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Fitch Revises Morgan Stanley's Outlook to Negative; Places Discover On Watch Negative.


NEW YORK New York, state, United States
New York, Middle Atlantic state of the United States. It is bordered by Vermont, Massachusetts, Connecticut, and the Atlantic Ocean (E), New Jersey and Pennsylvania (S), Lakes Erie and Ontario and the Canadian province of
 -- Fitch Ratings Fitch Ratings

An international rating agency for financial institutions, insurance companies, and corporate, sovereign, and municipal debt. Fitch Ratings has headquarters in New York and London and is wholly owned by FIMALAC of Paris.
 has affirmed the debt and Issuer Default Ratings (IDRs) for Morgan Stanley To comply with Wikipedia's , the introduction of this article needs a complete rewrite.  and revised the Rating Outlook to Negative from Stable. Fitch has also placed the ratings for Discover Bank on Rating Watch Negative following the announced spin-off of Discover Financial Services The examples and perspective in this article or section may not represent a worldwide view of the subject.
Please [ improve this article] or discuss the issue on the talk page.
 today. Ratings are listed at the conclusion of this press release.

Fitch's Outlook revision to Negative is prompted by Morgan Stanley reduction of common equity from the spin and expected common stock repurchase Stock repurchase

A firm's repurchase of outstanding shares of its common stock.
 activity, the loss of earnings from Discover Financial Services and expected increase in revenue volatility as efforts to double revenues and pretax profits continue. Fitch believes that Morgan Stanley's market and credit risk appetites will expand in certain industries and may reach beyond levels expected for firms possessing a credit rating in the 'AA' range.

To date, increases in risk appetite have been met with sufficient retained earnings Retained Earnings

The percentage of net earnings not paid out in dividends, but retained by the company to be reinvested in its core business or to pay debt. It is recorded under shareholders equity on the balance sheet.
 and the maintenance of an appropriate funding and capital structure. Today's announcement concerning the spin of Discover Financial Services eliminates a stable and diversifying source of earnings. While material efforts have resulted in improvements to earnings contributions from Global Wealth Management and Asset management, they are not at levels that are considered sufficient to dampen volatility from Institutional Securities.

Fitch believes Morgan Stanley possesses significant competitive advantages in investment banking, prime brokerage Prime Brokerage

A special group of services that many brokerages give to special clients. The services provided under prime brokering are securities lending, leveraged trade executions, and cash management, among other things.
 and commodities trading and advisory businesses. However, market share gains will be difficult to achieve without the willingness to commit greater access to financing and leverage -- potentially compromising the current balance sheet strength. In addition, each of these businesses currently generates significant profit margins which in turn are attracting material competition.

The reduction of common equity from the spin and the Board approved stock repurchase program combine to reduce common equity support of the balance sheet. While hybrid capital issuances receive equity credit and are well within regulatory and Fitch allowances, balance sheet leverage on a pure and Fitch risk adjusted basis may fall below Fitch's expectations within the current credit range. Fitch will evaluate the leverage, debt to equity, economic and regulatory capital metrics as well as profitability and volatility of earnings for Morgan Stanley. An Outlook indicates a potential for change in the IDR IDR

In currencies, this is the abbreviation for the Indonesian Rupiah.

Notes:
The currency market, also known as the Foreign Exchange market, is the largest financial market in the world, with a daily average volume of over US $1 trillion.
 within an intermediate time frame. If warranted, Fitch expects any downgrade Downgrade

A negative change in the rating of a security.

Notes:
For example, an analyst may downgrade a stock from strong buy to buy, or a bond rating agency may downgrade a bond from AAA to AA.
 to be limited to one notch.

Discover Bank's IDR was directly linked to the support provided by Morgan Stanley. Discover's standalone financial profile would warrant the assignment of a lower, albeit investment grade, long-term debt Long-Term Debt

Loans and financial obligations lasting over one year.

Notes:
For example debts obligations such as bonds and notes which have maturities greater than one year would be considered long-term debt.
 rating. Fitch expects to assign a 'BBB' IDR and 'F2' short-term rating. Long-term deposit ratings will be notched one above the IDR consistent with Fitch's view that depositors would benefit from the US Depositors Preference rule. Discover's individual rating is affirmed at 'B/C' based on Discover's profitability, asset quality, funding and capital structure independent of Morgan Stanley. Fitch believes the expected balance sheet and operating performance of the company will be consistent with the expected ratings. Fitch does not believe Discover's operations will be negatively affected by the divestiture The breakup of AT&T. By federal court order, AT&T divested itself on January 1, 1984 of its 23 operating companies, which became known as the Regional Bell Operating Companies (RBOCs). . The Outlook is expected to be Stable. Ratings would be revised upon the spin-off (completion expected in third quarter-2007). Discover's '1' support rating will be downgraded to '5' following the spin-off.

Fitch has placed the following ratings on Rating Watch Negative:

Discover Bank

--Issuer Default Rating (IDR) 'AA-';

--Short-term Issuer 'F1+';

--Long Term Deposits 'AA';

--Short Term Deposits 'F1+';

--Support '1'.

Fitch has also affirmed and revised the Rating Outlook to Negative on the following ratings:

Morgan Stanley

--Issuer Default Rating (IDR) 'AA-';

--Senior debt 'AA-';

--Subordinated 'A+';

--Preferred 'A+';

--Short-term Issuer 'F1+';

--Individual 'B';

--Support '5'

Other ratings affirmed include:

Morgan Stanley Bank

--Issuer Default Rating (IDR) 'AA-';

--Long term deposits 'AA';

--Short-term Issuer 'F1+';

--Short-term deposits 'F1+';

--Individual 'B';

--Support '1'.

Morgan Stanley S.V.

--Issuer Default Rating (IDR) 'AA-';

--Short-term Issuer 'F1+';

--Support '1'.

Morgan Stanley Dean Witter Dean Witter may refer to:
  • Dean G. Witter (businessman, Co-founder of Dean Witter & Company)
  • Dean Witter Reynolds (brokerage firm, now known as Morgan Stanley)
 Australia Finance Ltd..

--Issuer Default Rating (IDR) 'AA-';

--Senior debt 'AA-';

--Short-term Issuer 'F1+'.

Morgan Stanley Canada Ltd.

--Short-term Issuer 'F1+'.

Bank Morgan Stanley AG

--Issuer Default Rating (IDR) 'AA-';

--Short-term Issuer 'F1+';

--Individual 'B';

--Support '1'.

Morgan Stanley Capital Trust II - VII

--Trust preferred 'A+'.

Discover Bank

--Individual 'B/C'.

Fitch's rating definitions and the terms of use Terms of Use are rules set up by the owner of an intellectual property or service to govern how they may be legally used.

In many cases, terms of service are used as a contractual agreement between a company and users of a service they provide.
 of such ratings are available on the agency's public site, www.fitchratings.com. Published ratings, criteria and methodologies are available from this site, at all times. Fitch's code of conduct, confidentiality, conflicts of interest, affiliate firewall, compliance and other relevant policies and procedures Policies and Procedures are a set of documents that describe an organization's policies for operation and the procedures necessary to fulfill the policies. They are often initiated because of some external requirement, such as environmental compliance or other governmental  are also available from the 'Code of Conduct' section of this site.
COPYRIGHT 2006 Business Wire
No portion of this article can be reproduced without the express written permission from the copyright holder.
Copyright 2006, Gale Group. All rights reserved. Gale Group is a Thomson Corporation Company.

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Publication:Business Wire
Date:Dec 19, 2006
Words:756
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