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Fitch Upgrades Northwest Natural Gas Sr Notes to 'A+'.


NEW YORK New York, state, United States
New York, Middle Atlantic state of the United States. It is bordered by Vermont, Massachusetts, Connecticut, and the Atlantic Ocean (E), New Jersey and Pennsylvania (S), Lakes Erie and Ontario and the Canadian province of
 -- Fitch Ratings Fitch Ratings

An international rating agency for financial institutions, insurance companies, and corporate, sovereign, and municipal debt. Fitch Ratings has headquarters in New York and London and is wholly owned by FIMALAC of Paris.
 has taken the following actions on Northwest Natural Gas Co.'s (NWN NWN Neverwinter Nights (computer game)
NWN Northwest Nissans
NWN Nowhere Near
) outstanding credit ratings as follows:

-- First mortgage bonds and secured medium-term notes upgraded to 'A+' from 'A';

-- Senior unsecured debt and convertible debentures upgraded to 'A' from 'A-';

-- Outstanding commercial paper affirmed at 'F1'.

The Rating Outlook is Stable. Approximately $500 million of outstanding debt securities are affected.

The rating upgrades reflect the increased earnings and cash flow predictability provided by recent rate design enhancements, the incremental net revenue contribution from the completed South Mist Pipeline Extension (SMPE SMPE System Modification Program Extended (IBM)
SMPE Société de Montage de Pièces Electriques (Society for Mounting Electronic Pieces; Genas, France) 
) project, and the expectation that NWN's credit measures will continue to remain consistent with the revised rating levels. Also considered in Fitch's analysis is NWN's track record of profitable customer growth and effective cost management. In particular, NWN continues to be successful at minimizing the regulatory lag associated with its above-average customer growth rate and maintaining balance sheet integrity through periodic equity issuances.

NWN has made significant progress on the regulatory front having implemented innovative rate mechanisms designed to mitigate the affect of both weather and declining use per customer. NWN's 2003 rate settlement with the Public Utility Commission of Oregon (OPUC OPUC Oregon Public Utility Commission
OPUC Old Pc Users Club
) includes a provision for weather normalization In relational database management, a process that breaks down data into record groups for efficient processing. There are six stages. By the third stage (third normal form), data are identified only by the key field in their record. , under which customer bills are adjusted monthly during the peak October-May heating season to reflect normal weather. As a result, warmer than normal weather has less of an impact on NWN's credit profile. During fiscal 2004, weather normalization contributed $9.0 million of margin, offsetting the impact of weather, which was 8.0% warmer than normal during the period. Similarly, for the three-month period ended March 31, 2005, weather normalization contributed $3.7 million of incremental margin, helping to offset weather that was 4.0% warmer than normal. Although customers are able to opt-out of the program prior to each annual heating season, overall participation remains strong with approximately 92% of eligible Oregon-based customers under weather normalized rates during the 2004-2005 heating season.

In addition to weather normalization, NWN's rate structure benefits from a special 'conservation tariff,' which protects the company's earnings stream from declining use per customer by decoupling Decoupling

The occurrence of returns on asset classes diverging from their normal pattern of correlation.

Notes:
Take for example stock and corporate bond returns, which normally rise and fall together.
 the link between gross margins and the quantity of natural gas consumed by customers. In essence, the tariff design mitigates the potential financial impact of customer conservation during periods of high gas prices and/or extreme weather conditions or from lower usage due to more efficient equipment. Fitch notes that the current conservation tariff format is slated for OPUC review later this year.

Recent credit measures are consistent with the revised rating levels. For the 12-month period ended March 31, 2005, pretax interest coverage was 3.4 times (x) with cash interest coverage of 4.2x. Leverage, as measured by total debt to EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization) A metric used to show a company's profitability, but not its cash flow. EBITDA became popular in the 1980s to show the potential profitability of leveraged buyouts, but has become , is conservative at 2.8x. Fitch expects credit ratios to strengthen moderately in 2005 and beyond due to the additional utility earnings generated by SPME SPME Solid-Phase Microextraction
SPME Scholars for Peace in the Middle East
 and the absence of significant storage- and pipeline-related construction costs. Expectations are for cash interest coverage to exceed 4.5x. Moreover, NWN continues to generate credit ratios consistent with its rating under Fitch stress test analysis assuming no economic benefit from its weather and conservation tariff adjustment mechanisms.

Fitch's rating definitions are available on the agency's free of charge web site, www.fitchratings.com. Published ratings, criteria and methodologies, and relevant policies and procedures Policies and Procedures are a set of documents that describe an organization's policies for operation and the procedures necessary to fulfill the policies. They are often initiated because of some external requirement, such as environmental compliance or other governmental  are also available from this site, at all times. This document will remain on the free site for seven days.
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Publication:Business Wire
Date:Jun 7, 2005
Words:575
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