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Fitch Updates Recovery Prospects for GM in the Event of Default.


NEW YORK New York, state, United States
New York, Middle Atlantic state of the United States. It is bordered by Vermont, Massachusetts, Connecticut, and the Atlantic Ocean (E), New Jersey and Pennsylvania (S), Lakes Erie and Ontario and the Canadian province of
 -- Fitch Ratings has modified the details of its March 1, 2006 recovery analysis for General Motors (GM), available at www.fitchratings.com. Fitch now estimates a 34% recovery rate for unsecured debtholders versus an original estimate of 41% published earlier this year. The revision primarily reflects GM's recent establishment of a secured revolving credit agreement Revolving credit agreement

A legal commitment in which a bank promises to lend a customer up to a specified maximum amount during a specified period.


revolving credit agreement

See line of credit.
, which impairs expected recoveries for unsecured holders in the event of a default. Fitch has also modified its recovery analysis to reflect GM's ongoing restructuring efforts and updated financials.

Fitch estimates that unsecured claims would total approximately $74 billion and that GM's enterprise value available to service those claims, after extensive administrative claims, would be approximately $25 billion -- a recovery rate of 34%. This recovery rate remains within the historic corporate average of recovery values, which in Fitch's methodology translates into a Recovery Rating of 'RR4' (expected recovery of 30%-50%) for the senior unsecured debt.

The primary factor behind the lower recovery rate versus the initial scenario was the replacement of GM's unsecured revolving credit facility with a $6 billion secured credit facility, thereby subordinating the remaining unsecured debt. Fitch has assigned the new senior secured bank facility an 'RR1' (recovery of 90%-100%) based on expected full recovery for this facility in the event of a bankruptcy filing.

Fitch's analysis assumes that the sale of a 51% interest in GMAC GMAC General Motors Acceptance Corporation
GMAC Graduate Management Admission Council
GMAC Give Me A Call
GMAC Genetic Manipulation Advisory Committee
GMAC Genetic Modification Advisory Committee (Singapore)
GMAC Give Me A Chance
 is completed prior to any bankruptcy scenario, with GM's retained 49% interest added to the recovery values.

In a bankruptcy scenario, Fitch believes that General Motors would not seek to terminate its U.S. hourly or salaried pension plans by attempting to offload them to the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation (PBGC)

A federal agency that insures the vested benefits of pension plan participants (established in 1974 by the ERISA legislation).


Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation 
 (PBGC PBGC

See: Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation
). The high asset levels and potential future asset returns on these funds, as compared to current benefit payout rates, provide some flexibility to negotiate changes to the current defined benefit program under any new labor agreement with the UAW (spelling) UAW - Misspelling of "IAW"? .

Fitch's recovery analysis provides a framework for expected recoveries in the event of a bankruptcy scenario and is not meant to be a predictor of when or if a default will occur. Recovery Ratings (RR) are assigned to corporate issuers that have an Issuer Default Rating (IDR IDR

In currencies, this is the abbreviation for the Indonesian Rupiah.

Notes:
The currency market, also known as the Foreign Exchange market, is the largest financial market in the world, with a daily average volume of over US $1 trillion.
) of 'B+' or below. Fitch has an IDR of 'B' on General Motors with a Negative Rating Watch.

The full recovery analysis is available at www.fitchratings.com. Fitch's recovery analysis on Ford Motor Company, published Sept. 13, is also available.

Fitch's rating definitions and the terms of use Terms of Use are rules set up by the owner of an intellectual property or service to govern how they may be legally used.

In many cases, terms of service are used as a contractual agreement between a company and users of a service they provide.
 of such ratings are available on the agency's public site, www.fitchratings.com. Published ratings, criteria and methodologies are available from this site, at all times. Fitch's code of conduct, confidentiality, conflicts of interest, affiliate firewall, compliance and other relevant policies and procedures Policies and Procedures are a set of documents that describe an organization's policies for operation and the procedures necessary to fulfill the policies. They are often initiated because of some external requirement, such as environmental compliance or other governmental  are also available from the 'Code of Conduct' section of this site.
COPYRIGHT 2006 Business Wire
No portion of this article can be reproduced without the express written permission from the copyright holder.
Copyright 2006, Gale Group. All rights reserved. Gale Group is a Thomson Corporation Company.

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Publication:Business Wire
Date:Sep 19, 2006
Words:470
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