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Hotel industry officials hope for salvation before others go under.


"Stay alive till '95," they're saying in parts of the Los Angeles Los Angeles (lôs ăn`jələs, lŏs, ăn`jəlēz'), city (1990 pop. 3,485,398), seat of Los Angeles co., S Calif.; inc. 1850.  County real estate community. That sentiment especially applies to the county's hotel industry, where new development has almost ground to a halt after the rapid build-up of room inventory in the 1980s.

Right now there are five hotels under construction in the county but probably four times that many are planned, and most of those have been in the planning stages for at least the past 18 months. The conventional wisdom is that one out of four of the planned hotels will actually start construction within the next 18 months or two years.

Nowhere else is the lack of new hotel construction more apparent than in downtown Los Angeles Downtown Los Angeles is the central business district of Los Angeles, California, located close to the geographic center of the metropolitan area. The sprawling, multi-centered megacity is such that its downtown core is often considered just another district like Hollywood or . The downtown hotel industry's problems have been well documented, from low occupancy to no big conventions to the recession and crime. And what makes matters worse is that no one expects a quick turnaround.

Most industry experts said they think, at the earliest, it will be mid-1993 before the downtown hotel business rebounds and new construction starts to pick up again.

By most industry counts, there are at least 10 hotels in various stages of planning for the greater downtown area. One is actually under construction, the Intercontinental, a 470-room property on Olive Street between GTK See GTK+.  Way and Fourth Street that is scheduled to be completed in about 13 months.

If all the planned hotels are built, the inventory of rooms downtown would double to 12,000 but no one expects all the properties to be completed, especially since by general consensus, all the hotels in the area are having financial problems.

To a person, local hotel industry experts predicted that, at best, half the planned hotels will actually be built eventually and that none will be constructed, or completed, anytime soon.

One of the more pessimistic experts is Lou Myers
This article is about Lou Myers, the cartoonist. For the actor, see Lou Myers (actor).


Lou Myers (1915—November 20, 2005) was a cartoonist and short story writer.
, a real estate attorney who is a partner at a downtown law firm. He doesn't see any new major hotel construction in Los Angeles County, and particularly downtown L.A., for at least three years, and maybe longer.

"The hotel industry right now is under major pressure -- occupancy is down, room rates are down, travel is down, cash flow is down but supply is up. Existing hotels can't make their debt service so that certainly isn't a great incentive for new construction, to say nothing about the fact that lenders aren't lending money. There just isn't any money available for new commercial real estate," Myers said.

He contended the California economy has not yet hit the bottom of the current recession and it could be four years before the hotel industry in Los Angeles recovers from the slump it has been in for two years now.

Other experts are not quite so gloomy but all predict the slump at downtown hotels in particular is far from over, and they point to the recent Chapter 11 bankruptcy filing by the Westin Bonaventure as a precursor of things to come. The 1,400-room Westin, with its cylinder and glass design, is a downtown landmark but is $75 million behind on its mortgage payments.

One upcoming event that may spark a turnaround in hotel construction downtown is the expansion of the Los Angeles Convention Center The Los Angeles Convention Center (abbreviated LACC) is a convention center in downtown Los Angeles. The LACC hosts annual events such as the Greater Los Angeles Auto Show, and was best known to video games fans as host to E3 until its cessation in 2006. , which is now scheduled to be completed in mid- to late 1993, two years behind its original completion date.

The expanded center, which will be more than twice as big and will include more modern amenities than the current facility, should attract major conventions to downtown Los Angeles -- something that has been lacking for several years.

In addition to the Intercontinental, hotels under construction in the Los Angeles area include properties in Glendale, the Los Angeles International Airport “LAX” redirects here. For other uses, see LAX (disambiguation).

“KLAX” redirects here. For other uses, see KLAX (disambiguation).

Los Angeles International Airport (IATA: LAX, ICAO: KLAX, FAA LID: LAX
 area, on La Cienega Boulevard La Cienega Boulevard is a major north/south arterial road that runs from El Segundo Boulevard in El Segundo, California on the south to its end on the Sunset Strip/Sunset Boulevard in West Hollywood.  near Beverly Hills Beverly Hills, city (1990 pop. 31,971), Los Angeles co., S Calif., completely surrounded by the city of Los Angeles; inc. 1914. The largely residential city is home to many motion-picture and television personalities.  and a hotel in Montrose. Completion of the hotels will not add significantly to the county's room inventory, which in August was 833,413, compared to 798,291 in August 1990.

Construction on another hotel, the Park Hyatt on the beach in Santa Monica Santa Monica (săn`tə mŏn`ĭkə), city (1990 pop. 86,905), Los Angeles co., S Calif., on Santa Monica Bay; inc. 1886. Tourism and retailing are important, and the city has motion-picture, biotechnology, and software industries. , has ground to halt because the developer has filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy. The property is also subject to litigation An action brought in court to enforce a particular right. The act or process of bringing a lawsuit in and of itself; a judicial contest; any dispute.

When a person begins a civil lawsuit, the person enters into a process called litigation.
 between the developer and the former lead contractor on the project.

Major new, or reopened, properties that have added to the room inventory since the first of the year include the Peninsula in Beverly Hills and the Ritz-Carlton Huntington Hotel Huntington Hotel may refer to:
  • The Huntington Hotel (San Francisco)
  • The Ritz Carlton Huntington Hotel in Pasadena, California
  • The Hilton Long Island, Huntington Hotel
 in Pasadena. Both hotels are luxury properties and are reportedly having financial problems, according to according to
prep.
1. As stated or indicated by; on the authority of: according to historians.

2. In keeping with: according to instructions.

3.
 industry experts. The hotels say occupancy hasn't met expectations but the properties are not threatened with foreclosure, bankruptcy or closing.

But industry experts predict that what happened at the Westin Bonaventure will probably be repeated at other properties before the industry comes out of its slump.

"A lot of hotels are over-leveraged and over-capitalized and may be taken over by their lenders and sold off," said Bruce Baltin, an industry analyst and partner in the Los Angeles office of Pannell Kerr Forster, an accounting and consulting firm Noun 1. consulting firm - a firm of experts providing professional advice to an organization for a fee
consulting company

business firm, firm, house - the members of a business organization that owns or operates one or more establishments; "he worked for a
. "I expect that there will be others like the Bonaventure. There will be more foreclosures."
COPYRIGHT 1991 CBJ, L.P.
No portion of this article can be reproduced without the express written permission from the copyright holder.
Copyright 1991, Gale Group. All rights reserved. Gale Group is a Thomson Corporation Company.

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Article Details
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Title Annotation:Quarterly Real Estate Report
Author:Deady, Tim
Publication:Los Angeles Business Journal
Article Type:Industry Overview
Date:Dec 2, 1991
Words:851
Previous Article:A bright spot, there's parking available downtown. (downturn of parking lots and garages)(Quarterly Real Estate Report) (Industry Overview)
Next Article:Analysts see 'class B' buildings in greatest danger during tenant war. (Quarterly Real Estate Report) (Industry Overview)
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