J.P. Morgan Emerging Markets Bond Index Plus falls 0.40%% in August, Emerging Local Markets Index down 3.53%.NEW YORK--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Sept. 3, 1997--The J.P. Morgan Morgan, American family of financiers and philanthropists. Junius Spencer Morgan, 1813–90, b. West Springfield, Mass., prospered at investment banking. Emerging Markets Bond Index Plus (EMBI EMBI Emerging Markets Bond Index EMBI Emergency Management for Business & Industry +) declined 0.40% in August - its first monthly loss since March - reducing its year-to-date Year-to-date (YTD) The period beginning at the start of the calendar year up to the current date. return to 14.38%. The Treasury market sell-off Sell-Off The rapid selling of securities, such as stocks, bonds and commodities. The increase in supply leads to a decline in the value of the security. Notes: A sell-off may occur for many reasons. and weak global equity markets initially did not have a profound effect on the emerging debt markets, as the EMBI tightened to a record low of 355 bps on August 14. By month-end, however, significant market corrections Market correction A relatively short-term drop in stock market prices, generally viewed as bringing overpriced stocks back to a level closer to companies' actual values. in emerging Asia and Latin America Latin America, the Spanish-speaking, Portuguese-speaking, and French-speaking countries (except Canada) of North America, South America, Central America, and the West Indies. resulted in a widening of EMBI spreads. Russia rallied 3.46% during August (+12.50% year-to-date) on positive debt reconciliation news. The Ministry of Finance indicated that it now expects to close the deal before the end of the year as 78% of Vnesh loans were reconciled as of the end of August. Bulgaria continued to be the best performing EMBI+ market on a year-to-date basis, (+55.22%); its seventh consecutive month on top. Poland was the worst performer in the EMBI+ falling 2.22% during August (+4.25% year-to-date). Asset values were adversely affected by a weaker zloty and concerns about upcoming elections and the budget deficit. The Emerging Local Markets Index (ELMI ELMI Enhanced Local Management Interface (Cisco) ELMI Ethernet Local Management Interface ) fell 3.53% in August, resulting in a year-to-date loss of 3.05%. This loss was attributable to currency devaluations Currency devaluation A deliberate downward adjustment in the official exchange rates established, or pegged, by a government against a specified standard, such as another currency or gold. stemming from changes in Asian foreign exchange regimes. The Czech Republic Czech Republic, Czech Česká Republika (2005 est. pop. 10,241,000), republic, 29,677 sq mi (78,864 sq km), central Europe. It is bordered by Slovakia on the east, Austria on the south, Germany on the west, and Poland on the north. was the best performer in August (+3.51%), reflecting positive economic news. The Czech government eliminated its controversial import deposit regulations; these measures, intended to reduce the trade gap, were unsuccessful. Indonesia, this month's worst performer, dropped 13.14% in August (-15.91% year-to-date), as the government eliminated the foreign exchange bands and the rupiah ru·pi·ah n. pl. rupiah See Table at currency. [Hindi rupay , rupiy weakened weak·en tr. & intr.v. weak·ened, weak·en·ing, weak·ens To make or become weak or weaker. weak en·er n. . Thailand, fell 7.74% in August
on concerns that the IMF-sponsored package would not fully address the
problems in the country's financial sector . Year-to-date, Thailand
is the worst performing ELMI country, (-17.56%).The Emerging Markets Bond Index Plus tracks total returns for traded external debt instruments in the emerging markets. The Emerging Local Markets Index tracks total returns for local-denominated money-market instruments. Information about the EMBI+ and the ELMI is also available on the Internet (http://www.jpmorgan.com). -0-
U.S. dollar total return performance (%)
August 29, 1997
EMBI+ ELMI
Aug YTD 12 mos Aug YTD 12 mos
Composite -0.40 14.38 29.92 -3.53 -3.05 -0.59
Country composites
Argentina -0.43 16.03 33.39 0.37 3.26 4.95
Brazil -1.15 14.40 25.67 - - -
Bulgaria -0.65 55.22 83.14 - - -
Czech Republic - - - 3.51 -11.49 -11.57
Ecuador -1.79 19.50 55.87 - - -
Indonesia - - - -13.14 -15.91 -12.56
Malaysia - - - -9.11 -9.48 -8.45
Mexico -1.54 13.35 22.24 2.00 17.10 22.35
Morocco -0.33 16.43 32.57 - - -
Nigeria 0.34 9.71 39.41 - - -
Panama -0.40 15.35 36.33 - - -
Peru -0.43 16.92 36.30 - - -
The Philippines -1.41 1.85 8.90 -2.42 -7.68 -4.86
Poland -2.22 4.25 11.02 1.37 -6.00 -4.17
Russia 3.46 12.50 39.05 - - -
South Africa - - - -0.54 11.11 13.21
Thailand - - - -7.74 -17.56 -16.15
Turkey - - - 0.16 -1.26 0.72
Venezuela 0.01 12.36 35.93 - - -
Other indices
Aug YTD 12 mos
EMBI (Brady Narrow) -0.98 15.77 31.29
LEI -0.98 11.06 19.81
GBI Global -0.12 -1.57 1.66
CONTACT: J.P. Morgan & Co. Incorporated Karl Pfalzgraf, 212/648-3904 |
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, rupiy
en·er n.
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