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Fitch Ratings Affirms Senior Unsecured Ratings of Aeromexico.


MONTERREY, Mexico -- Fitch Ratings Fitch Ratings

An international rating agency for financial institutions, insurance companies, and corporate, sovereign, and municipal debt. Fitch Ratings has headquarters in New York and London and is wholly owned by FIMALAC of Paris.
 has affirmed the senior unsecured local currency and foreign currency ratings of Aerovias de Mexico, S.A. de C.V. (Aeromexico) at 'B+'. The Ratings Outlook is Stable.

The ratings are supported by the company's solid business position in both domestic and international routes, strong liquidity, and low refinancing risk In banking and finance, refinancing risk is the possibility that a borrower cannot refinance by borrowing to repay existing debt. Many types of commercial lending incorporate bullet payments at the point of final maturity; often, the intention or assumption is that the borrower . The ratings are constrained by high operating leverage Operating Leverage

A measurement of the degree to which a firm or project relies on fixed rather than variable costs.

Notes:
The higher the degree of operating leverage, the greater the potential danger from forecasting risk.
 and industry-related risks, including revenue volatility, high fixed costs fixed costs,
n.pl the costs that do not change to meet fluctuations in enrollment or in use of services (e.g., salaries, rent, business license fees, and depreciation).
, fuel price volatility, and competitive threats.

Aeromexico's revenues and profitability have recovered over the past several months as a result of increased traffic in international, as well as in domestic routes. Passenger load factors have improved despite capacity expansions. For the first six months of 2004, total revenues increased by 13.7%. Despite historically high fuel prices, costs increased only 3.5%. With fuel costs accounting for more than 20% of operating expenses Operating expenses

The amount paid for asset maintenance or the cost of doing business, excluding depreciation. Earnings are distributed after operating expenses are deducted.
, high jet fuel prices have offset part of the margin gains, but the company has handled a portion of the increased fuel costs through increased passenger fares and jet fuel surcharges.

For the first six months of 2004, EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization) A metric used to show a company's profitability, but not its cash flow. EBITDA became popular in the 1980s to show the potential profitability of leveraged buyouts, but has become  remained below breakeven levels as it has been over the past three calendar years. With expected continued increases in passenger demand for the second half of 2004, EBITDA should be at or slightly above breakeven levels for 2004. The ratio of EBITDAR Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, Amortization, and Restructuring Costs - EBITDAR

An indicator of a company's financial performance calculated as:

= Revenue - Expenses (excluding tax, interest, depreciation, amortization, and restructuring costs)
 to interest expense plus rents was 0.7 times (x) during the first six months of 2004, compared with 0.5 times (x) for 2003.

Aeromexico is in the process of modernizing its aircraft fleet. During 2004, the company has continued to replace its fleet of DC-9 aircraft, which has an average age of 25 years, with 15 new Boeing 737s financed with a combination of sale-leasebacks and operating leases. The aircraft renewal plan will help the company lower fuel consumption and will not affect on-balance-sheet debt levels. During 2004, capacity will increase by approximately 7% in international routes (driven by the introduction of new routes to Europe and South America) and in domestic routes by approximately 5%. The company's staggered lease expiration schedule provides flexibility to adjust capacity in the event of further demand shocks. Despite increases in capacity, profitability will improve in 2004, driven by continued operating costs-cuts, higher load factors, and fuel efficiency gains on new planes, which should allow Aeromexico to reach an EBITDAR to interest expense plus rents of 1 times (x) by the end of 2004.

Aeromexico's liquidity is solid relative to its peers, which provides a strong cushion against potential demand or fuel price shocks. The company had an unrestricted cash position of approximately US$125 million at June 30, 2004. This compares with on-balance sheet debt of US$120 million for the same period, comprising US$57 million of capital leases and US$63 million of bank loans, of which US$20 million are related to sales and leaseback transactions from fleet renewal. Refinancing needs over the next year are US$51 million. The company intends to repay US$20 million in short-term debt Short-term debt

Debt obligations, recorded as current liabilities, requiring payment within the year.
 with proceeds from sale and leaseback sale and leaseback

The sale of a fixed asset that is then leased by the former owner from the new owner. A sale and leaseback permits a firm to withdraw its equity in an asset without giving up use of the asset. Also called leaseback.
 transactions related to aircraft acquisition.

Aeromexico is a full service carrier and an operating subsidiary of Cintra, S.A. de C.V. (Cintra). Cintra, which is 88% owned by IPAB IPAB Instituto para la Proteccion al Ahorro Bancario (Mexico)
IPAB International Program for Antarctic Buoys
, a government institution, was formed in 1996 following the financial restructuring of Mexicana de Aviacion S.A. (Mexicana) and Aeromexico to consolidate the equity holdings of the two airlines. In the domestic passenger market, Aeromexico is the leader with a 38% market share, where it competes primarily with two other carries carriers. In international routes, Aeromexico has the second-largest market share, with 16% of the market after Mexicana. Aeromexico offers passenger service to 32 destinations within Mexico and 19 international destinations with a fleet of 70 aircraft. The company is a member of the SkyTeam alliance and maintains code-share agreements with several airlines including Delta Airlines, Continental Airlines, Air France, Alitalia, Northwest, and KLM KLM Kaiserliche Marine (Enigma: Rising Tide game)
KLM Koninklijke Luchtvaart Maatschappij (Royal Dutch Airlines)
KLM Klub Langer Menschen (German: Tall Person Club) 
.
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Publication:Business Wire
Date:Oct 14, 2004
Words:657
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