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It seems capital has learned nothing from past.


The one key lesson we are realizing from today's market is that capital has not learned anything. There is more money in the system, underwriting Underwriting

1. The process by which investment bankers raise investment capital from investors on behalf of corporations and governments that are issuing securities (both equity and debt).

2. The process of issuing insurance policies.
 standards continue to become more lax LAX - LAnguage eXample.

A toy language used to illustrate compiler design.

["Compiler Construction", W.M. Waite et al, Springer 1984].
 and deals are getting done that, traditionally, lenders wouldn't touch with a 10-foot pole. We are seeing deals closed without investors even viewing the property - due diligence Research; analysis; your homework. This term has caught on in all industries, because it sounds so "wired." Who would want to do analysis or research when they can do due diligence. See wired.  standards have dropped significantly.

While optimism abounds now, when the real estate boom goes bust, we are going to have a lot of product with a lot of problems. Owners will face tremendous debt problems on their existing real estate and will have no way to pay off the mortgage. Foreclosures are inevitable.

The big difference between this cycle and the '80s is that in the '80s, the government was willing to bail out the S&Ls. This time around, the government may not be as kind to the commercial lenders Whilst nearly all lenders offer loans on a commercial basis the term commercial lender has differed meanings around the world.
  • In much of the world and especially in the UK, the phrase commercial lender
. The commercial lenders don't represent a constituent CONSTITUENT. He who gives authority to another to act for him. 1 Bouv. Inst. n. 893.
     2. The constituent is bound with whatever his attorney does by virtue of his authority.
.

Simply put, the government protected the S&Ls because everyone had their money invested in the banks and it wouldn't have been a positive sign for the economy or a confidence-builder among the voting public if they were allowed to fail. The Wall Street lenders, REITs and other commercial lenders don't have the same influence on the economy, and therefore will not be protected in the same way.

What lenders need to do right now to prevent this downfall is to use more discretion. They need to insure Insure can mean:
  • To provide for financial or other mitigation if something goes wrong: see insurance or .
  • Or you may be looking for ensure or inshore.
 that the individuals they lend to are experienced operators; that the rent being commanded on the property is feasible for the tenants in the long-term; and that the need for the properly type and location is predicted to remain strong for the foreseeable fore·see  
tr.v. fore·saw , fore·seen , fore·see·ing, fore·sees
To see or know beforehand: foresaw the rapid increase in unemployment.
 future.

We, like everyone else, are keeping our pencils sharp on pricing, and for qualified borrowers, will go the extra yard. Opportunities are abundant, but the focus should be on the right deal - it's the savvy lender and investor that wins in this real estate cycle.
COPYRIGHT 1998 Hagedorn Publication
No portion of this article can be reproduced without the express written permission from the copyright holder.
Copyright 1998, Gale Group. All rights reserved. Gale Group is a Thomson Corporation Company.

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Title Annotation:Annual Review and Forecast, section 3
Author:Gleitman, Marc
Publication:Real Estate Weekly
Date:Jan 28, 1998
Words:333
Previous Article:The role of lenders in the real estate industry.(Annual Review and Forecast, section 3)
Next Article:Residential owners should focus on capital improvements.(Annual Review and Forecast, section 4)
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