Good predictor?When the Consumer Confidence Index Consumer Confidence Index A measure of consumer views regarding the current economic situation and consumer expectations for the future. Information for the index is compiled and released on the last Tuesday of each month by the Conference Board, an , a widely cited barometer of the nation's economy, has been at 100 or more the September September: see month. before a presidential election, the incumbent Refers to an entity that is currently in power. For example, in politics, the "incumbent senator" is the person who holds that office today. An "incumbent company" is an organization that has been providing goods and services for some time. See ILEC. party has won the popular vote; when it has been below, the opponent has won--except in the election of 1968. In December December: see month. 2003, the index stood at 91.3.
2000 1996 1992 1988 1984
The Winner Bush (R) Dole (R) Clinton (R) Dukakis (D) Mondale
of Each (D)
Election
is on Top
Candidate Gore (D) * Clinton (R) Bush (R) Bush (R) Reagan
of (R)
Incumbent
Party
is in Orange
1980 1976 1972 1968
The Winner Reagan (R) Carter (D) McGovern (D) Nixon (R)
of Each Election
is on Top
Candidate of Carter (D) Ford (R) Nixon (R) Humphrey (D)
Incumbent Party
is in Orange
* Gore won the popular vote but lost in the electoral college
Note: Table made from bar graph.
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