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Investing during downturns: when markets slide, use proven investment strategies. (Investment Insights).


Experts point out that continued careful investing during bear markets is critical to building wealth because no one can predict when the markets will rally. In fact, historically, buying on market downturns has been an effective long-term strategy. There's no knowing if that will continue to be true, but many advisors are cautiously optimistic. "Our firm had been expecting an economic pickup in 2002," says Darric N. Boyd, an associate portfolio manager and financial advisor with the investment firm Legg Mason Founded in 1899, Legg Mason, Inc. (NYSE: LM) is a leading Global Asset Management Firm that serves the institutional, mutual fund and wealth management markets. The firm is headquartered in Baltimore, Maryland, and is located on Lombard and Charles Streets in the Legg Mason  in Baltimore. "Now, there is more uncertainty about investing. However, the irony of equity investing is that just when uncertainty is the highest and stocks the least appealing, that is when the potential returns are highest."

Now might be one of those times. In March 2000, the markets started on a consistent downward slide, but having hitting their lowest points after the September 11, 2001, terrorist attacks, the markets bounced back 16% by November.

Indeed, some of ingredients for a recovery in 2002 seem to be in place. "Bad economic news has been coming out since early 2000," says Boyd. "In 2002, corporate earnings reports may be better than they were in 2001, although the attack on the World Trade Center might depress profits for a while. Also, the Fed has been cutting interest rates so much that money market funds look less attractive." With such funds only paying between 2% and 2.5%, investors may be more likely to put money into stocks and drive up prices.

Like many investors, Wayne M. Devonish has fought the urge to bail out of the market. His portfolio, which includes mutual funds and shares of Dell Computer (Nasdaq: DELL), AT&T (NYSE NYSE

See: New York Stock Exchange
: T), Carver Bancorp Carver Bancorp, Inc. is the holding company of Carver Federal Savings Bank. It is a public company, and notable for being the first and only black-managed bank on NASDAQ and one of only 11 black-managed publicly traded companies, making it the largest black-owned  (Amex: CNY CNY

In currencies, this is the abbreviation for the China Renminbi.

Notes:
The currency market, also known as the Foreign Exchange market, is the largest financial market in the world, with a daily average volume of over US $1 trillion.
), and General Electric (NYSE: GE), had taken a beating before losing another 20% after the September 11 attacks September 11 attacks

Series of airline hijackings and suicide bombings against U.S. targets perpetrated by 19 militants associated with the Islamic extremist group al-Qaeda.
. "I've lost too much principal, so I've got to hold tight says the 31-year-old housing developer for Neighborhood Housing Services, a nonprofit organization Nonprofit Organization

An association that is given tax-free status. Donations to a non-profit organization are often tax deductible as well.

Notes:
Examples of non-profit organizations are charities, hospitals and schools.
, in New York New York, state, United States
New York, Middle Atlantic state of the United States. It is bordered by Vermont, Massachusetts, Connecticut, and the Atlantic Ocean (E), New Jersey and Pennsylvania (S), Lakes Erie and Ontario and the Canadian province of
.

But holding tight doesn't mean doing nothing. When the market dipped in September, Devonish bought shares of Microsoft (Nasdaq: MSFT MSFT Microsoft (stock symbol)
MSFT Movimento Sociale Fiamma Tricolore (Italy)
MSFT Multi-Stage Fitness Test
MSFT Master of Science in Family Therapy
MSFT Macalester Students for Fair Trade
), and, periodically, he places some of his after-tax income in a money market account at Merrill Lynch bearing 2% interest, "so that I can have something to use just in case of an emergency." By accumulating cash, Devonish also feels he can minimize losses while he researches other stocks that may do better in 2002.

Kenneth Little, author of Bear-Proof Investing (Alpha Books, $21.95), says Devonish's approach is a sound one. "I'd advise investors to do the same thing they should always do: invest in quality companies with good fundamentals and good prospects for the future. Historically, good, solid companies have always bounced back after market downturns," he says.

Little also says that investors with 401(k) plans, "should continue to put money in them and not waver from investing. And use dollar-cost averaging dollar-cost averaging

Investment of a fixed amount of money at regular intervals, usually each month. This process results in the purchase of extra shares during market downturns and fewer shares during market upturns.
. By placing a fixed amount into a mutual fund, when the market is down you'll buy more shares, and when it's up you'll buy less, but in the long run, that's your best bet to improve your portfolio."
COPYRIGHT 2002 Earl G. Graves Publishing Co., Inc.
No portion of this article can be reproduced without the express written permission from the copyright holder.
Copyright 2002, Gale Group. All rights reserved. Gale Group is a Thomson Corporation Company.

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Article Details
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Author:Scott, Matthew S.
Publication:Black Enterprise
Article Type:Brief Article
Geographic Code:1USA
Date:Jan 1, 2002
Words:523
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