Latin America and the Caribbean.
Latin America and the Caribbean
GDP
% change on year ago
LT Consensus
Forecast *
lates 2004 2005F 2006F
Argentina 8.3 Q1 '05 9.0 6.5 3.6
Brazil 3.9 Q2 '05 4.9 3.1 3.6
Chile 6.5 Q2 '05 6.1 5.8 5.1
Colombia 3.6 Q1 '05 4.1 3.6 3.5
Ecuador 3.2 Q1 '05 6.9 3.3 3.3
Mexico 3.1 Q2 '05 4.4 3.7 3.6
Peru 5.7 Q2 '05 4.8 4.8 4.2
Venezuela 11.2 Q2 '05 17.9 5.8 3.9
Industrial Unemployment
production % rate
% change on
year ago
latest latest
Argentina 8.5 May '05 13.0 Q1 '05
Brazil 5.5 May '05 10.2 May '05 (+)
Chile 6.8 May '05 8.3 Q2 '05
Colombia 2.0 May '05 12.5 May '05
Ecuador 7.0 May '05 11.0 May '05
Mexico 2.9 May '05 3.3 May '05 (+)
Peru 7.1 May '05 10.3 May '05
Venezuela -- -- 12.6 May '05
Producer Consumer prices
prices
% change on year ago
LT Consensus Forecast *
latest 2004 2005F 2006F
Argentina 7.0 May '05 6.1 10.5 8.9
Brazil 8.5 May '05 7.6 5.8 4.9
Chile 4.5 May '05 2.4 3.1 3.0
Colombia 3.0 May '05 5.5 5.2 4.9
Ecuador 1.9 May '05 2.0 1.8 1.5
Mexico 3.4 May '05 5.2 3.8 3.8
Peru 1.4 May '05 3.5 2.3 2.3
Venezuela 18.3 May '05 19.2 18.8 19.7
Exchange rates
end of period per US$
LT Consensus Forecast *
2004 2005F 2006F
Anjentina 2.98 2.97 3.00
Brazil 2.65 2.61 2.78
Chile 560 5.81 598
Colombia 2,390 2,448 2,614
Ecuador 1.00 1.00 1.00
Mexico 11.20 11.07 11.74
Peru 3.28 3.30 3.37
Venezuela 1,920 2,167 2,488
Current account
as % of GDP
LT Consensus Forecast *
2004 2005F 2006F
Anjentina 2.0 1.5 0.6
Brazil 1.9 1.3 0.4
Chile 1.5 0.9 -0.6
Colombia -1.3 -1.2 -2.1
Ecuador -0.5 0.1 -1.2
Mexico -1.1 -1.3 -1.9
Peru 0.0 -0.2 -0.5
Venezuela 13.5 10.4 5.9
International reserves
US$ billions
LT Consensus Forecast *
2004 2005F 2006F
Anjentina 18.9 23.4 25.7
Brazil 52.7 60.6 56.3
Chile 16.0 16.4 16.5
Colombia 13.4 14.7 14.9
Ecuador 1.1 1.7 1.7
Mexico 61.5 63.8 64.4
Peru 12.0 14.1 14.5
Venezuela 24.3 24.7 25.0
* LATIN TRADE Consensus Forecast includes Banamex, BBVA, Goldman
Sachs, J.P. Morgan Chase, Merrill Lynch, Morgan Stanley, Santander
Central Hispano Investment, Smith Barney, UBS Warburg, LATIN TRADE
(+) open unemployment (economically active, seeking work)
Consumer prices Interest rates
% change on year ago % per year
year
latest ago deposit lending
Argentina 8.6 May '05 4.3 3.67 6.12 May '05
Bolivia 5.6 May '05 4.4 4.70 13.46 May '05
Brazil 8.1 May '05 5.2 18.02 58.50 May '05
Chile 2.7 May '05 0.6 4.03 6.55 May '05
Colombia 5.0 May '05 5.4 7.18 14.72 May '05
Costa Rica 14.5 May '05 11.4 10.29 25.17 May '05
Dominican Rep. 0.9 May '05 65.3 10.39 24.30 May '05
Ecuador 1.6 May '05 3.0 3.56 9.72 May '05
El Salvador 4.4 May '05 4.8 3.38 6.80 May '05
Guatemala 7.8 May '05 7.2 4.36 13.04 May '05
Honduras 8.9 May '05 7.9 10.96 19.05 May '05
Jamaica 16.7 May '05 14.0 7.58 17.23 May '05
Mexico 4.6 May '05 4.3 3.59 10.14 May '05
Panama 2.7 May '05 0.0 2.72 8.80 May '05
Paraguay 7.2 May '05 3.1 2.02 32.51 May '05
Peru 1.8 May '05 3.2 3.40 15.10 May '05
Trinidad & Tobago 6.5 May '05 3.1 1.13 8.75 May '05
Uruguay 4.2 May '05 9.4 2.00 16.70 May '05
Venezuela 17.4 May '05 21.8 11.62 17.18 May '05
Exchange rates
August 31, 2005
per per
currency US$ euro
Argentina Peso 2.91 3.56
Bolivia Boliviano 8.04 9.82
Brazil Real 2.38 2.91
Chile Peso 547.00 668.54
Colombia Peso 2,304 2,816
Costa Rica Colon 483.35 590.75
Dominican Rep. Peso 27.65 33.79
Ecuador Sucre 1.00 30,555
El Salvador Colon 8.75 10.69
Guatemala Quetzal 7.59 9.28
Honduras Lempira 18.02 22.02
Jamaica Dollar 62.42 76.29
Mexico Peso 10.82 13.23
Panama Balboa 1.00 1.22
Paraguay Guarani 6,030 7,370
Peru Sol 3.29 4.02
Trinidad & Tobago Dollar 6.19 7.56
Uruguay Peso 24.23 29.61
Venezuela Bolivar 2,146 2,623
Export of goods
US$ millions
trailing
latest 12 months
Argentina 3,666 May '05 36,336
Bolivia 243 May '05 2,426
Brazil 9,818 May '05 105,966
Chile 3,065 May '05 34,659
Colombia 1,730 May '05 18,629
Costa Rica 604 May '05 6,468
Dominican Rep. 1,383 Q1 '05 5,811
Ecuador 719 May '05 8,304
El Salvador 300 May '05 3,310
Guatemala 485 May '05 5,342
Honduras 173 May '05 1,668
Jamaica 344 Q1 '05 1,362
Mexico 18,311 May '05 196,597
Panama 1,466 Q1 '05 6,082
Paraguay 146 May '05 1,607
Peru 1,353 May '05 14,253
Trinidad & Tobago 1,570 Q4 '04 6,373
Uruguay 328 May '05 3,150
Venezuela 11,333 Q1 '05 41,708
Imports of goods
US$ millions
trailing
latest 12 months
Argentina 2,478 May '05 25,150
Bolivia 176 May '05 2,033
Brazil 6,367 May '05 67,853
Chile 2,713 May '05 28,152
Colombia 1,755 May '05 18,580
Costa Rica 821 May '05 8,651
Dominican Rep. 2,064 Q1 '05 8,212
Ecuador 865 May '05 8,615
El Salvador 612 May '05 5,643
Guatemala 856 May '05 9,791
Honduras 397 May '05 4,201
Jamaica 1,001 Q1 '05 3,897
Mexico 18,356 May '05 206,940
Panama 1,856 Q1 '05 7,750
Paraguay 238 May '05 2,746
Peru 1,007 May '05 10,824
Trinidad & Tobago 1,201 Q4 '04 4,858
Uruguay 301 May '05 3,464
Venezuela 4,969 Q1 '05 19,100
International
reserves ([dagger])
US$ millions
trailing
latest 12 months
Argentina 21,378 May '05 16,181
Bolivia 851 May '05 562
Brazil 60,526 May '05 50,364
Chile 17,368 May '05 16,128
Colombia 13,272 May '05 11,238
Costa Rica 2,160 May '05 1,721
Dominican Rep. 1,350 May '05 397
Ecuador 1,176 May '05 901
El Salvador 1,778 May '05 1,855
Guatemala 3,688 May '05 2,837
Honduras 2,126 May '05 1,544
Jamaica 2,098 May '05 1,751
Mexico 61,882 May '05 60,277
Panama 1,033 May '05 848
Paraguay 1,258 May '05 1,080
Peru 13,583 May '05 10,400
Trinidad & Tobago 3,525 Apr '05 2,536
Uruguay 2,242 May '05 2,356
Venezuela 22,320 Mav '05 18,905
([dagger]) Excluding gold, IMF definition
SOURCE: IMF, individual countries,
Oanda, LATIN TRADE
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