ING is upbeat as it looks at Euro Vision.Global real estate fundamentals will remain healthy in most markets over the next 12 to 24 months, supported by moderating but above-trend economic growth, improving earnings, and the continued inflow in·flown. 1. The act or process of flowing in or into: an inflow of water; an inflow of information. 2. of capital, according to according to prep. 1. As stated or indicated by; on the authority of: according to historians. 2. In keeping with: according to instructions. 3. the most recent "Global Vision" report issued by ING Real Estate. "With commercial property yields relatively low, real estate investors A real estate investor is someone who actively or passively invests in real estate. An active investor may buy a property, make repairs and/or improvements to the property, and sell it later for a profit. are asking, 'Is the party over?'" said Timothy Bellman, Global Head of Research at ING Real Estate. "Our answer is 'no' but there will be significant variations in performance by sector and by region. The global movement of capital is changing the nature of investment opportunities." In 'Global Vision,' ING Real Estate's annual global research report, the Group notes the flow of capital into real estate has continued unabated un·a·bat·ed adj. Sustaining an original intensity or maintaining full force with no decrease: an unabated windstorm; a battle fought with unabated violence. , and that cross-border investment will continue to play a major role in underpinning un·der·pin·ning n. 1. Material or masonry used to support a structure, such as a wall. 2. A support or foundation. Often used in the plural. 3. Informal The human legs. Often used in the plural. current pricing. ING Real Estate has seen an increase in both real estate investment trusts and commercial mortgage backed securities (CMBS CMBS See: Commercial Mortgage Backed Securities ), as real estate, both public and private, continues to outperform Outperform An analyst recommendation meaning a stock is expected to do slightly better than the market return. Notes: Exact definitions vary by brokerage, but in general this rating is better than neutral and worse than buy or strong buy. equity and bond markets in most major markets. The ING Real Estate report forecasts significant improvements in Continental Europe's real estate investment climate. Ian Whittock, Head of European Research and Strategy said, "I expect the more mature continental European Markets to perform strongly in 2007." Global Vision highlights Continental Europe's recovering economy, healthy real estate market fundamentals, and the prospect for a significant yield re-rating in the years ahead. "Because of increased transparency, liquidity and strong performance in recent years, real estate has emerged as a widely accepted asset class and, as a consequence, investors have increased their exposure to real estate." said Maarten van der Spek, Managing Director of European Research and Strategy Continental Europe Continental Europe, also referred to as mainland Europe or simply the Continent, is the continent of Europe, explicitly excluding European islands and, at times, peninsulas. . "With fundamentals generally healthy and improving, earnings growth should also continue to support steady income returns and we expect the strong capital inflow to continue," he added. In 'Global Vision', ING Real Estate's analysis of property market cycles shows that capital market trends and yields, over the next three years in Europe, are likely to deliver attractive risk-adjusted total returns, suggesting an overweight to the region for core investors. ING Real Estate has seen strong positive changes in several key markets and property types in Continental Europe, indicating a significant improvement in property market fundamentals and a region that is at the beginning of a recovery in the employment markets. While the ING Real Estate report forecasts increasing capital flows into Europe, yields are expected to continue to re-rate over the medium term. "Global investors will be swift to take advantage of the yield arbitrage arbitrage: see foreign exchange. arbitrage Business operation involving the purchase of foreign currency, gold, financial securities, or commodities in one market and their almost simultaneous sale in another market, in order to profit from price opportunities that Continental Europe presents relative to other regions in the world. Investors should consider reallocating or increasing their exposure to the European real estate markets," said Ian Whittock. In the United Kingdom, ING Real Estate predicts moderating performance in the industrial and retail segments, while the outlook for the office and residential markets is more positive. In Asia Pacific, the prospect of further major yield compression is limited in most markets. Timothy Bellman commented, "Leverage no longer enhances returns as much as it did in recent years in many markets due to compressed yields and a higher cost of borrowing. With a low cost of debt, Japan is the major exception. "Throughout Asia Pacific real estate fundamentals are still generally strong, offering sound growth prospects." High demand for prime office space in most capitals and buoyant requirements for modern logistics space reflect the strong growth and trade of the region, particularly intra-regional trade. In North America North America, third largest continent (1990 est. pop. 365,000,000), c.9,400,000 sq mi (24,346,000 sq km), the northern of the two continents of the Western Hemisphere. , the U.S. office sector is poised to perform well in the short-term, with demand far outstripping supply. Dr. Indraneel Karlekar, Head of Research for ING Clarion A family of application development systems for Windows from SoftVelocity, Inc., Pompano Beach, FL (www.softvelocity.com). Clarion provides a comprehensive set of tools for development, including a screen builder, 4GL and application generator. Real Estate Securities stated, "It is the office sector's turn to shine. Midtown mid·town n. A central portion of a city, between uptown and downtown. midtown Noun US & Canad the centre of a town Manhattan rents have risen by over 30% year-over-year and there is no shortage of demand for prime space." The report concludes that performance in the retail and industrial sectors is likely to stabilize as consumer spending Consumer demand or consumption is also known as personal consumption expenditure. It is the largest part of aggregate demand or effective demand at the macroeconomic level. eases, while the apartment sector will continue to be challenged by high costs, increased vacancy rates, and limited demand. As ING Real Estate's 'Global Vision' highlights, the current real estate environment continues to appeal to investors with varying risk profiles. The report emphasizes that for real estate's golden era to be sustained, investors should be selective in market and property choice. |
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