Fitch Ratings Upgrades Qwest's IDR To 'BB'; Outlook Stable.CHICAGO -- Fitch Ratings Fitch Ratings An international rating agency for financial institutions, insurance companies, and corporate, sovereign, and municipal debt. Fitch Ratings has headquarters in New York and London and is wholly owned by FIMALAC of Paris. has upgraded the Issuer Default Rating (IDR IDR In currencies, this is the abbreviation for the Indonesian Rupiah. Notes: The currency market, also known as the Foreign Exchange market, is the largest financial market in the world, with a daily average volume of over US $1 trillion. ) of Qwest Communications
A subsidiary whose parent company owns 100% of its common stock. Notes: In other words, the parent company owns the company outright and there are no minority owners. Qwest Corporation
QSC Quilter Sound Company (QSC Audio Products Inc.) QSC Queens Surface Corporation QSC Low-Traffic Ship (radiotelegraphy) ), Qwest Capital Funding (QCF QCF Quarter Circle Forward (motion; gaming) QCF Quality Control Function QCF Quadratic Correlation Filter QCF Quadrillion Cubic Feet QCF Quad Crossfire ), and Qwest Communications Corporation (QCC QCC Queensborough Community College (New York) QCC Quality Core Curriculum QCC Qwest Communications Corporation QCC Quinsigamond Community College (Worcester, MA) QCC Quality Control Circle ) to 'BB' from 'B+'. In addition, Fitch has also upgraded the specific issue ratings assigned to the debt issued by Qwest and its subsidiaries, including upgrading the rating assigned to the senior unsecured debt Unsecured debt Debt that does not identify specific assets that the debtholder is entitled to in case of default. issued by Qwest Corporation to 'BBB-' from 'BB+', as outlined below. The Rating Outlook is Stable for Qwest and its subsidiaries. Approximately $14.9 billion of debt as of the end of the 3Q'06 is affected by Fitch's actions. Fitch's rating action recognizes the continuing strengthening of the company's credit profile stemming from operating margin Operating Margin A ratio used to measure a company's pricing strategy and operating efficiency. Calculated by: improvement derived from ongoing cost reductions and productivity enhancements, rationalization of the company's network and less profitable products, the emergence and growth potential of IP based data products as well as the improvement to Qwest's balance sheet. Overall the ratings assigned to Qwest and its subsidiaries incorporate the scope, scale and relatively stable cash flow generated by QC's local exchange business, the reduced cash requirements of Qwest's out of region businesses, and Fitch's expectation of continued credit metric improvement and generation of material free cash flow. Fitch's ratings also reflect the competitive pressure from ongoing product and technology substitution. Fitch anticipates that the operating environment In computing, an operating environment is the environment in which users run programs, whether in a command line interface, such as in MS-DOS or the Unix shell, or in a graphical user interface, such as in the Macintosh operating system. within consumer markets will become more competitive as voice over IP telephony The two-way transmission of voice over a packet-switched IP network, which is part of the TCP/IP protocol suite. The terms "IP telephony" and "voice over IP" (VoIP) are synonymous. service becomes broadly available through cable multiple system operators. Fitch points out however that in several markets Qwest has competed for telephony subscribers with cable companies that offer legacy circuit switch telephone service for some time. The effects of competition manifest themselves through access line losses. Overall the pace of access line erosion has accelerated during 2006 with access line losses for the third quarter-2006 (3Q'06) of 6%. Fitch expects that during 2007 and 2008 competition from cable telephone providers will further accelerate access line losses. Qwest's strategy to mitigate the competitive pressures within consumer markets centers on strengthening its product bundle. From Fitch's perspective, the strategy is gaining traction. Penetration of bundled products increased to 56% as of the end of the 3Q'06 reflecting an increase from 50% from the year earlier period. Qwest's Mass Market customer connections, a measurement of mass market access lines, high speed internet subscribers, video subscribers through the company's alliance with DIRECTV and wireless subscribers, increased 2.8% on a year over year basis during the 3Q'06. The bundled service strategy positions the company to offset the revenue lost by access line erosion. As of the end of the third quarter, Qwest was able to expand its consumer ARPU (Average Revenue Per User) A calculation often used to determine the overall value of an application. It is also used to rate particular customers, especially in the wireless space, by comparing someone's account to the overall average. to $50.07 reflecting a 7.3% year over year growth rate and grow Mass Market revenues 3.5% on a year over year basis while Mass Market access lines declined by 5.4%. Qwest's ability to grow its revenue base will, in Fitch's opinion, be predicated on the company's ability to drive further bundled service penetration, grow the ARPU of growth products and continue to migrate its enterprise customer base to more advanced data services. Fitch expects that over the current ratings horizon Qwest's service bundling strategy will offset much of the revenue loss associated with access line losses. Since the end of 2002, Qwest has reduced outstanding debt by nearly $8 billion and improved leverage from 5.4 times (x) to 3.4x as of the LTM LTM abbr. long-term memory period ended Sept. 30, 2006. The improvement was largely attributable to a significant turn around in Qwest's ability to generate free cash flow and management's use of free cash flow generation to reduce debt. Fitch believes that Qwest's credit profile will continue to improve during the ratings horizon with leverage declining modestly to under 3.3x by year-end (YE) 2007 and approaching 3.1x by YE 2008. In Fitch's opinion, Qwest's liquidity position is strong and is supported by existing cash and short term investments totaling approximately $1.2 billion, the $850 million senior secured revolver revolver: see small arms. revolver Pistol with a revolving cylinder that provides multishot action. Some early versions, known as pepperboxes, had several barrels, but as early as the 17th century pistols were being made with a revolving chamber to as well as Fitch's expectation that the company will continue to generate stable levels of free cash flow. Scheduled maturities of debt during 2007 and 2008 total approximately $1 billion, which Fitch expects that Qwest will retire with cash. Qwest expects to generate free cash flow ranging between $1.35 and $1.5 billion during 2006 and Fitch expects the company to generate free cash flow of approximately $1.6 billion during 2007 and 2008. From Fitch's perspective free cash flow growth will be limited to Qwest's ability to drive further margin improvements as the prospects of revenue growth is muted by competitive pressures. The ongoing Department of Justice investigation and pending shareholder lawsuits pose a potentially significant contingent liability Contingent Liability 1. The possibility of an obligation to pay certain sums dependent on future events. 2. Defined obligations by a company that must be met, but the probability of payment is minimal. Notes: 1. to Qwest's liquidity profile. However given the level of near term expected free cash flow generation, Fitch believes that the company has adequate financial flexibility to address potential judgments and settlements. Qwest has announced a $2 billion stock repurchase Stock repurchase A firm's repurchase of outstanding shares of its common stock. program that will be executed over the next two years. From Fitch's perspective, the share repurchase Share Repurchase A program by which a company buys back its own shares from the marketplace, reducing the number of outstanding shares. This is usually an indication that the company's management thinks the shares are undervalued. program will not have a material negative impact the company's financial flexibility. Importantly, Fitch expects that the company will fund the program with a combination of existing cash and expected free cash flow generation. Fitch estimates that the stock repurchase program represents approximately 49% of Qwest's existing cash and expected free cash flow generation over the next two years. Given the free cash flow expectations of Qwest, Fitch anticipates that the pressure to increase the level of shareholder friendly actions will be an over hang on Qwest's credit profile over the ratings horizon. However, the amount of stock repurchases and other shareholder friendly actions is limited by restricted payment covenants contained in Qwest's debt indentures and credit facility. The credit facility limits restricted payments to net income (as of Jan. 1, 2006) plus $1.7 billion. Based on this restriction, Fitch estimates that Qwest's restricted payment basket is approximately $2.1 billion. The restricted payment covenants included in the Qwest notes are less restrictive and Fitch estimates that the restricted payment basket under the Qwest indentures is approximately $6 billion. The Stable Rating Outlook reflects Fitch's expectation for continued stabilization of the company's revenue base driven by further strengthening of Qwest's service bundling strategy and investment in growth products such as high speed internet and advanced data products. The stable revenue base coupled with anticipated improvement in operating margins should in Fitch's opinion yield relatively stable generation of free cash flow and continue improvement of the company's key credit protection measures. Fitch has upgraded the following ratings of Qwest and its subsidiaries: Qwest Communications International, Inc. --Issuer Default Rating (IDR) to 'BB' from 'B+'; --Senior secured credit facility to 'BBB-' from 'BB+'; --Senior unsecured notes (guaranteed by QSC) to 'BB+' from 'BB'; --Senior unsecured notes to 'BB' from 'B+' Qwest Corporation --Issuer Default Rating (IDR) to 'BB' from 'B+'; --Senior term loan to 'BBB-' from 'BB+'; --Senior unsecured notes to 'BBB-' from 'BB+'. Qwest Services Corporation --Issuer Default Rating (IDR) to 'BB' from 'B+'; --Senior subordinated to 'BB+' from 'BB'. Qwest Capital Funding --Issuer Default Rating (IDR) to 'BB' from 'B+'; --Senior unsecured notes to 'BB' from 'B+'. Qwest Communications Corporation --Issuer Default Rating (IDR) to 'BB' from 'B+'; --Senior unsecured notes to 'BB' from 'B+'. Fitch's rating definitions and the terms of use Terms of Use are rules set up by the owner of an intellectual property or service to govern how they may be legally used. In many cases, terms of service are used as a contractual agreement between a company and users of a service they provide. of such ratings are available on the agency's public site, www.fitchratings.com. Published ratings, criteria and methodologies are available from this site, at all times. Fitch's code of conduct, confidentiality, conflicts of interest, affiliate firewall, compliance and other relevant policies and procedures Policies and Procedures are a set of documents that describe an organization's policies for operation and the procedures necessary to fulfill the policies. They are often initiated because of some external requirement, such as environmental compliance or other governmental are also available from the 'Code of Conduct' section of this site. |
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