Latest billing numbers point to Happy New Year for industry.After consecutive months of very modest growth, the Architecture Billings Index (ABI Abi (ā`bī) [short for Abijah], in the Bible, King Hezekiah's mother. (Application Binary Interface) A specification for a specific hardware platform combined with the operating system. ) saw a considerable jump in November to its second highest reading of the year, according to latest reports from the American Institute of Architects The American Institute of Architects (AIA) is a professional organization for architects in the United States. Organized in 1857, the Institute conducts various activities and programs to support the profession and enhance its public image, including periodically awarding the AIA The commercial/industrial sector recorded its best mark of the decade and while still reporting weak billings, residential architecture firms showed encouraging signs by posting the highest score in four months. With an approximate nine to twelve-month lag time between architecture billings and construction spending Construction Spending An economic indicator that measures the amount of spending towards new construction. Released monthly by the U.S. Department of Commerce's Census Bureau, it looks at residential and non-residential construction in the private sector, and state and federal at , the ABI is a leading economic indicator leading economic indicator An economic or a financial variable that tends to move ahead of and in the same direction as general economic activity. Compare lagging economic indicator. See also index of leading economic indicators. of construction activity, and should translate into a high level of activity throughout 2007. "The spike in the ABI this month reflects reinvigorated design activity now that national elections have concluded and future interest rate policy is clearer," said Matthew A. Litfin, an equity research analyst with William Blair & Company. "The November ABI reading is near record levels last seen in fall 2005 and before that, in mid-1998. Looking ahead to 2007, we are predicting very strong growth in nonresidential construction activity and stabilization in residential construction activity." The American Institute of Architects (AIA AIA - Application Integration Architecture ) reported the November ABI rating was 57.5, up sharply from 51.1 in October (any score above 50 indicates an increase in billings). "The non-residential construction sector continues to see a high level of demand for design services," said AIA chief economist Kermit Baker, PhD, Hon. AIA. "Even though there has been some deceleration deceleration /de·cel·er·a·tion/ (de-sel?er-a´shun) decrease in rate or speed. early deceleration in growth the previous two months, an uptick in billings of this size is noteworthy in portending sustained construction activity in the months ahead." The ABI shows regional average numbers of 60.7 in the west, 58 in the northeast, 51.1 in the south and 49.5 in the midwest. |
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