213,891
Panama 1,914 Q4 '05 7,188
Paraguay 135 Dec '05 1,688
Peru 1,932 Dec '05 17,247
Trinidad & Tobago 2,240 Q4 '05 8,834
Uruguay 317 Dec '05 3,405
Venezuela 14,929 Q4 '05 55,487
Imports of goods
US$ millions
training
latest 12 months
Argentina 2,494 Dec '05 28,692
Bolivia 224 Dec '05 2,343
Brazil 6,878 Dec '05 77,576
Chile 2,734 Dec '05 32,637
Colombia 2,013 Dec '05 21,204
Costa Rica 909 Dec '05 9,798
Dominican Rep. 2,631 Q3 '05 9,191
Ecuador 772 Dec '05 9,609
El Salvador 573 Dec '05 6,712
Guatemala 979 Dec '05 10,493
Honduras 445 Dec '05 4,484
Jamaica 1,195 Q4 '05 4,316
Mexico 0,601 Dec '05 221,415
Panama 2,206 Q4 '05 8,546
Paraguay 401 Dec '05 3,251
Peru 1,053 Dec '05 12,084
Trinidad & Tobago 1,760 Q4 '05 6,186
Uruguay 347 Dec '05 3,879
Venezuela 6,803 Q4 '05 23,955
International reserves ([dagger])
US$ millions
training
latest 12 months
Argentina 27,179 Dec '05 18,884
Bolivia 1,328 Dec '05 872
Brazil 53,574 Dec '05 52,740
Chile 16,929 Dec '05 15,994
Colombia 14,787 Dec '05 13,394
Costa Rica 2,313 Dec '05 1,918
Dominican Rep. 1,843 Dec '05 798
Ecuador 1,714 Dec '05 1,070
El Salvador 1,723 Dec '05 1,927
Guatemala 3,664 Dec '05 3,426
Honduras 2,327 Dec '05 1,970
Jamaica 2,170 Dec '05 1,847
Mexico 74,054 Dec '05 64,141
Panama 1,211 Dec '05 631
Paraguay 1,297 Dec '05 1,168
Peru 13,599 Dec '05 12,176
Trinidad & Tobago 4,856 Dec '05 3,168
Uruguay 3,074 Dec '05 2,508
Venezuela 23,919 Dec '05 18,375
([dagger]) Excluding gold, IMF definition
SOURCE: IMF, individual countries, Oanda, LATIN TRADE
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