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Lagging the market: Randell Cain's picks go south in 2006.


A year ago when Randell Cain, principal and portfolio manager at Atlanta Life Investment Advisors, targeted stocks in the oil industry and the housing market, he felt those two areas were on a growth trajectory that would steer his stock values higher. Instead, during the 52-week period from Sept. 30, 2005 to Sept. 29, 2006. Cain's total return on his portfolio of stocks declined 6.9% while the S&P 500 rose 10.8%. "As a whole, our stocks have suffered from a confluence of factors impacting the overall economy. We continue to hold all of the shares that were recommended a year ago. Our investment style has been rewarded by being patient," Cain says.

Cain's best performing stock, Marathon Oil Marathon Oil Corporation NYSE: MRO, based in Houston, Texas, is a worldwide oil and natural gas exploration and production company. Principal exploration activities are in the United States, Norway, Equatorial Guinea, Angola and Canada.  Corp. (NYSE NYSE

See: New York Stock Exchange
: MRO MRO

In currencies, this is the abbreviation for the Mauritanian Ouguiya.

Notes:
The currency market, also known as the Foreign Exchange market, is the largest financial market in the world, with a daily average volume of over US $1 trillion.
), rose from $67.24 to $76.56, a 13.9% jump. The company, which markets and transports crude off, natural gas, and petroleum products, has benefited from higher oil prices during the year. "Many investors and analysts speculate that oil prices may decline to the mid-$30s, while it currently stands near $60," Cain notes.

Owens-Illinois Inc. (NYSE: OI) a company that manufactures glass containers and plastic packaging products, suffered a 25.2% decline from $20.62 to $15.42. "Pricing for glass containers is gradually getting better with tightness in certain U.S. and non-U.S, markets, Cain says. "Higher interest rates are pressuring the already-leveraged balance sheet. And, while the valuation continues to appear quite attractive, relief from some of these near-term issues has made it a less timely holding."

Countrywide Financial Countrywide Financial Corporation (NYSE: CFC) is a diversified financial marketing and service holding company engaged primarily in residential mortgage banking and related businesses.  Corp. (NYSE: CFC CFC

See: Controlled foreign corporation
) rose from $32.29 to $34.90, an 8.1% rise. "Countrywide Financial has seen a significant decline in home sales driven by higher interest rates and a lack of speculative demand See Speculative demand (for money. ," Cain says. "Countrywide has a diversified portfolio of businesses that has limited some of the downside volatility."

NVR NVR Never
NVR Network Video Recorder
NVR Novgorod (Russia)
NVR Naval Vessel Register (US Navy)
NVR Nene Valley Railway (UK)
NVR Non Volatile Residue
NVR Non-Volatile RAM
 Inc. (AMEX AMEX

See: American Stock Exchange
: NVR), a home building and mortgage banking business, tanked from $884.95 to $535, a 39.5% decline. Sales and orders dropped precipitously due to higher interest rates, less speculative demand, and a more patient purchaser.

Altria Group “Philip Morris” redirects here. For the racecar driver, see Philip Morris (autoracer).

Altria Group, Inc. (NYSE: MO) (previously named Philip Morris Companies Inc.
 Inc. (NYSE: MO) rose from $70.60 to $76.55, an 8.4% increase. The company, formerly Phillip Morris, benefited from solid fundamentals and speculation that a break-up will unlock significant value. "Such speculation has some believing that the value could be as much as $90 to $100," Cain says. "While we cannot offer definitive insight in terms of timing, the company has made clear their intent to create greater shareholder value by pursuing spin-offs."
TOTAL RETURN: -6.88% CURRENT VALUE OF $5,000 INVESTMENT: $4,656.09

                        CURRENT VALUE OF $1,000
                              INVESTMENT:

NYSE MRO     13.86%             $1,138.61
NYSE OI     -25.22%               $747.82
NYSE CFC      8.08%             $1,080.83
NYSE NVR    -39.54%               $604.55
NYSE: MO      8.43%             $1,084.28

* TOTAL RETURN REFLECTS STOCK APPRECIATION AND INCLUDES
STOCK SPLITS AND DIVIDENDS.

SOURCE: YAHOO! FINANCE
COPYRIGHT 2007 Earl G. Graves Publishing Co., Inc.
No portion of this article can be reproduced without the express written permission from the copyright holder.
Copyright 2007, Gale Group. All rights reserved. Gale Group is a Thomson Corporation Company.

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Article Details
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Author:Lewis, Nicole
Publication:Black Enterprise
Date:Jan 1, 2007
Words:492
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