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Getting jittery: rate hike has investors on edge.


The Federal Reserve increased short-term interest rates Short-term interest rates

Interest rates on loan contracts-or debt instruments such as Treasury bills, bank certificates of deposit or commerical paper-having maturities of less than one year. Often called money market rates.
 by another 25 basis point on March 22, the seventh such "measured" rise since the Fed began lifting rates from rock bottom 1% levels in June of 2004.

In the real estate world, the quarter percentage increase, from 2.5% to 2.75%, affects mildly the cost of short-term floating rate debt. The Fed's statements about the possibility of looming looming: see mirage.  inflation however, combined with a rising Consumer Price Index, had an immediate impact on the cost of long-term borrowing.

"Though longer-term inflation expectations remain well contained, pressures on inflation have picked up in recent months and pricing power Pricing Power

An economic term referring to the effect that a change in a firm's product price has on the quantity demanded of that product. Pricing power ties in with the "Price Elasticity of Demand.
 is more evident," the Fed said in a statement that spurred a sell off of 10-year Treasury bonds that, in turn, spiked the yield by 10 basis points from 4.51% to 4.61%.

While the 10-year Treasury rate settled down in the days following the Fed's announcement, real estate investors A real estate investor is someone who actively or passively invests in real estate. An active investor may buy a property, make repairs and/or improvements to the property, and sell it later for a profit.  have become somewhat jittery when it comes to deciding the best time to lock into long term rates.

"With Treasurys moving up and down on a day to day basis, investors are worried they will lock on a bad day," said Gary Gabriel, executive director of Cushman & Wakefield in New Jersey.

"If you get a rate that's a number of basis points higher and it's for a big chunk of financing, that could affect an investment's ability to perform."

The market isn't the only thing that might drive rates upward at a faster tempo. Aside from the pressure inflation fears puts on the 10-year Treasury rate, the Fed hinted that its measured pace, interpreted by investors to mean a steady series of 25 basis point rises, might be abandoned for stiffer increases.

"The Committee will respond to changes in economic prospects as needed as needed prn. See prn order.  to fulfill its obligation to maintain price stability," the Fed said in its press release for the March 22 meeting.

Some spectators feel this could mean a 50 basis point increase at the Fed's next meeting on May 3 and short term rates as high as 4% by year's end.

According to according to
prep.
1. As stated or indicated by; on the authority of: according to historians.

2. In keeping with: according to instructions.

3.
 Stuart Bruck, of Time Equities, the increases will begin to have palpable Easily perceptible, plain, obvious, readily visible, noticeable, patent, distinct, manifest.

The term palpable usually refers to some type of egregious wrong, such as a governmental error or abuse of power.
 effect on the capital structure used for real estate acquisitions.

"Borrower are going to have to come up with more equity partners," he said. "When rates go up, lenders are going to start offering more floating rate loans with the option to fix. Those are going to be more popular."
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Article Details
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Author:Geiger, Daniel
Publication:Real Estate Weekly
Geographic Code:1USA
Date:Mar 30, 2005
Words:413
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