Global fiber balances: major supply changes may lie ahead; global fiber supply is highly dependent on regional market forces. There are wide differences in supply and demand in the five major fiber regions.The development of global fiber balances will intertwine closely with regional production possibilities in tour or five basic fiber supply regions. Major supply changes from possible discontinuities or overflowing fiber streams could have global significance as follows: * North America North America, third largest continent (1990 est. pop. 365,000,000), c.9,400,000 sq mi (24,346,000 sq km), the northern of the two continents of the Western Hemisphere. : virgin wood pulp wood pulp: see paper. production and recycled paper (RCP (networking, tool) rcp - (Remote copy) The Unix utility for copying files over Ethernet. Rcp is similar to FTP but uses the hosts.equiv user authentication method. Unix manual page: rcp(1). ) supply and demand * Latin America Latin America, the Spanish-speaking, Portuguese-speaking, and French-speaking countries (except Canada) of North America, South America, Central America, and the West Indies. : development of fast-growing hardwood plantations and hardwood market pulp supply * China: non-wood pulping, RCP imports, virgin wood pulp production, and imports * Russia: virgin wood pulp production and softwood * Southeast Asia Southeast Asia, region of Asia (1990 est. pop. 442,500,000), c.1,740,000 sq mi (4,506,600 sq km), bounded roughly by the Indian subcontinent on the west, China on the north, and the Pacific Ocean on the east. : development of hardwood market pulp supply NORTH AMERICA The world pulp market has traditionally depended on North American North American named after North America. North American blastomycosis see North American blastomycosis. North American cattle tick see boophilusannulatus. softwood and hardwood pulp supply. The current trend indicates that establishment of new pulping capacity in the region will be very difficult unless business conditions change drastically. The supply of RCP depends on the development of the paper market in the United States United States, officially United States of America, republic (2005 est. pop. 295,734,000), 3,539,227 sq mi (9,166,598 sq km), North America. The United States is the world's third largest country in population and the fourth largest country in area. and the marginal cost Marginal cost The increase or decrease in a firm's total cost of production as a result of changing production by one unit. marginal cost The additional cost needed to produce or purchase one more unit of a good or service. of collection. The change to single-stream collection in North America involves a great supply risk particularly to outside regions that depend on the supply from RCP from the United States. LATIN AMERICA The long-term development of hardwood pulp supply from Latin America will partially depend on the long-term demand in North America, Europe, and China and the cost position of Brazilian/Chilean suppliers vis-a-vis North American and Southeast Asian producers on the United States and Asian markets CHINA The Chinese paper industry will balance between wood, non-wood, and recycled materials and between domestic vs. imported fiber. Plans for establishing domestic, world-scale pulp mills have attracted considerable interest despite the uncertainties relating to the availability and cost of domestic wood for the planned new capacity. The development of hardwood pulp mills in Southern China will certainly accelerate plantation development in the country, but part of this new pulping capacity may need to rely on imported wood. The possibilities of building new non-wood pulp mills in China depend on the availability of alternative raw materials, the cost-competitiveness of new non-wood pulping lines vis-a-vis imported wood pulps, developments in silica removal technology, and local circumstances. RUSSIA The huge softwood resources in Russia constitute an attractive pulping raw material base. The current investment considerations in the country indicate that increasing pulp exports from Russia are very likely in the long term. SOUTHEAST ASIA The rapid growth of the Southeast Asian pulp industry came to a halt in the late 1990s due to the Asian financial crisis. The recovery of the market in 1999-2000 did not raise the investment activity of the region anywhere near previous levels, but many projects may be reconsidered in the future. Some projects could see activation in the medium term. In the long term, one or two projects may come on stream using "take-off" agreements with mainland Chinese investors. S! Note: This article is part of a series by Jaakko Poyry Management Consulting Tarrtown, New York New York, state, United States New York, Middle Atlantic state of the United States. It is bordered by Vermont, Massachusetts, Connecticut, and the Atlantic Ocean (E), New Jersey and Pennsylvania (S), Lakes Erie and Ontario and the Canadian province of , USA, which provides marketing and consulting services to the global pulp and paper industry The global pulp and paper industry is dominated by North American (United States, Canada), northern European (Finland, Sweden) and East Asian countries (such as Japan). Australasia and Latin America also have significant pulp and paper industries. . For more information, contact Soile Kilpi by email at soile.kilpi@poyryusa.com, or by phone at + 1 914 332-4000. [FIGURE OMITTED] |
|
||||||||||||||||
Printer friendly
Cite/link
Email
Feedback
Reader Opinion