Interaction of the onset of spring and elevated atmospheric C[O.sub.2] on ragweed (Ambrosia artemisiifolia L.) pollen production.Increasing atmospheric carbon dioxide carbon dioxide, chemical compound, CO2, a colorless, odorless, tasteless gas that is about one and one-half times as dense as air under ordinary conditions of temperature and pressure. is responsible for climate changes that are having widespread effects on biological systems. One of the clearest changes is earlier onset of spring and lengthening lengthening (lengkˑ·the·ning), n the use of various massage or muscle energy techniques to relax and stretch muscle and connective tissue. of the growing season growing season, period during which plant growth takes place. In temperate climates the growing season is limited by seasonal changes in temperature and is defined as the period between the last killing frost of spring and the first killing frost of autumn, at which . We designed the present study to examine the interactive effects of timing of dormancy release of seeds with low and high atmospheric C[O.sub.2] on biomass, reproduction, and phenology phe·nol·o·gy n. 1. The scientific study of periodic biological phenomena, such as flowering, breeding, and migration, in relation to climatic conditions. 2. in ragweed ragweed, any plant of the genus Ambrosia, coarse, weedy herbs belonging to the family Asteraceae (aster family), most of which are native to America. They have inconspicuous greenish flowers and soft subdivided leaves. plants (Ambrosia ambrosia (ămbrō`zhə), in Greek mythology, food and drink with which the Olympian gods preserved their immortality. Extraordinarily fragrant, ambrosia was probably conceived of as a purified and idealized form of honey. artemisiifolia L.), which produce highly allergenic Allergenic A substance capable of causing an allergic reaction. Mentioned in: Echinococcosis pollen. We released ragweed seeds from dormancy at three 15-day intervals and grew plants in climate-controlled glasshouses at either ambient or 700-ppm C[O.sub.2] concentrations, placing open-top bags over inflorescences to capture pollen. Measurements of plant height and weight; inflorescence inflorescence Cluster of flowers on one or a series of branches, which together make a large showy blossom. Categories depend on the arrangement of flowers on an elongated main axis (peduncle) or on sub-branches from the main axis, and on the timing and position of flowering. number, weight, and length; and days to anthesis and anthesis date were made on each plant, and whole-plant pollen productivity was estimated from an allometric-based model. Timing and C[O.sub.2] interacted to influence pollen production. At ambient C[O.sub.2] levels, the earlier cohort acquired a greater biomass, a higher average weight per inflorescence, and a larger number of inflorescences; flowered earlier; and had 54.8% greater pollen production than did the latest cohort. At high C[O.sub.2] levels, plants showed greater biomass and reproductive effort compared with those in ambient C[O.sub.2] but only for later cohorts. In the early cohort, pollen production was similar under ambient and high C[O.sub.2], but in the middle and late cohorts, high C[O.sub.2] increased pollen production by 32% and 55%, respectively, compared with ambient C[O.sub.2] levels. Overall, ragweed pollen production can be expected to increase significantly under predicted future climate conditions. Key words: allergenic pollen, Ambrosia artemisiifolia, climate change, climate variability, elevated C[O.sub.2], global warming global warming, the gradual increase of the temperature of the earth's lower atmosphere as a result of the increase in greenhouse gases since the Industrial Revolution. , ragweed, springtime warming. Environ Health Perspect 114:865-869 (2006). doi:10.1289/ehp.8549 available via http://dx.doi.org/ [Online 9 February 2006] ********** Global climate changes, driven by increased concentrations of greenhouse gases such as carbon dioxide, are having widespread impacts on biotic biotic /bi·ot·ic/ (bi-ot´ik) 1. pertaining to life or living matter. 2. pertaining to the biota. bi·ot·ic adj. 1. Relating to life or living organisms. systems, including both direct and indirect effects on human health (Epstein 1999; Patz et al. 2005). One of the most dramatic effects of climate change seen thus far is on the timing of reproductive processes in plants (Fitter and Fitter 2002), including wind-pollinated types, many of which have highly allergenic pollen (Clot clot (klot) 1. coagulum; a semisolid mass, as of blood or lymph. 2. coagulate. agony clot a type of antemortem clot formed in the process of dying. 2003; van Vliet et al. 2002). Hence, predicted increases in C[O.sub.2], coupled with further changes in climate, could have important implications for individuals with allergies and asthma. Many regions are currently experiencing warming effects associated with global climate change, including longer growing seasons and earlier arrival of spring (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change “IPCC” redirects here. For other uses, see IPCC (disambiguation). The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) was established in 1988 by two United Nations organizations, the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) and the United Nations Environment 2001; Karl and Trenberth 2003; Menzel 2000). These changes have already greatly affected plant and animal populations by significantly influencing interannual population dynamics Population dynamics is the study of marginal and long-term changes in the numbers, individual weights and age composition of individuals in one or several populations, and biological and environmental processes influencing those changes. and phenology (Loeuille and Ghil 2004; Root et al. 2003). Analysis of temporal events since the 1950s, across a wide array of plant and animal species, indicates that spring phenology in northern temperate zones is advancing about 5 days each decade (Root et al. 2003). The trend toward earlier spring onset is particularly evident in early spring flowering of wind-pollinated tree species, for which reproductive development and bud burst in spring are highly temperature sensitive (Clot 2003; van Vliet et al. 2002). However, early spring onset may also affect temperature-dependent processes occurring over the entire growing season, not just those in early spring. For example, an early spring could also influence developmental and reproductive processes in later flowering plants plants which have stamens and pistils, and produce true seeds; phenogamous plants; - distinguished from See also: Flowering . Although atmospheric C[O.sub.2] has no apparent direct effect on human health, it does have well-known direct effects on plants. Plants grow larger, use water more effectively, and reach maturity faster when grown in elevated C[O.sub.2] (Bazzaz 1990; Drake et al. 1997). In addition, several recent studies suggest that plants can also have an enhanced reproductive effort (Jablonski et al. 2002; LaDeau and Clark 2001; Stiling et al. 2004). These effects are generally thought to be beneficial in agriculture (Southworth et al. 2002); however, some studies suggest this enhanced reproductive effort can also lead to an increase in pollen production (Wayne et al. 2002; Ziska and Caulfield 2000). Therefore, global warming is a public health concern because it has the potential to alter the timing and abundance of aeroallergens (Beggs 2004), which could result in increased symptoms in those with allergic rhinitis Allergic Rhinitis Definition Allergic rhinitis, more commonly referred to as hay fever, is an inflammation of the nasal passages caused by allergic reaction to airborne substances. or asthma. An underappreciated but important consideration is the interactive effects of C[O.sub.2] with other known or predicted changes in climate and their impact on biotic systems. For example, C[O.sub.2] may be driving the warming that results in earlier springs, but plants will experience both effects at the same time (i.e., higher C[O.sub.2] and a longer growing season). Hence, it is important to study how climate variables will interact to drive plant responses. In this study, we sought to increase our understanding of the potential response of common ragweed (Ambrosia artemisiifolia L.), a late-season flowering allergenic plant, to springtime climate variability and examine interactive effects of increased C[O.sub.2]. We performed a controlled environment study with simulated changes in the timing of spring, at both ambient and future predicted C[O.sub.2] levels, to test whether variability in the onset of spring alters the rate and magnitude of ragweed development, flowering phenology, and seasonal pollen production and whether atmospheric C[O.sub.2] concentrations directly alter ragweed development and productivity and influence plant responses to climatic variability. Materials and Methods Common ragweed (A. artemisiifolia) is a [C.sub.3] plant (a plant that uses a 3 carbon compound for C[O.sub.2] fixation during photosynthesis which should thrive in enriched C[O.sub.2] atmospheres) common to roadsides and disturbed habitats throughout most of the United States United States, officially United States of America, republic (2005 est. pop. 295,734,000), 3,539,227 sq mi (9,166,598 sq km), North America. The United States is the world's third largest country in population and the fourth largest country in area. and Canada (Bassett and Crompton 1975). It is monoecious monoecious /mo·noe·cious/ (mo-ne´shus) having reproductive organs typical of both sexes in a single individual. mo·noe·cious or mo·ne·cious adj. 1. , with separate male and female flowers borne on the same plant on distinct axillary ax·il·lar·y n. Relating to the axilla. Axillary Located in or near the armpit. Mentioned in: Mastectomy axillary of or pertaining to the armpit. branches, allowing for independent control of allocation to sexes (Payne 1963). Seeds of A. artemisiifolia collected from wild populations in Woodstock, Illinois Woodstock is a city in McHenry County, Illinois, United States. The population was 20,151 at the 2000 census, and estimated to be 23,241 as of 2006. The Northeastern Illinois Planning Commission predicts the city will have a population of 30,522 in 2030. , were vernalized by sowing seeds in six growth containers containing compost (Pro-Mix, Red Hill, PA) and storing in a refrigerator at 4[degrees]C until ready for germination germination, in a seed, process by which the plant embryo within the seed resumes growth after a period of dormancy and the seedling emerges. The length of dormancy varies; the seed of some plants (e.g. . Two trays at a time were transferred from cold conditions to the glasshouses at three 15-day intervals, creating three temporal cohorts that would simulate variability in the onset of the growing season and would include anticipated advances of spring several decades into the future. One tray from each cohort was placed in 380 ppm (ambient) and the other at 700 ppm (elevated) C[O.sub.2] concentration. From each pair of trays, seedlings were chosen that all germinated on the same day; the germination dates (23 May 2002, 7 June 2002, and 22 June 2002) were also at 15-day intervals. The middle cohort approximates the germination date of plants in the Boston area (Rogers C, personal observation). Approximately 15 days after their germination, we transplanted 24 seedlings from each tray into 6-dry-quart-capacity growth containers (22.23 cm diameter x 21.59 cm deep). Soil in each container was composed of a 4:1 mix of Pro-Mix compost and washed sand (Quickrete Co., Atlanta, GA). The soil mixture was amended with slow-release 14:14:14 nitrogen:phosphorous phos·pho·rous adj. Of, relating to, or containing phosphorus, especially with a valence of 3 or a valence lower than that of a comparable phosphoric compound. :potassium fertilizer (Osmocote; Scott's, Marysville, OH), and plants were watered daily. The glasshouses consist of six modules structured as three blocks, each block having two modules of differing C[O.sub.2] concentrations (380 and 700 ppm). Containers were arranged in the modules according to according to prep. 1. As stated or indicated by; on the authority of: according to historians. 2. In keeping with: according to instructions. 3. their C[O.sub.2] and temporal cohort (i.e., eight plants in each of three temporal cohorts, in each of three glasshouse modules, at both low and high C[O.sub.2], for a total of 144 plants). Day/night temperatures were maintained at 26/21[degrees]C. Ambient glasshouse light levels were approximately 70% of full sun, supplemented with 6 hr of light daily (1000 to 1600 hr) from overhead metal halide lamps Metal halide lamps, a member of the high-intensity discharge (HID) family of lamps, produce high light output for their size, making them a compact, powerful, and efficient light source. , thus allowing plants to experience natural variation in day length. Temperature, C[O.sub.2], and light were computer-controlled for all modules, and we used corn plants (Zea mays Zea mays a grass in plant family Poaceae. A staple part of human and animal diet in many countries as corn or maize meal. The standing green crop, up to 10 ft high, makes excellent ensilage and green chop. May be infested with poisonous fungi in the field or as stored grain. ) to help maintain a constant C[O.sub.2] concentration in the low-C[O.sub.2] modules. In each module, temporal cohorts of ragweed plants were separated, and the positions of the containers within each treatment were randomized ran·dom·ize tr.v. ran·dom·ized, ran·dom·iz·ing, ran·dom·iz·es To make random in arrangement, especially in order to control the variables in an experiment. at intervals coming or happening with intervals between; now and then. See also: Interval to minimize edge effects. Cohorts were grown at a foliar foliar pertaining to or having the quality of leaves. density of approximately nine plants per square meter Noun 1. square meter - a centare is 1/100th of an are centare, square metre area unit, square measure - a system of units used to measure areas . We recorded measurements of flower phenology and date of first pollen release for each ragweed plant throughout the experiment. We chose five male floral spikes at random from each plant in the first two cohorts and three from each plant in the third cohort at each C[O.sub.2] level and placed a 5 cm x 25 cm polyethylene bag over each selected spike, similar to the procedure described in Ziska and Caulfield (2000). On one side of the bag near the bottom, we cut a small slit and placed the spike inside. The slit was then taped shut and the bag left to collect pollen shed by the spike, with the tops of the bags left open for ventilation. After pollen production had stopped, we measured the length of the bagged flower spikes, cut each at the base, and stored the spike in the collection bag at -20[degrees] C until ready for evaluation. Bags in which water accumulated due to watering or heavy condensation were discarded, leaving 477 individual inflorescences. After senescence senescence /se·nes·cence/ (se-nes´ens) the process of growing old, especially the condition resulting from the transitions and accumulations of the deleterious aging processes. se·nes·cence n. , we harvested plants over 3 days from 16 through 18 September. Plant height and number of inflorescences were recorded, the plants were cut at the base, and all flower spikes were removed and placed in bags separate from the vegetative vegetative /veg·e·ta·tive/ (vej?e-ta?tiv) 1. of, pertaining to, or characteristic of plants. 2. concerned with growth and nutrition, as opposed to reproduction. 3. material. We measured the length of each floral spike on each plant. Roots were washed clean of dirt and also placed in separate bags. All plant material was dried at 70[degrees]C for 48 hr, and we recorded separate dry weight measurements for all roots, flowers, and vegetative material. For each bagged flower spike, pollen was recovered by twice repeated 30-sec vortexing in a wash solution (distilled water Noun 1. distilled water - water that has been purified by distillation H2O, water - binary compound that occurs at room temperature as a clear colorless odorless tasteless liquid; freezes into ice below 0 degrees centigrade and boils above 100 degrees centigrade; with 0.02% Tween tween n. A child between middle childhood and adolesence, usually between 8 and 12 years old. [Blend of teen1 and between.] 20) in 15 mL Falcon tubes, followed by 5-min centrifugation Centrifugation A mechanical method of separating immiscible liquids or solids from liquids by the application of centrifugal force. This force can be very great, and separations which proceed slowly by gravity can be speeded up enormously in centrifugal (2,500 rpm; relative centrifugal force centrifugal force Fictitious force, peculiar to circular motion, that is equal but opposite to the centripetal force that keeps a particle on a circular path (see centripetal acceleration). = 600). Pollen recoveries from the spike and pollen rinsed from the polyethylene bag were combined in a total volume of 2.0 mL wash solution. We determined the number of pollen grains per spike by calculating the pollen concentration in the wash suspension from microscopic counts using a glass hemacytometer hemacytometer /hema·cy·tom·e·ter/ (he?mah-si-tom´e-ter) an apparatus used for making manual blood counts with a counting chamber. he·ma·cy·tom·e·ter n. See hemocytometer. (Hausser Scientific, Horsham, PA). For each inflorescence, we estimated pollen production [p.sub.ij] from an allometric al·lom·e·try n. The study of the change in proportion of various parts of an organism as a consequence of growth. al model based on log inflorescence length, time of dormancy release, C[O.sub.2] concentration, total number of inflorescences, total weight of inflorescences, and days to anthesis: Log([p.sub.ij]) = [mu] + [t.sub.r] + [l.sub.j] + (tl)[.sub.jr] + [c.sub.q] + [n.sub.i] + (cn)[.sub.iq] + [w.sub.i] + [a.sub.i] + (al)[.sub.ij], [1] where [mu] is a constant and j indexes each inflorescence of log length [l.sub.j] on plant i with number of inflorescences [n.sub.i], total inflorescence weight [w.sub.i], and days to anthesis [a.sub.i], dormancy release at time [t.sub.r], and grown under C[O.sub.2] concentration [c.sub.q]. Additional interaction terms did not improve model prediction. We estimated whole-plant pollen production, [p.sub.i], as the sum of pollen production over all inflorescences on each plant. We used a two-way factorial factorial For any whole number, the product of all the counting numbers up to and including itself. It is indicated with an exclamation point: 4! (read “four factorial”) is 1 × 2 × 3 × 4 = 24. design with time of dormancy release crossed with C[O.sub.2] treatment and C[O.sub.2] nested within glasshouse wing to assess the responses to the timing of dormancy release and C[O.sub.2], and we modeled estimated pollen count pollen count n. The average number of pollen grains, usually of ragweed, in a cubic yard or other standard volume of air over a 24-hour period at a specified time and place. , inflorescence number, inflorescence weight, aboveground biomass, plant height, days to anthesis, and date of anthesis. Time was included as a fixed term. Glasshouse wing and C[O.sub.2] within wing were included as random terms to permit broad inference. We included the time x C[O.sub.2] interaction as a fixed term because plants were individually randomized. Results The impact of variability in the onset of spring under scenarios of ambient and elevated C[O.sub.2] was assessed through several biomass (plant height, aboveground biomass), phenological (days to anthesis, anthesis date), and reproductive measures (number of inflorescences, inflorescence length, total weight of inflorescences, pollen production). The model estimating whole-plant pollen production explained 62% of the variation in measured pollen counts from 477 inflorescences collected from 141 of 144 individual plants. Pollen production per inflorescence was most strongly associated with inflorescence length, number of inflorescences per plant, and days to anthesis (Table 1). The negative association between inflorescence number and pollen production suggests a tradeoff, with some plants producing fewer pollen-rich inflorescences and others producing more inflorescences each producing less pollen per unit length. We examined the interaction of time of dormancy release and C[O.sub.2] concentration, and the results are presented in Table 2. Significant time x C[O.sub.2] interaction terms were found in each of estimated pollen count, inflorescence number, inflorescence weight, aboveground biomass, and plant height (marginally). C[O.sub.2] treatment did not significantly affect days to anthesis or anthesis date. We calculated least-square means for each level of time and C[O.sub.2] along with 95% confidence limits for the measures of biomass, reproductive effort, phenology, and pollen productivity. Plants in early spring cohorts had significantly greater aboveground biomass and height than did the late cohort, as shown in Figure 1, with the greatest difference between early and late cohorts. Little additional gain in biomass or height was achieved between middle and early cohorts under either C[O.sub.2] condition, perhaps indicating that near-maximal growth occurred in the longer growing seasons. However, in cohorts released from dormancy later, plants grown in elevated C[O.sub.2] acquired significantly greater height and weight. Hence, elevated C[O.sub.2] appears to have a greater impact on increasing biomass when plants are younger and/or smaller. Earlier release from dormancy also increased reproductive effort measured by the number of inflorescences and inflorescence weight (Figure 2). There was a continuous trend toward a greater number of, and heavier, inflorescences in the middle and early cohorts at ambient C[O.sub.2] levels. In the early cohort, there was no difference in reproductive effort for plants grown at ambient versus high C[O.sub.2]. Interestingly, at high C[O.sub.2], plants from the middle cohort had the highest number and heaviest inflorescences. At high C[O.sub.2], inflorescences were significantly heavier and more abundant in both the middle and later cohorts than at ambient C[O.sub.2] levels. We also examined the influence of growing season length and C[O.sub.2] on phenological responses of days to anthesis and anthesis date (Figure 3). Photoperiodic control of flower initiation is well documented in A. artemisiifolia and is similar to many other late-summer-flowering plants. Therefore, little difference in the number of days to flowering (anthesis) and anthesis date was expected. Logically, plants released from dormancy earlier had a longer time until flowering. However, surprisingly, the anthesis date (date on which first pollen release was recorded) differed among the three cohorts. There was a consistent trend toward a later date of first anthesis in the later cohorts. Therefore, although flower initiation is reportedly under photoperiodic control (Lewis et al. 1991), anthesis apparently is not. There was no effect of C[O.sub.2] on the number of days until anthesis or anthesis date for any cohort. Finally, at ambient C[O.sub.2] levels, estimates of whole-plant pollen production, based on parameters outlined in the model above, were higher in earlier cohorts (Figure 4). At ambient C[O.sub.2] levels, the simulated early spring cohort produced 54.8% more pollen compared with plants released from dormancy late. High C[O.sub.2] did not further increase pollen production relative to ambient C[O.sub.2] in the early cohort, but increased pollen production was observed in the middle (32.0% increase, p = 0.0506) and late (55.0% increase, p = 0.0240) cohorts. Discussion This study is the first to assess the potential impact of earlier arrival of spring, and the interaction with C[O.sub.2], as expected with global warming and increased climate variability, on pollen productivity in allergenic plants. Based on the current rate of phenological advances (5 days/decade) (Root et al. 2003), the degree of advancement used in this study is similar to what might be expected three to six decades in the future. Our simulated effect of earlier spring dormancy release allowed ragweed plants to accumulate more resources through the season, thereby increasing biomass and reproductive effort. Plants in ambient C[O.sub.2] released from dormancy earlier had increased height and weight, more and heavier inflorescences, and 54.8% higher pollen production compared with those released 30 days later. Increased temperatures, which would accompany earlier spring and elevated C[O.sub.2] under future climate regimes, although not studied in these experiments, might also affect pollen production. Because increasing atmospheric C[O.sub.2] is assured for the next several decades, and it is unknown how C[O.sub.2] might interact with climatic variables to influence plant responses, we also determined the additional interactive effects of elevated C[O.sub.2] with variations in the onset of spring. We found that there was no additional advantage to plants in the earliest cohort grown under high C[O.sub.2]. However, the number and weight of inflorescences were significantly greater at high C[O.sub.2] relative to ambient levels for plants in both the middle and late cohorts. Increased biomass and pollen production was also significantly higher in the late cohort at high C[O.sub.2] levels. Hence, the reproductive disadvantage of a shorter growing season could be ameliorated when plants are grown in elevated C[O.sub.2]. It is a well-known phenomenon of chamber studies that the advantage of elevated C[O.sub.2] is greatest early in plant development but diminishes over time (Drake et al. 1997). In essence, plants exhibit acclimation acclimation /ac·cli·ma·tion/ (ak?li-ma´shun) the process of becoming accustomed to a new environment. ac·cli·ma·tion n. 1. to elevated C[O.sub.2] with age (Long et al. 2004) or perhaps as a result of resource depletion Resource depletion is an economic term referring to the exhaustion of raw materials within a region. Resources are commonly divided between renewable resources and non-renewable resources. due to the confines of growth within pots (Drake et al. 1997). We found the least difference in productivity between plants in ambient and elevated C[O.sub.2] for the earliest cohort. Early-cohort plants in elevated C[O.sub.2] may have had an early advantage but then acclimated over time, and/or the longer growing season may have been sufficient for ambient-C[O.sub.2] plants to make up the early difference. In contrast, in the latest cohort with the shortest growing season--and hence the least amount of time for ambient-C[O.sub.2] plants to make up the early difference in productivity--elevated-C[O.sub.2] plants had significantly greater biomass, number and weight of inflorescences, and pollen production relative to ambient-C[O.sub.2] plants. These results highlight the importance of examining the interactive effects of C[O.sub.2] with other climate variables in order to understand the implications of climate change. The climate variability that stems from global warming is a significant concern. Our results show that variability in the onset of spring elicits a strong increase in pollen production in early seasons at ambient C[O.sub.2] concentrations. However, in elevated C[O.sub.2], although pollen productivity is enhanced, it is less sensitive to variability in season onset. Hence, in future climates with elevated C[O.sub.2], we predict pollen production will be just as robust in years with late springs as in years with early springs. Overall, pollen production in ragweed can be expected to increase significantly under predicted future climate conditions. Our results are consistent with the findings of other greenhouse and chamber studies on ragweed that have shown a 60-90% increase in pollen productivity with elevated C[O.sub.2] (700 or 600 ppm) compared with current ambient levels (Wayne et al. 2002; Ziska and Caulfield 2000). Of course, the ability to generalize generalize /gen·er·al·ize/ (-iz) 1. to spread throughout the body, as when local disease becomes systemic. 2. to form a general principle; to reason inductively. results of closed environment experiments to natural field populations is an important issue; however, A. artemisiifolia also appears to be a strong competitor in mixed populations in elevated C[O.sub.2] (Bazzaz and Garbutt 1988). In addition, similar results on pollen productivity have been found in field studies. In cities, because of proximity to industrial and vehicular sources, atmospheric C[O.sub.2] concentrations and temperatures are much higher than in the surrounding rural areas (Idso et al. 2002). Using a naturally occurring gradient in Baltimore, where temperature and C[O.sub.2] are elevated by 1.8-2.0[degrees]C and 30% (to ~500 ppm), respectively, compared with outlying areas, Ziska et al. (2003) found that in experimental ragweed plots, plants increased biomass and pollen production with the degree of urbanization. This brings to light two facts: Plants in the field are responding similarly to effects modeled in glasshouse experiments, and urban plants are currently experiencing changed atmospheric conditions that are altering their pollen productivity now, not decades into the future. Both allergies and asthma have been increasing worldwide in recent decades, significantly above that expected from better diagnosing or increased reporting (von Mutius 1998). Although the trend may be showing early signs of leveling off (Hertzen and Haahtela 2005; Lawson and Senthilselvan 2005), there still is a much greater proportion of the population that is vulnerable to allergen allergen /al·ler·gen/ (al´er-jen) an antigenic substance capable of producing immediate hypersensitivity (allergy).allergen´ic pollen allergen exposure than ever before. Ragweed pollen allergens are some of the most potent in North America North America, third largest continent (1990 est. pop. 365,000,000), c.9,400,000 sq mi (24,346,000 sq km), the northern of the two continents of the Western Hemisphere. , and roughly 10% of the population is sensitized sensitized /sen·si·tized/ (sen´si-tizd) rendered sensitive. sensitized rendered sensitive. sensitized cells see sensitization (2). (Gergen et al. 1987). Diesel particles from truck and vehicle exhaust have been shown to act synergistically syn·er·gis·tic adj. 1. Of or relating to synergy: a synergistic effect. 2. Producing or capable of producing synergy: synergistic drugs. 3. with pollen allergens to exacerbate disease (Hauser et al. 2003) and are now thought to be an important factor in the recent rise in allergic disease (Riedl and Diaz-Sanchez 2005). Hence, an important question is whether greater ragweed pollen production (with or without diesel particle coexposure) will lead to an increase in the frequency or severity of asthma and allergy symptoms, or to new sensitizations and a further increase in development of allergic disease. Conclusion The effects of global warming
The predicted effects of global warming on the environment and for human life are numerous and varied. It is generally difficult to attribute specific natural phenomena to long-term causes, but some effects of are complex, but studies of their impact on biotic communities clearly point toward secondary effects that could be detrimental to human health. Our study of A. artemisiifolia under conditions that simulate future levels of atmospheric C[O.sub.2] and increased temperatures shows that one effect--increased production of allergenic pollen--could strongly affect the significant proportion of the population with pollen allergies as climate change progresses. Because the results of this study suggest that, under future conditions of global warming and elevated C[O.sub.2], pollen seasons will be more intense and could start earlier than expected, pollen forecasting and pollen avoidance strategies for sensitized individuals will be particularly important. 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A Contribution of Working Groups I, II, and III to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (Watson RT, Core Writing Team, eds). Cambridge, UK:Cambridge University Press Cambridge University Press (known colloquially as CUP) is a publisher given a Royal Charter by Henry VIII in 1534, and one of the two privileged presses (the other being Oxford University Press). . Jablonski LM, Wang X, Curtis PS. 2002. Plant reproduction under elevated C[O.sub.2] conditions: a meta-analysis of reports on 79 crop and wild species. New Phytol phy·tol n. A liquid alcohol used in the synthesis of vitamins E and K. 156:9-26. Karl TR, Trenberth KE. 2003. Modern global climate change. Science 302:1719-1723. LaDeau SL, Clark JS. 2001. Rising C[O.sub.2] levels and the fecundity fecundity /fe·cun·di·ty/ (fe-kun´dit-e) 1. in demography, the physiological ability to reproduce, as opposed to fertility. 2. ability to produce offspring rapidly and in large numbers. of forest trees. Science 292:95-98. Lawson JA, Senthilselvan A. 2005. Asthma epidemiology: has the crisis passed? Curr Opin Pulm Med 11:79-84. Lewis WH, Dixit AB, Wedner HJ. 1991. Asteraceae aeropollen of the western United States Noun 1. western United States - the region of the United States lying to the west of the Mississippi River West Santa Fe Trail - a trail that extends from Missouri to New Mexico; an important route for settlers moving west in the 19th century gulf coast. Ann Allergy 67:37-46. Loeuille N, Ghil M. 2004. Intrinsic and climatic factors in North-American animal population dynamics. BMC (BMC Software, Inc., Houston, TX, www.bmc.com) A leading supplier of software that supports and improves the availability, performance, and recovery of applications in complex computing environments. Ecol 4:6; doi:10.1186/1472-6785-4-6. Long SP, Ainsworth EA, Rogers A, Ort ORT oral rehydration therapy. ORT 1 Operating room technician 2 Oral rehydration therapy, see there 3. Registered Occupational therapist DR. 2004. Rising atmospheric carbon dioxide: plants FACE the future. Annu Rev Plant Biol 55:591-628. Menzel A. 2000. Trends in phenological phases in Europe between 1951 and 1996. Int J Biometeorol 44:76-81. Patz JA, Campbell-Lendrum D, Holloway T, Foley JA. 2005. Impact of regional climate change on human health. Nature 438:310-317. Payne WW. 1963. The morphology of the inflorescence of rag-weeds (Ambrosia-Franseria: Compositae). Am J Bot 50:872-880. Riedl M, Diaz-Sanchez D. 2005. Biology of diesel exhaust effects on respiratory function. J Allergy Clin Immunol 115:221-228. Root TL, Price JT, Hall KR, Schneider SH, Rosenzweig C, Pounds JA. 2003. Fingerprints of global warming on wild animals WILD ANIMALS. Animals in a state of nature; animals ferae naturae. Vide Animals; Ferae naturae. and plants. Nature 421:57-60. Southworth J, Pfeifer R, Habeck M, Randolph J, Doering O, Rao D. 2002. Sensitivity of winter wheat winter wheat n. Wheat planted in the autumn and harvested the following spring or early summer. yields in the mid-western United States to future changes in climate, climate variability, and C[O.sub.2] fertilization fertilization, in biology, process in the reproduction of both plants and animals, involving the union of two unlike sex cells (gametes), the sperm and the ovum, followed by the joining of their nuclei. . Clim Res 22:73-86. Stiling P, Moon D, Hymus G, Drake B. 2004. Differential effects of elevated C[O.sub.2] on acorn density, weight, germination, and predation predation Form of food getting in which one animal, the predator, eats an animal of another species, the prey, immediately after killing it or, in some cases, while it is still alive. Most predators are generalists; they eat a variety of prey species. among three oak species in a scrub-oak forest. Global Change Biol 10:228-232. van Vliet A, Overeem A, de Groot R, Jacobs A, Spieksma FTM FTM Free Throws Made (basketball) FTM Family Tree Maker (Brøderbund) FTM Female to Male Transsexual FTM For The Moment FTM Fair to Midland (band) FTM Forgot to Mention . 2002. The influence of temperature and climate change on the timing of pollen release in the Netherlands. Int J Climatol 22:1757-1767. von Mutius E. 1998. The rising trends in asthma and allergic disease. Clin Exp Allergy 28(suppl 5):45-49. Wayne P, Foster S, Connolly J, Bazzaz F, Epstein P. 2002. Production of allergenic pollen by ragweed (Ambrosia artemisiifolia L.) is increased in C[O.sub.2]-enriched atmospheres. Ann Allergy Asthma Immunol 88:279-282. Ziska LH, Caulfield FA. 2000. Rising C[O.sub.2] and pollen production of common ragweed (Ambrosia artemisiifolia), a known allergy-inducing species: implications for public health. Aust J Plant Physiol 27:893-898. Ziska LH, Gebhard DE, Frenz DA, Faulkner S, Singer BD, Straka JG. 2003. Cities as harbingers of climate change: common ragweed, urbanization, and public health. J Allergy Clin Immunol 111:290-295. Christine A. Rogers, (1) Peter M. Wayne, (2) Eric A. Macklin, (3) Michael L. Muilenberg, (1) Christopher J. Wagner, (1) Paul R. Epstein, (4) and Fakhri A. Bazzaz (5) (1) Department of Environmental Health, Harvard School of Public Health The Harvard School of Public Health is (colloquially, HSPH) is one of the professional graduate schools of Harvard University. Located in Longwood Area of the Boston, Massachusetts neighborhood of Mission Hill, next to Harvard Medical School and Cambridge, Massachusetts, , Boston, Massachusetts “Boston” redirects here. For other uses, see Boston (disambiguation). Boston is the capital and most populous city of Massachusetts.[3] The largest city in New England, Boston is considered the unofficial economic and cultural center of the entire New , USA; (2) New England New England, name applied to the region comprising six states of the NE United States—Maine, New Hampshire, Vermont, Massachusetts, Rhode Island, and Connecticut. The region is thought to have been so named by Capt. School of Acupuncture, Watertown, Massachusetts The Town of Watertown is a city[1] in Middlesex County, Massachusetts, United States. The population was 32,986 at the 2000 census. History Watertown, first known as Saltonstall Plantation, was one of the earliest of the Massachusetts Bay settlements. , USA; (3) New England Research Institutes New England Research Institutes (NERI) is an American contract research organization based in Watertown, Massachusetts. Founded in 1986 by Sonja and John McKinlay, NERI is contracted to perform:
Harvard College, originally for men, was founded in 1636 with a grant from the General Court of the Massachusetts Bay Colony. , Cambridge, Massachusetts This article is about the city of Cambridge in Massachusetts. For the English university town, see Cambridge, England. For other places, see Cambridge (disambiguation). Cambridge, Massachusetts is a city in the Greater Boston area of Massachusetts, United States. , USA Address correspondence to C.A. Rogers, Exposure Epidemiology and Risk Program, Harvard School of Public Health, Landmark Center
Landmark Center in Boston, Massachusetts is a commercial center situated in an art deco building built in 1929 for Sears, Roebuck and Company. , PO15677, Room 428C, 401 Park Dr., Boston, MA 02215 USA. Telephone: (617) 384-8814. Fax: (617) 384-8859. E-mail: crogers@hsph.harvard.edu This study was funded by National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Noun 1. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration - an agency in the Department of Commerce that maps the oceans and conserves their living resources; predicts changes to the earth's environment; provides weather reports and forecasts floods and hurricanes and (NOAA NOAA abbr. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Noun 1. NOAA - an agency in the Department of Commerce that maps the oceans and conserves their living resources; predicts changes to the earth's environment; ) grant NA06GP0673, through collaborative funding from NOAA, the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), independent agency of the U.S. government, with headquarters in Washington, D.C. It was established in 1970 to reduce and control air and water pollution, noise pollution, and radiation and to ensure the safe handling and , National Aeronautics and Space Administration National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA), civilian agency of the U.S. federal government with the mission of conducting research and developing operational programs in the areas of space exploration, artificial satellites (see satellite, artificial), , National Science Foundation, and Electric Power Research Institute. Additional support was provided by National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences The National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences (NIEHS) is one of 27 Institutes and Centers of the National Institutes of Health (NIH),which is a component of the Department of Health and Human Services (DHHS). The Director of the NIEHS is Dr. David A. Schwartz. grant P30 ES000002. The views expressed are solely those of the authors. The authors declare they have no competing financial interests. Received 29 July 2005; accepted 9 February 2006.
Table 1. Regression coefficients for the model estimating whole-plant
pollen productivity of A. artemisiifolia.
Parameter Symbol Group Coefficient SE
Intercept [mu] 3.47 1.63
Log inflorescence length [l.sub.j] 5.48 0.652
Time of dormancy release [t.sub.r] Early 0.00 --
Middle 1.63 0.370
Late 2.37 0.505
Log inflorescence length (tl)[.sub.jr] Early 0.00 --
x time of release
Middle -0.665 0.151
Late -0.837 0.198
No. of inflorescences [n.sub.i] -0.00503 0.000851
C[O.sub.2] concentration [c.sub.q] 380 ppm 0.00 --
700 ppm -0.448 0.153
No. of inflorescences x (cn)[.sub.iq] 380 ppm 0.00 --
C[O.sub.2]
700 ppm 0.00297 0.00106
Weight of inflorescences [w.sub.i] 0.0509 0.0157
Days to anthesis [a.sub.i] 0.119 0.0207
Log inflorescence length (al)[.sub.ij] -0.0518 0.00840
x days to anthesis
Parameter t-Value p-Value
Intercept 2.13 0.0340
Log inflorescence length 8.40 < 0.0001
Time of dormancy release -- --
4.41 < 0.0001
4.68 < 0.0001
Log inflorescence length -- --
x time of release
-4.40 < 0.0001
-4.24 < 0.0001
No. of inflorescences -5.91 < 0.0001
C[O.sub.2] concentration -- --
-2.93 0.0036
No. of inflorescences x -- --
C[O.sub.2]
2.79 0.0055
Weight of inflorescences 3.24 0.0013
Days to anthesis 5.73 < 0.0001
Log inflorescence length -6.17 < 0.0001
x days to anthesis
Table 2. Effects of time of release, C[O.sub.2] concentration, and the
interaction of time and C[O.sub.2] modeled on measures of biomass,
reproduction, phenology, and pollen production.
Response Term F-value (a) p-Value
Pollen count Time 8.49 0.0003
(estimated) C[O.sub.2] 2.54 0.2519
Time x C[O.sub.2] 4.39 0.0143
Inflorescence Time 2.91 0.0579
number C[O.sub.2] 13.12 0.0685
Time x C[O.sub.2] 3.58 0.0306
Inflorescence Time 40.24 < 0.0001
weight C[O.sub.2] 3.61 0.1979
Time x C[O.sub.2] 8.66 0.0003
Aboveground Time 42.78 < 0.0001
biomass C[O.sub.2] 5.06 0.1534
Time x C[O.sub.2] 4.13 0.0181
Plant height Time 23.80 < 0.0001
C[O.sub.2] 0.07 0.8125
Time x C[O.sub.2] 2.97 0.0546
Days to Time 62.40 < 0.0001
anthesis C[O.sub.2] 1.63 0.3299
Time x C[O.sub.2] 1.25 0.2890
Anthesis date Time 49.42 < 0.0001
C[O.sub.2] 1.63 0.3299
Time x C[O.sub.2] 1.25 0.2890
(a) For the F-statistic, numerator degrees of freedom: time = 2,
C[O.sub.2] = 1, time x C[O.sub.2] = 2; denominator degrees of freedom:
time = 134, C[O.sub.2] = 2, time x C[O.sub.2] = 134 (except for plant
height, where denominator degrees of freedom for time and time x
C[O.sub.2] are 133).
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