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Fitch Revises US Airways Outlook to Stable; Affirms Ratings.


CHICAGO -- Fitch Ratings Fitch Ratings

An international rating agency for financial institutions, insurance companies, and corporate, sovereign, and municipal debt. Fitch Ratings has headquarters in New York and London and is wholly owned by FIMALAC of Paris.
 has affirmed its ratings of US Airways Group US Airways Group Inc. NYSE: LCC is the Tempe, Arizona-based airline holding company that operates US Airways, US Airways Express and America West Airlines. It also operates additional companies that provide associated services. , Inc. (NYSE NYSE

See: New York Stock Exchange
:LCC (Leadless Chip Carrier, Leaded Chip Carrier) See leadless chip carrier, CLCC and PLCC.

1. LCC - Language for Conversational Computing. Written at CMU in the 1960's.
) as follows:

--Issuer Default Rating (IDR IDR

In currencies, this is the abbreviation for the Indonesian Rupiah.

Notes:
The currency market, also known as the Foreign Exchange market, is the largest financial market in the world, with a daily average volume of over US $1 trillion.
) at 'CCC';

--Secured Term Loan Rating at 'B/RR1';

--Senior Unsecured Rating at 'CC/RR6'.

Fitch's ratings apply to approximately $1.4 billion in debt obligations. The Rating Outlook has been revised to Stable from Positive.

The revision in Fitch's outlook on US Airways reflects the airline's announcement today that it has made an unsolicited offer to merge with Delta Air Lines, Inc. (OTC OTC

See: Over-the-counter.


OTC

See over-the-counter market (OTC).
:DALRQ), which has been operating in Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection since September 2005. US Airways' offer totals $8 billion and consists of $4 billion in cash and 78.5 million shares of US Airways common stock, valued at $4 billion. US Airways has arranged $7.2 billion in committed financing from Citigroup to fund the cash portion of the transaction, as well as to refinance $1.25 billion in outstanding term loan obligations at US Airways and $1.9 billion in debtor-in-possession (DIP) financing currently outstanding at Delta.

US Airways estimates that the merger will produce $1.65 billion in annual synergies, primarily through network optimization initiatives valued at $935 million, as well as cost savings of $710 million. The combined carrier would operate under the Delta brand and would add Delta's extensive international presence to US Airways' existing low-cost domestic operations. Although achievement of synergy benefits has historically been difficult in airline mergers, the relative success of the US Airways/America West (AWA AWA As Well As (internet chat lingo)
AWA Animal Welfare Act
AWA Australian Workplace Agreement
AWA America West Airlines
AWA Anime Weekend Atlanta (Anime convention in Atlanta, GA) 
) merger lends credence to the synergy estimates and to management's ability to successfully combine the Delta and US Airways operations. The merged company would be highly levered, however, carrying over $20 billion of lease-adjusted debt.

As with all airline mergers, challenges include the merging of labor groups and fleet types. Approval from the Department of Justice could also require the sale of Delta's shuttle operation on the East Coast, which competes with US Airways' shuttle operation. Labor integration could be somewhat easier than with most other airline mergers, as most of Delta's labor force is non-union, the primary exception being its pilots. US Airways is still working through labor discussions with most of its own labor groups as a result of the AWA merger, however, and those discussions could be complicated by today's announcement. In terms of fleet, US Airways has recently tended to favor Airbus for its new aircraft, while Delta has favored Boeing. However, both carriers operate Boeing 737s, 757s and 767s, so there is some commonality between fleets.

As US Airways' offer was unsolicited, it is possible that other, competing offers for Delta could be made, either from another airline or from private equity. Although no other potential airline suitor SUITOR. One who is a party to a suit or action in court. One who is a party to an action. In its ancient sense, suitor meant one Who was bound to attend the county court, also, one who formed part of the secta. (q.v.)  has a strong balance sheet, United has been vocal about its desire to take part in airline consolidation and has hired Goldman Sachs The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc., or simply Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS) is one of the world's largest global investment banks. Goldman Sachs was founded in 1869, and is headquartered in the Lower Manhattan area of New York City at 85 Broad Street.  as an advisor. It is unclear how US Airways would respond to a competing offer.

Prior to today's announcement, US Airways had shown good progress on attaining the synergies anticipated from its merger with AWA. As a result of the positive trends in its credit profile, Fitch's previous Rating Outlook on the airline was Positive. With today's announcement, the Rating Outlook has been revised to Stable, as the proposed transaction adds a level of risk to US Airways credit profile that lessens the likelihood of an upgrade in the near term. Fitch does not believe that the transaction, if successfully completed as envisioned today, would result in a downgrade of US Airways' ratings. The recovery rating of 'RR6' on US Airways' senior unsecured debt Unsecured debt

Debt that does not identify specific assets that the debtholder is entitled to in case of default.
 obligations reflects the very low level of recovery expected in a default scenario. Likewise, the recovery rating of 'RR1' on US Airways' term loan facility reflects the facility's strong collateral backing and outstanding recovery prospects in a default. It is important to note that the term loan facility would be refinanced with proceeds from the Citigroup term loan if the Delta merger is successful.

Fitch's Recovery Ratings (RR), introduced in 2005, are a relative indicator of creditor recovery on a given obligation in the event of a default. A broad overview of Fitch's RR methodology as it relates to specific sectors, including a Case Study webcast, can be found at www.fitchratings.com/recovery.

Fitch's rating definitions and the terms of use Terms of Use are rules set up by the owner of an intellectual property or service to govern how they may be legally used.

In many cases, terms of service are used as a contractual agreement between a company and users of a service they provide.
 of such ratings are available on the agency's public site, www.fitchratings.com. Published ratings, criteria and methodologies are available from this site, at all times. Fitch's code of conduct, confidentiality, conflicts of interest, affiliate firewall, compliance and other relevant policies and procedures Policies and Procedures are a set of documents that describe an organization's policies for operation and the procedures necessary to fulfill the policies. They are often initiated because of some external requirement, such as environmental compliance or other governmental  are also available from the 'Code of Conduct' section of this site.
COPYRIGHT 2006 Business Wire
No portion of this article can be reproduced without the express written permission from the copyright holder.
Copyright 2006, Gale Group. All rights reserved. Gale Group is a Thomson Corporation Company.

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Publication:Business Wire
Date:Nov 15, 2006
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