Latin America and the Caribbean.
Latin America and the Caribbean
GDP
% change on year ago
LT Consensus Forecast *
latest 2003 2004E 2005F
Argentina 8.3 Q3 '04 8.3 8.1 5.3
Brazil 6.1 Q3 '04 -0.2 5.0 3.8
Chile 6.8 Q3 '04 3.3 5.5 5.5
Colombia 2.4 Q3 '04 3.5 3.7 3.5
Ecuador 7.8 Q3 '04 2.4 5.4 3.1
Mexico 4.4 Q3 '04 1.3 4.1 3.6
Peru 4.7 Q3 '04 4.0 4.3 4.0
Venezuela 15.4 Q3 '04 -9.2 15.2 5.1
Industrial
production Unemployment
% change on % rate
year ago
latest latest
Argentina 7.8 Oct '04 13.2 Q3 '04
Brazil 3.2 Oct '04 10.5 Oct '04+
Chile 5.2 Oct '04 7.8 Oct-Dec'04
Colombia 1.1 Oct '04 12.4 Oct '04
Ecuador 2.6 Oct '04 11.1 Oct '04
Mexico 1.8 Oct '04 3.6 Oct '04+
Peru 2.1 Oct '04 9.2 Oct '04
Venezuela -- -- 13.7 Oct '04
Producer prices Consumer prices
% change on year ago
LT Consensus Forecast *
latest 2003 2004E 2005F
Argentina 11.3 Oct '04 3.7 6.1 7.8
Brazil 14.4 Oct '04 9.3 7.4 5.7
Chile 8.9 Oct '04 1.1 2.4 2.8
Colombia 5.8 Oct '04 6.5 5.7 5.5
Ecuador 21.2 Oct '04 6.1 4.5 3.0
Mexico 9.5 Oct '04 4.0 5.2 4.0
Peru 5.8 Oct '04 2.5 3.5 2.5
Venezuela 24.6 Oct '04 27.1 19.2 20.3
Exchange rates
end of period per US$
LT Consensus Forecast *
2003 2004E 2005F
Argentina 2.91 2.97 3.05
Brazil 2.89 2.65 2.94
Chile 601 560 602
Colombia 2,779 2,355 2,643
Ecuador 1.00 1.00 1.00
Mexico 11.24 11.15 11.76
Peru 3.46 3.28 3.48
Venezuela 1,598 1,920 2,186
Current account
as % of GDP
LT Consensus Forecast *
2003 2004E 2005F
Argentina 6.7 3.2 1.1
Brazil 0.8 1.9 0.4
Chile -0.7 2.8 1.0
Colombia -2.4 -1.8 -1.4
Ecuador -1.8 0.7 -0.5
Mexico -1.5 -1.4 -1.3
Peru -1.8 -0.6 -0.9
Venezuela 11.8 11.9 9.7
International reserves
US$ billions
LT Consensus Forecast *
2003 2004E 2005F
Argentina 13.7 19.6 22.3
Brazil 49.3 52.9 51.0
Chile 15.9 16.4 17.0
Colombia 10.7 13.4 14.0
Ecuador 1.2 1.4 1.5
Mexico 56.5 61.5 61.3
Peru 10.1 12.0 12.4
Venezuela 21.0 24.3 27.2
* LATIN TRADE Consensus Forecast
includes ABN AMRO, Banamex,
J.P. Morgan Chase, Merrill Lynch,
Morgan Stanley, Santander
Central Hispano Investment,
Smith Barnet, UBS Warburg,
LATIN TRADE
(+) open unemployment (economically
active, seeking work)
Consumer prices
% change on year ago
latest year ago
Argentina 5.7 Oct '04 3.9
Bolivia 3.8 Oct '04 4.3
Brazil 6.9 Oct '04 14.0
Chile 1.9 Oct '04 1.2
Colombia 5.9 Oct '04 6.6
Costa Rica 13.3 Oct '04 8.9
Dominican Rep. 46.1 Oct '04 32.7
Ecuador 1.9 Oct '04 6.9
El Salvador 5.5 Oct '04 2.3
Guatemala 8.6 Oct '04 5.6
Honduras 8.8 Oct '04 7.2
Jamaica 12.3 Oct '04 14.1
Mexico 5.4 Oct '04 4.0
Panama 2.5 Jun '04 1.5
Paraguay 3.6 Oct '04 9.9
Peru 4.0 Oct '04 1.3
Trinidad & Tobago 3.2 Jun '04 4.2
Uruguay 8.7 Oct '04 11.2
Venezuela 19.7 Oct '04 25.7
Interest rates
% per year
deposit lending
Argentina 3.06 5.85 Oct '04
Bolivia 6.15 22.99 Oct '04
Brazil 15.76 55.00 Oct '04
Chile 2.06 4.53 Oct '04
Colombia 7.68 15.21 Oct '04
Costa Rica 9.50 23.58 Oct '04
Dominican Rep. 21.18 31.42 Oct '04
Ecuador 3.58 9.54 Oct '04
El Salvador 3.26 5.97 Oct '04
Guatemala 4.27 13.75 Oct '04
Honduras 10.85 19.72 Oct '04
Jamaica 7.85 17.76 Oct '04
Mexico 2.89 8.18 Oct '04
Panama 2.22 8.80 Oct '04
Paraguay 4.26 27.23 Oct '04
Peru 3.00 14.20 Oct '04
Trinidad & Tobago 3.27 9.50 Oct '04
Uruguay -- -- --
Venezuela 12.66 19.05 Oct '04
Exchange rates
January 21, 2005
currency per per
US$ euro
Argentina Peso 2.94 3.81
Bolivia Boliviano 7.75 10.05
Brazil Real 2.72 3.52
Chile Peso 585.00 758.75
Colombia Peso 2,376 3,082
Costa Rica Colon 441.95 573.21
Dominican Rep. Peso 27.05 35.08
Ecuador Sucre 1.00 32,425
El Salvador Colon 8.75 11.34
Guatemala Quetzal 7.44 9.65
Honduras Lempira 17.87 23.18
Jamaica Dollar 61.05 79.18
Mexico Peso 11.28 14.63
Panama Balboa 1.00 1.29
Paraguay Guardani 6,068 7,871
Peru Sol 3.27 4.24
Trinidad & Tobago Dollar 6.27 8.13
Uruguay Peso 25.38 32.91
Venezuela Bolivar 1,917 2,486
Export of goods
US$ millions
trailing
latest 12 months
Argentina 2,837 Oct '04 33,171
Bolivia 173 Oct '04 2,097
Brazil 8,843 Oct '04 91,849
Chile 2,770 Oct '04 29,465
Colombia 1,513 Oct '04 15,519
Costa Rica 521 Oct '04 6,160
Dominican Rep. 1,496 Q2 '04 5,532
Ecuador 727 Oct '04 7,402
El Salvador 266 Sep '04 3,042
Guatemala 412 Oct '04 4,887
Honduras 117 Oct '04 1,523
Jamaica 294 Q3 '04 1,323
Mexico 16,960 Oct '04 184,753
Panama 1,492 Q2 '04 5,361
Paraguay 114 Oct '04 1,551
Peru 1,138 Oct '04 11,731
Trinidad & Tobago 1,516 Q4 '03 5,175
Uruguay 272 Oct '04 2,781
Venezuela 10,480 Q3 '04 36,225
Imports of goods
US$ millions
trailing
latest 12 months
Argentina 1,959 Oct '04 20,860
Bolivia 177 Oct '04 1,788
Brazil 5,838 Oct '04 59,255
Chile 2,414 Oct '04 23,388
Colombia 1,452 Oct '04 15,792
Costa Rica 691 Oct '04 8,111
Dominican Rep. 1,900 Q2 '04 7,625
Ecuador 717 Oct '04 7,460
El Salvador 489 Sep '04 5,895
Guatemala 818 Oct '04 9,150
Honduras 316 Oct '04 3,754
Jamaica 927 Q3 '04 3,659
Mexico 17,524 Oct '04 190,712
Panama 1,753 Q2 '04 6,581
Paraguay 253 Oct '04 2,488
Peru 853 Oct '04 9,352
Trinidad & Tobago 1,193 Q4 '03 3,889
Uruguay 276 Oct '04 2,906
Venezuela 4,749 Q3 '04 15,780
International
deserves ([dagger])
US$ millions
trailing
latest 12 months
Argentina 17,855 Oct '04 12,915
Bolivia 753 Oct '04 780
Brazil 49,227 Oct '04 53,922
Chile 15,686 Oct '04 15,641
Colombia 12,145 Oct '04 10,463
Costa Rica 1,793 Oct '04 1,429
Dominican Rep. 635 Oct '04 238
Ecuador 1,255 Oct '04 1,053
El Salvador 1,698 Oct '04 1,804
Guatemala 3,259 Oct '04 2,851
Honduras 1,703 Oct '04 1,377
Jamaica 1,853 Oct '04 1,168
Mexico 60,909 Oct '04 56,165
Panama 476 Oct '04 1,025
Paraguay 1,191 Oct '04 840
Peru 11,730 Oct '04 9,406
Trinidad & Tobago 3,016 Oct '04 2,403
Uruguay 2,354 Oct '04 1,750
Venezuela 17,154 Oct '04 15,329
([dagger]) Excluding gold, IMF definition
SOURCE: IMF, individual countries, Oanda, LATIN TRADE
COPYRIGHT 2005 Freedom Magazines, Inc.
No portion of this article can be reproduced without the express written permission from the copyright holder.
Copyright 2005, Gale Group. All rights reserved. Gale Group is a Thomson Corporation Company.
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