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Fitch Upgrades Lockheed Martin's Ratings to 'A-'.


NEW YORK New York, state, United States
New York, Middle Atlantic state of the United States. It is bordered by Vermont, Massachusetts, Connecticut, and the Atlantic Ocean (E), New Jersey and Pennsylvania (S), Lakes Erie and Ontario and the Canadian province of
 -- Fitch Ratings Fitch Ratings

An international rating agency for financial institutions, insurance companies, and corporate, sovereign, and municipal debt. Fitch Ratings has headquarters in New York and London and is wholly owned by FIMALAC of Paris.
 has raised Lockheed Martin's (LMT LMT left mentotransverse (position of fetus). ) Issuer Default rating (IDR IDR

In currencies, this is the abbreviation for the Indonesian Rupiah.

Notes:
The currency market, also known as the Foreign Exchange market, is the largest financial market in the world, with a daily average volume of over US $1 trillion.
), senior unsecured debt Unsecured debt

Debt that does not identify specific assets that the debtholder is entitled to in case of default.
 rating, and bank facility rating to 'A-' from 'BBB+', and has affirmed LMT's 'F2' commercial paper rating. The Rating Outlook is Stable. These actions cover approximately $5 billion of outstanding debt.

The upgrade is based on LMT's strong operating performance including margin expansion and cash generation, the more stable outlook for some of LMT's largest defense programs, substantial financial flexibility, and the level of LMT's credit statistics relative to its defense peers and other industrial corporations rated by Fitch. The upgrade is also based on the recent releases of the fiscal year 2007 Department of Defense (DOD (1) (Dial On Demand) A feature that allows a device to automatically dial a telephone number. For example, an ISDN router with dial on demand will automatically dial up the ISP when it senses IP traffic destined for the Internet. ) Budget Request and the Quadrennial Defense Review
"QDR" redirects here. For the computer technology called QDR, see Quad Data Rate SRAM.


The Quadrennial Defense Review (QDR) is a report by the United States Department of Defense that analyzes strategic objectives and potential military
, both of which reduced uncertainty in the defense spending environment. The possibility of large, multi-billion dollar acquisitions remains a key credit concern, and Fitch could review the ratings and/or the Outlook if LMT finances acquisitions with debt.

The ratings reflect the company's position as a leading defense contractor Noun 1. defense contractor - a contractor concerned with the development and manufacture of systems of defense
armed forces, armed services, military, military machine, war machine - the military forces of a nation; "their military is the largest in the region";
, high U.S. defense spending, strong cash flow and liquidity, and large backlog. Concerns include a cash deployment strategy focused on share repurchases and dividends, U.S. government budget deficits and their potential impact on future defense spending, a large pension deficit, and some modest program concentration in the Aeronautics segment. The ratings incorporate expectations for substantial cash deployment but stable debt levels, as discussed below.

LMT has improved its margins and credit statistics in the past several years because of improving program performance. Segment margins rose 80 basis points (bps) in 2005 after rising 60 basis points in 2004. LMT's EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization) A metric used to show a company's profitability, but not its cash flow. EBITDA became popular in the 1980s to show the potential profitability of leveraged buyouts, but has become  margin increased 90 bps in 2005 to 8.8%, and the EBITDAP EBITDAP Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, Amortization, and Pension Income  (EBITDA adjusted for non-cash pension expense) margin was up 100 bps to 10.5%. The higher margins led to improved credit statistics, with debt-to-EBITDA and debt-to-EBITDAP improving to 1.5x and 1.3x, respectively, in 2005 from 1.8x and 1.5x in 2004. EBITDA/Interest and EBITDAP/Interest were 8.7x and 10.4x in 2005, respectively. LMT's margins remain below the margins of some of its defense peers, giving LMT the opportunity for additional margin expansion.

LMT's liquidity, cash flow and financial flexibility are key factors supporting the ratings. LMT's liquidity as of Dec. 31, 2005 was $4 billion, consisting of $1.5 billion of credit facility availability and $2.7 billion in cash and marketable securities Marketable Securities

Very liquid securities that can be converted into cash quickly at a reasonable price.

Notes:
Marketable securities are very liquid as they tend to have maturities less than one year, and the rate at which these securities can be bought or sold has
, less $202 million of current debt maturities. In 2005 LMT generated strong cash from operations ($3.2 billion, 8.6% of revenues) and free cash flow (cash from operations less capital expenditures and dividends) of $1.9 billion. The strength of LMT's cash flow is highlighted by the fact that these results include $980 million of discretionary pension contributions. The healthy cash generation in 2005 was a continuation of the trend seen in the past several years, with increases driven by higher sales, better profitability, and improvements in working capital management. Fitch expects free cash flow in 2006 to be $1.7 billion-$1.8 billion, a reduction compared to the 2005 amount because of higher cash taxes, capital expenditures, and dividends, as well as advance payment burn-off.

Cash deployment is a key credit issue because of a focus on share repurchases, dividend increases, and the possibility of large acquisitions. Fitch's ratings for LMT incorporate expectations for substantial cash deployment actions, but debt reduction will be modest in the next several years due to few maturities. Share repurchases totaled approximately $2.5 billion in the past three years, and Fitch expects share repurchases to remain a significant use of cash in the future, barring significant acquisitions. Fitch expects dividends to continue to rise to approximately $550 million in 2006. With a $5 billion pension deficit, LMT could make additional pension contributions, but the credit impact of the pension deficit is mitigated by low required contributions ($100 million-$110 million in 2006) and the fact that pension costs are allowable costs in U.S. defense contracts. Divestitures have generated $2.4 billion in the past five years, but proceeds should decline going forward since most of LMT's non-core holdings have been sold.

Acquisitions are an element of LMT's strategy to increase its non-DOD revenues and to increase the amount of Operations & Maintenance revenues with the DOD. As such, LMT plans to continue to make selective acquisitions in core businesses. Acquisition spending in the past five years has been moderate, totaling approximately $1.8 billion, but LMT has considered several larger acquisitions that were not completed. The possibility of large, multi-billion dollar acquisitions remains a key credit concern. However, Fitch believes that LMT has the capacity to make sizable acquisitions given its cash position, free cash flow, and the ability to reduce or stop share repurchases. Fitch will continue to evaluate acquisitions on a case-by-case basis with a focus on price and rationale. If LMT executes a large acquisition that is debt-financed in whole or in part, Fitch could review the ratings and/or the Outlook.

High U.S. defense spending levels continue to support LMT's credit ratings. Fitch believes that the February releases of the fiscal year 2007 DOD budget request and the Quadrennial Defense Review (QDR QDR Quadrennial Defense Review (US DoD)
QDR Quad Data Rate (Memory Technology)
QDR Quality Deficiency Report
QDR Quality, Durability and Reliability (Toyota Motor Company) 
) lessened near-term uncertainty in the defense sector because projected spending in the request was higher than Fitch expected and the QDR reflected the DOD's existing transformation strategy. Modernization spending in the budget request is projected to grow at a 5% compound annual growth rate through 2011, the speculated 'cuts' to the budget growth rates Growth Rates

The compounded annualized rate of growth of a company's revenues, earnings, dividends, or other figures.

Notes:
Remember, historically high growth rates don't always mean a high rate of growth looking into the future.
 did not materialize, and growth rates are better than the low-single digit growth rates incorporated into most of Fitch's defense ratings.

The outlooks for some of LMT's key defense programs have stabilized in the past year. The F-22 program was approved for full-rate production in April 2005, and 59 aircraft had been delivered through the end of 2005. The F-35 Joint Strike Fighter continues to progress, and Fitch does not expect recent comments by some of the program's foreign partners will have a material effect on the program. The C-130J program survived threats of early termination, and the program is currently set to run through 2008. On the other hand, a few of LMT's programs still require monitoring, such as the SBIRS SBIRS Space-Based Infrared System
SBIRS Space Based Infra-Red Surveillance
 program, and the Aerial Common Sensor The Lockheed Martin Aerial Common Sensor (ACS) platform was a reconnaissance aircraft airframe, for the United States Army and Navy. The aircraft would have been able to detect troop movements, intercept enemy communications and radar transmissions, and communicate with other  was cancelled.

Fitch's rating definitions and the terms of use Terms of Use are rules set up by the owner of an intellectual property or service to govern how they may be legally used.

In many cases, terms of service are used as a contractual agreement between a company and users of a service they provide.
 of such ratings are available on the agency's public site, www.fitchratings.com. Published ratings, criteria and methodologies are available from this site, at all times. Fitch's code of conduct, confidentiality, conflicts of interest, affiliate firewall, compliance and other relevant policies and procedures Policies and Procedures are a set of documents that describe an organization's policies for operation and the procedures necessary to fulfill the policies. They are often initiated because of some external requirement, such as environmental compliance or other governmental  are also available from the 'Code of Conduct' section of this site.
COPYRIGHT 2006 Business Wire
No portion of this article can be reproduced without the express written permission from the copyright holder.
Copyright 2006, Gale Group. All rights reserved. Gale Group is a Thomson Corporation Company.

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Publication:Business Wire
Date:Mar 20, 2006
Words:1115
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