Investors ready to weather whatever 2006 brings.Marcus & Millichap Real Estate Investment Brokerage Co. announced the results of the 2006 Real Estate Investor A real estate investor is someone who actively or passively invests in real estate. An active investor may buy a property, make repairs and/or improvements to the property, and sell it later for a profit. Outlook, an exclusive annual survey conducted in partnership with National Real Estate Investor. As the largest survey of its kind, the 2006 Real Estate Investor Outlook reveals specific future investment trends across the retail, office, mixed-use, multi-family, and industrial sectors. Commented Harvey Green, president and CEO (1) (Chief Executive Officer) The highest individual in command of an organization. Typically the president of the company, the CEO reports to the Chairman of the Board. of Marcus & Millichap, "We are in the ninth year of a rising real estate market. We have seen some compression of cap rates, obviously price escalation es·ca·late v. es·ca·lat·ed, es·ca·lat·ing, es·ca·lates v.tr. To increase, enlarge, or intensify: escalated the hostilities in the Persian Gulf. v.intr. , and then a downward movement in interest rates. So, it continues to be a white-hot investment market." While close to 70 percent of those surveyed responded that they plan to increase their commercial real estate investment in the next 12 months, a continuing theme of caution was revealed throughout the survey, with over 60 percent of the respondents In the context of marketing research, a representative sample drawn from a larger population of people from whom information is collected and used to develop or confirm marketing strategy. citing rising interest rates and unforeseen shocks to the economy as their top concerns for 2006. Among the study's other major findings: * Investors with large commercial real estate holdings are likely to diversify diversify To acquire a variety of assets that do not tend to change in value at the same time. To diversify a securities portfolio is to purchase different types of securities in different companies in unrelated industries. across all property types, with the majority (58%) investing in apartments * Within the next 12 months, 82% of the respondents expect an increase in effective rents and 73% expect an increase in overall property price * More than half of the respondents (52%) plan to acquire properties specifically for redevelopment, renovation or expansion. Two thirds of developer respondents (67%) plan to acquire properties for this purpose * The largest percentage of respondents (41%) predicts the economy will be stronger 12 months out * Over one-third surveyed (36%) anticipate debt financing Debt Financing When a firm raises money for working capital or capital expenditures by selling bonds, bills, or notes to individual and/or institutional investors. In return for lending the money, the individuals or institutions become creditors and receive a promise to repay will be harder to secure 12 months out * The majority of respondents believe that the 10-year treasury yield will need to reach 6.5% to adversely affect the real estate investment market * Nearly half (45%) of respondents believe the housing market is experiencing a pricing bubble those who see a bubble expect the pricing correction to be modest (10-20%) "As long as interest rates rise in an orderly orderly /or·der·ly/ (or´der-le) an attendant in a hospital who works under the direction of a nurse. or·der·ly n. An attendant in a hospital. , measured fashion, and this happens along with improvements in occupancies and rents, it is not going to create a major disruption disruption /dis·rup·tion/ (dis-rup´shun) a morphologic defect resulting from the extrinsic breakdown of, or interference with, a developmental process. in the investment market," added Hessam Nadji, managing director, research services for Marcus & Millichap. "We might see a little flattening
The flattening, ellipticity, or oblateness of an oblate spheroid is the "squashing" of the spheroid's pole, down towards its equator. trend in 2006 with for sale properties staying on the market a little longer and prices moving 10 to 15 basis points here or there. But overall, I think the investment market in 2006 is going to be within 90 percent to 95 percent of where it is at today," concluded Mr. Green. Data for the survey conducted by Marcus & Millichap Real Estate Investment Brokerage Co. and National Real Estate Investor was collected between August 4, 2005 and September 15, 2005. |
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