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HIGHER INTEREST RATES MAY HANG AROUND FOR SOME TIME.


Byline: GREGORY J. WILCOX

Last week brought higher interest rates and they might hang around a while, too.

A survey released Thursday by Freddie Mac Freddie Mac: see Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation. , the big mortgage company, showed that the average rate on a 30-year, fixed-rate loan Fixed-rate loan

A loan whose rate is fixed for the life of the loan.
 rose to 5.79 percent, up from 5.52 percent the prior week and the highest since that benchmark hit 5.87 percent in the Jan. 8 report.

A day earlier the Mortgage Bankers Association had the 30-year rate at 5.75 percent for the week ending April 2.

Blame, or credit, a strengthening economy, especially a report earlier in the month that showed the economy had added 308,000 jobs in March.

When the economy improves, interest rates, both short term and long term, tend to rise.

Of course, sometimes the movement is an overaction o·ver·act  
v. o·ver·act·ed, o·ver·act·ing, o·ver·acts

v.tr.
To act (a dramatic role) with unnecessary exaggeration.

v.intr.
1. To exaggerate a role; overplay.

2.
 to current events.

One expert, Keith T. Gumbinger, vice president at HSH HSH
abbr.
Her (or His) Serene Highness
 Associates in Butler, N.J., the nation's biggest provider of mortgage information, is in this camp.

``Rates should not have gone down as far as they did in January and February. The economic news was not that dire,'' he said. ``There just weren't any jobs to talk about so rates probably went down more than warranted.''

Economically speaking, rates now look to be in their sweet spot.

``We're probably about right-priced right now for whatever the next phase of the economy is,'' Gumbinger said.

But that doesn't mean they are going to stay put, either, notes Jay Brinkmann, vice president of research and economics at the Washington, D.C.- based bankers group.

``It's going to be bouncing around with an upward trend. Kind of like a basketball bouncing up a flight of stairs Noun 1. flight of stairs - a stairway (set of steps) between one floor or landing and the next
flight of steps, flight

staircase, stairway - a way of access (upward and downward) consisting of a set of steps
,'' he said of the likely direction rates will take.

Or maybe bouncing down?

Notes:

--This uptick Uptick

A transaction occurring at price above its previous transaction. In order for an uptick to occur, a transaction price must be followed by an increased transaction price.
 in rates will deal affordability a blow as the market moves into its prime buying season, which typically brings higher prices.

But the vast majority of buyers are still coming up with down payments of around 20 percent, said reports analyst John Karevoll at La Jolla-based DataQuick Information Systems.

Last month in Los Angeles Los Angeles (lôs ăn`jələs, lŏs, ăn`jəlēz'), city (1990 pop. 3,485,398), seat of Los Angeles co., S Calif.; inc. 1850.  County the average loan-to-value ration was 83.1 percent.

--New homes remain hot properties
Hot Properties was also a live early-1980s Lifetime talk show hosted by Richard Belzer.
Hot Properties is an ensemble comedy featuring four women working together in a Manhattan real estate office. It was first aired on October 7, 2005.
.

Newport Beach-based William Lyon Homes said orders and the backlog hit record levels during the first quarter.

In the first three months of the year, Lyon booked 1,092 orders, an annual increase of 44 percent. That's a record for any quarter. The company had a backlog - homes sold but not closed - of 1,755 units at the end of the month, up an annual 64 percent. That's a first-quarter record, the company said.

Gregory J. Wilcox, (818) 713-3743

greg.wilcox(at)dailynews.com
COPYRIGHT 2004 Daily News
No portion of this article can be reproduced without the express written permission from the copyright holder.
Copyright 2004, Gale Group. All rights reserved. Gale Group is a Thomson Corporation Company.

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Title Annotation:Business
Publication:Daily News (Los Angeles, CA)
Article Type:Statistical Data Included
Date:Apr 11, 2004
Words:448
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