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GTE COMPUTER PROGRAM PROJECTS DALLAS WIN IN SUPER BOWL XXVII

 PASADENA, Calif., Jan. 26 /PRNewswire/ -- As the official telecommunications consultant to the National Football League, GTE Telephone Operations plays no favorites when it comes to Super Bowl XXVII.
 But Project PASS, an education program jointly sponsored and developed by GTE and the NFL, can't ignore the statistical probabilities it helps to teach seventh grade students. Project PASS (Promoting Achievement & Student Skills) has projected the winner and the final score based on an analysis of statistics over the past 20 seasons.
 Project PASS, designed to help improve students' learning of geometry and statistics, is currently being tested in 38 schools in Texas and Washington state. The program utilizes football applications and the latest technology to demonstrate the applicability of math principles to everyday life.
 GTE will display Project PASS at the NFL Experience Jan. 27-31 in Pasadena. Since Project PASS already studies the relationship between statistics and probability, the natural question arose: What does the program project will happen in Super Bowl XXVII?
 Analysts studied some three dozen current and historical statistics over the past 20 years to determine which set of factors, if any, portend victory in the Super Bowl. By performing a logistic regression, the formula indicated that four factors correlated with the outcome of the Super Bowl in 80 percent of the games since 1973.
 The four factors are regular season record, road record, points allowed and interconference victories. The computer ranked the importance of each factor and assigned a point value to each team that competed in the last 20 Super Bowls. The higher-ranked teams won 16 of the 20 games studied. A second analysis correlated the factors to the final score of the game.
 "While we're not claiming a cause-and-effect relationship here," explained Dave Bender, lead analyst for Project PASS, "the analysis is saying that, historically, when these factors are aligned, the team with the higher computed total has won the Super Bowl with great consistency."
 Fans visiting the NFL Experience will have an opportunity to perform their own Super Bowl analysis for free at the Project PASS display. Fans will be shown a list of eight statistical factors and asked to select the four they believe will most relate to the outcome of the game. Next, fans will rank the importance of each variable on a scale from one to five. Based on that input, the computer will calculate each fan's analysis and provide a printout of the fan's projected winner and score, along with the Project PASS analysis.
 "When fans first sit down at our display, we'll ask them what their prediction is for Sunday's game before they begin," explained Bender. "After they select and rank the variables, they'll see how their computer analysis of objective statistics compares with their subjective analysis. If they go with their computer pick, it can add to their bragging rights on Sunday."
 Oh yes. As for Project PASS, it's projecting a "W" for "Big D": Cowboys 33, Bills 27.
 -0- 1/26/93
 /CONTACT: Mike Flanagan of GTE, or Scott Miranda of Millsport, 310-788-4205 or 310-612-9040/


CO: GTE ST: California IN: TLS SU:

KJ -- LA016 -- 8972 01/26/93 10:02 EST
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Date:Jan 26, 1993
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