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J.P. Morgan Emerging Markets Bond Index Plus falls 0.40%% in August, Emerging Local Markets Index down 3.53%.


NEW YORK--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Sept. 3, 1997--The J.P. Morgan Morgan, American family of financiers and philanthropists.

Junius Spencer Morgan, 1813–90, b. West Springfield, Mass., prospered at investment banking.
 Emerging Markets Bond Index Plus (EMBI EMBI Emerging Markets Bond Index
EMBI Emergency Management for Business & Industry
+) declined 0.40% in August - its first monthly loss since March - reducing its year-to-date Year-to-date (YTD)

The period beginning at the start of the calendar year up to the current date.
 return to 14.38%. The Treasury market sell-off Sell-Off

The rapid selling of securities, such as stocks, bonds and commodities. The increase in supply leads to a decline in the value of the security.

Notes:
A sell-off may occur for many reasons.
 and weak global equity markets initially did not have a profound effect on the emerging debt markets, as the EMBI tightened to a record low of 355 bps on August 14. By month-end, however, significant market corrections Market correction

A relatively short-term drop in stock market prices, generally viewed as bringing overpriced stocks back to a level closer to companies' actual values.
 in emerging Asia and Latin America Latin America, the Spanish-speaking, Portuguese-speaking, and French-speaking countries (except Canada) of North America, South America, Central America, and the West Indies.  resulted in a widening of EMBI spreads.

Russia rallied 3.46% during August (+12.50% year-to-date) on positive debt reconciliation news. The Ministry of Finance indicated that it now expects to close the deal before the end of the year as 78% of Vnesh loans were reconciled as of the end of August. Bulgaria continued to be the best performing EMBI+ market on a year-to-date basis, (+55.22%); its seventh consecutive month on top.

Poland was the worst performer in the EMBI+ falling 2.22% during August (+4.25% year-to-date). Asset values were adversely affected by a weaker zloty and concerns about upcoming elections and the budget deficit.

The Emerging Local Markets Index (ELMI ELMI Enhanced Local Management Interface (Cisco)
ELMI Ethernet Local Management Interface
) fell 3.53% in August, resulting in a year-to-date loss of 3.05%. This loss was attributable to currency devaluations Currency devaluation

A deliberate downward adjustment in the official exchange rates established, or pegged, by a government against a specified standard, such as another currency or gold.
 stemming from changes in Asian foreign exchange regimes. The Czech Republic Czech Republic, Czech Česká Republika (2005 est. pop. 10,241,000), republic, 29,677 sq mi (78,864 sq km), central Europe. It is bordered by Slovakia on the east, Austria on the south, Germany on the west, and Poland on the north.  was the best performer in August (+3.51%), reflecting positive economic news. The Czech government eliminated its controversial import deposit regulations; these measures, intended to reduce the trade gap, were unsuccessful.

Indonesia, this month's worst performer, dropped 13.14% in August (-15.91% year-to-date), as the government eliminated the foreign exchange bands and the rupiah ru·pi·ah  
n. pl. rupiah
See Table at currency.



[Hindi rupay, rupiy
 weakened weak·en  
tr. & intr.v. weak·ened, weak·en·ing, weak·ens
To make or become weak or weaker.



weaken·er n.
. Thailand, fell 7.74% in August on concerns that the IMF-sponsored package would not fully address the problems in the country's financial sector . Year-to-date, Thailand is the worst performing ELMI country, (-17.56%).

The Emerging Markets Bond Index Plus tracks total returns for traded external debt instruments in the emerging markets. The Emerging Local Markets Index tracks total returns for local-denominated money-market instruments. Information about the EMBI+ and the ELMI is also available on the Internet (http://www.jpmorgan.com). -0-
U.S. dollar total return performance (%)
August 29, 1997


                 EMBI+                   ELMI
                 Aug     YTD    12 mos   Aug    YTD  12 mos
Composite       -0.40   14.38   29.92  -3.53   -3.05  -0.59

Country composites
Argentina       -0.43   16.03   33.39   0.37    3.26   4.95
Brazil          -1.15   14.40   25.67    -      -       -
Bulgaria        -0.65   55.22   83.14    -      -       -
Czech Republic     -      -      -      3.51  -11.49  -11.57
Ecuador         -1.79   19.50   55.87    -      -       -
Indonesia          -      -      -    -13.14  -15.91  -12.56
Malaysia           -      -      -     -9.11   -9.48   -8.45
Mexico          -1.54   13.35   22.24   2.00   17.10   22.35
Morocco         -0.33   16.43   32.57    -      -       -
Nigeria          0.34    9.71   39.41    -      -       -
Panama          -0.40   15.35   36.33    -      -       -
Peru            -0.43   16.92   36.30    -      -       -
The Philippines -1.41    1.85    8.90  -2.42   -7.68   -4.86
Poland          -2.22    4.25   11.02   1.37   -6.00   -4.17
Russia           3.46   12.50   39.05    -      -       -
South Africa       -     -       -     -0.54   11.11   13.21
Thailand           -     -       -     -7.74  -17.56  -16.15
Turkey             -     -       -      0.16   -1.26    0.72
Venezuela        0.01   12.36   35.93      -      -     -

Other indices
                       Aug    YTD   12 mos
EMBI (Brady Narrow)   -0.98  15.77  31.29
LEI                   -0.98  11.06  19.81
GBI Global            -0.12  -1.57   1.66





CONTACT: J.P. Morgan & Co. Incorporated

Karl Pfalzgraf, 212/648-3904
COPYRIGHT 1997 Business Wire
No portion of this article can be reproduced without the express written permission from the copyright holder.
Copyright 1997, Gale Group. All rights reserved. Gale Group is a Thomson Corporation Company.

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