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Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization for December 1998.


Released for publication January January: see month.  15

Industrial production increased 0.2 percent in December December: see month. . Based on more complete information for a number of manufacturing industries manufacturing industries nplindustrias fpl manufactureras

manufacturing industries nplindustries fpl de transformation

 and utilities, industrial production is now shown to have posted a larger gain in October October: see month.  than previously estimated and to have declined less in November November: see month. . Production in December was boosted by a 1.6 percent increase in utilities. Manufacturing output increased for the third consecutive month, gaining 0.2 percent. At 132.8 percent of its 1992 average, industrial production in December was 1.9 percent higher than it was in December 1997. Capacity utilization Capacity Utilization measures the rate at which a firm makes use of their capital productive capacities, such as factories and machinery. Capacity Utilization generally rises when the economy is healthy and falls when demand softens.  stood at 80.9 percent in December. The industry operating rate Operating rate

The percentage of total production capacity of a company, industry, or country that is being used.


operating rate

The portion of capacity at which a business operates.
 declined 2 1/2 percentage points during 1998 to a level more than 1 percentage point below its 1967-97 average.

Industrial production rose at an annual rate of 3.2 percent in the fourth quarter after having increased at a 0.9 percent rate in the third quarter. The gain was notable in manufacturing, where the pace picked up from a 0.4 percent annual rate in the third quarter to 5.1 percent in the fourth quarter. Part of the acceleration acceleration, change in the velocity of a body with respect to time. Since velocity is a vector quantity, involving both magnitude and direction, acceleration is also a vector. In order to produce an acceleration, a force must be applied to the body.  reflected a rebound rebound (rē´bownd),
n/v 1. a recovery from illness.
n 2. an outbreak of fresh reflex activity after withdrawal of a stimulus

rebound adjective
 in motor vehicle assemblies after strikes had limited output in both the second and third quarters; nonetheless, the output of other manufacturing industries increased at an annual rate of 3.3 percent in the fourth quarter after having been little changed in the third quarter. Utility output fell 12.5 percent at an annual rate in the fourth quarter as a result of unusually mild temperatures.

MARKET GROUPS

The output of consumer goods consumer goods

Any tangible commodity purchased by households to satisfy their wants and needs. Consumer goods may be durable or nondurable. Durable goods (e.g., autos, furniture, and appliances) have a significant life span, often defined as three years or more, and
 was unchanged in December. The production of automotive products was also unchanged, but the output of other durable consumer goods rose 0.8 percent. The production of nondurable non·du·ra·ble  
adj.
Not enduring; being in a state of constant consumption: nondurable items such as paper products.

n.
A consumable item: nondurables such as food. 
 consumer goods slipped 0.1 percent, pulled down by decreases in clothing and paper products. Residential sales of both electricity and gas increased.

The production of business equipment was unchanged after a 0.8 percent drop in November. December declines in the output of industrial equipment (notably mining and oil and gas field equipment), transit transit, in astronomy, passage of a body across a meridian or passage of a small body across the visible disk of a larger one. (The passage of a large body across a smaller one is called an eclipse or occultation.  equipment, and farm machinery (a component of the "other equipment" group) were offset by a gain in information processing information processing: see data processing.
information processing

Acquisition, recording, organization, retrieval, display, and dissemination of information. Today the term usually refers to computer-based operations.
 equipment.

The output of construction supplies rose 0.6 percent after gains of about 1 percent in both October and November. The production of business supplies increased 1.0 percent in December, more than reversing its loss in November.

The production of materials grew 0.5 percent after having been nearly flat in the preceding three months. The production of durable goods durable goods

Goods, such as appliances and automobiles, that have a useful life over a number of periods. Firms that produce durable goods are often subject to wide fluctuations in sales and profits. Also called consumer durables.
 materials increased 0.6 percent as continued strength in the production of semiconductors and computer parts offset weakness in other categories. The output of basic metals slipped 0.1 percent and is now 5 percent below the level of December 1997. The production of nondurable materials also edged down 0.1 percent because of weakness in the production of paper and textiles textiles, all fabrics made by weaving, felting, knitting, braiding, or netting, from the various textile fibers (see fiber). Types of Textiles
.

INDUSTRY GROUPS

Manufacturing output increased 0.2 percent, with gains in the production of durable goods and with no change in the production of nondurable goods. The output for most major durable goods industries increased; the biggest advances came in electrical machinery, miscellaneous manufactures, and furniture. The production of computers increased 2.2 percent, while the output of other industrial machinery fell, leaving the combined industrial machinery and computer industry up only 0.4 percent. In the past twelve months, computer output has expanded more than 50 percent. The production of nondurable goods was flat in December after having posted gains of about 1/2 percent in the preceding two months. Gains in petroleum and chemical products in December were offset by losses in printing, textiles, apparel, and food; the decline in food production follows two consecutive monthly gains of about 1 1/2 percent. Mining production continued to fall, being pulled down by the continued contraction contraction, in physics
contraction, in physics: see expansion.
contraction, in grammar
contraction, in writing: see abbreviation.

contraction - reduction
 in oil and gas extraction extraction /ex·trac·tion/ (eks-trak´shun)
1. the process or act of pulling or drawing out.

2. the preparation of an extract.
.

The factory operating rate dropped 0.2 percentage point to 79.9 percent--more than 2 1/2 percentage points below the level in December 1997. The average rate in the fourth quarter, 80.2 percent, was unchanged from the third quarter. The utilization utilization,
n 1. the extent to which a given group uses a particular service in a specified period. Although usually expressed as the number of services used per year per 100 or per 1000 persons eligible for the service, utilization rates may be
 rate for advanced-processing industries remains below its 1967-97 average, while the utilization rate for primary-processing industries is at its long-term Long-term

Three or more years. In the context of accounting, more than 1 year.


long-term

1. Of or relating to a gain or loss in the value of a security that has been held over a specific length of time. Compare short-term.
 average. The utilization rate for mines fell 0.6 percentage point in December and has fallen more than 5 percentage points during the past twelve months.

[ILLUSTRATION OMITTED]
Industrial production and capacity utilization, December 1998

                          Industrial production, index, 1992 = 100

                                             Percentage change
      Category                                  1998

                              Sept.(r)   Oct.(r)   Nov.(r)   Dec.(p)
Total                           131.9     132.6    132.5      132.8
Previous estimate               131.9     132.2    131.8

Major market groups
Products, total(2)              124.1     125.2    124.9      125.0
  Consumer goods                114.8     115.6    115.8      115.8
  Business equipment            167.4     169.5    168.2      168.1
  Construction supplies         126.9     128.2    129.6      130.4
Materials                       144.4     144.5    144.6      145.3

Major industry groups
Manufacturing                   135.2     136.3    136.5      136.7
  Durable                       159.6     161.1    160.9      161.5
  Nondurable                    110.6     111.2    111.8      111.8
Mining                          102.4     101.8    101.4      100.8
Utilities                       120.3     117.4    113.9      115.7

                                  Capacity utilization, percent
                                               1997
                              Average,    Low,      High,
                              1967-97     1982     1988-89
                                                               Dec.

Total                           82.1      71.1       85.4      83.4

Previous estimate

Manufacturing                   81.1      69.0       85.7      82.5
  Advanced processing           80.5      70.4       84.2      81.4
  Primary processing            82.4      66.2       88.9      85.4
Mining                          87.5      80.3       88.0      89.0
Utilities                       87.5      75.9       92.6      89.9

                                      Percentage change
                                            1998(1)
      Category
                              Sept.(r)   Oct.(r)   Nov.(r)   Dec.(p)

Total                           -.4         .5       -.1      .2
Previous estimate               -.4         .2       -.3

Major market groups
Products, total(2)              -.6         .8       -.2      .1
  Consumer goods               -1.2         .8        .2      .0
  Business equipment             .5        1.3       -.8      .0
  Construction supplies         -.9        1.0       1.1      .6
Materials                        .0         .0        .1      .5

Major industry groups
Manufacturing                   -.4         .8        .1      .2
  Durable                       -.1        1.0       -.1      .3
  Nondurable                    -.7         .6        .5      .0
Mining                         -1.3        -.6       -.4     -.6
Utilities                        .0       -2.4      -2.9     1.6

                                    Capacity utilization, percent

                                                   1998

                             Sept.(r)    Oct.(r)   Nov.(r)   Dec.(p)

Total                          81.3       81.4      81.0       80.9

Previous estimate              81.3       81.2      80.6

Manufacturing                  80.1       80.4      80.1       79.9
  Advanced processing          79.5       79.8      79.5       79.2
  Primary processing           82.1       82.4      82.3       82.4
Mining                         85.2       84.6      84.2       83.6
Utilities                      95.0       92.7      89.9       91.3

                              Percentage change
      Category
                              Dec. 1997
                              to Dec. 1998

Total                            1.9
Previous estimate

Major market groups
Products, total(2)               2.2
  Consumer goods                  .4
  Business equipment             7.4
  Construction supplies          5.0
Materials                        1.4

Major industry groups
Manufacturing                    2.3
  Durable                        4.8
  Nondurable                     -.8
Mining                          -5.3
Utilities                        2.4

                                 MEMO
                               Capacity
                              percentage
                                change
                               Dec. 1997
                              to Dec. 1998

Total                             5.0

Previous estimate

Manufacturing                     5.6
  Advanced processing             6.6
  Primary processing              2.9
  Mining                           .9
Utilities                          .8


Note: Date seasonally adjusted Seasonally adjusted

Mathematically adjusted by moderating a macroeconomic indicator (e.g., oil prices/imports) so that relative comparisons can be drawn from month to month all year.
 or calculated from seasonally adjusted monthly data.

(1.) Change from preceding month.

(2.) Contains components in addition to those shown.

(r) Revised

(p) Preliminary
COPYRIGHT 1999 Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
No portion of this article can be reproduced without the express written permission from the copyright holder.
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Publication:Federal Reserve Bulletin
Date:Feb 1, 1999
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