Latin America and the Caribbean.
Latin America and the Caribbean
GDP Industrial Unemployment
% change on year ago production % rate
% change on
LT Consensus year ago
Forecast *
2005E 2006F 2007F latest latest
Argentina 8.6 Q1 '06 9.2 6.7 3.7 8.9 Feb '06 11.4 Q1 '06
Brazil 3.4 Q1 '06 2.3 3.6 4.2 5.4 Feb '06 10.1 Feb '06+
Chile 5.1 Q1 '06 6.3 5.6 5.1 5.0 Feb '06 7.9 Q1 '06
Colombia 3.7 Q4 '05 5.1 4.3 3.9 4.9 Feb '06 13.2 Feb '06
Ecuador 4.9 Q4 '05 3.9 2.7 2.8 3.3 Feb '06 10.6 Feb '06
Mexico 5.5 Q1 '06 3.0 3.7 3.5 5.3 Feb '06 3.6 Feb '06+
Peru 7.2 Q1 '06 6.7 5.2 4.4 4.9 Feb '06 8.9 Feb '06
Venezuela 9.4 Q1 '06 9.3 6.3 4.4 -- -- 10.7 Feb '06
Producer Consumer prices
prices
% change on year ago
latest 2005E 2006F 2007F
Argentina 13.8 Feb'06 12.3 13.7 14.6
Brazil -0.8 Feb'06 5.8 4.7 4.2
Chile 13.6 Feb'06 3.7 3.3 3.0
Colombia 1.7 Feb'06 4.9 4.7 4.4
Ecuador 15.9 Feb'06 4.4 5.9 3.2
Mexico 2.9 Feb'06 3.3 3.4 3.3
Peru 3.9 Feb'06 1.5 2.5 2.3
Venezuela 13.8 Feb'06 14.4 14.3 14.3
Exchange rates Current account
end of period per US$ as % of GDP
LT Consensus Forecast * LT Consensus Forecast *
2005E 2006F 2007F 2005E 2006F 2007F
Argentina 3.05 3.11 3.19 3.0 1.5 0.8
Brazil 2.34 2.28 2.33 1.8 0.7 0.4
Chile 514 546 572 -0.4 -0.6 -1.3
Colombia 2,284 2,336 2,438 -1.1 -1.5 -1.8
Ecuador 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.7 -0.3 -0.5
Mexico 10.63 11.13 11.49 -0.7 -1.2 -1.6
Peru 3.42 3.36 3.39 1.3 0.3 -1.0
Venezuela 2,150 2,239 2,474 18.8 13.6 10.5
International reserves
US$ billions
LT Consensus Forecast *
2005E 2006F 2007F
Argentina 27.8 26.6 28.9
Brazil 53.8 58.0 63.4
Chile 17.0 16.8 17.3
Colombia 15.0 15.8 16.3
Ecuador 2.1 2.0 2.1
Mexico 68.7 73.1 73.8
Peru 14.1 15.6 16.8
Venezuela 30.0 28.6 26.3
* LATIN TRADE Consensus Forecast includes ABN-Amro, Banamex,
BBVA, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Santander Central Hispano
Investment, Smith Barney, UBS Warburg, LATIN TRADE
+ open unemployment (economically active, seeking work)
Consumer prices Interest rates
% change on year ago % per year
latest year ago deposit lending
Argentina 11.5 Feb '06 8.1 5.51 7.47 Feb '06
Bolivia 4.2 Feb '06 5.3 4.58 14.20 Feb '06
Brazil 5.5 Feb '06 7.4 15.71 54.00 Feb '06
Chile 4.1 Feb '06 2.2 4.66 7.83 Feb '06
Colombia 4.2 Feb '06 5.2 6.01 13.55 Feb '06
Costa Rica 13.0 Feb '06 13.2 10.68 24.67 Feb '06
Dominican Rep 8.1 Feb '06 6.8 12.06 21.61 Feb '06
Ecuador 3.9 Feb '06 1.5 3.71 8.97 Feb '06
El Salvador 3.7 Feb '06 5.3 3.97 7.53 Feb '06
Guatemala 6.9 Feb '06 8.5 4.42 12.74 Feb '06
Honduras 6.8 Feb '06 9.1 10.65 18.42 Feb '06
Jamaica 12.4 Feb '06 12.7 7.49 17.94 Feb '06
Mexico 3.7 Feb '06 4.3 3.30 7.88 Feb '06
Panama 2.3 Feb '06 1.9 3.27 8.37 Feb '06
Paraguay 11.2 Feb '06 3.6 4.76 31.64 Feb '06
Peru 2.7 Feb '06 1.7 4.30 14.30 Feb '06
Trinidad & Tobago 6.5 Feb '06 69.0 3.98 10.00 Feb '06
Uruguay 6.6 Feb '06 5.7 1.75 9.77 Feb '06
Venezuela 12.5 Feb '06 16.9 10.61 15.94 Feb '06
Exchange rates
June 6, 2006
currency per US$ per euro
Argentina Peso 3.08 3.98
Bolivia Boliviano 7.62 9.86
Brazil Real 2.28 2.96
Chile Peso 534.20 691.40
Colombia Peso 2,447 3,167
Costa Rica Colon 487.45 630.89
Dominican Rep Peso 32.10 41.55
Ecuador Sucre 1.00 32,357
El Salvador Colon 8.29 10.73
Guatemala Quetzal 7.21 9.33
Honduras Lempira 17.97 23.26
Jamaica Dollar 62.50 80.89
Mexico Peso 11.29 14.61
Panama Balboa 1.00 1.26
Paraguay Guarani 5,502 7,120
Peru Sol 3.27 4.23
Trinidad & Tobago Dollar 6.20 8.02
Uruguay Peso 22.51 29.13
Venezuela Bolivar 2,146 2,777
Exports of goods
US$ millions
trailing
latest 12 months
Argentina 3,032 Feb '06 40,843
Bolivia 269 Feb '06 2,981
Brazil 8,750 Feb '06 121,128
Chile 3,451 Feb '06 42,049
Colombia 1,861 Feb '06 21,795
Costa Rica 651 Feb '06 7,193
Dominican Rep 1,475 Q1 '06 6,174
Ecuador 908 Feb '06 10,553
El Salvador 281 Feb '06 3,416
Guatemala 429 Feb '06 5,418
Honduras 170 Feb '06 1,731
Jamaica 383 Q4 '05 1,451
Mexico 18,835 Feb '06 222,202
Panama 1,914 Q4 '05 7,188
Paraguay 152 Feb '06 1,678
Peru 1,447 Feb '06 17,688
Trinidad & Tobago 2,240 Q4 '05 8,834
Uruguay 243 Feb '06 3,446
Venezuela 15,699 Q1 '06 59,660
Imports of goods
US$ millions
trailing
latest 12 months
Argentina 2,326 Feb '06 29,576
Bolivia 174 Feb '06 2,412
Brazil 6,239 Feb '06 79,389
Chile 2,594 Feb '06 33,774
Colombia 2,038 Feb '06 22,015
Costa Rica 809 Feb '06 10,121
Dominican Rep 2,481 Q1 '06 10,031
Ecuador 749 Feb '06 10,227
El Salvador 536 Feb '06 6,798
Guatemala 824 Feb '06 10,763
Honduras 350 Feb '06 4,629
Jamaica 1,195 Q4 '05 4,316
Mexico 18,499 Feb '06 227,024
Panama 2,206 Q4 '05 8,546
Paraguay 342 Feb '06 3,559
Peru 1,034 Feb '06 12,481
Trinidad & Tobago 17,601 Q4 '05 6,186
Uruguay 354 Feb '06 4,047
Venezuela 5,899 Q1 '06 24,834
International
reserves ([dagger])
US$ millions
latest year ago
Argentina 19,543 Feb '06 20,032
Bolivia 1,389 Feb '06 792
Brazil 57,172 Feb '06 58,824
Chile 16,108 Feb '06 15,461
Colombia 14,923 Feb '06 13,699
Costa Rica 2,405 Feb '06 1,982
Dominican Rep 1,825 Feb '06 1,075
Ecuador 1,445 Feb '06 990
El Salvador 1,775 Feb '06 1,817
Guatemala 3,940 Feb '06 3,437
Honduras 2,449 Feb '06 2,024
Jamaica 2,329 Feb '06 1,860
Mexico 75,570 Feb '06 64,006
Panama 1,162 Feb '06 1,088
Paraguay 1,299 Feb '06 1,163
Peru 13,440 Feb '06 12,876
Trinidad & Tobago 5,000 Feb '06 3,178
Uruguay 3,045 Feb '06 2,263
Venezuela 22,505 Feb '06 19,112
([dagger]) Excluding gold, IMF definition
SOURCE: IMF, individual countries, Oanda, LATIN TRADE
COPYRIGHT 2006 Freedom Magazines, Inc.
No portion of this article can be reproduced without the express written permission from the copyright holder.
Copyright 2006, Gale Group. All rights reserved. Gale Group is a Thomson Corporation Company.
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