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Industrial production and capacity utilization: the 2004 annual revision.


On December December: see month.  22, 2004, the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve issued revisions ReVisions is a 2004 anthology of alternate history short-stories. It is edited by Julie E. Czerneda and Isaac Szpindel. Contents

Title Author
The Resonance of Light James Alan Gardner
Out of China Julie E.
 to its index of industrial production (IP) and the related measures of capacity and capacity utilization Capacity Utilization measures the rate at which a firm makes use of their capital productive capacities, such as factories and machinery. Capacity Utilization generally rises when the economy is healthy and falls when demand softens.  for the period from January January: see month.  1972 to November November: see month.  2004. Overall, the changes to total industrial production were small and almost entirely in the period from 2002 onward on·ward  
adj.
Moving or tending forward.

adv. also on·wards
In a direction or toward a position that is ahead in space or time; forward.
 (chart 1). (1) The levels, but not the rates of change, for years before 1972 were also revised.

[GRAPHIC OMITTED]

Measured from the fourth quarter of 2002 to the third quarter of 2004, industrial output is reported to have increased a little less than shown previously. Production expanded more slowly in 2000 than earlier estimates indicated, whereas the contraction contraction, in physics
contraction, in physics: see expansion.
contraction, in grammar
contraction, in writing: see abbreviation.

contraction - reduction
 in 2001 was a little less steep. The rise in output in 2002 was slightly stronger than reported earlier.

Although the level of IP was a bit lower in the third quarter of 2004 than previously reported, the rate of industrial capacity utilization--the ratio of production to capacity--was revised upward. At 78.2 percent, the utilization utilization,
n 1. the extent to which a given group uses a particular service in a specified period. Although usually expressed as the number of services used per year per 100 or per 1000 persons eligible for the service, utilization rates may be
 rate for total industry was 0.9 percentage point higher than previously reported but still 2.9 percentage points below its 1972-2003 average. The current figures place the operating rate Operating rate

The percentage of total production capacity of a company, industry, or country that is being used.


operating rate

The portion of capacity at which a business operates.
 in manufacturing for the fourth quarter of 2003 and the third quarter of 2004 about 1/2 percentage point above their earlier estimates. Excluding selected high-technology industries, capacity utilization in manufacturing in 2003 and 2004 was little revised on balance (chart 2). Capacity utilization rates Capacity utilization rate

The percentage of the economy's total plant and equipment that is currently in production. Usually, a decrease in this percentage signals an economic slowdown, while an increase signals economic expansion.
 at mines and utilities for the third quarter of 2004 were about 2 percentage points higher than reported earlier.

[GRAPHIC OMITTED]

The revision (programming) revision - A release of a piece of software which is not a major release or a bugfix, but only introduces small changes or new features.  indicated that industrial capacity expanded at a slower rate in 2002 and 2004 than estimated previously. Capacity is reported to have declined a bit in 2003; previously, a small increase had been reported. The current figures for capacity in 2000 and 2001 indicate a slightly stronger rate of increase than the earlier estimates did.

The updated IP and capacity measures incorporate newly available and more-comprehensive source data. Also, the revision introduced improved methods for compiling com·pile  
tr.v. com·piled, com·pil·ing, com·piles
1. To gather into a single book.

2. To put together or compose from materials gathered from several sources:
 sixteen monthly production series and one new capacity series. The annual source data were generally for 2002 and 2003, and the modified mod·i·fy  
v. mod·i·fied, mod·i·fy·ing, mod·i·fies

v.tr.
1. To change in form or character; alter.

2.
 methods affected indexes largely from 1972 forward.

The main data source introduced in this annual IP revision was the U.S. Census census, periodic official count of the number of persons and their condition and of the resources of a country. In ancient times, among the Jews and Romans, such enumeration was mainly for taxation and conscription purposes.  Bureau's recently issued 2002 Census of Manufactures. Data introduced from other Census Bureau Noun 1. Census Bureau - the bureau of the Commerce Department responsible for taking the census; provides demographic information and analyses about the population of the United States
Bureau of the Census
 publications included the 2002 Census of Services and the 2003 Services Annual Survey (for publishing) and selected 2003 Current Industrial Reports. Additional government source data included annual data on minerals for 2002 and 2003 from the U.S. Geological Survey The term geological survey can be used to describe both the conduct of a survey for geological purposes and an institution holding geological information.

A geological survey
 (USGS USGS United States Geological Survey (US Department of the Interior) ) and updated deflators from the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Also, the new monthly production estimates reflect updated seasonal factors and include monthly source data that became available (or were revised) after the closing of the regular four-month reporting window.

The capacity indexes and capacity utilization rates were calculated using the revised production indexes; results from the Census Bureau's 2003 Survey of Plant Capacity for the fourth quarter of the year; and newly available data on industrial capacity from the USGS, the Energy Information Agency of the Department of Energy, and other organizations.

RESULTS OF THE REVISION

For the third quarter of 2004, total industrial production was reported to be 115.9 percent of output in 1997 (appendix appendix, small, worm-shaped blind tube, about 3 in. (7.6 cm) long and 1-4 in. to 1 in. (.64–2.54 cm) thick, projecting from the cecum (part of the large intestine) on the right side of the lower abdominal cavity.  table A.1), and capacity stood at 148.2 percent of output in 1997 (appendix table A.2); both indexes are lower than reported previously. However, because the downward revision to capacity was larger than that to production, the utilization rate for total industry in the third quarter of 2004 was higher than earlier reports suggested.

Appendix tables A.3 and A.4 show the revised rates of change of industrial production for market groups, industry groups, special aggregates, and selected detail for the years 2000 through 2004. Appendix tables A.5, A.6, and A.7 show the revised figures for capacity utilization, capacity, and electric power use. Appendix tables A.3, A.4, A.6, and A.7 show the difference between the revised and earlier rates of change as well. Appendix table A.5 also shows the difference between the revised and previous rates of capacity utilization for the final quarter of the year (the third quarter was used for 2004). Appendix table A.8 shows the annual proportions of market groups and industry groups in total IP.

Industrial Production

The revision indicated that the overall path of industrial production was much the same as stated earlier. The most significant feature of this revision--the incorporation of the 2002 Census of Manufactures--had little effect on the top-line estimates.

Production by Industry Groups

Relative to earlier reports, the current estimates for manufacturing IP indicate a more moderate upward trajectory Trajectory

The curve described by a body moving through space, as of a meteor through the atmosphere, a planet around the Sun, a projectile fired from a gun, or a rocket in flight.
 for 2003 and 2004. Like the revisions to total industrial production, the revisions to manufacturing output in earlier years were minimal.

Across industry groups, the revision path indicates that the output of durable goods durable goods

Goods, such as appliances and automobiles, that have a useful life over a number of periods. Firms that produce durable goods are often subject to wide fluctuations in sales and profits. Also called consumer durables.
 manufacturers followed a generally lower trajectory in recent years than the previous estimates suggested. Industries that contributed to the downward revision in 2003 and 2004 include the computer and electronic products industry, the miscellaneous manufacturing industry, the fabricated fab·ri·cate  
tr.v. fab·ri·cat·ed, fab·ri·cat·ing, fab·ri·cates
1. To make; create.

2. To construct by combining or assembling diverse, typically standardized parts:
 metal products industry, the machinery industry, and the wood products industry.

Overall, the index for nondurable non·du·ra·ble  
adj.
Not enduring; being in a state of constant consumption: nondurable items such as paper products.

n.
A consumable item: nondurables such as food. 
 manufacturing was a little higher than the previous estimates. In 2004, lower indexes for printing and support; chemicals; plastics and rubber products; and apparel and leather were accompanied ac·com·pa·ny  
v. ac·com·pa·nied, ac·com·pa·ny·ing, ac·com·pa·nies

v.tr.
1. To be or go with as a companion.

2.
 by upward revisions to the indexes for petroleum and coal products; food, beverage, and tobacco products; textile textile

Any filament, fibre, or yarn that can be made into fabric or cloth, and the resulting material itself. The word originally referred only to woven fabrics but now includes knitted, bonded, felted, and tufted fabrics as well.
 and product mills; and paper.

The revision indicated lower output in recent years for the industries that have historically been defined as manufacturing (namely publishing and logging) but that are classified elsewhere under the North American North American

named after North America.


North American blastomycosis
see North American blastomycosis.

North American cattle tick
see boophilusannulatus.
 Industry Classification System (NAICS NAICS North American Industry Classification System ). The rates of change for 2003 and 2004 are about 4 percentage points lower than previously published.

Regarding a few special aggregates (appendix table A.4), the output of selected high-technology industries--computer and peripheral Any input, output or storage device connected externally or internally to the computer's CPU, such as a monitor, keyboard, printer, disk, tape, graphics tablet, scanner, joy stick, paddle or mouse.  equipment, communications equipment, and semiconductors and related electronic components--was lower in recent years than previously estimated. Production is reported to have fallen somewhat more steeply steep 1  
adj. steep·er, steep·est
1. Having a sharp inclination; precipitous.

2. At a rapid or precipitous rate: a steep rise in salaries.

3.
a.
 in 2001 and to have risen somewhat less in 2002, 2003, and 2004. Relative to earlier estimates, the output of computer and peripheral equipment is estimated to have increased much more slowly in 2002 and 2004 and more quickly in 2003. The index for communications equipment is reported to have declined at a faster pace in 2002 than was reported earlier; the rebound rebound (rē´bownd),
n/v 1. a recovery from illness.
n 2. an outbreak of fresh reflex activity after withdrawal of a stimulus

rebound adjective
 in 2003 is shown to be markedly stronger. The expansion of semiconductor output is estimated to have been much more moderate in 2003 and somewhat stronger in 2004 than earlier estimates suggested.

The revision found somewhat stronger output of motor vehicles and parts in recent years. Relative to earlier estimates, the index rose more in 2002 and 2003.

Production by Market Groups

Among major market groups, the production index for final products and nonindustrial adj. 1. not industrial; - used of societies. Opposite of industrial nt> and industrialized nt>.

Adj. 1. nonindustrial - not having highly developed manufacturing enterprises; "a nonindustrial society"
 supplies is little changed from earlier estimates for recent years. The overall path of this index shows a rise in 2000, a dropback in 2001, and then increasingly large gains for 2002 through 2004 (chart 3). The revision strengthened the output of consumer goods consumer goods

Any tangible commodity purchased by households to satisfy their wants and needs. Consumer goods may be durable or nondurable. Durable goods (e.g., autos, furniture, and appliances) have a significant life span, often defined as three years or more, and
 for 2001 through 2003; however, the increase in 2004 is estimated to be a little lower. The production of business equipment is reported to be somewhat weaker in the 2000-04 period, on balance, than in the earlier estimates. Production of defense and space equipment is reported to have risen a bit less in 2001 than earlier reports suggested, but the overall contour contour or contour line, line on a topographic map connecting points of equal elevation above or below mean sea level. It is thus a kind of isopleth, or line of equal quantity.  of the index still shows solid gains since 2001. On balance, the index for construction supplies is a little stronger since 2000 than reported earlier. However, the index for business supplies is weaker over the same time period. The output of materials was also weaker in recent years, particularly in 2003 and 2004; production indexes for both the energy and non-energy categories were revised downward.

[GRAPHIC OMITTED]

Capacity

The general contour of manufacturing capacity shows a slightly more rapid acceleration acceleration, change in the velocity of a body with respect to time. Since velocity is a vector quantity, involving both magnitude and direction, acceleration is also a vector. In order to produce an acceleration, a force must be applied to the body.  during the second half of the 1990s and a sharper deceleration deceleration /de·cel·er·a·tion/ (de-sel?er-a´shun) decrease in rate or speed.

early deceleration
 since then. The revisions to the capacity indexes for durable goods industries were the principal contributors to the changes in the contour of manufacturing capacity. The estimates for nondurable manufactures over the same time period are, on balance, little changed from earlier reports.

Among selected high-technology industries, the overall picture of rapidly expanding capacity in the late 1990s followed by more-moderate increases still remains. However, the revision suggested a slower path of expansion in the 2000-04 period than indicated previously. Excluding high-technology industries, manufacturing capacity contracted slightly in 2002 and 2003; the estimates show a small increase for 2004 that is about the same as in the earlier reports.

Capacity at mines decreased in four of the past five years and has declined, on balance, more than previously estimated. In contrast, capacity at electric and gas utilities accelerated sharply from 2000 to 2003, although the current measures show, on balance, a slower rate of expansion than previous estimates. For 2004, the increase in capacity at utilities moderated a bit from the pace seen over the preceding four years.

The revisions to the capacity estimates for stage-of-process groups occurred across all groups but were most pronounced in the category for primary and semifinished sem·i·fin·ished  
adj.
1. Made, treated, or sold to be used in a finished product: semifinished steel.

2. Partially finished: a semifinished basement. 
 goods. For 2002 through 2004, the current capacity measures exhibit lower rates of change than previously reported for each stage-of-process group.

Capacity Utilization

The revised rates of capacity utilization are somewhat higher than the previous estimates for recent years, mainly because of downward revisions to capacity. For the fourth quarter of 2003 and the third quarter of 2004, the revised utilization rates for total industry are about 1 percentage point higher than the earlier estimates. Utilization rates were revised upward for the three major industrial sectors--manufacturing, mining, and electric and gas utilities--with the revisions concentrated in a few industries in each sector.

Capacity utilization for total industry was 78.8 percent in the fourth quarter of 2004, a level that is 2.3 percentage points below its 1972-2003 average. At 85.6 percent in the fourth quarter, the operating rate for industries in the crude stage of processing was less than 1 percentage point below its long-run adj. 1. relating to or extending over a relatively long time; as, the long-run significance of the elections s>.

Adj. 1. long-run
 average (chart 4). The utilization rates for industries in the primary and semifinished processing group and in the finished processing group for the fourth quarter of 2004 were about 2 percentage points below their respective long-run averages.

[GRAPHIC OMITTED]

Operating rates in manufacturing industries manufacturing industries nplindustrias fpl manufactureras

manufacturing industries nplindustries fpl de transformation

 were revised up about 1/2 percentage point in 2003 and in 2004; those changes accounted for about one-half of the upward revisions to total industry capacity utilization in each year. In both 2003 and 2004, some of the upward revision to manufacturing operating rates was attributable attributable

emanating from or pertaining to attribute.


attributable proportion
see attributable risk (below).

attributable risk
 to a lower aggregation weight being accorded to high-technology industries; during this time period, the high-technology industries had relatively low utilization rates, but the downward revision to their weight reduced their drag on Verb 1. drag on - last unnecessarily long
drag out

last, endure - persist for a specified period of time; "The bad weather lasted for three days"

2.
 the overall operating rate. In 2004, the upward revision to manufacturing operating rates was also, in part, attributable to utilization rates in the selected high-technology industries that were not as low as previously published.

The operating rate for the selected high-technology industries was 69.9 percent in the third quarter of 2004--1.8 percentage points above the previously reported level and 11.6 percentage points above its trough Trough

The stage of the economy's business cycle that marks the end of a period of declining business activity and the transition to expansion.
 in the second quarter of 2002 (chart 5). On balance for recent years, the Years, The

the seven decades of Eleanor Pargiter’s life. [Br. Lit.: Benét, 1109]

See : Time
 revision placed utilization in the semiconductors and related electronic components industry at a higher rate than reported earlier but indicated a lower rate for communications equipment. Operating rates in the computer and peripheral equipment industry were not much changed.

[GRAPHIC OMITTED]

Outside the high-technology industries, manufacturing operating rates in recent years were, on balance, revised little. The current estimates for nondurable goods manufacturers and for durable goods manufacturers excluding the high-technology industries are little changed in 2003 and 2004. Over the same period, particularly for 2004, the utilization rates for other (non-NAICS) manufacturers are lower than earlier estimates suggested.

Outside of manufacturing, the revision placed the utilization rates for mines and for electric and gas utilities at higher levels than reported earlier. The upward revisions to the utilization rates for utilities reflect a significant downward revision to the data on electricity generation capacity. Less capacity at coal mines and an upward revision to drilling activity yielded higher operating rates in these industries that more than offset downward revisions to utilization rates elsewhere in mining. For the third quarter of 2004, the utilization rate at mines was 86.3 percent, and the utilization rate at gas and electric utilities was 83.7 percent. Both measures are still below their 1972-2003 averages but roughly 2 percentage points above their previous estimates.

TECHNICAL ASPECTS OF THE REVISION

The revision incorporated updated comprehensive annual data and revised monthly source data used in the estimation estimation

In mathematics, use of a function or formula to derive a solution or make a prediction. Unlike approximation, it has precise connotations. In statistics, for example, it connotes the careful selection and testing of a function called an estimator.
 of production, capacity, and utilization. As noted earlier, the revision included information drawn from the recently released 2002 Census of Manufactures. Additionally, this revision incorporated the 2003 Survey of Plant Capacity, other annual industry reports, recent information on prices, and revised monthly source data measuring physical output and labor and electricity inputs to production. Along with the individual production series and seasonal factors, the annual value-added val·ue-add·ed
adj.
Of or relating to the estimated value that is added to a product or material at each stage of its manufacture or distribution:
 weights used in aggregating the indexes to market and industry groups were also updated.

Changes to Benchmark Indexes

The benchmark indexes for manufacturing--defined for each six-digit NAICS industry as nominal Trifling, token, or slight; not real or substantial; in name only.

Nominal capital, for example, refers to extremely small or negligible funds, the use of which in a particular business is incidental.


NOMINAL. Relating to a name.
 gross output divided by a price index--were modified in the revision. The principal change to the indexes was the inclusion of new information from the 2002 Census of Manufactures and revisions to the information in the 2001 Annual Survey of Manufactures. In addition, the benchmark indexes incorporated newly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA BEA - Basic programming Environment for interactive-graphical Applications, from Siemens-Nixdorf. ). The new price data were not significantly different from the estimates that had been used previously. The calculation of nominal gross output for the benchmark indexes was also revised for 1997 to the present. Previously, nominal gross output for an industry was defined to equal cost of materials plus value added Value Added

The enhancement a company gives its product or service before offering the product to customers.

Notes:
This can either increase the products price or value.
. The updated methodology subtracts from that figure the cost of resold goods (those goods purchased by a manufacturer and then resold without any material transformation).

Changes to Individual Production Series

With the revision, the monthly production indicators for some series have changed. The source data for eleven industries were switched from electric power use to production-worker hours. These industries, which constituted 6.6 percent of IP in 2003, are the following:

1. other animal food (NAICS 311119)

2. soft drink and ice (31211)

3. wood container (1) Software that acts as a parent program to hold and execute a set of commands or to run other software routines.

(2) A data structure that holds one or more different types of data. See metafile and OLE.
 and pallet (32192)

4. paving, roofing, and other petroleum and coal products (32412,9)

5. pesticide pesticide, biological, physical, or chemical agent used to kill plants or animals that are harmful to people; in practice, the term pesticide is often applied only to chemical agents.  and other agricultural chemicals (32532)

6. concrete and product (32732-9)

7. forging and stamping stamp  
v. stamped, stamp·ing, stamps

v.tr.
1. To bring down (the foot) forcibly.

2. To bring the foot down onto (an object or surface) forcibly.

3.
 (3321)

8. coating, engraving engraving, in its broadest sense, the art of cutting lines in metal, wood, or other material either for decoration or for reproduction through printing. In its narrowest sense, it is an intaglio printing process in which the lines are cut in a metal plate with a , heat treating, and allied activities (3328)

9. motor vehicle metal stamping (33637)

10. household and institutional furniture and kitchen cabinet (3371)

11. medical equipment and supplies (3391)

The decision to switch the monthly indicators for these industries resulted from a deterioration de·te·ri·o·ra·tion
n.
The process or condition of becoming worse.
 in the sample of utilities that report for these industries as well as from a review of the historical annual relationships between the output benchmarks and the two corresponding inputs to production.

The revision also incorporated new physical product indicators for five industries, which made up 1.4 percent of IP in 2003:

1. aluminum foundries (NAICS 331521,4)

2. machine tools (333512,3)

3. engine manufacturing (333618)

4. mattress manufacturing (33791)

5. book publishing book publishing. The term publishing means, in the broadest sense, making something publicly known. Usually it refers to the issuing of printed materials, such as books, magazines, periodicals, and the like.  (51113)

Previously, these industries were combined with other industries in single IP indexes and then estimated from production-worker hours. Although not published, the additional series raised the total number of individual output indexes that make up industrial production to 300.

The aluminum foundries industry (NAICS 331521,4) was formerly grouped with other nonferrous non·fer·rous  
adj.
1. Not composed of or containing iron.

2. Of or relating to metals other than iron.


nonferrous
Adjective

1.
 foundries in a single IP index based on production-worker hours. For 1992 and forward, this revision established separate indexes for aluminum foundries and for other nonferrous foundries. The production indicator Indicator

Anything used to predict future financial or economic trends.

Notes:
In the context of technical analysis, an indicator is a mathematical calculation based on a securities price and/or volume. The result is used to predict future prices.
 for the new index for aluminum foundries is a value-weighted aggregate of quarterly shipments of dies, permanent molds, sand castings Casting is the process of production of objects by pouring molten material into a cavity called a mold which is the negative, or mirror image of the object, and allowing it to cool and solidify. , and other castings, for which the underlying data are obtained from the Aluminum Association. In 2003, dies made up 56.5 percent of the total product value of this industry, sand castings made up 21.4 percent, permanent molds made up 21.9 percent, and the other castings made up the very small remainder. These data are available from 1994 forward; the indexes for 1992 and 1993 were estimated based on production-worker hours. The separate index for other nonferrous foundries (331522,5,8) is based on production-worker hours.

The machine tools industry (metal cutting and forming machinery, NAICS 333512,3) was formerly grouped with other metalworking machinery in a single IP index based on production-worker hours. For 1992 and forward, the revision introduced a new index for the machine tool industry that is based on quarterly shipments data from the Census Bureau. Other metalworking machinery (333511,4,5,6,8) is now a separate index based on production-worker hours. The Census Bureau's Current Industrial Report on Metalworking Machinery (MQ333W) provides data on shipments for a variety of machine tools, including boring boring

1. a gait in a horse in which the horse leans heavily on the bit.

2. in racing, movement of a horse to put lateral pressure on another horse racing beside it.
 and drilling machines A Drilling machine is used for foundation construction in the building industry, or for drilling water or oil wells. Parts
  • Chassis
  • Power Unit
  • Rig Mast
  • Kelly
  • Drill Bit
Types
Drilling machines are classified on the basis of:
; gear-cutting machines; grinding grinding, process by which surface material is removed from an object, usually metal, by the abrasive action of a rotating wheel or a moving belt that contains abrasive grains.  and polishing polishing,
n the process of making a surface smooth and glossy or giving luster to a surface, usually by friction.

polishing brush,
n See brush, polishing.
 machines; lathes; milling machines milling machine

Machine tool that rotates a circular tool with numerous cutting edges arranged symmetrically about its axis, called a milling cutter. The metal workpiece is usually held in a vise clamped to a table that can move in three perpendicular directions.
; machining centers; punching Metals
Punching in metal fabrication is the process of using a machine to press a shape through a sheet of metal and into a die to create that shape in the metal.
, shearing shearing

In textile manufacturing, the cutting of the raised nap of a pile fabric to a uniform height to enhance appearance. Shearing machines operate much like rotary lawn mowers, and the amount of shearing depends on the desired height of the nap or pile.
, bending, and forming machines; and presses. Both unit and revenue measures for shipments are used to construct a Fisher fisher, name of a large North American marten, Martes pennanti. This carnivorous, largely arboreal mammal is found in hardwood forests of Canada, the extreme N United States, and mountain ranges of the W United States.  index of real shipments. A model-based estimate of the change in inventories (see box "The Estimation of Inventories for the Machine Tool Industry") is then added to the shipments index to compute To perform mathematical operations or general computer processing. For an explanation of "The 3 C's," or how the computer processes data, see computer.  a production index.
The Estimation of Inventories
for the Machine Tools Industry

In the inventory model used in the estimation of machine
tool production, manufacturers are assumed to want to
hold inventories proportional to their expected shipments.
The estimate of inventory change is computed as
the sum of three components: a trend rate of stockbuilding,
a portion of the adjustment to inventories that a
manufacturer would need to make in order to reach a
desired inventory level, and the impact on stocks of a
deviation of shipments from expectations. Three parameters
are required for the model: (1) a target for the ratio
of inventories to expected sales, (2) a parameter that
indicates how quickly manufacturers try to make up the
deviation from their target inventory level at the end of
the previous quarter, and (3) a parameter that indicates
the degree to which surprises in shipments are offset by
changes in actual production in the same quarter. The
parameters values were chosen by examining industries
for which shipments data exist and either production or
inventory data exist. The primary criterion for the selection
of parameter values was to maximize the [R.sup.2] statistic
attained when regressing the period-to-period rate of
change for the seasonally adjusted production series on
the rate of change for the output estimate from the model
(which is equal to shipments plus the model's estimate of
the change in inventories). In addition to just maximizing
the average [R.sup.2] statistic over all of the industries examined,
it was also undesirable for the [R.sup.2] statistic to
decrease rapidly as a result of small perturbations in the
parameter values. The parameters that resulted from this
estimation procedure seemed plausible. The target for the
ratio of inventories to expected shipments was selected to
be 0.3 quarter, or equivalently one month, of supply.
Surprises in shipments were estimated to be mostly offset
by production changes within a quarter--only 20 percent
of the surprise feeds through to inventories by the end of
the quarter. Last, it was estimated that during a quarter,
manufacturers try to close about 40 percent of any gap
between actual and target inventory levels that existed at
the beginning of the quarter.


Engine manufacturing (NAICS 333618) was formerly grouped with power transmission equipment in a single IP index based on production-worker hours. For 1992 and forward, engines and power transmission equipment are separate indexes. The NAICS industry 333618 comprises manufacturers of internal combustion engines Internal combustion engine

A prime mover, the fuel for which is burned within the engine, as contrasted to a steam engine, for example, in which fuel is burned in a separate furnace.
 except those who produce automotive gasoline engines gasoline engine: see internal-combustion engine.
gasoline engine

Most widely used form of internal-combustion engine, found in most automobiles and many other vehicles.
 or aircraft engines. Monthly diesel engine assemblies from Stark Communications, Inc., provide the production indicator for the new index for engines. The remainder of the previous grouping--speed changers
''For the species of shapechangers in the Culture novels, see Changers (The Culture)


The Changers are a fictional group of anti-hero published by Wildstorm an imprint of DC Comics.
, drives, gears, and power transmission equipment (NAICS 333612,3)--is now a separate index and is still based on production-worker hours.

The output of mattresses (NAICS 33791) was formerly grouped with the output of blinds and shades (NAICS 33792) in a single IP index called "Other furniture related product," and the estimates were based on production-worker hours. Under the revision, mattress production for 1987 and forward is based on monthly unit sales unit sales

Sales measured in terms of physical units rather than dollars. Unit sales data are often used by financial analysts when evaluating the health of a company.
 data for mattresses and foundations from the International Sleep Products Association (ISPA ISPA International School Psychology Association
ISPA Internet Service Providers Association
ISPA Instituto Superior de Psicologia Aplicada (Portugal)
ISPA International Spa Association
ISPA Istituto di Scienze delle Produzioni Alimentari
). The blinds and shades index continues to be based on production-worker hours.

The ISPA data come from a monthly survey of leading producers of mattresses and foundations. According to according to
prep.
1. As stated or indicated by; on the authority of: according to historians.

2. In keeping with: according to instructions.

3.
 the ISPA, survey respondents In the context of marketing research, a representative sample drawn from a larger population of people from whom information is collected and used to develop or confirm marketing strategy.  in 2003 represented more than 60 percent of industry unit shipments and nearly 75 percent of wholesale dollar sales. In addition to providing information from survey respondents, the organization estimates shipments and sales for the industry as a whole. The ISPA issues information separately for mattresses and for foundations; however, currently not enough history exists for the two components to be independently weighted.

Previously, the output of the book publishing industry (NAICS 51113) was grouped with the output of other publishing operations except newspapers (51112,4,9) into a single index called "Periodical periodical, a publication that is issued regularly. It is distinguished from the newspaper in format in that its pages are smaller and are usually bound, and it is published at weekly, monthly, quarterly, or other intervals, rather than daily. , book, and other publishers" and was based on production-worker hours. The revision introduced a new index for book publishing that begins in 1987 and is estimated separately from the other publishing operations. The new index for periodicals and other publishers is based on production-worker hours.

The new index for the book publishing industry is based on gross sales Gross Sales

A measure of overall sales that isn't adjusted for customer discounts or returns, calculated simply by adding all sales invoices, and not including operating expenses, cost of goods sold, payment of taxes, or any other charge.
 listed in the monthly reports issued by the Association of American Publishers (body, publication) Association of American Publishers - (AAP) A group engaged in standardisation efforts in document preparation. . A Fisher index of real sales is constructed from sixteen separate categories of books and is used as the indicator for the book publishing series. The underlying gross revenue data are deflated de·flate  
v. de·flat·ed, de·flat·ing, de·flates

v.tr.
1.
a. To release contained air or gas from.

b. To collapse by releasing contained air or gas.

2.
 by detailed producer price indexes from the Bureau of Labor Statistics Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS)

A research agency of the U.S. Department of Labor; it compiles statistics on hours of work, average hourly earnings, employment and unemployment, consumer prices and many other variables.
. Because of the volatility Volatility

1. A statistical measure of the tendency of a market or security to rise or fall sharply within a period of time.

2. A variable in option pricing formulas that denotes the extent to which the return of the underlying asset will fluctuate between now and the
 of the sales data, the monthly production index is a three-month centered moving average in which the data for the second month are more heavily weighted than are the data for the first or third month.

The new book publishing index will continue to be published as part of the aggregate index for "Periodical, book, and other publishers" (NAICS 51112-9). Book publishing comprises approximately ap·prox·i·mate  
adj.
1. Almost exact or correct: the approximate time of the accident.

2.
 20 percent of the aggregate index and about 1 percent of total IP.

Table 2 shows the 2003 value-added proportion of data by type available in each month of the four-month IP publication window. The first estimate of output for a month is preliminary and is subject to revision in each of the subsequent three months as new source data become available. As the table indicates, by the third revision (the fourth month of an estimate), the physical-product content of IP is 50.1 percent.

The revision incorporated refined methods for a few series. The coverage was broadened for some of the motor vehicles parts series to include more information for engines, brakes, transmissions, and axles. This revision also included new methods for the production indicator for electronic computers; the new estimates incorporate a refined concordance concordance /con·cor·dance/ (-kord´ins) in genetics, the occurrence of a given trait in both members of a twin pair.concor´dant

con·cor·dance
n.
 between trade data from the Census Bureau and the source data for computer sales.

LAN (Local Area Network) A communications network that serves users within a confined geographical area. The "clients" are the user's workstations typically running Windows, although Mac and Linux clients are also used.  Equipment

The 2000 revision introduced a new IP series for the production of local area network (LAN) equipment (routers, switches, and hubs hubs - hub ). The series is not published in the monthly statistical release, but it is included in the broader IP aggregate for communications equipment and updated on an ongoing basis. (2) Table 3 updates the results for LAN equipment.

Changes to Individual Capacity Series

The revision to the capacity indexes used updated information for the publishing industry, for which there had been a gap in the collection of operating rates. Through 1998, the Survey of Plant Capacity (SPC 1. (business) SPC - Statistical Process Control. Something to do with quality management.

2. (body) SPC - Software Productivity Centre.
3. (company) SPC - Software Publishing Corporation.
4.
), which covers the manufacturing sector, was conducted under the Standard Industrial Classi- fication (SIC) system. The SIC system included the publishing industry in the manufacturing sector. In 1999, the SPC began to be conducted under NAICS, which excludes the publishing industry from the manufacturing sector. In 2002, the Census Bureau recommenced collection of publishing industry data under the SPC. The release of the 2003 SPC provided the Federal Reserve Board with two consecutive data points for the publishing industry and enabled the interpolation interpolation

In mathematics, estimation of a value between two known data points. A simple example is calculating the mean (see mean, median, and mode) of two population counts made 10 years apart to estimate the population in the fifth year.
 of industry information for the missing years 1999-2001.

The revisions to the capacity indexes also incorporated the BEA's capital flow table for 1997. This table provided a detailed breakdown breakdown /break·down/ (brak´doun)
1. the act or process of ceasing to function.

2. an often sudden collapse in health.

3. loss of self-control.
 of the asset composition of industry investment. The Federal Reserve used the capital flow table to estimate annual asset-by-industry investment flows--which is the first step in constructing measures of industry capital input. Before the current revision, the Federal Reserve used data for thirty-five asset categories; this revision added a thirty-sixth, software investment.

Finally, the capacity series for semiconductors was split into two components. One covers microprocessor microprocessor, integrated circuit containing the arithmetic, logic, and control circuitry required to interpret and execute instructions from a computer program.  units (MPUs), and the other covers non-MPU semiconductors, such as memory, logic, and other integrated circuit integrated circuit (IC), electronic circuit built on a semiconductor substrate, usually one of single-crystal silicon. The circuit, often called a chip, is packaged in a hermetically sealed case or a nonhermetic plastic capsule, with leads extending from it for  chips. Neither component will be published.

Weights for Aggregation

The IP index is an annually weighted Fisher index. This revision used information from the Census of Manufactures to obtain updated estimates of the industry value-added weights for the aggregation of IP indexes and capacity utilization rates. The Federal Reserve derives estimates of value added for the electric and gas utility industries from annual revenue and expense data issued by other organizations.

The weights for aggregation, expressed as unit value added, were estimated using the latest data on producer prices. Appendix table A.8 shows the annual value-added proportions incorporated in the IP index from 1996 through 2004.

Revised Monthly Data

The revision incorporated product data that became available after the regular four-month reporting window for monthly IP had closed. One example is the data on wine and tobacco issued by the Department of the Treasury's Alcohol and Tobacco Tax and Trade Bureau The Alcohol and Tobacco Tax and Trade Bureau, shortened to Tax and Trade Bureau or TTB, is a bureau of the United States Department of the Treasury. On January 24, 2003, the Homeland Security Act of 2002 (the Act) split functions of the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco and . These data were released with too great a lag to be incorporated in the monthly IP estimates; however, the data were available for inclusion in the annual revision.

Revised Seasonal Factors

Seasonal factors for all series were reestimated using data that extend into 2004. Factors for production-worker hours, which adjust for timing, holiday, and monthly seasonal patterns, were updated with data through September September: see month.  2004 and were prorated to correspond with the seasonal factors for hours aggregated to the three-digit NAICS level. Factors for the electric power series were reestimated using data through June June: see month.  2004. The updated factors for the physical product series, which include adjustments for holiday and workday patterns, used data through at least September 2004. Seasonal factors for unit motor vehicle assemblies have been updated, and projections through June 2005 are on the Board's website at www.federalreserve.gov/releases/g17/mvsf.htm.

APPENDIX A: TABLES BASED ON THE G.17 RELEASE, JANUARY 14, 2005
A.1. Revised data for industrial production for total industry

Seasonally adjusted data except as noted

Year    Jan.    Feb.    Mar.    Apr.     May    June    July    Aug.

                  Industrial production (percent change)

1972     2.4      .9      .8     1.0      .0      .3      .1     1.3
1973      .6     1.5      .0     -.2      .7      .1      .4     -.1
1974     -.7     -.3      .0     -.1      .6     -.1      .1     -.9
1975    -1.3    -2.4    -1.0      .0     -.1      .7     1.1      .9
1976     1.4      .9      .0      .7      .4      .0      .6      .7
1977     -.6     1.5     1.2      .9      .8      .7      .3      .1
1978    -1.4      .5     1.9     1.9      .4      .7      .0      .4
1979     -.7      .6      .3    -1.0      .7      .0     -.2     -.7
1980      .4      .0     -.4    -2.0    -2.5    -1.3     -.6      .3
1981     -.5     -.5      .5     -.4      .7      .5      .7      .0
1982    -1.9     1.9     -.7     -.8     -.7     -.4     -.4     -.8
1983     1.9     -.6      .9     1.2      .7      .6     1.6     1.1
1984     2.1      .4      .5      .6      .5      .4      .3      .1
1985     -.3      .4      .1     -.2      .1      .0     -.7      .5
1986      .5     -.8     -.6      .0      .2     -.3      .6     -.2
1987     -.3     1.3      .1      .6      .7      .5      .6      .7
1988      .0      .4      .3      .5     -.1      .2      .2      .5
1989      .3     -.5      .3     -.1     -.7      .0     -.9     1.0
1990     -.6      .9      .5      .0      .1      .3     -.2      .3
1991     -.5     -.6     -.5      .2     1.0     1.0      .0      .1
1992     -.6      .7      .8      .7      .5      .0      .8     -.4
1993      .5      .4      .0      .3     -.4      .2      .3      .1
1994      .4      .0     1.0      .5      .6      .7      .2      .5
1995      .3      .0      .1      .0      .2      .3     -.4     1.4
1996     -.9     1.5     -.2      .9      .7      .9     -.1      .7
1997      .3     1.2      .5      .2      .4      .5      .6     1.0
1998      .5      .2      .2      .6      .5     -.4     -.2     1.9
1999      .6      .4      .4      .2      .7      .0      .6      .6
2000     -.1      .4      .6      .7      .6      .0     -.5     -.3
2001    -1.0     -.6     -.3     -.2     -.5     -.6     -.4     -.1
2002      .7     -.2      .6      .4      .2      .7     -.1      .0
2003      .2      .1     -.4     -.9      .1      .3      .6     -.1
2004      .3     1.1     -.3      .5      .7     -.4      .7      .1

                        Industrial production (1997 = 100)

1972    50.0    50.4    50.8    51.3    51.3    51.5    51.5    52.2
1973    54.9    55.7    55.7    55.5    55.9    56.0    56.2    56.2
1974    56.7    56.5    56.5    56.5    56.8    56.7    56.8    56.2
1975    51.6    50.4    49.8    49.8    49.8    50.1    50.6    51.1
1976    53.5    54.0    54.0    54.4    54.6    54.6    54.9    55.3
1977    56.6    57.4    58.1    58.7    59.1    59.5    59.7    59.8
1978    59.5    59.8    60.9    62.1    62.4    62.8    62.8    63.0
1979    64.1    64.5    64.7    64.0    64.5    64.5    64.4    63.9
1980    64.6    64.7    64.4    63.2    61.6    60.8    60.4    60.6
1981    63.4    63.1    63.4    63.1    63.6    63.9    64.3    64.3
1982    60.9    62.1    61.6    61.1    60.7    60.5    60.2    59.7
1983    59.4    59.0    59.5    60.2    60.7    61.0    62.0    62.7
1984    66.0    66.3    66.6    67.0    67.3    67.6    67.8    67.9
1985    67.8    68.1    68.2    68.1    68.2    68.2    67.7    68.1
1986    69.4    68.9    68.4    68.4    68.6    68.3    68.8    68.6
1987    69.8    70.7    70.8    71.2    71.7    72.0    72.5    73.0
1988    75.0    75.2    75.4    75.8    75.7    75.9    76.0    76.4
1989    77.3    76.9    77.1    77.1    76.5    76.6    75.9    76.6
1990    76.6    77.2    77.6    77.6    77.6    77.9    77.7    77.9
1991    75.7    75.2    74.9    75.0    75.8    76.5    76.5    76.6
1992    76.3    76.9    77.5    78.0    78.4    78.3    78.9    78.6
1993    80.0    80.4    80.4    80.6    80.3    80.5    80.8    80.8
1994    82.9    83.0    83.7    84.2    84.7    85.3    85.5    85.9
1995    88.6    88.6    88.7    88.6    88.8    89.1    88.7    89.9
1996    90.0    91.4    91.1    92.0    92.6    93.4    93.3    93.9
1997    96.4    97.6    98.1    98.3    98.7    99.2    99.8   100.8
1998   104.1   104.2   104.5   105.2   105.7   105.3   105.1   107.0
1999   108.2   108.6   109.0   109.3   110.0   110.0   110.7   111.4
2000   113.8   114.3   114.9   115.7   116.4   116.4   115.9   115.5
2001   113.8   113.1   112.7   112.5   111.9   111.3   110.8   110.7
2002   109.9   109.7   110.3   110.7   111.0   111.8   111.7   111.6
2003   110.9   111.0   110.6   109.5   109.6   109.9   110.6   110.5
2004   113.2   114.4   114.1   114.7   115.5   115.1   115.9   116.0

                                         Quarter

Year   Sept.    Oct.    Nov.      Dec.     1

       Industrial production (percent change)

1972      .8     1.3     1.1       1.2    17.8
1973      .9      .6      .5       -.3    11.7
1974      .1     -.4    -3.3      -3.5    -3.8
1975     1.3      .4      .3       1.3   -23.9
1976      .2      .1     1.5       1.0    12.5
1977      .5      .3      .1        .1     8.4
1978      .3      .8      .8        .6    -1.5
1979      .1      .5     -.1        .2     1.8
1980     1.6     1.2     1.7        .6     1.5
1981     -.7     -.7    -1.1      -1.1      .9
1982     -.4     -.8     -.4       -.8    -7.5
1983     1.6      .8      .3        .5     4.4
1984     -.2     -.1      .4        .1    12.5
1985      .4     -.4      .3       1.0     1.1
1986      .2      .4      .5        .9     2.4
1987      .2     1.5      .5        .5     5.5
1988     -.3      .6      .2        .4     3.4
1989     -.3      .0      .3        .7     1.5
1990      .2     -.7    -1.2       -.7     2.6
1991      .8     -.2     -.1       -.3    -7.5
1992      .2      .7      .4        .0     -.3
1993      .4      .7      .5        .5     3.7
1994      .2      .9      .6       1.1     5.2
1995      .4     -.2      .2        .5     5.2
1996      .6      .1      .9        .7     1.7
1997      .9      .8      .6        .4     8.6
1998     -.3      .8     -.2        .2     4.6
1999     -.3     1.2      .5       1.0     4.4
2000      .4     -.5     -.1       -.2     4.7
2001     -.5     -.4     -.5        .0    -6.7
2002      .0     -.5      .1       -.4     2.3
2003      .7      .2     1.0        .2     -.7
2004     -.3      .8      .2        .8     5.6

            Industrial production (1997 = 100)

1972    52.6    53.3    53.9      54.5    50.4
1973    56.6    57.0    57.3      57.1    55.4
1974    56.3    56.1    54.2      52.3    56.6
1975    51.8    52.0    52.1      52.8    50.6
1976    55.4    55.5    56.3      56.9    53.8
1977    60.1    60.3    60.3      60.4    57.4
1978    63.2    63.7    64.2      64.6    60.1
1979    64.0    64.3    64.3      64.4    64.4
1980    61.6    62.3    63.4      63.7    64.6
1981    63.9    63.4    62.7      62.1    63.3
1982    59.5    59.0    58.7      58.2    61.5
1983    63.6    64.2    64.3      64.7    59.3
1984    67.7    67.7    68.0      68.0    66.3
1985    68.4    68.1    68.3      69.0    68.1
1986    68.8    69.1    69.4      70.0    68.9
1987    73.1    74.2    74.6      74.9    70.4
1988    76.2    76.6    76.8      77.1    75.2
1989    76.3    76.3    76.5      77.0    77.1
1990    78.1    77.5    76.6      76.1    77.1
1991    77.3    77.1    77.0      76.8    75.3
1992    78.7    79.3    79.6      79.6    76.9
1993    81.2    81.7    82.1      82.6    80.3
1994    86.1    86.8    87.4      88.3    83.2
1995    90.3    90.2    90.4      90.9    88.6
1996    94.5    94.6    95.5      96.2    90.8
1997   101.7   102.5   103.2     103.6    97.4
1998   106.7   107.5   107.3     107.5   104.3
1999   111.0   112.3   112.8     113.9   108.6
2000   115.9   115.4   115.2     115.0   114.3
2001   110.1   109.7   109.2     109.2   113.2
2002   111.6   111.1   111.2     110.7   110.0
2003   111.3   111.6   112.7     112.9   110.8
2004   115.7   116.6   116.8     117.8   113.9

               Quarter

                               Annual
Year     2       3       4     avg. (1)

           Industrial production
             (percent change)

1972     7.9     5.7    14.6       9.6
1973     3.2     3.7     5.8       8.2
1974      .4    -1.7   -14.9      -.4
1975    -5.5    10.7     8.8      -8.9
1976     5.2     5.1     7.8       7.8
1977    12.5     5.1     3.2       7.7
1978    16.3     3.6     7.7       5.5
1979     -.5    -1.5     1.4       3.0
1980   -15.9    -6.2    15.9      -2.6
1981     1.4     4.2    -8.6       1.3
1982    -5.0    -6.0    -7.6      -5.1
1983     9.4    14.8    10.9       2.6
1984     6.2     2.9      .5       9.0
1985      .5     -.7     2.6       1.3
1986    -2.6     1.6     4.6       1.0
1987     7.0     7.0     9.8       5.1
1988     3.3     2.1     3.2       5.0
1989    -1.9    -2.5     2.0        .9
1990     2.9     1.3    -5.9        .9
1991     2.6     5.6      .9      -1.5
1992     7.1     2.7     3.9       2.8
1993     1.1     2.2     6.3       3.3
1994     7.5     5.2     8.1       5.4
1995     1.0     3.8     3.7       4.8
1996     8.3     5.5     6.4       4.3
1997     5.7     8.6     9.5       7.3
1998     4.3     3.4     4.5       5.8
1999     4.3     4.7     7.4       4.5
2000     6.7    -1.4    -2.0       4.3
2001    -4.6    -4.7    -4.2      -3.6
2002     4.4     1.7    -2.3       -.3
2003    -4.0     4.1     5.7        .0
2004     4.3     2.7     4.1       4.1

            Industrial production
               (1997 = 100)

1972    51.4    52.1    53.9      51.9
1973    55.8    56.3    57.1      56.2
1974    56.7    56.4    54.2      56.0
1975    49.9    51.2    52.3      51.0
1976    54.5    55.2    56.3      55.0
1977    59.1    59.9    60.3      59.2
1978    62.4    63.0    64.1      62.4
1979    64.3    64.1    64.3      64.3
1980    61.8    60.9    63.1      62.6
1981    63.5    64.2    62.7      63.4
1982    60.7    59.8    58.6      60.2
1983    60.6    62.8    64.4      61.8
1984    67.3    67.8    67.9      67.3
1985    68.2    68.1    68.5      68.2
1986    68.4    68.7    69.5      68.9
1987    71.6    72.9    74.6      72.4
1988    75.8    76.2    76.8      76.0
1989    76.7    76.3    76.6      76.7
1990    77.7    77.9    76.7      77.4
1991    75.7    76.8    77.0      76.2
1992    78.2    78.8    79.5      78.4
1993    80.5    80.9    82.2      80.9
1994    84.7    85.8    87.5      85.3
1995    88.8    89.7    90.5      89.4
1996    92.7    93.9    95.4      93.2
1997    98.7   100.8   103.1     100.0
1998   105.4   106.3   107.4     105.8
1999   109.8   111.0   113.0     110.6
2000   116.2   115.8   115.2     115.4
2001   111.9   110.6   109.4     111.3
2002   111.2   111.6   111.0     111.0
2003   109.7   110.8   112.4     110.9
2004   115.1   115.9   117.1     115.5

NOTE. Monthly percent change figures show the change from the
previous month; quarterly figures show the change from the previous
quarter at a compound annual rate of growth. Production and capacity
indexes are expressed as percentages of output in 1997.

Estimates from October 2004 through December 2004 are subject to
further revision in the upcoming monthly releases.

(1.) Annual averages of industrial production are calculated
from not seasonally adjusted indexes.

A.2. Revised data for capacity and utilization for total industry

Seasonally adjusted data

Year    Jan.    Feb.    Mar.    Apr.     May    June    July    Aug.

                       Capacity (percent of 1997 output)

1972    60.7    60.8    60.9    61.1    61.2    61.4    61.5    61.7
1973    62.6    62.7    62.9    63.1    63.3    63.6    63.8    64.0
1974    65.0    65.2    65.4    65.5    65.7    65.9    66.0    66.2
1975    66.9    67.0    67.1    67.3    67.4    67.5    67.6    67.7
1976    68.4    68.5    68.7    68.8    69.0    69.1    69.2    69.4
1977    70.2    70.3    70.5    70.7    70.8    71.0    71.2    71.4
1978    72.4    72.6    72.8    73.0    73.2    73.4    73.6    73.8
1979    74.7    74.9    75.1    75.2    75.4    75.6    75.7    75.9
1980    76.6    76.8    76.9    77.1    77.2    77.4    77.5    77.6
1981    78.4    78.6    78.8    78.9    79.1    79.3    79.5    79.7
1982    80.7    80.8    81.0    81.2    81.4    81.5    81.7    81.8
1983    82.3    82.4    82.5    82.5    82.6    82.6    82.6    82.7
1984    83.0    83.1    83.2    83.3    83.5    83.6    83.7    83.9
1985    84.8    84.9    85.1    85.3    85.5    85.7    85.9    86.0
1986    86.8    86.9    87.0    87.1    87.2    87.4    87.5    87.6
1987    88.2    88.3    88.5    88.6    88.8    89.0    89.1    89.2
1988    89.8    89.9    89.9    90.0    90.1    90.1    90.2    90.3
1989    90.8    90.9    91.0    91.2    91.4    91.6    91.7    91.9
1990    92.9    93.1    93.3    93.5    93.7    93.9    94.0    94.2
1991    94.9    95.1    95.2    95.3    95.5    95.6    95.7    95.9
1992    96.5    96.7    96.9    97.1    97.3    97.5    97.7    97.9
1993    98.7    98.9    99.0    99.2    99.3    99.5    99.6    99.8
1994   100.7   100.9   101.1   101.4   101.7   102.0   102.3   102.6
1995   104.4   104.8   105.2   105.7   106.1   106.5   107.0   107.5
1996   109.9   110.4   111.0   111.5   112.0   112.5   113.0   113.5
1997   116.1   116.6   117.2   117.7   118.3   118.9   119.6   120.2
1998   123.9   124.6   125.4   126.1   126.8   127.6   128.2   128.9
1999   131.7   132.3   132.8   133.3   133.8   134.4   134.9   135.4
2000   138.0   138.5   139.0   139.5   140.0   140.5   141.0   141.4
2001   143.6   143.9   144.3   144.6   145.0   145.3   145.6   145.9
2002   147.0   147.2   147.3   147.4   147.5   147.5   147.5   147.5
2003   147.1   147.0   146.9   146.9   146.8   146.8   146.7   146.8
2004   147.2   147.3   147.5   147.6   147.8   147.9   148.1   148.2

                            Utilization (percent)

1972    82.4    82.9    83.4    84.0    83.8    83.9    83.7    84.6
1973    87.7    88.7    88.4    88.0    88.3    88.1    88.2    87.8
1974    87.3    86.8    86.5    86.1    86.4    86.1    85.9    84.9
1975    77.2    75.1    74.2    74.1    73.9    74.2    74.9    75.5
1976    78.2    78.8    78.6    79.1    79.2    79.0    79.3    79.7
1977    80.7    81.7    82.5    83.0    83.5    83.8    83.8    83.7
1978    82.2    82.4    83.7    85.1    85.2    85.5    85.2    85.3
1979    85.8    86.1    86.2    85.1    85.5    85.3    85.0    84.2
1980    84.3    84.2    83.8    81.9    79.7    78.6    77.9    78.0
1981    80.8    80.3    80.5    80.0    80.3    80.5    80.9    80.7
1982    75.5    76.8    76.0    75.2    74.6    74.1    73.7    73.0
1983    72.1    71.6    72.1    73.0    73.5    73.9    75.0    75.8
1984    79.5    79.8    80.1    80.4    80.7    80.9    81.0    80.9
1985    80.0    80.2    80.2    79.9    79.7    79.6    78.9    79.1
1986    80.0    79.2    78.6    78.5    78.6    78.2    78.6    78.4
1987    79.1    80.0    80.0    80.3    80.7    81.0    81.3    81.8
1988    83.5    83.7    83.9    84.2    84.1    84.2    84.3    84.7
1989    85.1    84.6    84.7    84.5    83.8    83.6    82.7    83.3
1990    82.4    83.0    83.2    83.0    82.9    83.0    82.7    82.7
1991    79.7    79.1    78.6    78.6    79.4    80.0    79.9    79.9
1992    79.1    79.5    80.0    80.4    80.6    80.4    80.8    80.3
1993    81.1    81.3    81.1    81.3    80.9    80.9    81.1    81.0
1994    82.4    82.2    82.8    83.0    83.3    83.6    83.6    83.7
1995    84.8    84.5    84.3    83.9    83.7    83.6    82.9    83.7
1996    81.9    82.7    82.1    82.5    82.7    83.1    82.6    82.8
1997    83.1    83.7    83.7    83.5    83.4    83.4    83.5    83.8
1998    84.0    83.6    83.3    83.4    83.3    82.5    81.9    83.1
1999    82.1    82.1    82.1    81.9    82.2    81.9    82.1    82.3
2000    82.5    82.5    82.7    82.9    83.2    82.9    82.2    81.7
2001    79.3    78.6    78.1    77.8    77.2    76.6    76.1    75.9
2002    74.8    74.6    74.9    75.1    75.3    75.8    75.7    75.7
2003    75.4    75.5    75.2    74.6    74.7    74.9    75.4    75.3
2004    76.9    77.7    77.4    77.7    78.2    77.8    78.3    78.3

                                       Quarter

Year   Sept.    Oct.    Nov.    Dec.     1

        Capacity (percent of 1997 output)

1972    61.8    62.0    62.2    62.4    60.8
1973    64.2    64.4    64.6    64.8    62.7
1974    66.4    66.5    66.6    66.8    65.2
1975    67.9    68.0    68.1    68.2    67.0
1976    69.5    69.7    69.9    70.0    68.5
1977    71.6    71.8    72.0    72.2    70.3
1978    74.0    74.2    74.4    74.6    72.6
1979    76.1    76.2    76.4    76.5    74.9
1980    77.8    77.9    78.1    78.3    76.8
1981    79.9    80.1    80.3    80.5    78.6
1982    82.0    82.1    82.2    82.3    80.8
1983    82.7    82.8    82.9    82.9    82.4
1984    84.1    84.2    84.4    84.6    83.1
1985    86.2    86.4    86.5    86.7    84.9
1986    87.7    87.8    87.9    88.1    86.9
1987    89.4    89.5    89.6    89.7    88.3
1988    90.3    90.4    90.5    90.6    89.9
1989    92.1    92.3    92.5    92.7    90.9
1990    94.4    94.5    94.7    94.8    93.1
1991    96.0    96.1    96.3    96.4    95.1
1992    98.0    98.2    98.4    98.6    96.7
1993    99.9   100.1   100.3   100.5    98.9
1994   102.9   103.3   103.6   104.0   100.9
1995   108.0   108.4   108.9   109.4   104.8
1996   114.0   114.5   115.0   115.5   110.5
1997   120.9   121.7   122.4   123.1   116.6
1998   129.5   130.1   130.6   131.2   124.6
1999   135.9   136.4   136.9   137.4   132.3
2000   141.9   142.3   142.8   143.2   138.5
2001   146.1   146.4   146.6   146.8   143.9
2002   147.4   147.4   147.3   147.2   147.2
2003   146.8   146.9   146.9   147.0   147.0
2004   148.4   148.5   148.7   148.8   147.3

              Utilization (percent)

1972    85.0    85.9    86.6    87.4    82.9
1973    88.3    88.5    88.7    88.2    88.3
1974    84.8    84.3    81.4    78.3    86.8
1975    76.3    76.4    76.5    77.3    75.5
1976    79.7    79.6    80.7    81.3    78.6
1977    83.9    83.9    83.8    83.6    81.6
1978    85.3    85.9    86.3    86.6    82.7
1979    84.2    84.4    84.2    84.1    86.0
1980    79.2    80.0    81.1    81.4    84.1
1981    80.0    79.2    78.2    77.2    80.5
1982    72.6    71.9    71.5    70.8    76.1
1983    76.9    77.5    77.7    78.0    71.9
1984    80.6    80.4    80.5    80.4    79.8
1985    79.3    78.9    79.0    79.7    80.1
1986    78.4    78.7    78.9    79.5    79.3
1987    81.8    82.9    83.3    83.5    79.7
1988    84.4    84.8    84.8    85.1    83.7
1989    82.9    82.7    82.7    83.1    84.8
1990    82.8    82.0    80.9    80.2    82.9
1991    80.5    80.2    80.0    79.6    79.2
1992    80.3    80.7    80.9    80.8    79.5
1993    81.2    81.7    81.9    82.2    81.2
1994    83.6    84.1    84.3    84.9    82.5
1995    83.7    83.2    83.0    83.0    84.5
1996    82.9    82.6    83.0    83.2    82.2
1997    84.1    84.3    84.3    84.1    83.5
1998    82.4    82.7    82.1    82.0    83.7
1999    81.7    82.3    82.4    82.9    82.1
2000    81.7    81.1    80.7    80.3    82.6
2001    75.4    75.0    74.5    74.4    78.7
2002    75.7    75.4    75.5    75.2    74.7
2003    75.8    76.0    76.7    76.8    75.4
2004    78.0    78.5    78.6    79.2    77.3

               Quarter

                               Annual
Year     2       3       4     avg.

            Capacity (percent of
                1997 output)

1972    61.2    61.7    62.2    61.5
1973    63.3    64.0    64.6    63.7
1974    65.7    66.2    66.6    65.9
1975    67.4    67.7    68.1    67.6
1976    69.0    69.4    69.9    69.2
1977    70.8    71.4    72.0    71.2
1978    73.2    73.8    74.4    73.5
1979    75.4    75.9    76.4    75.6
1980    77.2    77.6    78.1    77.4
1981    79.1    79.7    80.3    79.4
1982    81.4    81.8    82.2    81.6
1983    82.6    82.7    82.9    82.6
1984    83.5    83.9    84.4    83.7
1985    85.5    86.0    86.5    85.7
1986    87.2    87.6    87.9    87.4
1987    88.8    89.2    89.6    89.0
1988    90.1    90.3    90.5    90.2
1989    91.4    91.9    92.5    91.7
1990    93.7    94.2    94.7    93.9
1991    95.5    95.9    96.3    95.7
1992    97.3    97.9    98.4    97.6
1993    99.3    99.8   100.3    99.6
1994   101.7   102.6   103.6   102.2
1995   106.1   107.5   108.9   106.8
1996   112.0   113.5   115.0   112.7
1997   118.3   120.3   122.4   119.4
1998   126.8   128.8   130.6   127.7
1999   133.8   135.4   136.9   134.6
2000   140.0   141.4   142.7   140.7
2001   145.0   145.9   146.6   145.3
2002   147.5   147.5   147.3   147.4
2003   146.8   146.8   146.9   146.9
2004   147.8   148.2   148.7   148.0

           Utilization (percent)

1972    83.9    84.4    86.7    84.5
1973    88.1    88.1    88.5    88.2
1974    86.2    85.2    81.3    84.9
1975    74.0    75.5    76.7    75.5
1976    79.1    79.6    80.5    79.4
1977    83.4    83.8    83.8    83.2
1978    85.2    85.3    86.3    84.9
1979    85.3    84.5    84.2    85.0
1980    80.1    78.4    80.8    80.9
1981    80.3    80.5    78.2    79.9
1982    74.6    73.1    71.4    73.8
1983    73.4    75.9    77.7    74.7
1984    80.7    80.8    80.4    80.4
1985    79.7    79.1    79.2    79.5
1986    78.5    78.5    79.0    78.8
1987    80.7    81.6    83.2    81.3
1988    84.2    84.5    84.9    84.3
1989    84.0    82.9    82.8    83.6
1990    82.9    82.7    81.1    82.4
1991    79.4    80.1    79.9    79.6
1992    80.4    80.5    80.8    80.3
1993    81.0    81.1    81.9    81.3
1994    83.3    83.6    84.4    83.5
1995    83.7    83.4    83.0    83.7
1996    82.8    82.8    82.9    82.7
1997    83.4    83.8    84.2    83.7
1998    83.1    82.5    82.3    82.9
1999    82.0    82.0    82.5    82.2
2000    83.0    81.9    80.7    82.0
2001    77.2    75.8    74.6    76.6
2002    75.4    75.7    75.4    75.3
2003    74.7    75.5    76.5    75.5
2004    77.9    78.2    78.8    78.0

NOTE. See also general note to table A.1.

A.3. Rates of change in industrial production, by market and
industry group, 2000-2004 (1)

                                               Revised rate of change
                                                      (percent)

                                   NAICS
             Item                 code (2)     2000    2001    2002

Total industry                      ...         1.9    -5.1     1.5

         MARKET GROUP

Final products and
    nonindustrial supplies          ...         2.0    -4.7      .6

  Consumer goods                    ...          .9    -1.5     1.6
    Durable                         ...        -2.1    -1.3     6.4
      Automotive products           ...        -4.5     2.3    10.1
      Home electronics              ...        13.7     5.8    -4.0
      Appliances, furniture,
        carpeting                   ...         -.9    -3.4     1.8
      Miscellaneous goods           ...        -1.5    -6.6     4.3
    Nondurable                      ...         2.0    -1.6     -.2
      Non-energy                    ...          .8     -.8    -2.3
        Foods and tobacco           ...         1.2    -1.2    -3.6
        Clothing                    ...        -7.7   -20.8    -9.7
        Chemical products           ...         3.8     7.0      .9
        Paper products              ...        -2.0    -2.7     -.8
      Energy                        ...         7.9    -5.2    10.1

  Business equipment                ...         6.2   -13.3    -2.6
    Transit                         ...       -11.7    -3.5   -12.6
    Information processing          ...        19.8   -17.4    -3.7
    Industrial and other            ...         3.6   -13.7     2.1
  Defense and space equipment       ...        -4.3     8.0     3.8

  Construction supplies             ...        -1.1    -5.0      .1
  Business supplies                 ...         2.3    -5.5     1.4

Materials                           ...         1.9    -5.6     2.8
  Non-energy                        ...         1.8    -6.5     3.5
    Durable                         ...         4.9    -7.2     4.6
      Consumer parts                ...        -8.5    -7.9     7.1
      Equipment parts               ...        22.2    -7.9     6.2
      Other                         ...        -4.3    -6.2     1.9
    Nondurable                      ...        -3.9    -5.2     1.7
      Textile                       ...       -10.2    -9.5     2.0
      Paper                         ...        -4.1    -6.3     2.1
      Chemical                      ...        -4.4    -4.6     2.1
  Energy                            ...         1.9    -2.8      .4

        INDUSTRY GROUP

Manufacturing (4)                   ...         1.5    -5.4     1.3
  Manufacturing (NAICS)          31-33          1.7    -5.3     1.6
    Durable manufacturing           ...         4.1    -7.2     3.2
      Wood products              321           -6.9    -1.6      .0
      Nonmetallic mineral
        products                 327           -3.4    -2.5      .3
      Primary metal              331          -10.2    -8.7     7.1
      Fabricated metal
        products                 332             .0    -8.6     -.2
      Machinery                  333            1.8   -16.7     1.3
      Computer and electronic
        products                 334           29.0    -9.0     5.6
      Electrical equipment,
        appliances, and
        components               335            2.5   -14.7    -5.2
      Motor vehicles and parts   3361-3        -9.7    -2.1    11.3
      Aerospace and
        miscellaneous trans-
        portation equipment      3364-9        -4.8     4.7    -7.5
      Furniture and related
        products                 337            -.7    -6.3     4.2
      Miscellaneous              339            2.9    -1.5     7.4

    Nondurable manufacturing        ...        -1.5    -2.9     -.4
      Food, beverage, and
        tobacco products         311,2          1.0     -.8    -2.9
      Textile and product
        mills                    313,4         -6.7    -9.5      .4
      Apparel and leather        315,6         -7.5   -21.0    -9.3
      Paper                      322           -4.7    -5.7     4.1
      Printing and support       323           -1.3    -8.1    -3.2
      Petroleum and coal
        products                 324           -1.1      .8     4.1
      Chemical                   325            -.6      .2     1.0
      Plastics and rubber
        products                 326           -4.0    -4.4     2.4

  Other manufacturing (non-
    NAICS)                       11,335,111    -1.9    -6.3    -3.9

Mining                           21             1.3     -.6    -3.8
Utilities                        2211,2         6.1    -5.1     7.1
  Electric                       2211           4.9    -3.7     5.7
  Natural gas                    2212          13.2   -12.8    15.4

                                                 Difference
                                                between rates
                                 Revised rate    of change:
                                  of change     revised minus
                                  (percent)       earlier
                                                (percentage
                                                  points)

             Item                 2003   2004   2000   2001

Total industry                     1.2    4.2    -.4     .2

         MARKET GROUP

Final products and
    nonindustrial supplies         1.7    4.5    -.4     .3

  Consumer goods                   1.3    2.7    -.1     .7
    Durable                        3.3    1.6    -.2    1.6
      Automotive products          5.2    1.3     .5    1.2
      Home electronics            34.8   -7.7   -2.0   16.1
      Appliances, furniture,
        carpeting                  1.4    2.8    -.3   -1.4
      Miscellaneous goods         -3.5    3.0   -1.2    1.5
    Nondurable                      .4    3.1     .0     .3
      Non-energy                    .8    3.9    -.2     .3
        Foods and tobacco          2.4    4.1     .5    -.6
        Clothing                 -14.9   -4.8   -2.2   -5.6
        Chemical products           .6    3.6    -.6    4.0
        Paper products              .6    6.3    -.9     .6
      Energy                      -1.4    -.3     .8     .6

  Business equipment               4.7    9.9    -.6    -.5
    Transit                         .2   11.6    -.5    2.5
    Information processing        16.3   10.1     .6   -4.6
    Industrial and other           -.5    9.3   -1.3    1.4
  Defense and space equipment      5.3    6.9   -1.3   -4.4

  Construction supplies             .6    4.3    -.9    1.5
  Business supplies                 .0    4.3    -.6     .1

Materials                           .5    3.7    -.4     .1
  Non-energy                        .8    5.3    -.6     .1
    Durable                        2.2    6.9    -.7    -.1
      Consumer parts               2.7    2.1   -1.4    -.8
      Equipment parts              5.8   15.7    -.8    -.5
      Other                        -.9    2.7    -.4     .6
    Nondurable                    -1.3    2.6    -.2     .4
      Textile                    -13.0   -5.1    -.4    2.2
      Paper                       -4.3    3.2     .6    -.2
      Chemical                     2.0    4.2    -.5     .5
  Energy                           -.3    -.4     .2     .0

        INDUSTRY GROUP

Manufacturing (4)                  1.5    5.0    -.5     .2
  Manufacturing (NAICS)            1.6    5.0    -.5     .2
    Durable manufacturing          3.3    6.7    -.7     .1
      Wood products                3.2     .5    -.4     .6
      Nonmetallic mineral
        products                   1.7    4.3   -1.8    3.1
      Primary metal                 .6    4.8   -1.0    2.0
      Fabricated metal
        products                  -2.9    3.2     .0    -.2
      Machinery                     .6   12.2    -.6     .3
      Computer and electronic
        products                  14.5   14.9    -.4   -1.4
      Electrical equipment,
        appliances, and
        components                 1.1    4.7     .2   -1.9
      Motor vehicles and parts     4.8    2.5    -.6     .7
      Aerospace and
        miscellaneous trans-
        portation equipment         .8    5.8    -.9    -.2
      Furniture and related
        products                  -1.8    2.0   -1.3    1.2
      Miscellaneous               -2.2    4.5   -3.2    1.3

    Nondurable manufacturing       -.4    2.9    -.1     .3
      Food, beverage, and
        tobacco products           2.1    3.6     .5    -.4
      Textile and product
        mills                     -8.5   -2.5    -.3     .7
      Apparel and leather        -14.3   -4.3   -2.1   -5.6
      Paper                       -3.3    3.7     .1     .3
      Printing and support        -3.5     .8     .0   -1.4
      Petroleum and coal
        products                   1.2    3.9     .6    3.3
      Chemical                     1.2    3.7    -.4    1.5
      Plastics and rubber
        products                  -2.2    1.6    -.8    1.3

  Other manufacturing (non-
    NAICS)                          .3    4.6    -.4     .0

Mining                              .2   -1.5     .3     .4
Utilities                          -.6    2.3     .0     .1
  Electric                          .5    3.5     .0     .0
  Natural gas                     -6.2   -3.6     .3     .0

                                 Difference between rates
                                 of change: revised minus
                                         earlier
                                   (percentage points)

             Item                2002   2003   2004 (3)

Total industry                     .1    -.3        -.7

         MARKET GROUP

Final products and
    nonindustrial supplies         .1     .5        -.7

  Consumer goods                   .6     .8        -.6
    Durable                        .4     .3        -.7
      Automotive products          .2     .3       -2.3
      Home electronics           -8.4    9.8       -2.2
      Appliances, furniture,
        carpeting                  .0     .4        2.6
      Miscellaneous goods         1.9   -1.3         .8
    Nondurable                     .5     .8        -.5
      Non-energy                   .5     .8        -.8
        Foods and tobacco          .2    4.0        1.3
        Clothing                 -7.3   -1.7       -2.6
        Chemical products         2.7   -2.9       -3.0
        Paper products             .1   -4.9       -4.3
      Energy                      1.3     .6         .4

  Business equipment             -1.2    1.9       -1.3
    Transit                       2.5    3.5        2.4
    Information processing       -9.2    7.9       -4.0
    Industrial and other          3.0   -1.8        -.8
  Defense and space equipment      .2     .7        -.4

  Construction supplies           -.4    -.5        1.5
  Business supplies                .1   -1.4       -2.1

Materials                          .2   -1.4        -.7
  Non-energy                       .5   -1.6        -.9
    Durable                        .3   -2.0        -.9
      Consumer parts               .4     .7         .1
      Equipment parts              .3   -5.9         .1
      Other                        .4    -.4       -1.6
    Nondurable                     .8    -.8        -.8
      Textile                     3.0   -2.7        1.5
      Paper                        .6     .2       -1.0
      Chemical                     .4    -.7        -.9
  Energy                          -.6    -.8        -.1

        INDUSTRY GROUP

Manufacturing (4)                  .2    -.3        -.9
  Manufacturing (NAICS)            .3    -.1        -.7
    Durable manufacturing          .2    -.4        -.8
      Wood products               1.8    -.6       -1.1
      Nonmetallic mineral
        products                 -1.8     .5        3.9
      Primary metal               3.6    1.2       -2.8
      Fabricated metal
        products                  -.1   -1.1       -1.0
      Machinery                   2.2   -2.2        -.6
      Computer and electronic
        products                 -5.2   -1.2        -.9
      Electrical equipment,
        appliances, and
        components               -3.0     .0        -.7
      Motor vehicles and parts    1.4    1.0        -.9
      Aerospace and
        miscellaneous trans-
        portation equipment       2.3     .3        -.4
      Furniture and related
        products                  4.6     .9        -.7
      Miscellaneous               3.8   -1.0        -.9

    Nondurable manufacturing       .5     .3        -.6
      Food, beverage, and
        tobacco products           .7    3.3         .7
      Textile and product
        mills                     1.7   -1.6        1.6
      Apparel and leather        -7.3   -1.9       -2.6
      Paper                       1.2    -.6         .1
      Printing and support       -1.5    2.0       -3.9
      Petroleum and coal
        products                  2.9   -1.3        3.4
      Chemical                    1.1   -1.8       -2.6
      Plastics and rubber
        products                   .2   -1.8        -.8

  Other manufacturing (non-
    NAICS)                       -1.7   -4.0       -3.6

Mining                           -1.5    -.1         .6
Utilities                          .5     .0         .0
  Electric                         .2    -.1         .4
  Natural gas                     2.0    -.3       -1.9

NOTE. Estimates for the fourth quarter of 2004 are subject
to further revision in the upcoming monthly releases.

(1.) Rates of change are calculated as the percent change
in the seasonally adjusted index from the fourth quarter
of the previous year to the fourth quarter of the year
specified in the column heading.

(2.) North American Industry Classification System.

(3.) For 2004, the calculation of "revised minus earlier" is based
on annualized rates of change from the fourth quarter of 2003 to
the third quarter of 2004.

(4.) Manufacturing comprises those industries included in the
NAICS definition of manufacturing plus those industries--newspaper,
periodical, book, and directory publishing and logging--that have
traditionally been considered to be a part of manufacturing and
are included in the industrial sector.

... Not applicable.

A.4. Rates of change in industrial production, special
aggregates and selected detail, 2000-2004 (1)

                                            Revised rate of change
                                                    (percent)

                                  NAICS
             Item                code (2)    2000    2001    2002

Total industry                     ...        1.9    -5.1     1.5

Energy                             ...        4.3    -3.3     2.9
  Consumer products                ...        7.9    -5.2    10.1
  Commercial products              ...        6.2    -1.3     4.7
  Oil and gas well drilling        ...       34.8    -8.1   -15.5
  Converted fuel                   ...        5.5    -8.1     4.0
  Primary materials                ...         .0      .0    -1.5

Non-energy                         ...        1.5    -5.4     1.2
  Selected high-technology
      industries                   ...       37.6   -10.1     8.1
    Computers and peripheral
      equipment                  3341        18.6    -3.6      .9
    Communications equipment     3342        28.6   -30.3   -14.3
    Semiconductors and related
      electronic components      334412-9    51.2     1.7    25.2
  Excluding selected high-
     technology industries         ...       -2.0    -5.0      .7
    Motor vehicles and parts     3361-3      -9.7    -2.1    11.3
      Motor vehicles             3361       -11.8     2.5    11.1
      Motor vehicle parts        3363        -7.1    -5.0    10.8

    Excluding motor vehicles
        and parts                  ...       -1.2    -5.2     -.4
      Consumer goods               ...         .4    -1.7    -1.2
      Business equipment           ...        2.9   -10.0    -2.2
      Construction supplies        ...       -1.4    -4.8      .2
      Business supplies            ...       -1.5    -6.4     -.2
      Materials                    ...       -3.2    -7.2      .7

Measures excluding selected
  high-technology industries
Total industry                     ...       -1.0    -4.6     1.0
  Manufacturing (4)                ...       -1.9    -4.9      .7
    Durable                        ...       -2.3    -6.5     2.3

Measures excluding motor
  vehicles and parts
Total industry                     ...        2.8    -5.2      .8
  Manufacturing (4)                ...        2.5    -5.6      .4
    Durable                        ...        6.5    -7.9     1.6

Measures excluding selected
  high-technology industries
  and motor vehicles and parts
Total industry                     ...        -.2    -4.8      .3
  Manufacturing (4)                ...       -1.2    -5.2     -.3

Measures of non-energy
    material inputs to
  Finished processors              ...        7.4    -7.7     5.5
  Primary and semifinished
    processors                     ...       -3.7    -5.3     1.7

Stage-of-process groups
Crude                              ...       -2.8    -2.9    -1.0
Primary and semifinished           ...        2.3    -5.9     3.4
Finished                           ...        2.7    -4.4     -.4

                                                Difference
                                               between rates
                                  Revised       of change:
                                  rate of      revised minus
                                  change         earlier
                                 (percent)     (percentage
                                                 points)

             Item                2003   2004   2000   2001

Total industry                    1.2    4.2    -.4     .2

Energy                            -.3     .6     .4     .3
  Consumer products              -1.4    -.3     .8     .6
  Commercial products              .1    5.4     .2     .3
  Oil and gas well drilling      21.0    8.6    5.5    2.8
  Converted fuel                   .0    1.7     .1    -.2
  Primary materials               -.4   -1.4     .3     .2

Non-energy                        1.5    5.0    -.5     .2
  Selected high-technology
      industries                 18.7   18.6    -.6   -1.6
    Computers and peripheral
      equipment                  21.8    7.6    -.6    2.1
    Communications equipment     22.5    9.6    1.0   -7.5
    Semiconductors and related
      electronic components      16.2   29.2   -1.6     .9
  Excluding selected high-
     technology industries         .4    4.1    -.5     .3
    Motor vehicles and parts      4.8    2.5    -.6     .7
      Motor vehicles              6.7    2.2     .3     .9
      Motor vehicle parts         2.7    1.3   -1.4     .3

    Excluding motor vehicles
        and parts                  .0    4.3    -.5     .3
      Consumer goods               .7    3.5    -.3     .3
      Business equipment           .1    9.4    -.9    1.4
      Construction supplies        .6    4.2    -.9    1.6
      Business supplies           -.9    3.1    -.8     .1
      Materials                   -.9    3.8    -.3     .0

Measures excluding selected
  high-technology industries
Total industry                     .3    3.5    -.4     .3
  Manufacturing (4)                .4    4.1    -.5     .3
    Durable                       1.2    5.1    -.7     .4

Measures excluding motor
  vehicles and parts
Total industry                     .9    4.3    -.4     .2
  Manufacturing (4)               1.2    5.2    -.5     .2
    Durable                       2.9    7.5    -.8     .0

Measures excluding selected
  high-technology industries
  and motor vehicles and parts
Total industry                    -.1    3.6    -.3     .3
  Manufacturing (4)                .0    4.3    -.4     .3

Measures of non-energy
    material inputs to
  Finished processors             1.9    8.2    -.7    -.3
  Primary and semifinished
    processors                     .0    2.9    -.4     .5

Stage-of-process groups
Crude                            -1.4     .3     .0    -.1
Primary and semifinished           .3    4.2    -.4     .4
Finished                          3.3    5.3    -.4     .0

                                     Difference
                                    between rates
                                      of change:
                                    revised minus
                                       earlier
                                     (percentage
                                       points)

                                                  2004
             Item                 2002    2003     (3)

Total industry                      .1     -.3     -.7

Energy                              .0     -.3      .1
  Consumer products                1.3      .6      .4
  Commercial products              1.2    -1.3     -.8
  Oil and gas well drilling        -.7    17.0    12.9
  Converted fuel                    .3    -1.0      .2
  Primary materials               -1.0     -.7     -.4

Non-energy                          .2     -.3     -.9
  Selected high-technology
      industries                  -7.2    -2.6    -1.5
    Computers and peripheral
      equipment                  -23.0     7.7   -15.1
    Communications equipment      -8.8    16.7     -.1
    Semiconductors and related
      electronic components         .3   -18.2     6.0
  Excluding selected high-
     technology industries          .7     -.2     -.9
    Motor vehicles and parts       1.4     1.0     -.9
      Motor vehicles               -.5     3.0     -.4
      Motor vehicle parts          3.0     -.3    -1.0

    Excluding motor vehicles
        and parts                   .6     -.3     -.8
      Consumer goods                .7      .5     -.4
      Business equipment           2.4     -.9     -.8
      Construction supplies        -.2     -.5     1.4
      Business supplies            -.2    -1.1    -2.7
      Materials                     .4     -.6    -1.0

Measures excluding selected
  high-technology industries
Total industry                      .6     -.2     -.6
  Manufacturing (4)                 .8     -.2     -.9
    Durable                        1.3     -.1     -.7

Measures excluding motor
  vehicles and parts
Total industry                      .0     -.4     -.6
  Manufacturing (4)                 .1     -.5     -.8
    Durable                        -.1     -.7     -.7

Measures excluding selected
  high-technology industries
  and motor vehicles and parts
Total industry                      .5     -.3     -.6
  Manufacturing (4)                 .6     -.3     -.8

Measures of non-energy
    material inputs to
  Finished processors               .5    -2.7     -.4
  Primary and semifinished
    processors                      .5     -.7    -1.3

Stage-of-process groups
Crude                              -.2     -.7     -.4
Primary and semifinished            .4    -1.5     -.6
Finished                           -.1     1.5     -.8

NOTE. Estimates for the fourth quarter of 2004 are subject to
further revision in the upcoming monthly releases.

(1.) Rates of change are calculated as the percent change in
the seasonally adjusted index from the fourth quarter of the
previous year to the fourth quarter of the year specified in
the column heading.

(2.) North American Industry Classification System.

(3.) For 2004, the calculation of "revised minus earlier" is
based on annualized rates of change from the fourth quarter
of 2003 to the third quarter of 2004.

(4.) See footnote 4 to table A.3.

...  Not applicable.

A.5. Capacity utilization rates, by industry group, 1972-2004 (1)

                                                    Revised rate
                                                 (percent of capacity,
                                                 seasonally adjusted)

                                                 1972-   1988-   1990-
                                       NAICS     2003     89      91
               Item                  code (2)    avg.    high     low

Total industry                                    81.1    85.1    78.6

Manufacturing (4)                       ...       79.9    85.6    77.2
  Manufacturing (NAICS)              31-33        79.7    85.5    77.0
    Durable manufacturing               ...       78.1    84.5    73.4
      Wood products                  321          80.1    88.9    73.1
      Nonmetallic mineral products   327          79.2    84.9    72.0
      Primary metal                  331          80.5    94.3    74.6
      Fabricated metal products      332          76.9    80.2    71.6
      Machinery                      333          78.9    84.8    73.0
      Computer and electronic
        products                     334          79.0    81.7    76.6
      Electrical equipment,
        appliances, and components   335          82.8    87.5    75.1
      Motor vehicles and parts       3361-3       77.6    90.3    56.0
      Aerospace and miscellaneous
        transportation equipment     3364-9       72.7    88.7    82.1
      Furniture and related
        products                     337          78.8    83.6    69.4
      Miscellaneous                  339          76.5    81.7    77.7

    Nondurable manufacturing            ...       81.9    87.1    81.7
      Food, beverage, and tobacco
        products                     311,2        81.9    85.6    81.0
      Textile and product mills      313,4        83.4    91.5    77.2
      Apparel and leather            315,6        79.6    84.2    77.3
      Paper                          322          88.2    93.7    85.2
      Printing and support           323          84.1    91.6    82.7
      Petroleum and coal products    324          86.0    88.9    82.9
      Chemical                       325          78.5    85.7    80.9
      Plastics and rubber products   326          83.7    91.1    77.1

  Other manufacturing (non-NAICS)    1133,5111    84.8    90.5    80.4

Mining                               21           87.1    85.8    83.5
Utilities                            2211,2       86.9    92.8    84.2

Selected high-technology
    industries                          ...       78.6    81.0    74.3
  Computers and peripheral
    equipment                        3341         78.6    80.2    67.5
  Communications equipment           3342         76.6    80.8    73.4
  Semiconductors and related
    electronic components            334412-9     81.2    82.8    77.5

Measures excluding selected
  high-technology industries
Total industry                          ...       81.2    85.5    78.8
  Manufacturing (4)                     ...       80.0    86.0    77.3

Stage-of-process groups
Crude                                   ...       86.4    88.9    84.8
Primary and semifinished                ...       82.2    86.5    77.5
Finished                                ...       78.0    83.1    77.2

                                         Revised rate
                                     (percent of capacity,
                                     seasonally adjusted)

                                     2002:   2003:   2004:
               Item                   Q4      Q4      Q4

Total industry                        75.4    76.5    78.8

Manufacturing (4)                     73.5    74.8    77.6
  Manufacturing (NAICS)               73.2    74.3    77.1
    Durable manufacturing             70.7    72.1    75.2
      Wood products                   74.4    77.4    78.2
      Nonmetallic mineral products    76.8    78.0    80.7
      Primary metal                   78.6    79.3    83.8
      Fabricated metal products       69.4    67.7    70.0
      Machinery                       67.9    69.9    78.6
      Computer and electronic
        products                      62.7    67.7    71.0
      Electrical equipment,
        appliances, and components    72.6    74.8    79.3
      Motor vehicles and parts        80.9    81.9    82.2
      Aerospace and miscellaneous
        transportation equipment      63.2    63.2    66.4
      Furniture and related
        products                      72.6    71.1    73.3
      Miscellaneous                   75.9    74.1    77.4

    Nondurable manufacturing          76.6    77.3    79.7
      Food, beverage, and tobacco
        products                      76.6    78.7    81.4
      Textile and product mills       76.8    73.4    74.6
      Apparel and leather             66.7    64.9    70.8
      Paper                           84.8    83.5    86.9
      Printing and support            73.0    71.7    72.1
      Petroleum and coal products     87.0    88.9    91.2
      Chemical                        73.5    74.1    76.2
      Plastics and rubber products    81.1    81.2    83.4

  Other manufacturing (non-NAICS)     80.7    83.3    87.0

Mining                                85.4    87.1    86.1
Utilities                             87.9    84.8    85.1

Selected high-technology
    industries                        60.9    66.7    69.7
  Computers and peripheral
    equipment                         70.9    74.1    76.4
  Communications equipment            42.8    52.8    58.8
  Semiconductors and related
    electronic components             69.8    74.8    75.2

Measures excluding selected
  high-technology industries
Total industry                        76.4    77.1    79.6
  Manufacturing (4)                   74.6    75.4    78.4

Stage-of-process groups
Crude                                 83.5    84.9    85.6
Primary and semifinished              78.0    78.4    80.1
Finished                              70.8    72.4    75.9

                                     Difference between rates:
                                       revised minus earlier
                                       (percentage points)

                                     2002:   2003:   2004:
               Item                   Q4      Q4     Q3 (3)

Total industry                          .2     1.0       .9

Manufacturing (4)                       .1      .6       .4
  Manufacturing (NAICS)                 .0      .7       .7
    Durable manufacturing               .2      .7      1.0
      Wood products                     .9      .8       .6
      Nonmetallic mineral products    -1.1     -.8      1.4
      Primary metal                    1.4     2.8       .7
      Fabricated metal products        -.3     -.4      -.1
      Machinery                        1.1      .6       .5
      Computer and electronic
        products                       -.4      .9      2.4
      Electrical equipment,
        appliances, and components    -1.5     -.8      -.5
      Motor vehicles and parts         -.3      .1       .2
      Aerospace and miscellaneous
        transportation equipment      -1.1    -1.5     -2.1
      Furniture and related
        products                       1.5     1.9      2.2
      Miscellaneous                    -.8    -1.6     -2.4

    Nondurable manufacturing           -.2      .5       .0
      Food, beverage, and tobacco
        products                       -.7     1.7      1.4
      Textile and product mills        1.9     1.3      2.5
      Apparel and leather              -.4      .8      2.2
      Paper                            -.1     -.1      -.3
      Printing and support            -1.3      .5     -2.8
      Petroleum and coal products     -1.1     -.2      1.2
      Chemical                          .6     -.2     -1.1
      Plastics and rubber products     1.5      .3       .1

  Other manufacturing (non-NAICS)      1.8     -.1     -2.8

Mining                                  .8     1.8      2.4
Utilities                               .7     1.7      1.7

Selected high-technology
    industries                         -.9     -.3      1.8
  Computers and peripheral
    equipment                          -.7      .7      -.7
  Communications equipment            -5.4     2.1      2.7
  Semiconductors and related
    electronic components              3.2     -.7      4.3

Measures excluding selected
  high-technology industries
Total industry                          .1      .6       .3
  Manufacturing (4)                     .0      .2      -.2

Stage-of-process groups
Crude                                   .4     1.1      1.2
Primary and semifinished                .5      .8       .7
Finished                               -.3      .8       .6

NOTE. Estimates for the fourth quarter of 2004 are subject to further
revision in the upcoming monthly releases.

(1.) See footnote 1 to table A.3.

(2.) North American Industry Classification System.

(3.) See footnote 3 to table A.3.

(4.) See footnote 4 to table A.3.

... Not applicable.

A.6. Rates of change in capacity, by industry group, 2000-2004 (1)

                                           Revised rate of change
                                                 (percent)

          Industry group             2000   2001   2002   2003   2004

Total industry                        4.3    2.7     .5    -.2    1.2

Manufacturing (2)                     5.0    2.6     .0    -.1    1.1
  Manufacturing (NAICS)               5.3    2.8     .2     .1    1.2
    Durable                           8.5    4.9     .7    1.3    2.2
    Nondurable                        1.0     .2    -.5   -1.3    -.2
  Other manufacturing (non-NAICS)      .7   -1.3   -2.5   -2.9     .1

Mining                               -1.0    2.0    -.6   -1.7    -.4
Utilities                             3.2    3.9    4.6    3.0    1.9

Selected high-technology industries  38.8   27.4    8.0    8.4   13.4
Manufacturing except selected
  high-technology industries (2)      1.7     .5    -.4    -.6     .1

Stage-of-process groups
Crude                                 -.9     .9    -.8   -2.2    -.2
Primary and semifinished              5.1    3.0     .8    -.2    2.0
Finished                              4.7    2.4     .3     .6     .3

                                       Difference between rates of
                                       change: revised minus earlier
                                           (percentage points)

          Industry group             2000   2001   2002   2003   2004

Total industry                         .2     .4   -1.2   -1.3    -.4

Manufacturing (2)                      .1     .4   -1.1   -1.1    -.5
  Manufacturing (NAICS)                .1     .4   -1.1   -1.0    -.6
    Durable                            .2     .2   -2.0   -1.2   -1.4
    Nondurable                         .1     .6    -.1    -.6     .3
  Other manufacturing (non-NAICS)     1.0    -.3    -.9   -1.5     .7

Mining                                 .2    -.7    -.9   -1.2    -.4
Utilities                              .7     .2   -1.4   -1.3     .4

Selected high-technology industries  -3.4    2.5   -9.7   -3.4   -7.3
Manufacturing except selected
  high-technology industries (2)       .4     .1    -.2    -.4    -.1

Stage-of-process groups
Crude                                  .4    -.3    -.4   -1.1    -.1
Primary and semifinished               .0     .2   -1.0   -2.0    -.3
Finished                               .4     .6   -1.4    -.2    -.7

(1.) Rates of change are calculated as the percent change in the
seasonally adjusted index from the fourth quarter of the previous
year to the fourth quarter of the year specified in the column
heading.

(2.) See footnote 4 to table A.3.

A.7. Rates of change in electric power use, by industry
group, 2000-2004 (1)

                                          Revised rate of change
                                                  (percent)

          Industry group             2000   2001   2002   2003   2004

Total industry                        1.0   -6.4    -.3   -1.3     .8

Manufacturing (2)                     1.2   -6.7     .1   -1.2     .7
  Durable                             -.1   -7.0    1.5   -2.5    2.6
  Nondurable                          2.4   -6.4   -1.0    -.2    -.9
  Other manufacturing (non-NAICS)     -.5   -6.8   -2.3     .2   -1.1
Mining                               -2.7   -3.1   -5.0   -3.4    2.8

Total excluding nuclear nondefense     .2   -5.4    -.4   -1.1     .8
Utility sales to industry              .6   -7.4    -.3   -1.5     .8
Industrial generation                 9.1    2.8     .7     .9     .7

                                       Difference between rates of
                                      change: revised minus earlier
                                            (percentage points)

          Industry group             2000   2001   2002   2003   2004

Total industry                         .0    1.3    -.8    1.4    -.8

Manufacturing (2)                      .0    1.4    -.8    1.6    -.9
  Durable                              .0    1.2    -.7    1.2    -.2
  Nondurable                           .0    1.5    -.9    1.9   -1.3
  Other manufacturing (non-NAICS)      .0     .0     .0    -.6   -1.3
Mining                                 .0     .1    -.4   -1.0     .3

Total excluding nuclear nondefense     .0    1.3    -.8    1.4    -.5
Utility sales to industry              .0    1.2    -.7    1.5    -.6
Industrial generation                  .0    2.6   -1.4    -.1     .7

NOTE. Estimates for the third quarter of 2004 are subject to
further revision in the upcoming monthly releases.

(1.) Rates of change are calculated as the percent change in the
seasonally adjusted index from the fourth quarter of the previous
year to the fourth quarter of the year specified in the column
heading. For 2004, the rates are calculated from the fourth quarter
of 2003 to the third quarter of 2004 and are annualized.

(2.) See footnote 4 to table A.3.

A.8. Annual proportion in industrial production, by market
groups and industry groups, 1996-2004

                                               NAICS
                   Item                      code (1)     1996    1997

Total industry                                  ...      100.0   100.0

               MARKET GROUP

Final products and nonindustrial supplies       ...       56.4    56.9
  Consumer goods                                ...       27.7    27.6
    Durable                                     ...        7.8     7.9
      Automotive products                       ...        3.6     3.7
      Home electronics                          ...         .4      .4
      Appliances, furniture, carpeting          ...        1.4     1.4
      Miscellaneous goods                       ...        2.4     2.4
    Nondurable                                  ...       19.9    19.7
      Non-energy                                ...       16.3    16.3
        Foods and tobacco                       ...        8.7     8.7
        Clothing                                ...        1.8     1.6
        Chemical products                       ...        3.7     3.7
        Paper products                          ...        1.7     1.8
      Energy                                    ...        3.7     3.4

  Business equipment                            ...       11.2    11.8
    Transit                                     ...        1.8     2.1
    Information processing                      ...        3.7     4.0
    Industrial and other                        ...        5.7     5.8
  Defense and space equipment                   ...        2.0     1.9

  Construction supplies                         ...        4.1     4.1
  Business supplies                             ...       11.0    11.1

Materials                                       ...       43.6    43.1
  Non-energy                                    ...       33.4    33.8
    Durable                                     ...       21.4    21.7
      Consumer parts                            ...        4.1     4.2
      Equipment parts                           ...        8.1     8.3
      Other                                     ...        9.2     9.2
    Nondurable                                  ...       12.1    12.1
      Textile                                   ...        1.1     1.1
      Paper                                     ...        3.0     2.9
      Chemical                                  ...        4.8     4.9
  Energy                                        ...       10.2     9.3

             INDUSTRY GROUPS

Manufacturing (2)                               ...       84.4    85.7
  Manufacturing (NAICS)                      31-33        80.3    81.2
    Durable manufacturing                       ...       45.5    46.5
      Wood products                          321           1.5     1.5
      Nonmetallic mineral products           327           2.2     2.2
      Primary metal                          331           3.0     3.1
      Fabricated metal products              332           6.0     6.0
      Machinery                              333           6.2     6.2
      Computer and electronic products       334          10.0    10.4
      Electrical equipment, appliances,
        and components                       335           2.6     2.6
      Motor vehicles and parts               3361-3        6.5     6.7
      Aerospace and miscellaneous
        transportation equipment             3364-9        3.2     3.5
      Furniture and related products         337           1.5     1.6
      Miscellaneous                          339           2.8     2.8

    Nondurable manufacturing                    ...       34.7    34.7
      Food, beverage, and tobacco products   311,2        10.1    10.1
      Textile and product mills              313,4         1.7     1.7
      Apparel and leather                    315,6         1.9     1.8
      Paper                                  322           3.3     3.2
      Printing and support                   323           2.7     2.6
      Petroleum and coal products            324           1.6     1.6
      Chemical                               325           9.9    10.1
      Plastics and rubber products           326           3.6     3.7

  Other manufacturing (non-NAICS)            1133,5111     4.1     4.4

Mining                                       21            6.0     5.4
Utilities                                    2211,2        9.6     9.0
  Electric                                   2211          8.1     7.7
  Natural gas                                2212          1.4     1.3

                   Item                       1998    1999    2000

Total industry                               100.0   100.0   100.0

               MARKET GROUP

Final products and nonindustrial supplies     58.1    57.7    57.6
  Consumer goods                              28.0    28.2    28.5
    Durable                                    7.9     8.0     7.8
      Automotive products                      3.7     3.9     3.7
      Home electronics                          .4      .4      .4
      Appliances, furniture, carpeting         1.4     1.4     1.4
      Miscellaneous goods                      2.4     2.4     2.3
    Nondurable                                20.1    20.2    20.7
      Non-energy                              16.9    16.7    16.9
        Foods and tobacco                      9.2     9.1     9.3
        Clothing                               1.5     1.3     1.2
        Chemical products                      3.8     3.8     3.9
        Paper products                         1.9     1.9     2.0
      Energy                                   3.3     3.5     3.8

  Business equipment                          12.3    11.9    11.7
    Transit                                    2.5     2.3     2.0
    Information processing                     4.0     4.1     4.1
    Industrial and other                       5.8     5.5     5.6
  Defense and space equipment                  1.9     1.8     1.5

  Construction supplies                        4.3     4.3     4.3
  Business supplies                           11.2    11.2    11.2

Materials                                     41.9    42.3    42.4
  Non-energy                                  33.3    33.1    32.3
    Durable                                   21.4    21.4    20.9
      Consumer parts                           4.2     4.4     4.1
      Equipment parts                          8.2     8.1     8.1
      Other                                    9.1     8.9     8.6
    Nondurable                                11.9    11.7    11.4
      Textile                                  1.0     1.0      .9
      Paper                                    2.8     2.9     2.8
      Chemical                                 4.6     4.5     4.3
  Energy                                       8.6     9.2    10.1

             INDUSTRY GROUPS

Manufacturing (2)                             86.5    85.8    84.5
  Manufacturing (NAICS)                       81.8    81.0    79.6
    Durable manufacturing                     47.1    46.6    45.5
      Wood products                            1.5     1.6     1.4
      Nonmetallic mineral products             2.3     2.3     2.2
      Primary metal                            2.9     2.8     2.5
      Fabricated metal products                6.1     6.0     6.1
      Machinery                                6.2     5.8     5.9
      Computer and electronic products        10.3    10.3    10.3
      Electrical equipment, appliances,
        and components                         2.6     2.5     2.5
      Motor vehicles and parts                 6.6     7.0     6.6
      Aerospace and miscellaneous
        transportation equipment               4.1     3.8     3.3
      Furniture and related products           1.7     1.7     1.7
      Miscellaneous                            2.8     2.8     2.9

    Nondurable manufacturing                  34.7    34.4    34.1
      Food, beverage, and tobacco products    10.6    10.4    10.7
      Textile and product mills                1.6     1.5     1.4
      Apparel and leather                      1.6     1.4     1.3
      Paper                                    3.2     3.2     3.2
      Printing and support                     2.6     2.6     2.6
      Petroleum and coal products              1.5     1.7     1.9
      Chemical                                 9.9     9.6     9.4
      Plastics and rubber products             3.7     3.8     3.7

  Other manufacturing (non-NAICS)              4.7     4.8     4.9

Mining                                         4.8     5.5     6.5
Utilities                                      8.7     8.6     9.0
  Electric                                     7.5     7.4     7.6
  Natural gas                                  1.2     1.2     1.4

                   Item                       2001    2002

Total industry                               100.0   100.0

               MARKET GROUP

Final products and nonindustrial supplies     59.1    58.8
  Consumer goods                              30.1    30.9
    Durable                                    8.1     8.9
      Automotive products                      4.0     4.6
      Home electronics                          .4      .3
      Appliances, furniture, carpeting         1.4     1.5
      Miscellaneous goods                      2.3     2.4
    Nondurable                                22.0    22.0
      Non-energy                              18.1    18.1
        Foods and tobacco                     10.0     9.7
        Clothing                               1.1      .9
        Chemical products                      4.5     4.9
        Paper products                         2.0     2.0
      Energy                                   3.8     3.9

  Business equipment                          11.2    10.3
    Transit                                    2.0     1.9
    Information processing                     3.8     3.0
    Industrial and other                       5.4     5.3
  Defense and space equipment                  1.8     1.8

  Construction supplies                        4.3     4.3
  Business supplies                           11.3    11.2

Materials                                     40.9    41.2
  Non-energy                                  30.8    30.9
    Durable                                   19.6    19.3
      Consumer parts                           3.8     4.1
      Equipment parts                          7.3     6.7
      Other                                    8.4     8.5
    Nondurable                                11.3    11.6
      Textile                                   .8      .8
      Paper                                    2.8     2.8
      Chemical                                 4.2     4.5
  Energy                                      10.0    10.3

             INDUSTRY GROUPS

Manufacturing (2)                             84.1    83.8
  Manufacturing (NAICS)                       79.2    79.0
    Durable manufacturing                     44.2    43.7
      Wood products                            1.4     1.5
      Nonmetallic mineral products             2.3     2.3
      Primary metal                            2.3     2.4
      Fabricated metal products                5.9     5.8
      Machinery                                5.6     5.4
      Computer and electronic products         9.2     7.9
      Electrical equipment, appliances,
        and components                         2.4     2.2
      Motor vehicles and parts                 6.5     7.4
      Aerospace and miscellaneous
        transportation equipment               3.8     3.6
      Furniture and related products           1.7     1.8
      Miscellaneous                            3.1     3.3

    Nondurable manufacturing                  35.0    35.3
      Food, beverage, and tobacco products    11.4    11.3
      Textile and product mills                1.3     1.3
      Apparel and leather                      1.2     1.0
      Paper                                    3.1     3.1
      Printing and support                     2.6     2.5
      Petroleum and coal products              1.7     1.6
      Chemical                                 9.8    10.6
      Plastics and rubber products             3.7     3.8

  Other manufacturing (non-NAICS)              5.0     4.8

Mining                                         6.4     6.4
Utilities                                      9.5     9.7
  Electric                                     8.1     8.3
  Natural gas                                  1.4     1.5

                   Item                       2003    2004

Total industry                               100.0   100.0

               MARKET GROUP

Final products and nonindustrial supplies     58.4    58.0
  Consumer goods                              30.9    30.3
    Durable                                    8.8     8.4
      Automotive products                      4.7     4.5
      Home electronics                          .4      .3
      Appliances, furniture, carpeting         1.4     1.4
      Miscellaneous goods                      2.3     2.3
    Nondurable                                22.1    21.8
      Non-energy                              17.9    17.7
        Foods and tobacco                      9.7     9.7
        Clothing                                .8      .7
        Chemical products                      4.9     4.8
        Paper products                         2.0     2.0
      Energy                                   4.2     4.1

  Business equipment                           9.9    10.0
    Transit                                    1.7     1.8
    Information processing                     3.1     2.9
    Industrial and other                       5.1     5.3
  Defense and space equipment                  2.0     2.0

  Construction supplies                        4.3     4.4
  Business supplies                           11.0    10.9

Materials                                     41.6    42.0
  Non-energy                                  30.2    30.1
    Durable                                   18.7    18.8
      Consumer parts                           4.1     4.0
      Equipment parts                          6.2     6.2
      Other                                    8.4     8.6
    Nondurable                                11.5    11.3
      Textile                                   .7      .6
      Paper                                    2.7     2.6
      Chemical                                 4.5     4.5
  Energy                                      11.4    11.9

             INDUSTRY GROUPS

Manufacturing (2)                             82.5    81.9
  Manufacturing (NAICS)                       77.7    77.2
    Durable manufacturing                     42.7    42.8
      Wood products                            1.5     1.6
      Nonmetallic mineral products             2.2     2.2
      Primary metal                            2.5     2.8
      Fabricated metal products                5.6     5.7
      Machinery                                5.2     5.5
      Computer and electronic products         7.6     7.4
      Electrical equipment, appliances,
        and components                         2.1     2.1
      Motor vehicles and parts                 7.5     7.2
      Aerospace and miscellaneous
        transportation equipment               3.5     3.6
      Furniture and related products           1.7     1.7
      Miscellaneous                            3.2     3.1

    Nondurable manufacturing                  35.0    34.4
      Food, beverage, and tobacco products    11.4    11.4
      Textile and product mills                1.2     1.1
      Apparel and leather                       .8      .7
      Paper                                    3.1     3.0
      Printing and support                     2.3     2.2
      Petroleum and coal products              1.9     2.0
      Chemical                                10.6    10.5
      Plastics and rubber products             3.7     3.6

  Other manufacturing (non-NAICS)              4.8     4.7

Mining                                         7.6     8.3
Utilities                                      9.9     9.8
  Electric                                     8.2     8.1
  Natural gas                                  1.6     1.6

NOTE. The IP proportion data are estimates of the industries'
relative contributions to the overall IP change between the
reference year and the following year. For example, a 1
percent increase in durable goods manufacturing between
2004 and 2005 would account for a 0.428 percent increase in total IP.

(1.) North American Industry Classification System.

(2.) See footnote 4 to table A.3.

... Not applicable.

1. Revised rates of change in industrial production and
capacity and the revised rate of capacity utilization,
2000-2004

                                                      Revised rates
                                                        of change
                                                        (percent)

                                      2003
               Item                  propor-   2000    2001   2002
                                      tion

Production
Total industry                         100.0    1.9    -5.1    1.5
  Manufacturing                         82.3    1.5    -5.4    1.3
    Excluding high-tech industries      77.4   -1.9    -4.9     .7
    High-tech industries                 4.9   37.6   -10.1    8.1
  Mining and utilities                  17.7    4.2    -3.3    2.7

Capacity
Total industry                         100.0    4.3     2.7     .5
  Manufacturing                         84.9    5.0     2.6     .0
    Excluding high-tech industries      78.9    1.7      .5    -.4
    High-tech industries                 6.1   38.8    27.4    8.0
  Mining and utilities                  15.1    1.7     3.0    2.6

Capacity utilization (percent)
Total industry                         100.0   80.7    74.6   75.4
  Manufacturing                         84.9   78.8    72.6   73.5
    Excluding high-tech industries      78.9   78.0    73.8   74.6
    High-tech industries                 6.1   86.1    60.8   60.9
  Mining and utilities                  15.1   92.5    86.8   87.0

                                                    Difference
                                                   between revised
                                      Revised      and earlier
                                      rates of       rates of
                                      change         change
                                     (percent)     (percentage
                                                     points)

               Item                  2003   2004   2000   2001

Production
Total industry                        1.2    4.2    -.4     .2
  Manufacturing                       1.5    5.0    -.5     .2
    Excluding high-tech industries     .4    4.1    -.5     .3
    High-tech industries             18.7   18.6    -.6   -1.6
  Mining and utilities                -.4     .6     .1     .2

Capacity
Total industry                        -.2    1.2     .2     .4
  Manufacturing                       -.1    1.1     .1     .4
    Excluding high-tech industries    -.6     .1     .4     .1
    High-tech industries              8.4   13.4   -3.4    2.5
  Mining and utilities                1.1    1.0     .5    -.1

Capacity utilization (percent)
Total industry                       76.5   78.8    -.7    -.8
  Manufacturing                      74.8   77.6    -.8    -.9
    Excluding high-tech industries   75.4   78.4   -1.0    -.7
    High-tech industries             66.7   69.7     .3   -2.2
  Mining and utilities               85.7   85.3    -.2     .0

                                     Difference between
                                     revised and earlier
                                      rates of change
                                     (percentage points)

               Item                  2002   2003   2004

Production
Total industry                         .1    -.3    -.7
  Manufacturing                        .2    -.3    -.9
    Excluding high-tech industries     .8    -.2    -.9
    High-tech industries             -7.2   -2.6   -1.5
  Mining and utilities                -.3    -.2     .3

Capacity
Total industry                       -1.2   -1.3    -.4
  Manufacturing                      -1.1   -1.1    -.5
    Excluding high-tech industries    -.2    -.4    -.1
    High-tech industries             -9.7   -3.4   -7.3
  Mining and utilities               -1.2   -1.3     .1

Capacity utilization (percent)
Total industry                         .2    1.0     .9
  Manufacturing                        .1     .6     .4
    Excluding high-tech industries     .0     .2    -.2
    High-tech industries              -.9    -.3    1.8
  Mining and utilities                 .8    1.7    1.9

NOTE. The rates of change for years are calculated from the fourth
quarter of the previous year to the fourth quarter of the year
specified. The capacity utilization rates are for the last quarter
of the year.

The difference between the revised and earlier rates of change
for IP for 2004 is calculated for the period 2003:Q4 to 2004:Q3.
The difference in capacity utilization for 2004 refers to 2004:Q3.

High-tech industries include the manufacturers of semiconductors
and related electronic components, computers and peripheral
equipment, and communications equipment.

2. Proportion of industrial production data
by type in reporting window, 2003

Percent

                                      Month of estimate
    Type of source data
                                1st     2nd     3rd     4th

Physical product               26.1    40.8    49.9    50.1
Production-worker hours        34.7    34.7    34.7    34.7
Electric power use               .0    11.7    11.7    11.7
Received                       60.8    87.2    96.4    96.6
Estimated                      39.2    12.8     3.6     3.4

Total industrial production   100.0   100.0   100.0   100.0

3. U.S. LAN equipment, 1997-2003

                                            Value of
                      Production   Price   production
      Period            index      index    (millions
                                           of dollars)

Annual estimates
(1997 = 100)
1997                    100.0      100.0    12,935.4
1998                    153.2       72.2    14,329.5
1999                    223.0       59.1    17,138.9
2000                    303.5       52.5    20,732.7
2001                    357.9       41.2    19,205.4
2002                    366.6       32.8    15,635.1
2003                    412.5       25.4    13,549.1

Quarterly estimates
(1997 = 100)
1997:Q1                  77.7      108.0    10,767.2
     Q2                  88.8       97.4    11,634.7
     Q3                 109.2       97.5    13,824.5
     Q4                 124.3       97.9    15,423.2

1998:Q1                 136.7       80.2    14,120.6
     Q2                 154.8       71.1    15,041.5
     Q3                 160.7       67.6    14,009.2
     Q4                 160.7       69.7    14,191.5

1999:Q1                 212.4       61.6    16,984.3
     Q2                 225.2       56.3    17,383.2
     Q3                 224.4       59.8    17,086.5
     Q4                 229.8       58.6    17,138.6

2000:Q1                 262.8       54.4    18,692.5
     Q2                 304.4       49.8    20,542.1
     Q3                 322.9       53.5    21,751.7
     Q4                 323.8       52.7    21,853.8

2001:Q1                 391.3       43.1    22,253.4
     Q2                 336.8       42.2    18,933.4
     Q3                 340.3       41.6    17,741.7
     Q4                 363.4       38.0    17,938.4

2002:Q1                 353.9       34.5    16,381.3
     Q2                 360.0       33.5    16,034.4
     Q3                 382.2       33.1    15,683.9
     Q4                 370.2       30.2    14,438.5

2003:Q1                 374.3       26.5    13,514.5
     Q2                 400.6       27.0    14,365.4
     Q3                 434.5       26.2    13,993.9
     Q4                 440.7       21.7    12,336.1


NOTE. Charles Gilbert Charles Gilbert may refer to:
  • Charles Allan Gilbert (1873-1929), American artist
  • Charles Champion Gilbert (1822-1903), American soldier
  • Charles Henry Gilbert (1859-1928), American ichthyologist
  • Charles Web Gilbert (1867-1925), Australian sculptor
 directed the 2004 revision and, with Kimberly Kimberly may refer to:

Places
  • Kimberly, Alabama
  • Kimberly, Arkansas
  • Kimberly, Fayette County, West Virginia
  • Kimberly, Idaho
  • Kimberly, Monongalia County, West Virginia
  • Kimberly, Wisconsin
Other
 Bayard Bayard, horse, in chivalric romance
Bayard (bā`ərd), Ital. Baiardo (bäyär`dō), in chivalric romance, a bay horse, remarkable for his spirit and for his unique ability to fit his size to his rider.
, David Byrne Byrne (variations: Byrnes, O'Byrne, O'Byrnes, Burns, Beirne) meaning 'raven', is derived from the Irish name Ó Broin, and is the seventh most common last name in Ireland today. History
'Ó Broin', the Gaelic form of 'Byrne', means descendant of Bran.
, William Cleveland William Cleveland (born Devonshire, died December 6th 1758) was an English independent slave trader(or interloper) who was stationed at Galinhas in Sierra Leone during the 1730s. , Paul Paul, 1901–64, king of the Hellenes (1947–64), brother and successor of George II. He married (1938) Princess Frederika of Brunswick. During Paul's reign Greece followed a pro-Western policy, and the Cyprus question was temporarily resolved.  Lengermann, Maria Otoo, Dixon Dixon, city (1990 pop. 15,144), seat of Lee co., N Ill., on the Rock River; founded 1830, inc. 1857. Corn and soybeans are grown, cattle are raised, and there is light manufacturing.  Tranum, and Daniel Daniel, book of the Bible
Daniel, book of the Bible. It combines "court" tales, perhaps originating from the 6th cent. B.C., and a series of apocalyptic visions arising from the time of the Maccabean emergency (167–164 B.C.
 Vine, prepared the revised estimates Revised estimate

The third estimate of GDP released about three months after the measurement period.
 of industrial production. Norman Norman, city (1990 pop. 80,071), seat of Cleveland co., central Okla.; inc. 1891. It is the center of a livestock region. Oil wells, food processing, and printing and publishing contribute to the economy, and there is diverse manufacturing (machinery, communication  Morin Mo´rin

n. 1. (Chem.) A yellow crystalline substance (C15H10O7) of acid properties extracted from

fustic rodby> (Chlorophora tinctoria syn.
, John Stevens John Stevens is the name of a number of prominent people:
  • John Stevens, Baron Stevens of Kirkwhelpington (born 1942), former Commissioner of the Metropolitan Police
  • John Stevens (immigrant) (1682-1737), immigrant to America, Port Collector at Perth Amboy.
, and Daniel Vine prepared the revised estimates of capacity and capacity utilization.

(1.) The production and capacity indexes and the utilization rates referred to in the text and shown in table 1 are based on the data as published on January 14, 2005. Statements about previously reported estimates refer to the data published in the December 14, 2004, monthly G.17 release.

(2.) Carol Corrado Corrado may be refer to:
  • Volkswagen Corrado, a Volkswagen sports car produced from 1988 to 1995
  • Corrado (given name), people with the given name Corrado
, "Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization: The 2000 Annual Revision," Federal Reserve Bulletin, vol. 87 (March 2001), pp. 132-48, (www.federalreserve.gov/pubs/bulletin/ 2001/0301scnd.pdf).

Charles Gilbert and Kimberly Bayard, of the Board's Division of Research and Statistics, prepared this article. Vanessa Haleco provided research assistance.
COPYRIGHT 2005 Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
No portion of this article can be reproduced without the express written permission from the copyright holder.
Copyright 2005, Gale Group. All rights reserved. Gale Group is a Thomson Corporation Company.

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Author:Haleco, Vanessa
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